What I Bet - Friday August 7th

Griffin Warner talks betting on Friday. Griffin Warner runs through a stacked Friday, August 7 Major League Baseball slate on Episode 80 of What I Bet, part of the Straight Outta Vegas AM Podcast feed, breaking down all 11 games at a moment when several rotations are still shifting in the wake of the trade deadline. He opens with the Mets sending Zach Thornton to Pittsburgh against Carmen Mlodzinski, reading the heavy under juice on the eight and a half total as a sign the market expects a Pirates bullpen game, especially with new arm Luke Weaver now closing and Mets closer Devin Williams sitting the last two nights. Griffin leans toward New York at plus 129 and likes the over, suggesting patience for a push to eight. He then covers Jose Soriano's Blue Jays debut against Zach Wheeler and the Phillies, preferring the Toronto run line at plus one and a half over the moneyline, and the first five under four and a half. Tyler Mahle's first start for the Braves against former teammate Max Fried in the Bronx draws Griffin's trust in the Atlanta bullpen despite a modest season, landing on the Braves at plus 134 and the under eight. He gives a brief look at the Athletics visiting a red hot Red Sox club before diving into the Angels and Marlins, where he backs Tyler Phillips and multiple unders against a struggling Los Angeles lineup. The show's strongest opinion arrives with the Guardians visiting the White Sox, where Griffin fades Parker Messick despite respecting his stuff, pointing to Cleveland's shaky bullpen, poor defense, and inability to hit with runners on, and lands on Chicago at plus 122 with unders on both the full game and first five totals. He explains why the Twins overspent caution at the deadline on players like Dean Kremer even as Zebby Matthews starts in Milwaukee, builds a live number on air for Kevin Gausman and the Cubs visiting Daniel Lynch and the Royals, and gives quick reads on the Rockies at the Cardinals and the Orioles at the Rangers, a series carrying real American League wild card weight against Nathan Eovaldi. Roki Sasaki and the Dodgers traveling to face Merrill Kelly and the Diamondbacks brings out Griffin's long standing support for Kelly, who he calls himself a stan of, with the Dodgers bullpen still sorting out closer Edwin Diaz's role working in Arizona's favor. He closes his game by game breakdown with Robbie Ray's Padres debut against Ronel Blanco and the Astros, and a Rays and Mariners matchup between Drew Rasmussen and Logan Gilbert that he calls arguably the best pitching matchup of the night. Before locking in his official pick, Griffin shares a Pregame dot com promo code, hit fifty, good for fifty dollars off Major League Baseball Second Half All Access, which runs through the World Series and drops from 349 dollars to 299 dollars through August 10. His official What I Bet best bet of the episode is the San Diego Padres at minus 120 over the Houston Astros, citing Robbie Ray's strong recent form, a deep Padres bullpen, and doubts about Houston's offense beyond Yordan Alvarez and Jeremy Pena. Throughout the episode Griffin threads in bigger picture storylines, from the Mets continuing to mash without Juan Soto to Cleveland's fall from first place, the Twins facing fan backlash over a quiet deadline, and a wide open American League wild card race where the Yankees and Red Sox look closer to locking up spots than everyone else chasing the final berth. It is a full rundown built for bettors looking for value across every window of the night, from first pitch runs to first five totals to closing numbers, delivered with the same mix of numbers and opinion that has made the show a daily stop for Major League Baseball bettors all season long, with new episodes covering every slate straight through the rest of the season and into the playoffs. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices