What I Bet - Friday July 24th

Griffin Warner talks betting for Friday. Griffin Warner brings a full fourteen game Major League Baseball slate to episode 70 of What I Bet on the Straight Outta Vegas AM podcast feed, arriving with a hot hand at three wins in his last three, seven wins in his last nine, nine wins in his last twelve, and twelve wins in his last seventeen, and he spends the Friday, July 24 show walking through every number on the board before locking in his best bet of the night. He opens with an early 4:10 p.m. Eastern first pitch between the Colorado Rockies and Milwaukee Brewers, explaining at 01:31 why Colorado's inflated home numbers make them nearly unplayable even at a plus price on the road. From there he turns at 02:16 to the matchup that becomes his headline lean, Matthew Boyd and the Chicago Cubs visiting Jared Jones and the Pittsburgh Pirates, fading Boyd after a swing and miss free final start against the Twins and backing Pittsburgh's price against a nationally popular opponent. At 03:02 he breaks down how the loss of Bobby Witt Jr. and uncertainty around Jac Caglianone push him toward the under as the Kansas City Royals visit Tarik Skubal and the Detroit Tigers, then at 03:48 previews a potential shootout between Eduardo Rodriguez and the Arizona Diamondbacks against Connor Palmquist and the Washington Nationals, two travel worn clubs he expects to hit more than pitch. At 04:34 he explains why he does not trust Will Warren against Jesús Luzardo and the Philadelphia Phillies even with an underachieving Phillies lineup, and at 05:05 walks through why he leans toward the Atlanta Braves over Trevor Rogers and the Baltimore Orioles despite Rogers producing results that the market still will not fully believe. One of the most detailed segments arrives at 05:50, where Griffin analyzes Roki Sasaki's triple digit velocity without matching swing and miss numbers as the Los Angeles Dodgers visit Sean Manaea and a New York Mets team still unraveling after a defensive miscue in right field turned a sure win into a season altering loss, a sequence he ties directly to his under position on New York's adjusted second half win total. From 07:22 through 11:55 he moves through the rest of the card, leaning under with Joey Cantillo and the Cleveland Guardians against Shane McClanahan and the Tampa Bay Rays, questioning whether Patrick Sandoval can be trusted post elbow reconstruction as the Toronto Blue Jays visit a red hot Boston Red Sox club, passing on Houston's Spencer Arrighetti and Chicago's Davis Martin until the price on Yordan Alvarez and the Astros gets cheaper, fading Mackenzie Gore's well known second half decline as the Seattle Mariners visit the Texas Rangers, fully fading the Athletics' pitching and offense as they travel overnight to face the Minnesota Twins, leaning under on a Cincinnati Reds and St. Louis Cardinals pitching duel between Rhett Lowder and Dustin May, and choosing patience over a play on the Los Angeles Angels and San Francisco Giants total while it sits above his number. The episode closes at 13:42 with Griffin's official What I Bet best bet, the Pittsburgh Pirates at home, minus 120, over the Chicago Cubs, extending his run heading into the next installment of the show and giving listeners a complete first look at a full slate of numbers built game by game across nearly two hours of Major League Baseball action. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices