What I Bet - Wednesday March 25th

Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday. Griffin Warner opened his March 25th episode of What I Bet on the Pregame.com Podcast Network by reporting a 4-1-1 record over his last six plays, with the push coming from a Tulsa bet that held a 16-point first-half lead in Tuesday NIT action but failed to cover after Wichita State reached the number late. Warner then broke down his Wednesday NIT quarterfinals, starting with Illinois State as 7.5-point underdogs at Dayton, total 139.5, tipping at 6 p.m. Central. He praised coach Ryan Piton for rebuilding the program and retaining talent in a transfer-heavy Missouri Valley Conference, but flagged Chase Walker, the preseason Player of the Year, as a major liability due to recurring foul trouble. Walker projects at roughly 6-foot-8 against Dayton's 7-foot-1 center Latong, a length mismatch Warner called a serious structural problem. He leaned Illinois State as a value play with 7.5 points of cushion but stopped short of a firm bet given the home crowd advantage Dayton carries, which he called among the most valuable in college basketball. The second NIT game featured Nevada as 9.5-point underdogs at Auburn, total 154.5, at 8 p.m. Central. The line opened at Nevada plus-10 before moving a half-point toward the Wolf Pack. Warner identified Auburn point guard Pettiford, a McDonald's All-American, as the best player in the game and noted Auburn finished around 17-16 under a first-year coaching staff after Bruce Pearl retired. He highlighted Nevada guard Corey Kamper Jr., coming off a triple-double, as the key player to watch in late-game fouling situations. Warner called Nevada his bigger NIT interest but held reservations on both games. For the Friday Sweet 16, Warner addressed Duke minus-6.5 over St. John's, total 142, in Washington D.C., stating that Duke point guard Caleb Foster would not play. He credited Rick Pitino as a major coaching edge over Jon Scheyer and noted the line dropped from St. John's plus-7 to plus-6.5 without significant Duke money arriving, calling that movement rare and meaningful. His official best bet was Alabama plus-10 against Michigan in Chicago, total 174.5, where he called the number disrespectful and backed the Crimson Tide to stay competitive through perimeter shooting despite Michigan's dominant interior led by 7-foot-3 center Adai Mara. Warner also noted Michigan State as a straight-up win candidate against UConn despite being plus-1 to plus-2 underdogs, and favored Tennessee plus-4 against an Iowa State team likely missing star Josh Jefferson due to a high ankle sprain. The episode closed with promo code SPRING25 for twenty-five dollars off at Pregame.com. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices