EPISODE · Jun 1, 2026 · 8 MIN
Why Energy Inflation Is Different This Time
from Macro Tuesdays with Fexingo: Weekly Economic News, Policy, and Market-Moving Data · host Fexingo
Lucas and Luna dig into why energy inflation in 2026 is behaving differently from previous oil shocks. With the Iran conflict adding $450 to the average household's monthly bills, core PCE holding at 3.3 percent, and 10-year breakevens actually falling, they explore how the pass-through to core inflation has changed. Lucas points to the rise of renewable capacity and a more services-heavy economy as structural shifts that are muting the second-round effects. They also discuss what this means for the Fed's rate path and why bond markets are pricing lower long-term inflation expectations despite near-term price pressure. #EnergyInflation #IranWar #CorePCE #BreakevenInflation #FederalReserve #Inflation #RenewableEnergy #ConsumerSpending #BondMarket #SupplyChain #ServicesEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicData #MacroEconomics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroTuesdays #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
Lucas and Luna dig into why energy inflation in 2026 is behaving differently from previous oil shocks. With the Iran conflict adding $450 to the average household's monthly bills, core PCE holding at 3.3 percent, and 10-year breakevens actually falling, they explore how the pass-through to core inflation has changed. Lucas points to the rise of renewable capacity and a more services-heavy economy as structural shifts that are muting the second-round effects. They also discuss what this means for the Fed's rate path and why bond markets are pricing lower long-term inflation expectations despite near-term price pressure. #EnergyInflation #IranWar #CorePCE #BreakevenInflation #FederalReserve #Inflation #RenewableEnergy #ConsumerSpending #BondMarket #SupplyChain #ServicesEconomy #MonetaryPolicy #EconomicData #MacroEconomics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroTuesdays #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why Energy Inflation Is Different This Time
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