Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145 episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 4, 2026 · 1H 44M

Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145

from The Risk Takers Podcast · host GoldenPants13

NERD ALERT!!We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle. 0:00 Predictive Sports Stats31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market45:50 Rest of News.54:00 Q&AWelcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, hosted by professional sports bettor John Shilling (GoldenPants13) and SportsProjections. This podcast is the best betting education available - PERIOD. And it's free - please share and subscribe if you like it.Follow SportsProjections on Twitter: https://x.com/Sports__ProjFollow GP on Twitter: https://x.com/goldenpants013

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NERD ALERT!! We get back to our roots today and talk about how to go about finding stats that are predictive in sports modelling. The episode includes a deep dive into how Kalshi settled & communicated their "Khamenei out as leader" market. We touch on the issues w/ "last traded price" settlement and the similarities to the Cardi B. rules debacle. 0:00 Predictive Sports Stats 31:45 Iran Leader Kalshi Market 45:50 Rest of News. 54:00 Q&A Welcome to The Risk Takers Podcast, host...

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Why Some Stats Predict Better Than Others & Kalshi "Death Markets" | Ep 145

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