EPISODE · Jun 16, 2026 · 7 MIN
Why the Fed Is Stuck at 3.6 Percent with Inflation at 4.2
from The Macro Memo with Fexingo: Daily Conversations on Inflation, GDP, and Federal Reserve Policy · host Fexingo
The Federal Reserve faces a tough spot: the fed funds rate sits at 3.6 percent while inflation runs at 4.2 percent. Lucas and Luna dig into the real rate trap—how high rates aren't high enough to cool prices. Using fresh data from June 2026, they explore why the Fed can't cut without reigniting inflation but can't hike without choking growth. They look at the JOLTS job openings surge to 7.6 million, the ECB's first rate hike since 2023, and what the bond market's yield curve is really saying. If you want to understand why the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place, this episode breaks down the numbers and the dilemma. No hot takes, just the economic logic behind one of the Fed's hardest decisions in years. #FederalReserve #Inflation #FedFundsRate #RealRate #JOLTS #JobOpenings #ECB #BondMarket #YieldCurve #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #MacroMemo #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast #LucasAndLuna #Economy #RateHike Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
The Federal Reserve faces a tough spot: the fed funds rate sits at 3.6 percent while inflation runs at 4.2 percent. Lucas and Luna dig into the real rate trap—how high rates aren't high enough to cool prices. Using fresh data from June 2026, they explore why the Fed can't cut without reigniting inflation but can't hike without choking growth. They look at the JOLTS job openings surge to 7.6 million, the ECB's first rate hike since 2023, and what the bond market's yield curve is really saying. If you want to understand why the Fed is stuck between a rock and a hard place, this episode breaks down the numbers and the dilemma. No hot takes, just the economic logic behind one of the Fed's hardest decisions in years. #FederalReserve #Inflation #FedFundsRate #RealRate #JOLTS #JobOpenings #ECB #BondMarket #YieldCurve #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #MacroMemo #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast #LucasAndLuna #Economy #RateHike Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why the Fed Is Stuck at 3.6 Percent with Inflation at 4.2
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