EPISODE · Jun 14, 2026 · 7 MIN
Why the Fed Is Stuck Between Inflation and Rate Cuts
from The Macro Memo with Fexingo: Daily Conversations on Inflation, GDP, and Federal Reserve Policy · host Fexingo
Lucas and Luna dig into the Federal Reserve's current bind: inflation running at 4.2 percent annually, the effective fed funds rate at 3.63 percent, and real GDP growth just 1.6 percent. With the Fed's policy rate still below inflation, real interest rates are negative—something that hasn't happened this deep into a tightening cycle in decades. They examine the May CPI print, the flat unemployment rate at 4.3 percent, and the surprising surge in job openings to 7.6 million. The hosts ask whether the Fed can cut rates without reigniting inflation, or whether holding steady risks deepening the economic slowdown. A close look at the data the FOMC will be debating at their next meeting, and what it means for markets and households. #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #CPI #FedPolicy #RealRates #GDP #JobOpenings #JOLTS #Unemployment #MonetaryPolicy #Economy #FOMC #RateCuts #Stagflation #MacroMemo #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
What this episode covers
Lucas and Luna dig into the Federal Reserve's current bind: inflation running at 4.2 percent annually, the effective fed funds rate at 3.63 percent, and real GDP growth just 1.6 percent. With the Fed's policy rate still below inflation, real interest rates are negative—something that hasn't happened this deep into a tightening cycle in decades. They examine the May CPI print, the flat unemployment rate at 4.3 percent, and the surprising surge in job openings to 7.6 million. The hosts ask whether the Fed can cut rates without reigniting inflation, or whether holding steady risks deepening the economic slowdown. A close look at the data the FOMC will be debating at their next meeting, and what it means for markets and households. #FederalReserve #Inflation #InterestRates #CPI #FedPolicy #RealRates #GDP #JobOpenings #JOLTS #Unemployment #MonetaryPolicy #Economy #FOMC #RateCuts #Stagflation #MacroMemo #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo
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Why the Fed Is Stuck Between Inflation and Rate Cuts
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