Why the Yield Curve Steepening Signals a Soft Landing

The yield curve has not only uninverted — it's steepening sharply, with the spread between the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields now at 49 basis points, the widest since 2022. Lucas and Luna break down what this steepening means for the recession debate, using the latest data: the S&P 500 at 7,519, small caps up 6.3% in a week, and real GDP growth back to 2%. They explain why a steepening curve can be either a signal of economic strength or a warning of fiscal stress, and how investors should interpret the message from bond markets right now. #YieldCurve #TreasuryYields #SteepeningCurve #SoftLanding #RecessionWatch #FederalReserve #BondMarket #GDPGrowth #SmallCaps #Russell2000 #SP500 #EconomicIndicators #FiscalPolicy #Investing #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MarketAnalysis Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo