Why the Yield Curve Uninversion Matters for Your Portfolio

Episode 46 of The Bear Market Podcast dives into the recent yield curve uninversion and what it historically signals for markets. As of June 12, 2026, the 10-year Treasury yield sits at 4.55%, the 2-year at 4.13%, and the spread has widened to 40 basis points. Lucas and Luna break down why this shift from an inverted curve to a steeper one often precedes recessions, how it's playing out differently this cycle, and what investors should watch next. They reference past cycles like 1990, 2001, and 2008, and discuss the current economic context of 1.6% real GDP growth and a VIX at 19.44. The conversation also touches on the Russell 2000's recent 3.1% gain as a potential signal for small-cap rotation. This episode is essential for anyone trying to navigate the bond market's warnings and position their portfolio for what's ahead. #YieldCurve #Uninversion #TreasuryYields #RecessionSignal #BondMarket #10YearTreasury #2YearTreasury #FederalReserve #EconomicIndicators #GDPGrowth #Russell2000 #SmallCaps #VIX #PortfolioStrategy #BearMarket #Finance #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo