Will the global economy dodge a recession? episode artwork

EPISODE · Nov 28, 2022 · 19 MIN

Will the global economy dodge a recession?

from The Weekly Briefing from Capital Economics · host Capital Economics

Recent data releases suggest the global economy is holding up better than anticipated by gloomy forecasts (including ours). But it's far too soon to breathe a sigh of relief. In this latest episode of The Weekly Briefing, Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing explains why there's still appetite among central banks to keep raising rates, and why recessions still loom in advanced economies. Plus, EM sovereign debt may be in better shape than in the past, but households and corporate borrowing has surged and they now face a sharp rise in debt service costs – are they going to be able to cope? Liam Peach and Shilan Shah from our EM team discusses which economies are most vulnerable. 

Upside surprises in recent data releases raise hopes that downbeat forecasts for the advanced economies will be proven wrong. But Group Chief Economist Neil Shearing looks beyond the latest numbers to explain why recessions are still on the cards.

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Will the global economy dodge a recession?

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This episode was published on November 28, 2022.

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Recent data releases suggest the global economy is holding up better than anticipated by gloomy forecasts (including ours). But it's far too soon to breathe a sigh of relief. In this latest episode of The Weekly Briefing, Group Chief Economist Neil...

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