PODCAST · business
Broken Pie Chart
by Derek Moore
The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.
Episodes
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US Dollar Purchasing Power | Yield Curve Recession Signal Failure? | Worst Treasury Returns in 100 Years | Midterm Election Year Sweet Spot for Equities? | Nike $NKE Chart Looks Like a Popped Bubble
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to look at markets and what history says comes next. Plus, US Dollar loss of purchasing power illustrates the need to be invested. What about the inverted yield curve (10-year minus 3-month) leading to a recession? Is it too far gone or still…
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SpaceX Starship Reaches Orbit | S&P 500 Breadth Lowest Since Dot-Com | 59% of S&P 500 Stocks in Bear Markets | Is Narrow Leadership a Warning? | Micron Implied Volatility and Earnings
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to dig into a market that looks healthy on the surface but tells a very different story underneath. S&P 500 breadth, measured by the gap between the index and its median stock relative to 52-week highs, just hit its narrowest level since the...
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Semis & Hyperscalers Rocking | AAII Surveys Bearish | Will Fed Cause Yield Curve Inversion? | MLB Baseball ETFs
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner with the market pressing new all-time highs, semiconductors and hyperscalers ripping, and the dichotomy of bad soft data but positive hard data. Plus, is the Fed going to cause another yield curve inversion judging by the narrowing of…
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Fed Big Mistake? | AI Companies Regulatory Capture? | Is the Market Getting Cheaper? | Markets and Midterms
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to discuss whether the Fed made a mistake raising interest rates considering the problem with CPI inflation is rising oil prices which is a supply side issue. Plus, the AI companies are sounding alarm bells about extinction level events. Is...
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Post Labor Day Market Stats | Growth vs Value Ratio at Key Level | Fed Interest Rate Probabilities | Oracle Earnings Options Implied Move | S&P 500 vs Nasdaq 100 Forward P/E Ratio
Derek Moore and Shane Skinner run the post Labor Day numbers, including what the S&P 500 has done the day after Labor Day, the rest of that week, the rest of September, and the rest of the year going back to 1945. Plus, a look at Jeff Weniger's chart showing growth stocks failing again at the…
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September Seasonality in Midterm Years | High Alert Heading into September | Deficits vs Tax Rates | Mega Cap Winners and Losers | Forward P/E Check Dispersion
Derek Moore and Shane Skinner dig into what history says about September in a midterm election year, and why Mike Santoli argues investors should be on high alert heading into the month. Plus, a long look at federal receipts versus federal outlays as a percent of GDP and what top tax rates did…
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Big Oil's Raining Free Cash Flow | Gold Near Getting Flows | Where Did Homebuyers Go? | Midterm Year Seasonality | Nvidia Earnings
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about Big Oil posting its best free cash flow quarter ever, $70 billion across the top five majors, without the war-driven price spike that powered the last record. Plus, gold pushing back higher as ETF flows return, the…
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Mag 7 Valuation Gap Closes | Netscape Redux? | 32 NHL Team ETFs? | VIX Seasonality Setup
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about how valuations of the top stocks now have shrunk to those of the overall market, while tech and other Mag7 stocks valuations have come down while earnings expectations are up. Plus, record short positioning in…
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Bad News is Good News? | SpaceX Shares Unlock Angle | Fed Hikes Off the Table? | There Aren't 10% Pre-Tax US Treasuries
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about a jobs report the market read as bad news is good news: payrolls up just 23,000 versus 80,000 expected, the prior two months revised down by 103,000, and participation slipping to 61.4%, the lowest since February 2021,...
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Warsh's Fed Lets the Market Decide | SpaceX Earnings | Apple Sells Off | Payout Ratios Falling for Mag 7 | Earnings Surprises and Semiconductor Volatility
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about the market tape defined by two things happening at once: a violent volatility shock concentrated in semiconductors, and an earnings season that is quietly the strongest in years. The Leopold liquidation drove SOX...
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Mag 7 Cap Ex Problem? | SpaceX vs Tesla | Earnings Implied Volatility AAPL vs MSFT | Lots of Dispersion in the S&P 500
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to talk about whether the Mag 7 companies have a free cash flow problem compared to historical payout ratios. Then, they look at the relationship in price action between SpaceX and Tesla. Later, what does the options market say…
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Apple Sues OpenAI | SpaceX Back to Earth | Memory Stocks Dip
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss SpaceX now being below its IPO price and whether it can grow into its current value. Plus, Apple sues OpenAI as the stock continues to run into earnings. Later, did anything fundamentally change with the memory stocks like Micron…
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Fed Inflation Task Force | Free Cash Flow Hyperscalers vs Semiconductors | Head and Shoulders Crude Oil | Earnings Season Kicks Off | Anthropic S-1 Wait
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner, looking at the Fed Task force and what that means for how the Fed evaluates inflation data. Plus, Anthropic is the S-1 everyone is waiting for. Later, they talk through a classic head and shoulders pattern than played out in WTI Oil charts,...
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Memory Stocks Pause | Fed May Do What No One Thinks | US Dollar Strength | Crude Oil Prices Done? | Bitcoin Recession
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to get into markets including whether the memory stock run (including Micron) is over or just taking a pause. Then, they look at the strength of the US Dollar and whether that is a major headwind while oil prices seem like they are done...
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The Unchanged S&P 500 Index | Micron Post Earnings | Hormuz Tanker Counts | Fed Useless Dot Plots | Bitcoin Sentiment | Michael Saylor Strategy Problems?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week where they'll discuss Micron's earnings announcement and subsequent stock price changes and free cash flow. Is that where all the hyperscalers cash is heading? Plus, the latest geo-political goings on including tracking the number…
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Kevin Warsh Fed | Economy Better than Thought? | SpaceX Option Volatility | Strategy STRC Preferred Dips
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to get into the post Kevin Warsh Fed Presser reaction. Plus, leading economic indicators (LEI) are turning bullish? Then, they talk about the options action in SpaceX including how high is the implied volatility. Odds and ends this...
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SpaceX Day 1 Trading | Oil Going Lower? | SpaceX Expected Options Volatility | Inflation Hype | 2 Day Correction?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss some wild SpaceX price predictions and review day 1 of trading. Then, they discuss what the implied volatility and options pricing will be like once SpaceX options are available. Then they make the case that oil has seen its peak and the bull and…
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Friday Selloff | SpaceX IPO Price | Strong Jobs Number Revisions | MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin | Fed Rate Hikes?
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to react to the market Friday selloff including many of the chip and memory stocks. What is driving this and has the oil trade decoupled from equities? Then they discuss SpaceX IPO pricing at $135, the strong jobs numbers that exceeded estimates including...
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IPO Performance First 30 Days | Google vs Tesla IPO Performance | SpaceX ETFs Are Coming | Don't Sell in May | 8000 S&P 500 Index Target
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to talk about the typical IPO performance within the first 30 days of trading. Then, they compare how Google vs Tesla performed after their IPOs. Later, Goldman Sachs calls for 8000 by year in in the S&P 500 Index, how May has seen stellar returns...
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SpaceX IPO | SpaceX S-1 | Nvidia Earnings | IPO Fever Like 1999? | Market Returns vs Expected Returns
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to get into the SpaceX S-1 including their revenues and earnings revealed. Plus, comparing the fever for SpaceX IPO to the dotcom era in the late nineties. Then, looking at Nvidia earnings and looking at its price to sales vs SpaceX. Later, what people…
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NVidia Earnings | Inflation Sticky | Earnings & GDP Still Strong | Warsh in Charge Now | Oil Price Curve
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to discuss the upcoming Nvidia earnings through the prism of the option volatility levels. Then, they look at inflation, GDP, and markets vs expectations. Later, looking at the interest rate predictions and the likelihood of cuts vs raises with Kevin Warsh…
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GameStop Buying eBay Math | Micron Does it Again | 1995 All Over Again? | Crude Oil Head and Shoulders Pattern?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss markets and the economy including Ryan Cohen's awkward CNBC interview with Andrew Ross Sorkin where he was pressed on the math behind the financing in GameStop's bid for EBAY. Plus, Micron again reaches an all-time high and still…
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Economic Trouble? | Intel Parabolic? | Micron vs Apple | Post Earnings Volatility | The Fed and Rates
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner exploring whether the economy via the LEI (Leading Economic Indicator) is flashing bearish signals. Then, they run through Micron, Intel, and Apple looking at relative valuations and what analysts are predicting. Later, they review some post...
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INTC vs NVDA | Prediction Markets Scam | Mag 7 Big Earnings Week
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to talk about semiconductors and the relative surprising performance of Intel vs Nvidia. Plus, they examine forward PE ratios and how stocks making new all-time highs might have gotten cheaper on a valuation basis. Later, the news reports of…
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Tesla Earnings Option Volatility | S&P 500 To the Moon? | Did Investors Miss? | Back to All-Time Highs
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner commenting on the stock market's breakout to new all-time highs. With earnings estimates, earnings reports, and sentiment shifting higher the market looks forward. Did investors get too bearish? Looking at Tesla's upcoming earnings via their...
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Consumer Confidence All-Time Low | Exxon vs Salesforce | Still in a Bull Market?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to discuss the all-time low in consumer sentiment and what if anything it means for markets. By the way, who exactly are they getting to stay on the phone for 50 questions? Then they discuss Exxon vs Salesforce performance since the...
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Market Bull & Bear Case | Strait of Hormuz Tracking | SpaceX IPO S-1 Coming? | Company Earnings Most Looking Forward To
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to look at the bull case vs. the bear case in markets. Plus, which company the gang is most looking forward to seeing what their earnings release shows and how the big tech names are all cheaper on a forward valuation basis. Why doesn't the...
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So Far News Is Worse Than Markets | Fed Rate Hikes? | Mag 7 Valuations Get Cheaper | Peter Lynch on Corrections
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how the news sounds worse than the markets have performed so far. What Peter Lynch famous 1994 speech tells us about market declines and corrections. Plus, really? The Fed Funds futures are now pricing in higher probability of rate...
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Analysts' vs The Market | Volatility | Kalshi Prediction Markets Arizona Lawsuit | Breakeven Rates
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner where they get into a discussion around the market moving lower, lowering the forward PE, and analysts haven't budged their estimates yet. So, who's right and who's wrong? Then they go through the volatility environment and whether this is a...
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Oil the Dollar and Rates | Normal Midterm Year Market | Micron Earnings Implied Volatility | There Is Always Something to Worry About
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options...
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OpenAI the Next Netscape? | VVIX Surge | Is This the End of the Selloff? | Oil Goes Parabolic This Week
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to riff on volatility surging including VIX and VVIX. What volatility changes mean to market makers having to sell or buy more shares to hedge. Later, examine the largest 1 week surge in oil historically and where last week ranks. Plus…
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PE Contraction | Salesforce vs Exxon | Nvidia is Cheap? | Volatility Skew | PPI Beats
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a...
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GDP Breakdown | Tariffs Not Going Away | Nvidia Earnings | Oil Moving Higher | Market Likes Tariff Ruling?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the market reaction. Plus, looking at what the options market is predicting for Nvidia post earnings moves. Later, WTI oil prices moving higher, did the energy sector bull run predict this?...
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Still No CPI Inflation from Tariffs | Interest Rate Cuts Coming | Surprising Sectors Leading Market | All Eyes on Nvidia Earnings & Implied Volatilty
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn't any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it's...
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Bitcoin & Strategy $MSTR Meltdown | Apple is Up While Microsoft Bear Market | VIX Too High With Market Within ATH
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to chat about the meltdown in bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy $MSTR). Why would investors choose MSTR over just Bitcoin? The enterprise value vs market value of its Bitcoin holdings. Later, The Mag 7 aren't all acting alike as...
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Parabolic Silver and Gold | Mini Multiple Contraction | Nvidia vs Walmart | Earnings Estimates Growing
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner this week to discuss the parabolic moves in silver and gold including the record amount of trading. Plus, was PPI a big deal or no problem? Later, looking at the forward valuations of Walmart vs Nvidia in a hypothetical game of which one would you rather…
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Previewing Apple Meta Microsoft Google Earnings & Implied Volatility | Metals Rocking | Record Option Volumes | Greenland Volatility Pop | Bonds vs Gold
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about how it seems every metal is surging including Gold, Silver, Platinum, Palladium, and what else? Plus, Shane reports on the options conference and record option volumes. Oh, and did the market and volatility overreact to…
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Commodity Boom? | Energy Stocks Running | Tariffs Don't Matter? | Market Broadening| Earnings Season is Here
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether the tariffs matter to the market anymore. Plus, energy stocks break out even though oil is still below $60. Later, how we continue to see broadening in participation of the bull market beyond the mag 7 stocks. Of course,...
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High Valuation Ok? | Midterm Year Performance | Supreme Court Tariff Ruling | Google's Number 2 | Payrolls
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about whether higher valuations are warranted based on rising profit margins. Then, they think about whether the upcoming Supreme Court ruling on tariffs matters for the market. Later, they discussed Google passing Apple for the #2...
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2026 Stock Market Predictions Show | Big Winners 2025 | Outliers and Consensus | Gold, Rates, Markets, Economy, Bitcoin, The Dollar & More
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner, Mike Snyder, and yup Jay Pestrichelli makes an appearance to give our 2026 predictions. Where will markets, the economy, gold, the dollar, the fed, interest rates, bitcoin, recession, oil, bitcoin and much more plus a look back at who got 2025 right. 2026...
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Santa Claus Rally | Silver Goes Parabolic | S&P 500 Growth Due to Earnings & Multiple | International Stocks Rocking
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to talk about silver prices going parabolic while Gold, Copper, Platinum, and other metals are clocking in gains. Does the rally continue? They, they look at how well international markets have done crushing the S&P 500 Index this year where Spain's IBEX 35...
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What if Bitcoin Goes Nowhere? | No Inflation | TSLA Volatility & SpaceX | Gold vs Bitcoin | Japan 10YR Yields
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI report and the bad beat for analysts. Then, they talk Bitcoin and what if it goes sideways for the next 5 years? Later, looking at Tesla TSLA implied volatility and whether SpaceX is creeping into its price plus how a...
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$1 million Now vs $1000 a Week for Life | Wall Street Prediction Cycle | Markets Go Up More Than Average | Goldilocks Markets | Apple's Resilience
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to ask if you would rather have a $1 million lump sum vs $1000 per week for life if you won the lotter. Then, looking at some of the incoming 2026 Wall Steet year end S&P 500 Index targets. Don't forget we'll do our own 2026...
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Can't Be a Bubble Without? | Contrarian Signal Consumer Sentiment Hits a Low | Gold vs Stocks | Earnings Guidance Rises
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Jurrien Timmer's chart showing we aren't in a bubble because the rise in markets is due to earnings not multiple gains. Plus, U of Michigan consumer sentiment hits a new low despite markets near all-time highs. Later, is Japan's...
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Small Caps Telling Us Rate Cuts | It's Not Just the Mag 7 Near All-Time Highs | Fear & Greed Index Disconnect | HOPE Economic Sequence
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about the coming Fed decision and what the market is telling us. Plus, CNN's Fear and Greed Index is almost at extreme fear so why are most markets near all-time highs? Then, looking at the economy through the lens of Michael Kantro's...
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Nvidia Saves the Market? | Fed Cut Whisperers | MSCI to Dump Strategy? | Sentiment vs the Market
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to talk about Nvidia's moves post earnings and whether the options market got it right. Then, what would happen if MSCI removes Strategy and index funds must liquidate? Later, did the Fed just say they are cutting without saying they are...
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OpenAI IPO | Michael Saylor's Strategy's Bitcoin Strategy Reframed | Michael Burry on Mag 7 Earnings Quality | NVDA Earnings Options Volatility
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder this week to talk about people's reaction to Michael Burry's comments on earnings quality in the Mag 7 companies, talk of the OpenAI IPO, and Nvidia's options ahead of earnings week. Plus, they reframe the idea of Strategy buying Bitcoin by...
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S&P 500 Stocks Dispersion | Small Caps Outflows | NVDA Implied Volatility | Market Re-Rating Forward PE Ratio
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder where they look at the dispersion happening within the S&P 500 Index November to date. Then, they discuss the outflows ongoing for the small caps and what if anything that means. Later, looking at the effects of earnings on Nvidia's option...
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Hindenburg Omen | MicroStrategy vs Bitcoin | CAPE Ratio and Forward Returns | No More Tariff Tantrum?
Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to discuss the Hindenburg Omen and what that means for the stock market. Plus, looking at whether the Tariff trade has been completely wrong. Later, the best six months of the year are here, problems with using CAPE Ration to predict forward returns…
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AAPL MSFT META GOOG Earnings Volatility | 5% Mortgage Rates Coming? | No Inflation Despite Tariffs | 7000 Up Next for S&P 500 Index?
Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner and Mike Snyder to discuss the upcoming huge week in earnings and where the options markets rank the big 4 this week for implied moves. Then, they ask the question of what would need to happen to see 30-year mortgage rates slip lower to 5%. Later, they…
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.
HOSTED BY
Derek Moore
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