Falcons — Muffed

NO CALL — WR7 per game, priced WR7, on a 30% target share. Fairly priced, with real error bars.

NO CALL — RB2 priced RB2, with a touchdown rebate pending. The market got this one right.

Robinson finished as the number 63 running back in total PPR and the number 71 in per-game scoring — a deep-roster afterthought in a backfield where Bijan Robinson absorbed 287 carries and 103 targets. The biggest weakness in the profile was passing-game usage: 12 targets and a two percent target share across 17 games left him with no PPR floor on the weeks he didn't score, and he didn't score often.

Kyle Pitts finished 2025 as the number 2 tight end in total points and the number 5 in per-game scoring — a true volume play whose ceiling games carried a shaky weekly floor. The weakness the data flagged: just 5 touchdowns on 118 targets, thin production for a player commanding 23 percent of his team's targets.

Drake London's 2025 was a top-ten per-game wide receiver season squeezed into twelve appearances — elite usage, finally-earned touchdowns, dragged down in the total ranks by the five games he missed. The weakness the data flagged is the floor: four games under 11 PPR, including a 1.4 and a 5.7, means even with the monster target share, London's worst nights still cratered.

Robinson delivered a true number 2 overall running back season — workhorse volume, top-ten efficiency over expected, and a receiving profile almost no other back can match. The one thing the data flags: just 7 rushing touchdowns on 287 carries, with Tyler Allgeier vulturing 8 scores on 143 carries — Robinson left touchdown equity on the table inside the 10.

Season MVP is Bijan Robinson, and it's not close — two hundred and eighty-seven carries for fourteen hundred and seventy-eight yards at five point two a pop, plus seventy-nine catches for eight hundred and twenty receiving yards, eleven total touchdowns, and plus two hundred and fifty-seven point one rush yards over expected. Two things to fix: third down on offense — thirty-four point two percent, ninth percentile, you cannot win consistently converting at that rate — and the run defense, which allowed nearly one hundred and twenty-seven yards a game and graded out twenty-fifth percentile in rushing expected points added allowed. Fix either one and this is a winning team.

Drake London finished as the number 19 wide receiver in total PPR but the number 7 in per-game scoring — an elite per-week producer whose ceiling was capped by a five-game absence. The one wart: despite a 40 percent air-yards share, his 229 total yards after the catch was modest for his volume, meaning almost all of his production came through the air rather than after the catch.

Your 2025 Falcons MVP is Bijan Robinson, and it isn't close — 1,478 rushing yards, 7 rushing touchdowns, 79 catches for 820 yards and 4 more scores, the longest run of the entire NFL season, and a new franchise scrimmage-yards record. The thing that has to improve is finishing: a 22 percent red-zone touchdown rate and a 34 percent third-down conversion rate are both bottom-tier, and they're why five one-score games turned into losses. And for all its 57 sacks, the defense forced just 21 takeaways on the year — roughly 1.2 a game — a number an elite front has to push higher.