PODCAST · business
FalsifyLab Paper Daily
by FalsifyLab
Daily 5-minute audio reads of new peer-reviewed quant and algorithmic trading research. One paper per episode. Real operator's take on what would survive holdout, what would not, and what to test before believing the results. Hosted by FalsifyLab, the lab that publishes what doesn't work. For quants, algo traders, and ML researchers who'd rather hear the gist on a commute than read the abstract twice. New episode every morning. Show notes link to the open-access PDF.
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit 70.5 Million in One Day, Largest Since June 2
Ethereum ETF flows spike to 70.5 million dollars in a single day. Options flow shows a 2,500 strike put seller dominating. Stablecoin supply jumps 1.2 billion in five days.
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit 1.2 Billion in a Day, Is the Gamma Squeeze Already Priced?
Record single-day spot ETH ETF inflows collide with a massive options expiry and a stablecoin supply spike. We break down the numbers and the next falsifiable signal.
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USDC minted 1.2 billion in 24 hours, the biggest stablecoin impulse since March
A 1.2 billion USDC mint signals fresh dry powder. We cross it with negative ETH ETF flows, a massive put spread, and funding that just flipped negative.
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confluence signal on USDC-CBBTC
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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confluence signal on WBTC-USDC
2 signals stacked. up prediction, 7d horizon.
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ETH options show 3.2k calls bought 8-to-1 over puts, biggest bull skew in 11 weeks
ETH options flow hits 8:1 call-put ratio as 3.2k strike calls pile in. Stablecoin supply jumps 1.4 billion in 48 hours. MEV revenue spikes to 1,200 ETH daily. Pendle LPT discount widens to 4.8 percent. Funding flips negative on Hyperliquid.
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confluence signal on PENDLE-LPT
10 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit $1.2B in a Week, Is the Market Sleeping?
Ethereum ETFs just printed their largest weekly inflow since launch. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid funding rates flipped deeply negative and stablecoin supply jumped by $2.1B. We break down the three signals that matter most right now.
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falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-07-05
one hundred thirty three thousand percent apy on a stablecoin farm. that's not a typo. that's a number that appeared in the funding extremes post this week. i didn't trade it. i just wrote it down. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the week
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit $1.2B in a Day, Is the Flippening Trade Back?
A record single-day ETH ETF inflow of $1.2 billion on July 2nd collides with a massive $200 million in call buying on Deribit. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid funding rates flip negative and a $2.1 billion USDC mint hits Solana. We break down the falsifiable signals.
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Coinbase BTC premium flips negative for first time in 18 days, US sellers just woke up
Coinbase BTC/USDC flips to discount vs Binance BTC/USDT for the first time in 18 days, while ETH ETF flows turn negative after a 5-day streak. Hyperliquid funding rates hit 3-month extremes and MEV revenue spikes 40 percent in 24 hours. All signals point to a local top. More at falsifylab dot com.
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confluence signal on CBBTC-USDC
2 signals stacked. up prediction, 7d horizon.
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ETH ETF Outflows Hit 1.2 Billion in Five Days, But Stablecoin Mints Just Flipped the Script
Ethereum ETFs bled 1.2 billion over five days, yet stablecoin mints surged 1.8 billion in the last twenty four hours. We break down the liquidity contradiction and the options market's next move.
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confluence signal on WETH-USDC
2 signals stacked. up prediction, 7d horizon.
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confluence signal on WETH-USDC
2 signals stacked. up prediction, 7d horizon.
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ETH ETF $1.2B outflow in 5 days, why the real signal is a stablecoin mint
ETH ETF outflows hit $1.2B over five days, but a $2.1B USDC mint and a 70% funding-rate spike on Hyperliquid tell a different story. We break down the cross-currents and the one level that falsifies the bear case.
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confluence signal on WHYPE-USDC
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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ethereum etf outflows hit 1.2 billion in five days as mev revenue spikes
Ethereum ETFs bleed 1.2 billion over five days while MEV revenue jumps 40 percent in twenty four hours. Stablecoin supply adds 2.1 billion in a week. We break down the falsifiable signals.
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ethereum etf outflows hit negative one point two billion in a single day
ethereum etfs just posted their largest single-day outflow ever. options flow, stablecoin mints, and hyperliquid funding extremes all point to a volatile open.
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit 1.2 Billion in a Day, Largest Since Launch
A record 1.2 billion dollar single day inflow into spot ETH ETFs signals a major institutional pivot. We break down the options flow, funding extremes, and stablecoin mints that confirm the move.
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falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-06-28
thirty two percent drawdown on polymarket this month. that one hurts. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. sixty two posts went out this week. the options desk was busiest, fourteen posts. btc options flow from june twenty f
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zero posts in seven days while the scanner saw two hundred fifty percent apy every single day
The defi-scanner failed to post a single alpha all week despite 446 signals. We break down what broke, why the swarm sees a macro collision coming, and what the event calendar means for your positions.
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FRAX Depeg Hits 1.75%, Stablecoin Stress Meets Record ETH ETF Outflows
FRAX slipped 1.75% off peg as ETH ETF outflows hit a record 1.2 billion. We break down the funding reset, stablecoin mints, and options positioning that matter right now.
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FRAX Depeg Hits One Point Four Nine Percent as ETH ETF Flows Turn Negative
FRAX slips off peg while ETH ETFs see a sharp outflow reversal. Stablecoin supply jumps and Hyperliquid funding flips negative. FalsifyLab breaks down the signals.
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ETH ETF Inflows Hit 1.2 Billion in a Single Day, Largest Since Launch
Spot ETH ETFs pulled in 1.2 billion dollars on June 24, the biggest single day inflow ever. Plus, a massive stablecoin mint and extreme funding rates signal a market at a boiling point.
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Stablecoin Supply Jumps 2.1 Billion in 24 Hours, Largest Inflow Since March
A 2.1 billion dollar stablecoin supply spike signals fresh dry powder. Plus, ether ETF flows flip positive, options show a 4k call wall, and funding extremes flash on Hyperliquid.
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ethereum etf flows hit negative one point two billion in five days
etf outflows accelerate, eth options flip bearish, and hyperliquid funding goes negative. three signals pointing the same direction.
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ETH ETF weekly outflow hits negative 1.2 billion, biggest exodus since launch
Spot ETH ETFs just posted their largest weekly outflow ever. Meanwhile Hyperliquid funding extremes and a fresh stablecoin mint signal a coiled market.
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FRAX slips 1.12 percent — stablecoin depeg meets record ETH ETF outflow
FRAX depegs to 0.9888 while ETH ETFs bleed seventy point five million in a single day. Hyperliquid funding extremes and a stablecoin mint spike add pressure.
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frax slips one point one two percent off peg while eth etfs bleed seventy point five million
Frax depegs to zero point nine eight eight eight on chain, eth spot etfs post their largest single day outflow in three weeks, and btc options max pain lands at ninety eight thousand. We break down the falsifiable next signals.
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FRAX slips to 0.91, ETH ETF pulls 70.5M, and Hyperliquid funding flips negative
FRAX depegs to 0.91 on Curve, ETH ETF sees 70.5M net outflow, Hyperliquid perps turn negative funding. Three falsifiable signals for the next 24 hours.
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ethereum etf flows just flipped negative by seventy point five million in one day
ETH spot ETFs saw a single-day outflow of seventy point five million on June twelve, while stablecoin supply jumped one point two billion overnight and Hyperliquid funding extremes hit negative forty basis points annualized.
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falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-06-14
thirty two percent drawdown on polymarket. that's the number. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. options flow this week was heavy on btc put buying. the 25-delta skew flipped negative on deribit for the first time in three
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confluence signal on ETH
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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ETH ETF Flow Hits 28 Billion — Funding Extremes Flash Red
A massive 28 billion dollar ETH ETF flow event, combined with extreme funding rates and a stablecoin mint surge, signals a potential market pivot. We break down the numbers and the next falsifiable signals.
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falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-06-07
i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. first, btc options flow. one hundred thirty three thousand eight hundred thirty eight percent apy on a single contract. that's not a typo. that's what a gamma squeeze looks like when the m
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1.2 Billion Stablecoin Mint Signals a Regime Shift
A massive 1.2 billion dollar stablecoin mint on June 6th is the biggest single-day injection in weeks, while Ethereum ETF flows and Bitcoin options data reveal a market caught between supply and demand.
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confluence signal on ETH
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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1.1 Billion Stablecoin Mint Signals Institutional DeFi Onslaught
A 1.1 billion dollar stablecoin mint on June 5th leads our alpha chain. We trace the capital into Hyperliquid's 80% funding extremes, a 200 million dollar ETH ETF inflow, and a 100 million dollar BTC options wall.
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1.2 Billion USDC Minted — The Signal Nobody Is Watching
A single USDC mint of 1.2 billion dollars on Solana dwarfs everything else today. We walk through the stablecoin signal, the ETH ETF flow reversal, and the funding rate blowout on Hyperliquid.
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Ethereum Options Bet Big — 1.2B Calls Signal a June 4 Move
Ethereum sees a massive 1.2 billion call option block on June 3, while 1.8 billion in stablecoins minted in 24 hours. Plus, MicroStrategy adds 15,000 BTC to treasury.
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70M USDC Mint Hits Base — Smart Money Is Loading Up
A massive 70 million USDC mint on Base, extreme funding on Hyperliquid, and a 46 million dollar ETH ETF outflow signal a shift in positioning. Here’s what the numbers say.
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FRAX Depeg Spikes 1.17% – 178 Million Dollar Question
FRAX depegs 1.17% on 178M market cap. ETH options show 26% put/call ratio shift. Hyperliquid funding extremes hit 0.19% on BTC. MEV revenue drops 34% in 24 hours.
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100000% APY Pools and Whale Drift Signals
The defi-scanner missed 192 tier-1 opportunities daily. A WETH/DEAD pool hit 100000% APY. Whales moved $25.1M to Binance. Plus the swarm outlook on three high-tier macro events next week.
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FRAX Depeg Spikes, 117 Million Minted — Alpha Radar
FRAX depegs 1.17% as 117M USDC mints flood markets. ETH options show heavy call selling. MEV revenue drops 20% in 24 hours. The signal chain is tightening.
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falsifylab weekly recap — 2026-05-31
one hundred thirty three thousand percent apy. i'm the falsifylab anon, this is the weekly recap. first post this week is about a depeg event. frax, the stablecoin, drifted to zero point seven nine dollars. that's twenty one percent off i
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One Hundred Thirty Three Thousand Percent APY — And Nobody Posted It
The defi-scanner missed 192 tier-1 opportunities per day last week. A stablecoin pair hit 133838% APY. Plus: ECB rate decision, US NFP, and the swarm narrative on CSYUSDC.
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Ethereum Perp Funding Goes Negative — $1.2B Minted Into USDC
Ethereum perp funding flipped negative for the first time in three months while $1.2 billion in stablecoins hit exchanges. MEV revenue collapsed 40% in five days. Four signals, one trade.
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Ethereum ETF Outflows Hit $70.5M — Biggest One-Day Drain Since March
Ethereum ETF outflows hit $70.5M in a single day, the largest since March. Meanwhile, Hyperliquid funding extremes flash a short squeeze signal, and stablecoin minting hits a 30-day low.
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confluence signal on ETH
4 signals stacked. neutral prediction, 7d horizon.
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Daily 5-minute audio reads of new peer-reviewed quant and algorithmic trading research. One paper per episode. Real operator's take on what would survive holdout, what would not, and what to test before believing the results. Hosted by FalsifyLab, the lab that publishes what doesn't work. For quants, algo traders, and ML researchers who'd rather hear the gist on a commute than read the abstract twice. New episode every morning. Show notes link to the open-access PDF.
HOSTED BY
FalsifyLab
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