PODCAST
MCMP – Epistemology
by MCMP Team
Mathematical Philosophy - the application of logical and mathematical methods in philosophy - is about to experience a tremendous boom in various areas of philosophy. At the new Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, which is funded mostly by the German Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, philosophical research will be carried out mathematically, that is, by means of methods that are very close to those used by the scientists.The purpose of doing philosophy in this way is not to reduce philosophy to mathematics or to natural science in any sense; rather mathematics is applied in order to derive philosophical conclusions from philosophical assumptions, just as in physics mathematical methods are used to derive physical predictions from physical laws.Nor is the idea of mathematical philosophy to dismiss any of the ancient questions of philosophy as irrelevant or senseless: although modern mathematical philosophy owes a lot to the heritage of the Vienna and Berlin Circles of Logical
Episodes
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Disagreement and Epistemic Modality
Elke Brendel (Bonn) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (17 June, 2015) titled "Disagreement and Epistemic Modality". Abstract: Intuitively, the truth conditions of sentences with epistemic modals, such as “It might be that p”, depend on what is epistemically known by a speaker or some…
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A Pragmatic Vindication of Epistemic Utility Theory
Ben Levinstein (Oxford) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (6 May, 2015) titled "A Pragmatic Vindication of Epistemic Utility Theory". Abstract: Traditionally, probabilism and other norms on partial belief have been motivated from a pragmatic point of view. For instance, as Frank Ramsey long ago...
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An Axiomatization of Individual and Social Updates
Denis Bonnay (Paris Quest/IHPST) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (30 April, 2015) titled "An Axiomatization of Individual and Social Updates". Abstract: In this talk, I will consider update rules, which an agent may follow in order to update her subjective probabilities and take into account...
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New Responses to Some Purported Counterexamples to Likelihoodist Principles
Greg Gandenberger (Pittsburgh) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (22 April, 2015) titled "New Responses to Some Purported Counterexamples to Likelihoodist Principles". Abstract: The Likelihood Principle is important because the frequentist statistical methods that are most commonly used in...
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Agent-based Models and Confirmation Theory
Michael Weisberg (Pennsylvania) gives a talk at the Conference on Agent-Based Modeling in Philosophy (11-13 December, 2014) titled "Agent-based Models and Confirmation Theory". Abstract: Is it possible to develop a confirmation theory for agent-based models? The are good reasons to be skeptical:...
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The Formation of Epistemic Networks
Kevin Zollman (CMU) gives a talk at the Conference on Agent-Based Modeling in Philosophy (11-13 December, 2014) titled "The Formation of Epistemic Networks". Abstract: One important area of study for social epistemology is the social structure epistemic groups -- who communicates their knowledge...
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Collective Accuracy: Agent Based & Emergent vs Statistical and Assumed
Scott Page (Michigan) gives a talk at the Conference on Agent-Based Modeling in Philosophy (11-13 December, 2014) titled "Collective Accuracy: Agent Based & Emergent vs Statistical and Assumed". Abstract: In this talk, I describe two broad classes of models that can explain collective accuracy,...
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I Believe I don't Believe. (And So Can You!)
Aidan Lyon (Maryland, MCMP) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (13 November, 2014) titled "I Believe I don't Believe. (And So Can You!)". Abstract: Contemporary epistemology offers us two very different accounts of our epistemic lives. According to Traditional epistemologists, the decisions that...
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The Principal Principle implies the Principle of Indifference
Jon Williamson (Kent) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (8 October, 2014) titled "The Principal Principle implies the Principle of Indifference". Abstract: I'll argue that David Lewis' Principal Principle implies a version of the Principle of Indifference. The same is true for similar…
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Belief vs Probability
Branden Fitelson (Rutgers) meets Hannes Leitgeb (MCMP/LMU) in a joint session on "Belief vs Probability" at the MCMP workshop "Bridges 2014" (2 and 3 Sept, 2014, German House, New York City). The 2-day trans-continental meeting in mathematical philosophy focused on inter-theoretical relations...
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Bridging the Gap between Informal and Formal Social Epistemology
Alvin I. Goldman (Rutgers) meets Stephan Hartmann (MCMP/LMU) in a joint session on "Bridging the Gap between Informal and Formal Social Epistemology" at the MCMP workshop "Bridges 2014" (2 and 3 Sept, 2014, German House, New York City). The 2-day trans-continental meeting in mathematical…
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Coherence
Branden Fitelson (Rutgers) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (16 July, 2014) titled "Coherence".
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Imprecise Priors as Expressions of Epistemic Values
Jim Joyce (Michigan) gives a talk at the Workshop on Imprecise Probabilities in Statistics and Philosophy (27-28 June, 2014) titled "Imprecise Priors as Expressions of Epistemic Values". Abstract: As is well known, imprecise prior probabilities can help us model beliefs in contexts where evidence...
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Imprecise (Full Conditional) Probabilities, Graphs and Graphoids Independence Assumptions
Fabio G. Cozman (Sao Paulo) gives a talk at the Workshop on Imprecise Probabilities in Statistics and Philosophy (27-28 June, 2014) titled "Imprecise (Full Conditional) Probabilities, Graphs and Graphoids Independence Assumptions". Abstract: Research in artificial intelligence systems has often...
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Dominance and Elicitation in IP Theory
Teddy Seidenfeld (CMU) gives a talk at the Workshop on Imprecise Probabilities in Statistics and Philosophy (27-28 June, 2014) titled "Dominance and Elicitation in IP Theory". Abstract: I review de Finettis two coherence criteria for determinate probabilities: coherence1, which is defined in…
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Fast, Frugal and Focused: When less information leads to better decisions
Gregory Wheeler (MCMP) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (25 June, 2014) titled "Fast, Frugal and Focused: When less information leads to better decisions". Abstract: People frequently do not abide by the total evidence norm of classical Bayesian rationality but instead use just a few items of...
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Epistemic Landscapes and Optimal Search
Jason McKenzie (LSE) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (30 April, 2014) titled "Epistemic Landscapes and Optimal Search". Abstract: In a paper from 2009, Michael Weisberg and Ryan Muldoon argue that there exist epistemic reasons for the division of cognitive labour. In particular, they claim…
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Structure Induction in Diagnostic Causal Reasoning
Michael R. Waldmann (Göttingen) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (23 April, 2014) titled "Structure Induction in Diagnostic Causal Reasoning". Abstract: Our research examines the normative and descriptive adequacy of alternative computational models of diagnostic reasoning from single effects…
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Models of rationality and the psychology of reasoning (From is to ought, and back)
Vincenzo Crupi (Turin) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (16 April, 2014) titled "Models of rationality and the psychology of reasoning (From is to ought, and back)". Abstract: Diagnoses of (ir)rationality often arise from the experimental investigation of human reasoning. Relying on joint work...
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Epistemically Detrimental Dissent and the Milian Argument against the Freedom of Inquiry
Anna Leuschner (KIT) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (9 April, 2014) titled "Epistemically Detrimental Dissent and the Milian Argument against the Freedom of Inquiry". Abstract: I'll present a joint work that I have been conducting with Justin Biddle. The idea of epistemically problematic...
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Sleeping Beauty in Quantumland
Lev Vaidman (Tel Aviv) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (10 February, 2014) titled "Sleeping Beauty in Quantumland". Abstract: A recent philosophical controversy in the analysis of the probability puzzle about Sleeping Beauty is presented. The issue of probability in the many-worlds...
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Understanding epistemic grouping, networking and division of labour: What can simple macroscopic models do?
Rainer Hegelmann (Bayreuth) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (15 January, 2014) titled "Understanding epistemic grouping, networking and division of labour: What can simple macroscopic models do?". Abstract: In my talk I’ll start with a minimalistic model of opinion dynamics, the so-called...
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Group Knowledge and Probability
Eleonora Cresto (Buenos Aires) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (7 November, 2013) titled "Group Knowledge and Probability". Abstract: The talk addresses the concept of group knowledge and its role in probability aggregation. I start by acknowledging that we often feel compelled to credit…
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Vague Desire: The Sorites and the Money Pump
David Etlin (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (21 November, 2013) titled "Vague Desire: The Sorites and the Money Pump". Abstract: The similarity between the sorites paradox of vagueness and the money pump of decision theory has been noted by Dummett (in "Wang's Paradox"), but the...
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Measuring Overconfidence with Imprecise Probabilities & The Wisdom of Collective Credences
Aidan Lyon (MCMP/LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (6 November, 2013) titled "Measuring Overconfidence with Imprecise Probabilities & The Wisdom of Collective Credences". Abstract: What explains the Wisdom of Crowds effect? Page (2008) has made some initial progress on this question with...
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Empiricism, Probability, and Knowledge of Arithmetic
Sean Walsh (Irvine) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Empiricism, Probability, and Knowledge of Arithmetic".
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Great Expectations. Strictly Coherent Preferences, No Holds Barred
Arthur Paul Pedersen (Max Planck Institut for Human Development) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Great Expectations. Strictly Coherent Preferences, No Holds Barred".
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Towards Classifying Propositional Probabilistic Logics
Glauber de Bona (Sao Paulo) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Towards Classifying Propositional Probabilistic Logics".
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Stochastic Lambda-Calculi
Dana Scott (CMU Pittsburgh and Berkeley) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Stochastic Lambda-Calculi".
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Objective Bayesian epistemology for inductive logic on predicate languages
Jon Williamson and Jürgen Landes (University of Kent) give a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Objective Bayesian epistemology for inductive logic on predicate languages".
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An application of Carnapian inductive logic to philosophy of statistics
Teddy Groves (University of Kent) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "An application of Carnapian inductive logic to philosophy of statistics".
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Acceptance without Certainty or Stability
Kevin T. Kelly (CMU Pittsburgh) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Acceptance without Certainty or Stability".
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The Humean Thesis on Belief. Belief and Stable Probability
Hannes Leitgeb (LMU/MCMP) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "The Humean Thesis on Belief. Belief and Stable Probability".
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Quantifying over events in probability logic: expressibility vs. computability
Stanislav O. Speranski (Novosibirsk State University) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Quantifying over events in probability logic: expressibility vs. computability".
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Comparing Degrees of Incoherence
Liam Kofi Bright (CMU Pittsburgh) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "Comparing Degrees of Incoherence".
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The logical structure of de Finetti's notion of event
Hykel Hosni (CPNSS) gives a talk at "Progic 2013", the Sixth Workshop on Combining Probability and Logic (17-18 Sept, 2013), titled "The logical structure of de Finetti's notion of event".
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Externalism, Internalism, and the KK Principle
Alexander Bird (Bristol) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (24 July, 2013) titled "Externalism, Internalism, and the KK Principle". Abstract: The KK principle states that if a subject knows some fact then she is in a position to know that she knows that fact. This paper examines the…
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Is There Anything Besides Me?
C. Ulises Moulines (LMU) gives a talk at the MCMP workshop "New Perspectives on External World Scepticism" (9-10 July, 2013) titled "Is There Anything Besides Me?". Abstract: The question “Is there anything besides me?” appears to be a most basic philosophical question. It is basic in an...
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Immediate justification, bootstrapping and cognitive penetrability
Berit Brogaard (St. Louis) gives a talk at the MCMP workshop "New Perspectives on External World Scepticism" (9-10 July, 2013) titled "Immediate justification, bootstrapping and cognitive penetrability". Abstract: I argue that dogmatism offers an adequate reply to the skeptic and then consider…
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Rethinking Scepticism about Justification. Don't Forget the Old Evil Demon.
Thomas Grundmann (Cologne) gives a talk at the MCMP workshop "New Perspectives on External World Scepticism" (9-10 July, 2013) titled "Rethinking Scepticism about Justification. Don't Forget the Old Evil Demon.". Abstract: Mentalism about justification is typically motivated by the new evil demon...
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Scepticism and Probabilism
Ralph Wedgwood (Southern California) gives a talk at the MCMP workshop "New Perspectives on External World Scepticism" (9-10 July, 2013) titled "Scepticism and Probabilism". Abstract: Philosophers who work within a broadly probabilistic epistemological framework have extensively explored the...
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The Pragmatics of Knowledge, Counter-Examples to Pragmatic Contaminations of Knowledge, Pragmatic Inconsistencies, and the Knowledge Norm of Assertion
Igal Kvart (Jerusalem) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (20 June, 2013) titled "The Pragmatics of Knowledge, Counter-Examples to Pragmatic Contaminations of Knowledge, Pragmatic Inconsistencies, and the Knowledge Norm of Assertion". Abstract: In this paper, I start with briefly summarizing my...
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How to be a truthy psychologist about evidence
Veli Mitova (Vienna) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (6 June, 2013) titled "How to be a truthy psychologist about evidence". Abstract: I defend the view that the only things that count as evidence for belief are factive tokens of psychological states. I first assume that the evidence for p…
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Reasons to Believe and Reasons to not
Jake Chandler (Leuven) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (6 February, 2013) titled "Reasons to Believe and Reasons to not." Abstract: The provision of a precise, formal treatment of the relation of evidential relevance–i.e. of providing a reason to hold or to withhold a belief–has arguably...
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Reasoning biases and non-monotonic logics
Catarina Dutilh Novaes (Groningen) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (24 January, 2013) titled "Reasoning biases and non-monotonic logics". Abstract: Stenning and van Lambalgen (2008) have argued that much of what is described in the psychology of reasoning literature as `reasoning biases' can...
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Garber and Field Conditionalization
Benjamin Bewersdorf (Konstanz) gives a talk at the MCMP Colloquium (23 January, 2013) titled "Garber and Field Conditionalization ". Abstract: The most influential formal account on rational belief change is Jeffrey conditionalization. Given a plausible assumption on the role of experiences for...
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Mathematical Philosophy - the application of logical and mathematical methods in philosophy - is about to experience a tremendous boom in various areas of philosophy. At the new Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, which is funded mostly by the German Alexander von Humboldt Foundation, philosophical research will be carried out mathematically, that is, by means of methods that are very close to those used by the scientists.The purpose of doing philosophy in this way is not to reduce philosophy to mathematics or to natural science in any sense; rather mathematics is applied in order to derive philosophical conclusions from philosophical assumptions, just as in physics mathematical methods are used to derive physical predictions from physical laws.Nor is the idea of mathematical philosophy to dismiss any of the ancient questions of philosophy as irrelevant or senseless: although modern mathematical philosophy owes a lot to the heritage of the Vienna and Berlin Circles of Logical
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MCMP Team
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Mathematical Philosophy - the application of logical and mathematical methods in philosophy - is about to experience a tremendous boom in various areas of philosophy. At the new Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, which is funded mostly by the German Alexander von Humboldt Foundation,...
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