Newsquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast

US forces struck multiple Iranian tankers tied to the IRGC in response to more attempted missile attacks on a US Navy warship; Iran launched missiles at targets in response to US strikes on tankers, while it launched at least 20 missiles at bases in Jordan.IRGC had warned that oil tanker crews in Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports would be targeted in light of the US Army targeting several Iranian oil tankers.US equity futures are slightly softer; Google announces a EUR 13bln AI infrastructure in Finland.DXY rebounds off lows but remains under pressure; JPY continues to gain after daring comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent.Fixed income benchmarks falter as Brent regains the USD 100/bbl mark, with focus on the Treasury buyback announcement.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, US Treasury Long-End Bond Buybacks Announcement, NBP Announcement, EIA STEO. Comments from ECB's Lagarde. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US forces struck multiple Iranian tankers tied to the IRGC in response to more attempted missile attacks on a US Navy warship; Iran launched missiles at targets in response to US strikes on tankers, while it launched at least 20 missiles at bases in Jordan.IRGC had warned that oil tanker crews in Kuwaiti and Bahraini ports would be targeted in light of the US Army targeting several Iranian oil tankers.Crude futures extended recent gains, with upside facilitated after the US and Iran exchanged another round of retaliatory strikes.DXY was little changed after the choppy mood on Tuesday; USD/JPY trickled lower beneath the 154.00 level amid the ongoing BoJ rate hike expectations.APAC stocks traded mixed as the region attempted to shrug off the weak lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, US Treasury Long-End Bond Buybacks Announcement, NBP Announcement, EIA STEO. Comments from ECB's Lagarde. Supply from Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Yemeni Houthis confirm that they hit a Saudi Aramco oil refinery and targeted an air base in retaliation for recent Saudi strikes.Canada’s retaliatory tariffs on US goods took effect as scheduled, while US President Trump called for a halt to US sales of Bombardier aircraft.US equity futures trade lower as participants return from holiday; Novartis suffers after key drug misses primary endpoints.USD helped by higher energy prices; JPY continues to firm, helped by strong growth and wage data.Fixed income benchmarks fall, with Gilts underperforming as Amazon (AMZN) files for GBP-denominated debt.Crude complex rises following the Saudi and Yemeni Houthi update.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly. Speakers include ECB's Elderson, BoE's Bailey, Ramsden, Greene & Taylor. Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran warned that economic warfare will be met with a maritime exclusion zone from the Persian Gulf to the blockade perimeter, and said it has the ability to strike ships participating in the US blockade.Yemeni forces reportedly launched ballistic missile and drone attacks on targets in Saudi Arabia, including around Khamis Mushait, Abha airport and King Khalid Airbase.Canada’s retaliatory tariffs on US goods took effect as scheduled, while US President Trump called for a halt to US sales of Bombardier aircraft.USD/JPY extended declines and briefly dipped beneath the 153.00 level as the yen continues to strengthen amid BoJ rate hike expectations; Japanese GDP was revised higher and wage growth beat expectations. APAC stocks traded mixed in the absence of a lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance (Jul), US ADP Employment Change Weekly. Speakers include ECB's Elderson, BoE's Bailey, Ramsden, Greene & Taylor. Supply from the Netherlands, Germany & the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US launched strikes against three Iranian crude oil tankers on Saturday, which destroyed one. A move in retaliation for the IRGC targeting US Navy warships with ballistic missiles. Iran’s navy also targeted three oil tankers that were travelling through unauthorised routes in the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's top security official Rezaei said Iran and Oman will sign agreed Strait of Hormuz passage maps in the coming days.APAC stocks traded mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY trades lacklustre in holiday-thinned conditions; G10s are steady against the USD.Crude benchmarks are firmer this morning following US-Iran tit-for-tat strikes. Elsewhere, major OPEC+ countries stuck with the plan to keep oil output quotas unchanged for October.Looking ahead, highlights include, German Industrial Production (Jul), Swedish CPI (Aug), EZ GDP (Q2), EZ Employment Change (Q2).Holiday: Labor Day in the US and Canada.Desk Schedule: Desk will be open as usual on Sunday, 6th September until 18:00BST/13:00EDT on Monday, 7th September, due to the US market closure. Thereafter, the desk will resume normal service from 22:00BST/17:00EDT.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Norway's sovereign wealth fund sent a letter to the finance ministry recommending the reduction of holdings of US Treasuries from 70% to 50%, according to FT.US equity futures mixed; Volkswagen benefits after the approval of cost-cutting plan.USD slightly firmer heading into the jobs report; JPY gives back some of Thursday's gains.Fixed income benchmarks muted; USTs unfazed following the FT report that Norway may reduce holdings.Energy benchmarks softer amid light geopolitical updates.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Aug), Canadian Jobs Report (Aug).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Crude futures kept afloat but with gains limited following the previous day's two-way trade and with a lack of major new geopolitical developments.USD/JPY recouped some losses after sliding as the yen recently outperformed due to intervention risks and hawkish BoJ rate hike bets.Norway's USD 2.3tln sovereign wealth fund manager has proposed an overhaul of its government bond portfolio that could see it cut its holdings of US Treasuries by about USD 80bln, as it looks to other types of debts to try to boost returns, according to FT.APAC stocks took impetus from the positive global risk sentiment and lower yield environment; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (Jul), EZ Retail Sales (Jul), US Jobs Report (Aug), Canadian Jobs Report (Aug). Speakers include BoE Governor Bailey & ECB’s Lane.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said regarding Iran that the US is winning that one very big and controls the Hormuz Strait.Russian President Putin said that Russia and Ukraine should agree first and noted that there is an opportunity to reach a peace agreement.Global equities broadly firmer; Broadcom slips after Q4 revenue and margin outlooks missed estimates.DXY lower; JPY outperforms, CHF strengthens after hotter-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks steady; however, US 10yr holds above 4.75%.Energy benchmarks reverse earlier downside following constructive Putin comments.Looking ahead, highlights include US Trade Balance (Jul), Jobless Claims, S&P Services and Composite PMI Final (Aug), ISM Services PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), Canadian Trade Balance (Jul). Speakers include Fed’s Waller, Hammack & Goolsbee.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said the renewed campaign against Iran would not continue for too long and that oil prices would come down; Trump added the US was prepared to conduct another attack on Iran.US President Trump said he has very productive things to talk about with China President Xi, adding it "Will be very exciting and great".Crude futures lacked firm direction after marginally gaining in two-way trade yesterday amid somewhat mixed comments from US President Trump.USD/JPY extended on the prior day's decline with the pair breaching the 158.00 level to the downside after the Japanese currency was supported on Wednesday.APAC stocks eventually traded mixed after initially posting gains; European equity futures indicate a marginally negative open.Looking ahead highlights include Swiss CPI (Aug), GDP (Aug), Global S&P Services and Composite PMI Final (Aug), EU PPI (Jul), US Challenger Layoffs (Aug), Trade Balance (Jul), Jobless Claims, ISM Services PMI (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), Canadian Trade Balance (Jul). Speakers include Fed’s Waller, Hammack & Goolsbee, RBA’s Jones & Hunter. Supply from Spain & France.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Central Command said forces successfully completed a wave of strikes against Iranian military targets on September 1st.IRGC said it targeted US bases in Iraq, with missiles and drones. Iran's army also launched drone attacks on the US base in Bahrain while the IRGC added that two tankers were blown up after striking mines in the Strait.Global equities continue to pull back, with NQ futures falling below 29k.USD firms against most peers; NZD underperforms after RBNZ fails to impress hawks, JPY outperforms after BoJ hawk Takata.USTs are flat, whilst Bunds and Gilts are pressured by elevated gas prices.Crude takes a breather following another night of US-Iran hostilities; metals feel no reprieve.Looking ahead, highlights include US Factory Orders (Jul), ADP Employment Change (Aug), New Zealand Terms of Trade (Q2), BoC Announcement, Fed Beige Book. Comments from Fed's Williams, BoC’s Macklem & Rogers. Earnings from Broadcom, Hewlett Packard Enterprise & Snowflake.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Central Command said forces successfully completed a wave of strikes against Iranian military targets on September 1st.IRGC said it targeted US bases in Iraq, with missiles and drones. Iran's army also launched drone attacks on the US base in Bahrain, while Kuwaiti air defences confronted attacks by hostile drones.Crude futures continued to rally after surging by at least 5% yesterday as the US and Iran exchanged a fresh wave of strikes.NZD/USD underperformed after the RBNZ hiked the OCR by 25bps to 2.75%, which was widely expected, although the central bank refrained from any major hawkish surprises.APAC stocks were pressured as the risk-off mood persisted following a surge in oil prices and upside in yields; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include US Factory Orders (Jul), ADP Employment Change (Aug), New Zealand Terms of Trade (Q2), BoC Announcement, Fed Beige Book. Comments from ECB's Nagel, BoC’s Macklem & Roger. Earnings from Broadcom, Hewlett Packard Enterprise & Snowflake.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent told Japanese officials that rate hikes are needed, according to NHK; a Japanese MoF official expects the BoJ to act on the economy and not on US influence.European and US equity futures are pressured by elevated yields; US 10yr (4.78%) holds at highs, whilst the UK 10yr (5.25%) resides at levels not seen since the GFC.USD firmer against all G10 currencies with yields rallying on continued energy upside.Crude futures continue recent strength; UKMTO received a report of an incident involving a tanker and military forces in the Indian Ocean off Oman. Marisks reported that two oil supertankers were hit by projectiles.Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Aug), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug), JOLTS Job Openings (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), US Midterm Primary Elections in Massachusetts, Speakers include Fed’s Barr & ECB’s Vujcic. Earnings from Dell & Palo Alto.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent told Japanese officials that rate hikes are needed, according to NHK; a Japanese MoF official expects the BoJ to act on the economy and not on US influence.Nikkei 225 traded indecisively; USD/JPY traded rangebound, and 10yr JGB futures followed the declines in global peers.Crude futures remained underpinned after gaining yesterday; UKMTO received a report of an incident involving a tanker and military forces in the Indian Ocean off Oman.APAC stocks traded with a mild negative bias amid higher prices and yields; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German Retail Sales (Jul), Global S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Aug), EZ CPI Prelim (Aug), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Aug), JOLTS Job Openings (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), US Midterm Primary Elections in Massachusetts, Speakers include Fed’s Barr & ECB’s Vujcic. Supply from Germany. Earnings from Dell & Palo Alto.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The US attacked two missile launchers of the IRGC on Larak Island on Sunday, which were said to be on standby to launch missiles with sea mines toward the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Revolutionary Guards later announced that they retaliated with missiles and drones against two US bases in Jordan and warned that any attack against them will be met with a more devastating response.US equity futures trade muted, with focus on the jobs report on Friday.DXY is weaker against all G10 peers heading into month-end.Fixed income benchmarks are contained on the UK Bank Holiday.Energy benchmarks gapped higher as the US and Iran exchange strikes.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Flash (Aug) and Supply from the EU.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US attacked two missile launchers of the IRGC on Larak Island on Sunday, which were said to be on standby to launch missiles with sea mines toward the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Revolutionary Guards later announced that they retaliated with missiles and drones against two US bases in Jordan and warned that any attack against them will be met with a more devastating response.Crude futures gapped higher at the open amid the geopolitical escalation in the Middle East; FX and Fixed Income did not react to the rise in oil.APAC stocks were mostly lower heading into month-end; European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Flash (Aug). Supply from the EU; UK Summer Bank Holiday (desk remains open as usual).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Two regional sources told Axios that in recent days Iran has shown renewed interest in negotiationsUS equity futures trade mixed as Nvidia pulls back from its record-setting day.DXY rangebound; G10s lack direction ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole address.Fixed income benchmarks await a busy speaker slate; OATs steady after the presidential debate.Energy benchmarks subdued amid a lack of escalation.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian GDP (Jul), US Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prelim, Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th). Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh, Hammack, Goolsbee, BoE's Bailey, Mann, ECB’s Schnabel and Kocher. Credit Ratings including Fitch on France, Moody's on Switzerland, S&P on Portugal, and Morningstar DBRS on the Netherlands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump’s administration has repeatedly told mediators it has no interest in going back to the terms of the MoU it reached with Iran in June, WSJ sources said.Any agreements concluded between Iran and Oman are of no importance to the US, and there are no ongoing or scheduled negotiations with Iran, according to a US source cited by Al Jazeera.Chinese executives may join Chinese President Xi's US trip, as a trade truce extension is almost certain, according to SCMP.APAC stocks were mostly positive but with gains capped following the varied performance stateside; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include French/Spanish Prelim CPI (Aug), German Unemployment Rate (Aug), Canadian GDP (Jul), US Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revision Prelim, Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th). Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh and ECB’s Schnabel. Supply from Italy. Credit Ratings including Fitch on France, Moody's on Switzerland, S&P on Portugal, and Morningstar DBRS on the Netherlands.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US White House is reportedly considering a new round of tariffs on chips, Politico reports citing sources.Nvidia (NVDA) shares rise by over 7% pre-market after beating on top and bottom lines, whilst the CEO said they are seeing demand acceleration and expect revenues to grow about 70% in fiscal 2028.US equity futures firmer across the board, helped by positive Nvidia and Salesforce earnings.DXY modestly higher; JPY little moved following hawkish BoJ Himino comments.Fixed income benchmarks tentative heading into the Fed Jackson Hole Symposium.Energy benchmarks pare earlier losses following firm rhetoric from Russian officials and Iranian sources.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobless Claims (Aug/22). Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th), ECB Minutes (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Hammack, Schmid, Supply from the US & Earnings from Marvell.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

NVIDIA (NVDA) shares rose almost 5% after beating on top and bottom lines, whilst the CEO said they are seeing demand acceleration and expect revenues to grow about 70% in fiscal 2028.Crude futures mildly declined following recent indecisive performance amid mixed geopolitical updates.Oman reportedly stopped cooperating with the US to facilitate escorted tanker movements through southern Hormuz, according to Press TV.APAC stocks were ultimately mixed, but with most indices in the green, after the flat performance stateside, whilst US equity futures were lifted on NVDA.European equity futures indicate a higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.4%.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Confidence (Sep), US Jobless Claims (Aug/22). Fed Jackson Hole Symposium (27th-29th), ECB Minutes (Jul). Supply from the US, Earnings from Marvell & Pernod Ricard.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Gharibabadi details a temporary arrangement between Iran and Oman concerning the Strait of Hormuz while asserting that reopening of the waterway hinges on the realisation of Tehran's demands, according to Press TV.European bourses are mildly firmer; Intuit -11% after disappointing guidance.USD firms against most G10s, particularly vs. high beta, though AUD and JPY lead after data.Fixed benchmarks are mixed with USTs off by a couple of ticks, whilst Bunds and Gilts move higher.Crude futures continue to soften amid positive, unconfirmed US-Iran reports.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods (Jul), PCE (Jul), GDP 2nd Estimate (Q2), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3). Supply from the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce & CrowdStrike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Crude futures extended their declines after falling around 5% yesterday as geopolitical developments appeared more constructive.Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister said US minesweepers are very good targets if they enter the region.APAC stocks were mostly in the green following the gains on Wall Street, where sentiment was underpinned amid Strait of Hormuz optimism, lower oil prices and a drop in yields.US equity futures were indecisive following recent gains and as participants brace for NVIDIA earnings; European equity futures indicate a mildly positive open.AUD/USD outperformance was seen following firmer-than-expected monthly inflation data, which remained above the RBA's 2%-3% price target.Looking ahead, highlights include US Durable Goods (Jul), PCE (Jul), GDP 2nd (Q2), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3). Comments from ECB’s Cipollone. Supply from Germany, Italy and the US. Earnings from NVIDIA, Salesforce & CrowdStrike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistani Army Chief Munir conveyed an offer to Iran, from the US, to halt the naval blockade in exchange for opening the Strait, Al Arabiya reports, citing sources. Brent Nov’26 -2.5%.Pakistan reported "significant progress" was made in high-level diplomatic talks held in Tehran.European bourses modestly gain, with strength also seen across US peers; NQ +0.6%.DXY is flat, trading around the 99.00 mark; G10s are mixed.Fixed income benchmarks are firmer, benefiting from lower energy prices; Bunds were mildly pressured on Ifo.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, House Price Index (Jun), US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug). Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Aug)., Supply from the US. Earnings from Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury sanctioned nearly 60 Iran-linked entities, people and vessels across nuclear, missile, cyber and oil networks.US President Trump is making calls to world leaders to cut economic ties with Iran and that the US expects actions from other nations and, if others do not act, the Treasury will unilaterally act.US Treasury Secretary Bessent said there will be a wave of sanctions after this, with a major financial institution expected to be sanctioned by the end of the week.Iran’s Economy Minister said the country is fully prepared for the US sanctions and that they cannot cut off Iran’s financial arteries.US is said to eye 7.5% China overcapacity tariffs before the Trump-Xi talks, according to multiple reports.APAC stocks were mixed following the subdued lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a marginally positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German GDP Final (Q2), Ifo Expectations (Aug), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, House Price Index (Jun), US Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Aug). Riksbank Minutes (Aug), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Aug)., Supply from UK, Germany and US. Earnings from Intuit.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent wrote in the FT that economic D-Day is coming for Iran, and countries that calculate appeasement of the regime to be a safer choice should reconsider.Iran warned, "If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported٫ neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf.”Crude is subdued amid a lack of major weekend escalations, eyes on Bessent’s presser, who is set to unveil Iran sanctions.European bourses trade tentatively; US equity futures are indicative of a weaker open, with underperformance in the NQ.DXY is firmer, holding around the 99.00 mark; CAD underperforms as trade talks with the US collapsed on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Mexican Inflation (Aug), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul), and comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Earnings from Xpeng & PDD.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent wrote in the FT that economic D-Day is coming for Iran, and countries that calculate appeasement of the regime to be a safer choice should reconsider.Iran warned, "If the economic war continues, not a single drop of oil will be exported٫ neither through the Strait of Hormuz nor from anywhere in the Persian Gulf.”Trade discussions between the US and Canada collapsed on Friday; Canadian PM Carney vowed to retaliate by matching tariffs dollar-for-dollar on US goods from September 8th.Crude futures pulled back after last week's advances, and with the absence of any major geopolitical developments over the weekend.APAC stocks traded mixed, albeit with a mostly negative bias; European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Mexican Inflation (Aug), US Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Jul), and comments from US Treasury Secretary Bessent. Earnings from Xpeng & PDD.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US equity futures rebound heading into the final trading session of the week.DXY returns to Thursday's low; Antipodeans outperform, EUR and GBP muted following broadly strong PMIs.US 30yr yield slips below 5.25%, lifting Spot Gold and Bitcoin to key levels.Energy benchmarks lower amid light geopolitical newsflow.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Retail Sales (Jun), US S&P Flash PMIs (Aug), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Aug), BoC SLOS (Q2). Credit rating updates from Fitch on Poland, Moody's on the Netherlands and Sweden.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

APAC stocks were mixed as the region attempted to shrug off the broadly negative handover from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate an uneventful open.In FX, DXY marginally softened, and USD/JPY was choppy overnight following the mostly in-line Japanese inflation data for July.10yr UST futures lingered around the prior day's trough, Bund futures mildly retreated, and 10yr JGB futures tracked previous declines in global peers.Crude futures were contained overnight amid a lack of major fresh developments; spot gold resumed its recent choppy performance above the USD 4,500/oz level.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Flash PMIs (Aug), UK Retail Sales (Jul), PSNB (Jul), EU Negotiated Wage Growth (Q2), Canadian Retail Sales (Jun), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Aug), BoC SLOS (Q2). Credit rating updates from Fitch on Poland, Moody's on the Netherlands and Sweden.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced sweeping economic measures against Iran and threatened consequences for countries or entities supporting Tehran.US President Trump reportedly told his negotiating team that the chances of an agreement with Iran have become slim, according to Al Arabiya, citing sources.US equity futures are muted; focus to be on Walmart earnings.DXY extends on Wednesday's losses; NZD outperforms while AUD completely pares the employment report weakness.USTs give back some of the gains driven by the US Treasury announcement.Energy benchmarks higher despite contained APAC trade following Trump's economic update (Brent +2.5%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 15), New Zealand Trade Data (Jul). Comments from Fed's Daly and US President Trump. Earnings from Walmart.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump announced sweeping economic measures against Iran and threatened consequences for countries or entities supporting Tehran.US President Trump said Iran negotiations may be at some point, while he reiterated Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon and said oil prices will be a lot lower when this is over.10yr UST futures marginally extended on the prior day's gains after long-end yields fell in response to the US Treasury announcement yesterday.FOMC Minutes from the July meeting stated that most participants assessed that higher rates would likely be necessary if inflation did not fall; little reaction seen on the release.APAC stocks were predominantly higher following a similar positive lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a subdued cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include German PPI (Jul), Canadian PPI (Jul), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug 15), New Zealand Trade Data (Jul), Riksbank Policy Announcement (Aug). Comments from Riksbank's Thedeen. Supply from France, Earnings from Walmart & Alibaba.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is waiting for Iran to cave to his economic pressure, but Tehran may be willing to wait even longer, according to POLITICO.A source close to Iran's negotiating team said there had been no direct Iran-US negotiations and that talks with Oman concerned sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, according to Fars News.US President Trump announced that the US is to pause the 50% tariffs on Canada.US equity futures muted; SK Hynix ADRs surge following share buyback announcement.DXY lower; JPY outperforms while GBP follows despite a mixed inflation reading.Fixed income benchmarks steady after recent steepening and rangebound energy prices (Brent +1.0%).Looking ahead, highlights include FOMC Minutes (Jul). Comments from ECB's Lagarde, Fed's Musalem and US President Trump. Supply from the US. Earnings from Lowe's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump is waiting for Iran to cave to his economic pressure, but Tehran may be willing to wait even longer, according to POLITICO.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said Tehran rejected ceasefire proposals and said that the war must end, not pause.US President Trump posted that he has paused the 50% tariffs on Canada, due to kick in on August 19th, for a three-day period; Canadian PM Carney confirmed the pause until the end of August 21st.APAC stocks were mostly lower following the tech-led declines stateside; European equity futures indicate a slightly lower cash market open.Crude futures edged higher amid the ongoing stalemate regarding the Strait of Hormuz; bond yields eased.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation (Jul), EU Inflation Final (Jul), and FOMC Minutes (Jul). Comments from ECB's Lagarde. Supply from Germany and the US. Earnings from Lowe's.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iranian Parliamentary Speaker Ghalibaf said the Strait of Hormuz will not open until the blockade and oil embargo are lifted.Global equities trade on the softer side, driven by the upside in bond yields (US 30yr 5.32%).DXY continues to rebound, GBP lower despite mixed jobs/wages data.Energy benchmarks rangebound; record copper prices boost BHP earnings.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Import/Export Prices (Jul), Housing Starts (Jul), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3). Comments from ECB's Lane. Earnings from Home Depot.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump reiterated US control of the Strait of Hormuz, and that Iran wants to make a deal, but also stated that Iran won't make the deal he thinks is necessary and he is not seeking an extension of the Iran MoU.An understanding to extend the ceasefire between the US and Iran under the Islamabad MoU has been reached and agreed in principle, according to Pakistani journalist Anas Malick.US President Trump said he doesn't think Oman behaves very well, while he said they would handle them very easily.UKMTO said it received a report of an incident in the Strait of Hormuz, where a vessel was struck by an unknown projectile while conducting an outbound transit of the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks mostly declined following the weak lead from Wall Street, Crude futures were kept afloat, European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Jobs Report (Jun), Average Earnings (Jun), EU/German ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Aug), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Import/Export Prices (Jul), Housing Starts (Jul), Industrial/Manufacturing Production (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3). Comments from ECB's Lane. Supply from UK. Earnings from Home Depot & Baidu.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Iranian Foreign Ministry said that the MoU signed with the US does not stipulate a 60-day deadline and that no talks have begun with the US due to violations.Furthermore, the Iranian Foreign Ministry said talks with Oman are ongoing.US equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming but in light volume.DXY softens; CHF benefits as carry USD positions unwind, Antipodeans outperform on easing Fed expectations.Fixed income benchmarks in tight ranges.Energy benchmarks lack direction as the MoU deadline expires.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (Jul).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said Iran had not decided to resume talks with the US, and that Washington must meet conditions on the strait in order for shipping to resume in the waterway.APAC stocks began the week mixed, albeit with a mostly positive bias, following a quiet weekend of macro newsflow and amid geopolitical uncertainty as the 60-day US-Iran ceasefire is set to expire.Crude futures were indecisive as participants continue to await a Strait of Hormuz deal and after shipping through the key waterway slowed over the weekend.DXY marginally softened in the absence of fresh macro catalysts from the US over the weekend; 10yr UST futures were range-bound.European equity futures indicate a marginally higher cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.1% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include Chinese Activity Data [revised release time] (Jul), Canadian Inflation (Jul), and comments from ECB's Lane.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said they will implement unprecedented measures on Iran and are conducting a maximum pressure campaign against Iran.UKMTO said a tanker was struck by a drone while transiting outbound through the Strait of Hormuz. This comes following comments by UAE's ADNOC saying two of its vessels were attacked on Thursday.US equity futures are muted amid light volume in the summer period.DXY weakens despite firmer energy prices (Brent +0.9%).Fixed income benchmarks continue to fall; Gilts are unreactive as Farage wins the Clacton by-election.Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales (Jul), University of Michigan Prelim. (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), Fitch Credit Rating update on the UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US Treasury Secretary Bessent said they will implement unprecedented measures on Iran and are conducting a maximum pressure campaign against Iran.Crude futures struggled for direction following the prior day's choppy performance amid light headline newsflow and a lack of major geopolitical developments.APAC stocks traded mixed as the region only partially sustained the positive handover from Wall Street, where the S&P 500 hit a fresh record high.DXY marginally softened overnight; 10yr UST futures took a breather after recent bull steepening on softer-than-expected PPI data.European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.3%.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Prices (Jul), French Inflation Final (Jul), EU GDP 2nd Estimate (Q2), Trade Balance (Jun), US Retail Sales (Jul), University of Michigan Prelim. (Aug), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), Fitch Credit Rating update on the UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

The Strait of Hormuz authority rejected US claims and said the waterway remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met, according to Press TV.USD/JPY saw a bout of mild pressure late in the session after Bloomberg sources said that the Takaichi government is said to support a faster BoJ rate hike.US equity futures mixed, with the NQ giving back some of Wednesday's gains.DXY flat; NOK softens as the Norges Bank leaves rates unchanged but signalled progress on inflation.Fixed income benchmarks muted heading into US PPI and a US 30-year auction.Energy benchmarks steadily fall as geopolitical headlines quieten down.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul). Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Barkin. Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistan's key mediator has held a second meeting with Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi and is seeking to extend the 60-day truce, according to an informed source cited by Al Arabiya.Strait of Hormuz authority rejected US claims and said the waterway remains blocked until Iran's conditions are met, according to Press TV.Crude futures initially declined but clambered off worst levels, with price action indecisive amid the absence of any major geopolitical updates overnight.USD/JPY saw a bout of mild pressure late in the session after Bloomberg sources said that the Takaichi government is said to support a faster BoJ rate hike.APAC stocks were predominantly in the green as the region took its cue from the mild positive handover from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (Jun/Q2), Trade Balance (Jun), Swedish/Spanish Inflation Final (Jul), EU Industrial Production (Jun), US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/08), PPI (Jul), Norges Bank Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Hammack & Barkin, Norges Bank's Bache. Supply from the US. Earnings from Applied Materials, RWE, Antofagasta & Maersk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Pakistan's Foreign Ministry said it continues to activate direct and indirect diplomatic channels between the US and Iran and that they are working to bring both sides to the negotiating table in Islamabad.US equity futures gain, with outperformance in NQ futures following stellar SMCI and CRWV earnings.DXY muted; low-yielding funders modestly weaker as JPY shorts are relocated.Fixed income benchmarks slightly firmer on light volume ahead of the key US CPI report.Crude choppy amid a lack of tangible US-Iran updates.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jul), OPEC MOMR, and supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran’s Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council said the Strait of Hormuz would not open until the US accepts Iran's conditions.Crude futures edged higher amid the ongoing geopolitical uncertainty; spot gold reclaimed USD 4,400/oz to the upside.APAC stocks traded mixed amid geopolitical uncertainty, earnings releases and as participants await US CPI data; Europe is set for a flat open.DXY traded little changed as markets await US inflation data over the next couple of days and in the absence of any major fresh catalysts.10yr UST futures traded little changed following the prior day's rebound despite continued upside in oil.Looking ahead, highlights include German/Italian CPI Final (Jul), US CPI (Jul), IEA OMR, OPEC MOMR, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

There was a maritime incident reported in Bab al-Mandab, with Fars reporting that a Saudi ship was reportedly targeted by the Yemeni army.Separately, the UKMTO has received a report of an incident involving a tanker and military forces in the Gulf of Oman.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure.US equity futures are muted while European bourses fall on higher energy prices (Brent +2.2%).Fixed income benchmarks fall but on low volumes ahead of US CPI on Wednesday.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul), Supply from the US, Earnings from Supermicro & CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said, regarding potential escalation with Iran, that it is certainly possible and still has the ability to escalate.US President Trump, responding to Iran's requests for compensation during the conflict, said he was demanding compensation from Iran.RBA maintained rates as expected and kept a hawkish tone, but trimmed its CPI forecasts; AUD saw mild pressure. APAC stocks traded mixed following a lacklustre lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a flat cash market open.DXY traded little changed, 10yr UST futures remained subdued, Crude futures held on to the prior day's spoils after rallying by more than 5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Existing Home Sales (Jul), Comments from RBA's Governor Bullock, Supply from Germany & US, Earnings from Supermicro & CoreWeave.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said Iran is currently focused on the Strait of Hormuz rather than resuming negotiations with the US, while adding that talks with Oman are constructive and positiveUS equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming as strong TSMC July revenue lifts tech names.DXY slightly firmer; JPY reverses post-NFP gains despite hawkish BoJ Summary of Opinions.Fixed income flat; Energy benchmarks slightly firmer as Iran issues demands.Looking ahead, highlights include comments from Fed's Hammack.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump told Axios that they are only semi-negotiating with Iran but said it will work out and that it always works out.Iran’s Supreme National Security Council issued six demands to the US, including total force withdrawal, end to proxy warfare.Saudi Arabia put out a fire at its Jazan plant early on Sunday, while Yemen’s Houthis claimed responsibility for the attack on the refinery.APAC stocks were somewhat mixed, but with most major indices in the green, US equity futures were range-bound; European equity futures indicate a flat market open.DXY eked mild gains, 10yr UST futures lacked direction, crude futures gapped higher at the open as an Iran-Oman deal on the Strait of Hormuz remained elusive.Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian Inflation (Jul). Earnings from Berkshire Hathaway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now.US equity futures mixed, with NQ futures outperforming following strong MCHP earnings.DXY muted; EUR unreactive following German trade data.USTs flat ahead of the US jobs report, NFP expected at 85K.Energy benchmarks rangebound as markets await official details on the Hormuz agreement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Comments from Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump thinks the war with Iran will end pretty soon and said the Strait of Hormuz is sort of open right now; Trump conducted a phone call with the Saudi Crown Prince.Oman and Iran reached an agreement over the Strait of Hormuz, according to MS Now citing two Middle East diplomats, although the diplomats declined to describe the details of the temporary agreement or what issues remain unresolved.A strategic plan for managing the Strait of Hormuz would reportedly prohibit the passage of vessels belonging to the US, Israel and other hostile countries through the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks ultimately traded mixed following the weak lead from Wall Street; European equity futures indicate a mildly lower cash market open.DXY took a breather, 10yr UST futures remained lacklustre, and Crude futures extended on the prior day's rally.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production (Jun), Trade Balance (Jun), French Trade Balance (Jun), US Jobs Report (Jul), Canadian Jobs Report (Jul), Ivey PMI (Jul), NY Fed SCE (Jul), Fed's Barkin. Credit Ratings include S&P on Switzerland.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

Iran and Oman have agreed on the broad framework for Strait of Hormuz reopening talks, Al Arabiya sources report. An announcement could come in days but the agreement still needs the approval of Iran's National Security Council.US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.US equity futures are mixed, with NQ underperforming as SanDisk falls as revenue guidance missed estimates.DXY muted; SEK benefits from hotter-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks in modestly narrow ranges; Crude benchmarks are essentially flat, with focus remaining on a potential Hormuz announcement.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/01), Revelio PLS (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), CNB Policy Announcement (Aug), Banxico Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Musalem. Earnings from ConocoPhillips & Fiserv.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US VP Vance said negotiations with Iran will take some time and that talks with Iran were 'messy', but will land in a 'good' place for the US.Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister said an understanding with Oman does not mean opening the Strait of Hormuz.Yemeni Houthis announced they targeted a Saudi oil vessel in the Gulf of Aden.Crude futures saw two-way trade and attempted to nurse some of the recent losses, in which Brent crude briefly returned to the USD 80/bbl territory.APAC stocks traded mostly lower following a similar performance stateside; European equity futures indicate a mildly positive cash market open.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish Inflation (Jul), German Factory Orders (Jun), US Challenger Job Cuts (Jul), Initial Jobless Claims (Aug/01), Revelio PLS (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q3), CNB Policy Announcement (Aug), Banxico Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Daly & Musalem. Supply from Spain & France. Earnings from ConocoPhillips, Fiserv, Rheinmetall, Merck & Diageo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk

US President Trump said they are moving along very nicely regarding Iran, and we will know in 48 hours about Iran.Axios reported that the proposed deal would route inbound Gulf traffic through Iranian waters and outbound traffic through Omani waters for 60 days, with no fees and the central lane cleared of mines within 30 days ahead of a permanent arrangement.Yemen's Houthis said they attacked a vessel in the Red Sea, attacked a Saudi oil tanker off the Yanbu and stated operations will continue and escalate in targeting Saudi oil tankers.US equity futures are mixed, with AMD and SPCX weighing on the NQ.DXY flat, NZD underperforms after weak employment data.Energy benchmarks climb as markets await for a potential agreement over the Strait of Hormuz.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Jul), S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jul), ISM Services PMI (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jul), US Treasury QRA/Press Conference, BCB Policy Announcement (Aug). Speakers include Fed's Cook. Earnings from Eli Lilly, Uber, Walt Disney & SanDisk.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk