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Newsquawk Rundown, Daily Podcast
by Newsquawk
Get up to speed with everything you need to know ahead of today's open with the Newsquawk rundown
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25
EU Market Open: Europe primed for weak open as Nikkei 225 slides as much as 5%
The US continued to strike Iran, for a sixth consecutive night; Iran claimed that power facilities, bridges and civilian infrastructure were struck.Iranian Army Spokesman warned that if the US strike the infrastructure of Iran, all infrastructure in the region will be a legitimate target; he added that “either all countries in the region can export oil or no one can”.US President Trump stated that they will see the fruits of labour in Iran shortly.APAC Stocks were pressured, with Nikkei 225 (-5%) leading the declines; European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open.DXY is a touch firmer this morning; G10s are broadly lower, albeit modestly so.Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI Final (Jun), US Building Permits (Jun), Export/Import Prices (Jun), Industrial Production (Jun), UoM Consumer Expectations (Jul), Atlanta Fed GDP, Comments from ECB’s Cipollone.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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24
US Market Open: Equity futures lower despite TSMC beat and raise and large NVIDIA Rubin order from Japan
The US has completed another round of strikes on various parts of Iran, targeting military capabilities; Tehran responded with its own attacks on Kuwait and Jordan.TSMC reported Q2 metrics that beat estimates, while raising its Q3 revenue guidance above expectations. In addition, the co. is to add another USD 100bln of US investment. US equity futures lower despite strong TSMC earnings and Japan's large investment for Nvidia's Rubin chips.DXY rangebound while CHF and NOK outperforms; GBP unreactive following GDP data. Fixed income benchmarks softer despite lower energy; UK and French politics in focus.Crude benchmarks take a breather despite ongoing US-Iran strikes, spot gold moves a bit lower.Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales (Jun), Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Index (Jul), Pending Home Sales (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP, Speakers including Fed’s Logan & Schmid, Earnings from Netflix, Alcoa, GE Aerospace, US Bancorp, Abbott & State Street.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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23
EU Market Open: Europe primed for modesty firmer open despite soft APAC trade
The US has completed another round of strikes on various parts of Iran, targeting military capabilities; Tehran responded with its own attacks on Kuwait and Jordan.US President Trump stated Iran wants to meet, though warned that strikes would expand next week. Nonetheless, crude benchmarks take a breather following recent gains; Brent -0.6%.APAC stocks held a mostly negative bias, with the KOSPI (-6.4%) dragged by losses in Samsung Electronics (-8.6%) and SK Hynix (-11.9%). European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer open.DXY is flat and holds around 100.50; G10s are mixed against the USD.Looking ahead, highlights include UK GDP (May), Italian HICP Final (Jun), EZ Balance of Trade (May), US Retail Sales (Jun), Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Index (Jul), Pending Home Sales (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP, SNB Minutes (Jul), Speakers including Fed’s Logan & Schmid, Supply from Spain, France & UK.Earnings from Netflix, Alcoa, UnitedHealth, GE Aerospace, US Bancorp, Abbott, State Street & ABB.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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22
US Market Open: NQ supported by ASML and SK Hynix strength, DXY and USTs lacklustre into PPI
US struck Iran overnight, Trump said they will do so again on Wednesday night. Adding, they will hit power plants and bridges next week unless Iran negotiates.IRGC targeted weapons/storage in Bahrain and Kuwait, US positions in Jordan and the Fifth Fleet Command HQ. Iran said it is a mistake to think military action will force them to talk.ASML (+3.7%) reported Q2 earnings that beat estimates while raising its FY guidance above analyst expectations. Additionally, the Co. announced a partnership with Intel (INTC) for high-volume production of Intel 18A logic products using High NA EUV.US equity futures are firmer across the board, with NQ supported by ASML and SK Hynix upside overnight.DXY and Fixed Income rangebound ahead of a busy speaker slate.Crude benchmarks eke out mild gains, with another round of US strikes tonight.Looking ahead, highlights include US PPI (Jun), BoC Policy Announcement (Jul), Fed Beige Book (Jul), Speakers including Fed’s Williams, Musalem, Warsh & Cook, BoC Governor Macklem, BoE's Pill, Earnings from United Airlines, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, BNY Mellon.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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21
EU Market Open: Europe primed for lower open as energy adds to gains and US-Iran strikes continue
US struck Iran overnight, Trump said they will do so again on Wednesday night. Adding, they will hit power plants and bridges next week unless Iran negotiates.IRGC targeted weapons/storage in Bahrain and Kuwait, US positions in Jordan and the Fifth Fleet Command HQ. Iran said it is a mistake to think military action will force them to talk.Brent +0.8% on the above, USD failed to benefit with CPI continuing to weigh, USTs rangebound though Bunds came under modest pressure.APAC stocks were firmer as the US CPI read-across outweighed fresh US-Iran strikes, to the continued benefit of US futures, though Europe points lower, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.2%.GBP and EUR led on the softer USD, USD/JPY briefly moved below 162.00Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish CPIF Final (Jun), Spanish CPI Final (Jun), EZ Industrial Production (May), US PPI (Jun), BoC Policy Announcement (Jul), Fed Beige Book (Jul), Speakers including Fed’s Williams, Musalem, Warsh & Cook, BoC Governor Macklem, BoE's Pill, ECB's Nagel, Supply from Germany, Earnings from United Airlines, BlackRock, Elevance Health, Johnson & Johnson, Morgan Stanley, PNC Financial Services, BNY Mellon.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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20
US Market Open: NQ rebounds despite energy adding to recent gains; US CPI and Warsh testimony due
The US continued to launch strikes for a third night, after President Trump stated that he would hit Iran “very hard” on Monday and Tuesday. Separately, Trump threatened to hit Iran’s “Pickaxe Mountain”, an underground nuclear facility; Brent Sep’26 +4.0%.US equity futures are mixed, with the NQ outperforming as it recovers from Monday's selloff; US banking names kick of earnings.DXY tentative heading into CPI and Fed Chair Warsh's testimony; Kiwi outperforms after further hawkish RBNZ rhetoric.Fixed income benchmarks are softer amid energy moves and continued post-Waller hawkishness.Crude benchmarks grind higher on continued US-Iran updates while spot gold finds support above USD 4k/oz.Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI (Jun), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Jul), ECB President Lagarde-US Treasury Secretary Bessent meeting, Speakers include Fed Chair Warsh, Goolsbee, Barr, Cook and Bowman, BoE Governor Bailey, Earnings from Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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19
EU Market Open: Europe primed for a weaker open as energy benchmarks rally
The US continued to launch strikes for a third night, after President Trump stated that he would hit Iran “very hard” on Monday and Tuesday. Separately, Trump threatened to hit Iran’s “Pickaxe Mountain”, an underground nuclear facility; Brent Aug’26 +1.9%.US President Trump also announced a naval blockade, which is set to begin at 21:00 BST / 16:00 EDT.APAC stocks were mostly in the red given the geopolitical environment and tech sell-off; European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open.DXY takes a breather; Kiwi outperforms following regional data and hawkish comments from RBNZ’s Conway.USTs and Bunds remain pressured amidst the elevated energy prices and after Fed’s Waller delivered hawkish remarks.Looking ahead, Highlights include German Wholesale Prices (Jun), Chinese M2 Money Supply (Jun), US NFIB Business Optimism Index (Jun), US CPI (Jun), Fed Discount Rate Minutes (Jul), ECB President Lagarde-US Treasury Secretary Bessent meeting.Speakers including Fed Chair Warsh, Goolsbee, Barr, Cook & Bowman, BoE Governor Bailey, Supply from the Netherlands & Germany.Earnings from Citi, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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18
US Market Open: SK Hynix weighs on Tech, NQ -1%; Crude bid, but off best as US-Iran exchange fire
The US and Iran exchanged strikes over the weekend, with the US military targeting 140 Iranian military targets on Saturday and took further action on Sunday, while Iran attacked US bases across the Gulf and closed the Strait of Hormuz.Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson said the US violated all clauses of the MoU in less than a month and stated that Iran will not execute commitments in the MoU as long as the US is not fulfilling its commitments. Furthermore, the spokesperson said mediators are still continuing their efforts to mediate between Iran and the US in recent days and Iran is in contact with mediators. Energy benchmarks pulled back following the constructive rhetoric, Brent +2.3%.US equity futures are off worst levels but the NQ is the clear underperformer, weighed down by the losses in SK Hynix (-15.4%).DXY reverse earlier gains; JPY hit on GPIF chatter, NZD continues to benefit on tightening bets.Looking ahead, highlights include OPEC MOMR (Jul), US Monthly Budget Statement (Jun), Coalition of the Willing Summit, Speakers including Fed’s Waller, BoE’s Pill, ECB's Schnabel & RBNZ’s Conway.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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17
EU Market Open: Risk-off as US-Iran exchange fire; SK Hynix tumbles after broker expects Q2 profit below consensus
US forces struck 140 Iranian military targets on Saturday and took further action on Sunday. Iran attacked bases in Jordan, Qatar, Kuwait & Bahrain.Crude rallied following this and Iran announcing the Strait of Hormuz would now be closed, though the US said transit has since happened, Brent +4.3%.APAC bourses were pressured, KOSPI underperformed as SK Hynix fell 13%, weighing on the NQ -1.2%.European futures in the red, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.8%. DXY is modestly firmer against G10 peers across the board.Fixed income underpressure as yields lift across the curve. Spot gold lost USD 4.1k/oz, down to USD 4050/oz. Base peers followed the tone lower.Looking ahead, highlights include German Current Account (May), OPEC MOMR (Jul), US Monthly Budget Statement (Jun), Coalition of the Willing Summit, Speakers including Fed’s Waller, BoE’s Pill & RBNZ’s Conway, Supply from the EU.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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16
US Market Open: NQ tentative into SK Hynix US debut; Japanese assets bid as FinMin touts domestic investment measures
Mediators are working to get the US and Iran back at the negotiating table, CNN reported, citing sources, later echoed by Axios.Brent is softer by around USD 0.20/bbl, with the market essentially waiting for a resumption of negotiations or strikes.Japanese assets lead after Finance Minister Katayama said pension funds should be encouraged to invest more in the domestic market.European bourses are on a modestly firmer footing, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1%. US futures are mixed; NQ lags, potentially ahead of SK Hynix's ADR debut on the 13th.USD under pressure, JPY leads given the above, NZD continues to climb, CAD flat into its jobs report.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Jobs Report (Jun). Earnings from Delta Air Lines and Credit Ratings from Fitch on the Netherlands, Morningstar DBRS on Switzerland and Scope Ratings on Japan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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15
EU Market Open: Europe primed for a quiet open despite APAC rally
Sources suggested Iranian air defence systems were activated. However, the US said they were not involved, and Iran then denied any explosions at all; Bushehr's officials said they intercepted projectiles.Mediators are working to get the US and Iran back at the negotiating table, CNN reported, citing sources, later echoed by Axios.Brent is firmer by USD 0.30/bbl, in a narrow range as the magnitude of geopolitical updates slowed throughout the APAC session into Friday.APAC bourses were entirely firmer, European futures point to a flat start to the day, while US futures are marginally softer, NQ -0.2%.USD remains under pressure, with the JPY the primary beneficiary. Support came from Finance Minister Katayama, who spoke on increasing investment in domestic financial funds.Fixed income mixed but broadly contained, taking the lead from energy performance. JGBs outperformed on the above remarks.Looking ahead, highlights include German/French Inflation Final (Jun), Norwegian Inflation (Jun), Canadian Jobs Report (Jun), IEA OMR (Jul), Speakers include ECB's Vujcic, Supply from Italy, Earnings from Delta Air Lines and Credit Ratings from Fitch on the Netherlands, Morningstar DBRS on Switzerland and Scope Ratings on Japan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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14
US Market Open: Positive risk tone as Trump comments outweigh tit-for-tat strikes
US struck around 90 Iranian military targets. In return, the IRGC said it attacked two US bases in Bahrain and two in Kuwait.CNN reported that US President Trump is losing patience with the pace of negotiations, particularly on nuclear.Crude benchmarks were firmer overnight, but moved lower as the European morning progressed as markets reacted to Trump’s remarks that Iran wanted to make a deal. Brent Sep’26 now off lows, and now flat.European bourses are firmer, with US equity futures also following suit; NQ +0.6%.G10s are mostly firmer against the slightly lower USD; Kiwi outperforms.Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/04), Existing Home Sales (Jun), ECB Minutes (Jun), Banxico Minutes (Jun), Speakers include Fed's Williams, Logan, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US and Earnings from PepsiCo.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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13
EU Market Open: Europe primed for firm open as energy looks past US-Iran strikes
US struck around 90 Iranian military targets. In return, the IRGC said it attacked two US bases in Bahrain and two in Kuwait.CNN reports that US President Trump is losing patience with the pace of negotiations, particularly on nuclear.Energy benchmarks modestly bid, but in relatively narrow ranges; downside seen in the early European morning as Trump reiterates that Iran wants to make a deal.APAC trade was initially resilient to the above, before then reversing as the night progressed.FOMC Minutes outlined that a few saw a case for raising rates, several did not see the stance as restrictive, a few as slightly restrictive.NZD continues to lead the FX space, USD is under modest pressure. Fixed rangebound, taking direction from energy.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/04), Existing Home Sales (Jun), ECB Minutes (Jun), Banxico Minutes (Jun), Speakers include Fed's Williams, Logan, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US and Earnings from PepsiCo.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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12
EU Market Open: Europe primed for firm open as energy looks past US-Iran strikes
US struck around 90 Iranian military targets. In return, the IRGC said it attacked two US bases in Bahrain and two in Kuwait.CNN reports that US President Trump is losing patience with the pace of negotiations, particularly on nuclear.Energy benchmarks modestly bid, but in relatively narrow ranges; downside seen in the early European morning as Trump reiterates that Iran wants to make a deal.APAC trade was initially resilient to the above, before then reversing as the night progressed.FOMC Minutes outlined that a few saw a case for raising rates, several did not see the stance as restrictive, a few as slightly restrictive.NZD continues to lead the FX space, USD is under modest pressure. Fixed rangebound, taking direction from energy.Looking ahead, highlights include German Trade Balance (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jul/04), Existing Home Sales (Jun), ECB Minutes (Jun), Banxico Minutes (Jun), Speakers include Fed's Williams, Logan, BoE's Breeden, Supply from the US and Earnings from PepsiCo.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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11
US Market Open: Risk-off trade as Trump casts doubts over US-Iran ceasefire
US President Trump said the Iran ceasefire is over, "I think", lifting Brent above USD 79/bbl, weighing on equities and fixed income.However, Trump did add he will allow US negotiators to continue talking with Iran, but said, "I think this is a waste of time"Euro Stoxx 50 -2.2%, ES -1.0%, NQ -1.4% given the above. Mixed APAC trade, but China was in the green after updates relating to DeepSeek and Zhiphu.Apple signed an agreement with Broadcom, to design and produce custom silicon components and wireless technologies, deal expected to exceed USD 30bln.NZD outperforms after the RBNZ hiked and signalled further increases "appear likely". Elsewhere, CAD bid on energy moves while JPY slips as a result of its import dependence and yield moves.Looking ahead, US Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), NBP Policy Announcement (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jun), Fed Minutes (Jun), NATO Ankara Summit, Speakers include US President Trump, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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10
EU Market Open: Europe primed for lower open as energy rises on US revoking Iran oil waiver
Mixed APAC trade, China in the green amid multiple IPOs and tech strength locally. US and European futures contained.DXY is range-bound despite the renewed Middle East clashes. Yields consolidate after the energy-driven lift on Tuesday, following the revocation of the Iranian waiver and tit-for-tat strikes.US Treasury revoked the June 21st Iran-related waiver, General License X, which had allowed Iran to produce, deliver and sell its oilBrent remains above USD 76/bbl, firmer by c. 3.5%, driven higher by the above points. Though, interestingly, the US strikes did not spur any further upside.RBNZ hiked by 25bps in-line with consensus, assessed the current OCR remains accommodative, and further increases "appear likely".Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish Inflation Prelim. (Jun), US Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), NBP Policy Announcement (Jul), NBH Minutes (Jun), Fed Minutes (Jun), NATO Ankara Summit, Speakers include US President Trump, Supply from the UK, Germany and the US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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9
US Market Open: Energy benchmarks firm as IRGC strikes vessels in Strait of Hormuz; NQ underperforms with semis hit post-Samsung
Iran's IRGC fired at least two missiles at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Axios reported, citing a US official. It was separately reported that one was a Qatari LNG tanker. Brent Sept’26 +1.2%.Fars reported that the Qatari tanker attempted to pass through the Omani route and ignored repeated warnings.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said negotiations on a final deal will not commence if threats continue.Global tech stocks fall after Samsung Electronics (-6.9%) shares plummeted post-earnings; NQ -1%.DXY is incrementally firmer, JPY marginally outperforms after a Japanese official pushed back on reports that the government is urging the BoJ to lower interest rates.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Trade Balance (May), New York Fed SCE (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Canadian Trade Balance (May), Ivey PMI (Jun), EIA STEO (Jul), NATO Ankara Summit. Supply from the US. Speakers include BoE's Mann.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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8
EU Market Open: Europe primed for a weaker open as KOSPI slumps post-Samsung
Iran's IRGC fired at least two missiles at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, Axios reported, citing a US official. It was separately reported that one was a Qatari LNG tanker.Fars reported that the Qatari tanker attempted to pass through the Omani route and ignored repeated warnings.Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said negotiations on a final deal will not commence if threats continue.KOSPI slumped following post-earnings losses in Samsung Electronics (-9.7%). Co. topped forecasts, but failed to calm fears surrounding elevated valuations. European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open.DXY is incrementally firmer, whilst the JPY marginally outperforms after a Japanese official pushed back on reports that the government is urging the BoJ to lower interest rates.Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Production (May), French Trade Balance (May), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Trade Balance (May), New York Fed SCE (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Canadian Trade Balance (May), Ivey PMI (Jun), EIA STEO (Jul), NATO Ankara Summit. Supply from the UK, Germany and the US. Speakers include BoE's Mann.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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7
US Market Open: US equity futures firm, USD attracts carry demand to the detriment of low-yielders
Islamabad is the more likely option for the next round of US-Iran technical talks, with July 11th expected to be the date, Fox reported.OPEC+ agreed to raise output targets by an additional 188k bpd, in line with the group's plan to reverse output curbs.European equity futures trade tentatively; US equity futures are indicative of a stronger open, NQ +1%.G10s are mostly lower against the USD. USD/JPY continues to rise, and sits back above the 162.30 mark.Fixed benchmarks trade with very mild gains, with USTs awaiting ISM Services.Looking ahead, highlights include US S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jun), and ISM Services PMI (Jun). Speakers include Fed's Waller, BoE's Mann, ECB's Schnabel, Lagarde and Lane.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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6
EU Market Open: Europe primed for quiet open with newsflow light; USD/JPY remains on intervention watch
Asia-Pac stocks initially started the session with broad gains, but later reversed. Crude futures started the week on the back foot.Islamabad is the more likely option for the next round of US-Iran technical talks, with July 11th expected to be the date, Fox reported.OPEC+ agreed to raise output targets by an additional 188k bpd, in line with the group's plan to reverse output curbs.Ship-tracking data showed that at least 8 ships attempting to leave the Strait of Hormuz turned back, with the reasons unknown.European equity futures are indicative of a flat/slightly softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 futures down 0.1% after cash closed +0.8% on Friday.Looking ahead, highlights include German Factory Orders (May), EU Retail Sales (May), US S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jun), and ISM Services PMI (Jun). Speakers include Fed's Waller, BoE's Mann, ECB's Schnabel, Lagarde and Lane.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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5
EU Market Open: KOSPI (+4.8%) rebounds from recent losses, and European equity futures indicative of a firmer open; USD/JPY holds near recent lows
US President Trump warned that Iran has some missiles left and that they could wipe those out. It was separately suggested that Trump made it clear Iran cannot impose fees on the Strait of Hormuz.APAC stocks gained, with strength seen in the KOSPI (+4.6%); European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer open.DXY traded subdued at around 100.70; USD/JPY holds just above the 161.00 mark, taking a breather following recent pressure.US and China are moving towards reducing tariffs on each other's agricultural products, Semafor reported.Highlights include Global S&P Services/Composite PMI Final (Jun), BoE DMP (Jun), Speakers including ECB's Lagarde & BoE's Bailey.Holiday: US Independence Day. Newsquawk audio and headline service will stop at 18:15BST/13:15EDT, however, Newsquawk widgets will continue to function as usual.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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4
US Market Open: DXY slips below 101.00, weighed on by possible JPY intervention; US jobs report awaits
Qatar and Pakistan mediators concluded separate meetings with US and Iranian negotiators in Doha, highlighting positive progress on issues related to the Islamabad MoU.US equity futures trade mixed, with the NQ weighed by tech selling in South Korean stocks.DXY slips below the 101.00 handle, as the JPY strengthens on possible intervention.Fixed income benchmarks trade on the softer side heading into the US jobs report; NFP expected at 110K.Crude benchmarks continue to trade lower, Brent -1.5%.Looking ahead, highlights include US Jobs Report (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims, Speakers including ECB's Cipollone, BoE's Mann and Fed's Daly.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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3
EU Market Open: EU equities futures point to a slightly firmer open; DXY muted ahead of the US jobs report
US and Iran talks in Doha focused on management of the Strait of Hormuz and the terms of a 60-day MoU aimed at a comprehensive nuclear deal, Axios reported.Qatari and Pakistani mediators suggested that positive progress was made, and stated that both parties agreed to continue discussion over the coming period; Brent -0.9%.USTR said the US had not agreed to renew the USMCA in its current form and would continue engaging with Canada and Mexico to address shortcomings in the agreement and bilateral trade deficits.APAC stocks were mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer open.DXY is a little lower, with price action tentative ahead of today’s NFP report.Looking ahead, highlights include Swiss Inflation (Jun), EU Unemployment Rate (May), US Jobs Report (Jun), Initial Jobless Claims, Speakers including ECB's Elderson & Cipollone, BoE's Mann, Fed's Daly, Supply from Spain, France & UK.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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2
US Market Open: Crude slips as talks in Doha commence; Markets await the appearance of Fed Warsh at Sintra
Indirect US-Iran technical talks are reportedly underway in Doha, with Qatar and Pakistan acting as mediators. However, US envoy Witkoff and Kushner will not be attending the talks themselves.Iran is reportedly insisting on retaining control over the Strait of Hormuz and could charge ships to transit from mid-August, according to sources. The source added that Iran are not going to discuss other points until Hormuz is agreed.Global equities start Q3 with modest losses but off worst levels, with disappointing NKE outlook weighing on sporting names.DXY trades slightly firmer; G10s are softer across the board, AUD underperforms as metals continue to slump (XAU/USD -0.7%)Fixed income benchmarks weaker but off worst levels; EZ inflation surprise to the downside, briefly lifting EGBs.Crude futures fall as Doha talks begin (Brent -1.0%).Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Employment Change (Jun), Revelio PLS (Jun), S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jun), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), speakers include ECB's Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Warsh, BoE's Bailey, BoC's Macklem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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1
EU Market Open: President Trump was reportedly briefed on "all out war options", but opted to stick to talks; DXY awaits Fed Chair Warsh
US President Trump was briefed on all-out war options on Iran, but opted to stick with talks, while he told aides he's okay if talks go past the August 18th deadline, WSJ reported. However, VP Vance said Trump is ready to drop bombs again.A US official said ships are transiting the Strait of Hormuz at higher levels.Iran's Foreign Ministry Spokesperson said the meeting on Wednesday in Doha will primarily focus on the release of blocked funds and the ceasefire in Lebanon. A US admin official, cited by the NYP, suggested the US has not released any frozen funds, and will not until Tehran “performs”.APAC stocks were mixed, with outperformance in the Nikkei 225 after a solid Tankan survey; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY is mildly firmer into Fed Chair Warsh today; USD/JPY holds around 162.70, with top FX diplomat Mimura the latest to jawbone.Looking ahead, highlights include Global S&P Manufacturing PMI Final (Jun), EU Inflation Prelim. (Jun), US Challenger Job Cuts (Jun), ADP Employment Change (Jun), ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2). Supply from the UK & Germany.Speakers include ECB's Vujcic, Cipollone, Lane & Lagarde, Fed's Warsh, BoE's Bailey, BoC's Macklem.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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0
US Market Open: NQ set to end Q2 with gains of 24%; Markets await US-Iran talks in Doha
US President Trump's envoys Kushner and Witkoff are flying to Doha for talks; Iran believes the trip is focused on ceasefire compliance, and is not there for talks with the US, NYT reported.US equity futures are slightly firmer (NQ +0.1%) and set for their biggest quarterly gain in 6 years. DXY strengthens, lifting USD/JPY firmly above 162.00; EUR weakness helped by cooler French and German State CPIs.Fixed income benchmarks higher but off best levels, with a busy central bank speaker slate ahead.Crude benchmarks dip again despite uncertainty over US-Iran talks in Doha.Looking ahead, highlights include German Inflation Prelim. (Jun), Canadian GDP (Apr), US JOLTs (May), Speakers include ECB's Schnabel, Cipollone, Rehn & Lane, BoE's Breeden, Earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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EU Market Open: US officials head to Doha for talks with Iran, though Tehran claims nothing is planned; USD/JPY trades above 162.00
US President Trump's envoys Kushner and Witkoff are flying to Doha for talks; Iran believes the trip is focused on ceasefire compliance, and is not there for talks with the US, NYT reported.Iranian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Baghaei said "we will not hold any negotiation meetings at any level with the American side in the coming days”, Tasnim reported. Journalist Mallick suggested talks may occur through Pakistani/Qatari mediators.US Secretary of State Rubio said at a Congress briefing that there is a possibility the nuclear talks with Iran may fail.APAC stocks were mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a mildly firmer open.DXY slightly firmer; USD/JPY chopped around 162.00 on comments from Chief Cabinet Secretary Kihara, before dipping on jawboning from Finance Minister Katayama.Looking ahead, highlights include German Import Prices (Jun), Retail Sales (May) & Unemployment Rate (Jun), State/Nationwide Inflation Prelim. (Jun), UK GDP Final (Q1), French Inflation Prelim. (Jun), Canadian GDP (Apr), US JOLTs (May).Speakers include ECB's Vujcic, Elderson, Schnabel, Cipollone & Lane, BoE's Breeden, and earnings from Nike.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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US Market Open: NQ benefiting from SPCX introduction; crude choppy over mixed reporting regarding Doha talks
Over the weekend, the US CENTCOM announced that it conducted strikes against multiple Iranian targets after Iran hit a Panama-flagged tanker. In response, Iran struck US military bases in Gulf nations.Thereafter, the US and Iran agreed to halt strikes and to resume meetings this week. The talks are reportedly to be held on Tuesday, with a focus on the Strait of Hormuz and the recent escalation. Crude futures off best levels, Brent +1.3%.South Korea announced a new USD 880bln AI and chip spending package, which includes huge investment from the likes of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) and SK Hynix (000660 KS).US equity futures gain, with the NQ being supported by the South Korean chip investment and the introduction of SPCX into the index. DXY softer; G10s broadly firmer with outperformance in the Kiwi.Fixed income benchmarks choppy but ultimately slightly softer, with Gilts in focus as MP Burnham prepares a speech.Looking ahead, highlights include US Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde & UK MP Burnham. Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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EU Market Open: US and Iran agree to halt strikes on eachother, after a weekend of fighting; Brent +0.4%
Over the weekend, the US and Iran exchanged fire; the US said it responded to the Iranian’s decision to hit a Panama-flagged tanker. In response, Iran struck military bases in Gulf nations.Thereafter, the US and Iran agreed to halt strikes and to resume meetings this week. The talks are reportedly to be held on Tuesday, with a focus on the Strait of Hormuz and the recent escalation.US, Israel, and Lebanon signed a trilateral framework agreement on Friday; Hezbollah rejected the agreement, suggesting that it would only accept a complete Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon.Crude benchmarks gained at the reopen, but then faded off highs after the US and Iran agreed to halt strikes; Brent Aug’26 +0.4%.APAC stocks were mixed; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly firmer open.DXY is flat and holds above 101.30; G10s are mixed, the Kiwi slightly outperforms whilst the CHF and JPY lag.Looking ahead, highlights include Spanish Inflation Prelim. (Jun), Speakers including BoE's Pill, ECB's Lagarde & UK MP Burnham.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-4
US Market Open: US equity futures lower; Brent continues to slide with focus on ships traversing the Strait
Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister said the safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz without consideration of Iran's sovereignty is not guaranteed. This follows an Iranian strike on a Singapore-flagged cargo ship after failing to follow the set route.US President Trump said we have a new market coming up called Iran and added that Iran wants to make a deal with us very badly and thinks they will make a deal.US equity futures are softer, with the NQ underperforming after further tech selloff in South Korea.DXY continues to pull back but remains firmly above the 100.00 handle; G10s are broadly firmer with the EUR outperforming.Fixed income benchmarks are off best levels as the haven bid returns to bonds.Energy benchmarks continue to fall despite the recent strike on the Singapore cargo ship.Looking ahead, highlights include US Goods Trade Balance Advance (May), Wholesale Inventories (May), UoM Sentiment Final (Jun), Speakers including Kashkari, ECB's Vujcic, RBNZ's Bremen and Norges Bank's Bache.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-5
EU Market Open: Crude benchmarks continue to slip despite halts to the Hormuz evacuation plan; European equities are set to open lower
Iran attacked a Singapore-flagged cargo ship on Thursday in the Strait of Hormuz, WSJ reported, citing sources. Separately, the UN shipping agency temporarily paused its evacuation plan for stranded ships and seafarers out of Hormuz after the attack.Iran's PGSA said vessels outside PGSA-set routes will not be guaranteed safe passage.APAC stocks were broadly on the backfoot, with hefty declines in the tech-heavy KOSPI; European equity futures are indicative of a weak open.DXY trades with incremental losses; USD/JPY continues to hold around the 160.60 level.Looking ahead, highlights include Swedish PPI (May), US Goods Trade Balance Advance (May), Wholesale Inventories (May), UoM Sentiment Final (Jun), ECB CES (May), Speakers including Kashkari, ECB's Nagel & Vujcic, RBNZ's Bremen, Norges Bank's Bache, and Supply from Italy.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-6
US Market Open: Micron soars 18% after stellar earnings, boosting global sentiment; crude benchmarks continue to pull back
Conflicting reports on whether Israeli forces have pulled away from southern Lebanon, with Israeli and Lebanese sources denying earlier comments by a US State Department official stating Israel has pulled back.A senior Iraqi Oil Ministry official said the nation will consider all available options if its OPEC quota is not significantly increased and has considered the idea of leaving OPEC.Micron surges over 16% pre-market after it beat expectations and issued stronger guidance, benefiting from surging AI-driven demand, rising memory prices and long-term customer agreements, NQ +2.1%.DXY consolidates just shy of YTD highs; G10s mixed with cable outperforming.Fixed income benchmarks trade mixed ahead of a busy US data docket.Energy prices continue to fall while spot gold holds below USD 4k/oz. Looking ahead, highlights include US PCE (May), GDP Final (Q1), Jobless Claims (Jun/20), Durable Goods (May), Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicator (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Banxico Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lane & Cipollone, Fed's Bowman, Williams & Goolsbee, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-7
EU Market Open: Micron surges after Q3 earnings+guidance beat; NQ and European futures benefit
US stocks finished mixed. APAC trade was similar, but with KOSPI, +5.9%, leading and NQ, +1.9%, outperforming after strong Micron results, +18%.Micron beat expectations and issued stronger guidance, benefiting from surging AI-driven demand, rising memory prices and long-term customer agreements.DXY under modest pressure, peers generally contained. Brief JPY support seen on hawkish comments from BoJ's Tamura.Fixed contained, USTs unaffected by a weak 5yr sale, JGBs capped by the 20yr tap.Brent wiped out all upside from the US-Iran conflict. Precious metals choppy, base peers followed the risk tone higher.Looking ahead, highlights include German GfK Consumer Confidence (Jul), French Consumer Confidence (Jul), Spanish GDP Final (Q1), US PCE (May), GDP Final (Q1), Jobless Claims (Jun/20), Durable Goods (May), Chicago Fed Labour Market Indicator (Jun), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Banxico Policy Announcement, German Finance Agency Issuance Outlook (Q3), Speakers including ECB's Lane & Cipollone, Fed's Bowman, Williams & Goolsbee, Supply from the UK & US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-8
US Market Open: US equity futures steady into Micron earnings; USD and Fixed Income benefit from haven demand
Pakistan's Foreign Ministry said it is conducting communications between the US and Iran to effectively implement the MoU and that technical talks will continue next week, potentially on Monday or Tuesday.US equity futures hold steady ahead of Micron earnings after-hours, with focus on guidance.DXY continues to gain, reaching new levels not seen since May 2025; Antipodeans underperform, with AUD softer amid cooler-than-expected inflation.Fixed income benchmarks firmer as it returns as a haven instrument.Crude continues to extend lower; spot gold slips below USD 4100/oz and nears a new YTD low.Looking ahead, highlights include BoC Minutes (Jun), Fed Bank Stress Test Report, Speakers including BoE's Breeden & Dhingra, BoC's Rogers, ECB's Cipollone, Supply from the US, Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-9
EU Market Open: Europe primed for quiet open, NQ rebounds into Micron earnings
US President Trump reiterated that they are making a deal with Iran and will see how it goes. Though he pushed back on Iranian claims that there will be no IAEA inspectors at their nuclear facilities. Brent Aug’26 -0.8%.US Secretary of State Rubio said the Lebanon file is separate from the agreement with Iran and that the US will deal directly with the Lebanese government. He added that Iran will not able to charge tolls when a final deal is agreed upon.Israeli Ambassador to the US said Israel-Lebanon talks over the ceasefire are a "train wreck".APAC stocks traded mixed, whilst European equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY extends higher and trades towards 101.50, USD/JPY holds around 161.60.Looking ahead, highlights include German Ifo (Jun), Riksbank Minutes (Jun), BoC Minutes (Jun), Fed Bank Stress Test Report.Speakers including RBA's Hauser, BoE's Breeden & Dhingra, BoC's Rogers, ECB's Cipollone, Supply from UK, Italy, Germany & US, Earnings from Micron.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-10
US Market Open: USD attracts haven demand after hefty KOSPI losses; NQ -2.5%
Tech rout leads stocks lower; KOSPI declined c. 10%, which has weighed on the NQ -2.3%.Focus remains on the US-Iran situation; Brent Aug’26 -0.4%. The Lebanon-Israel situation appears to be flaring up, with recent fatalities reported in Lebanon by Israeli gunfire.USD attracts haven demand as tech sells off; Antipodeans underperform, GBP awaiting further Burnham/Chancellor updates.Fixed benefits from modest energy downside and traditional haven allure; PMI commentary points to a possible peak in price pressures.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Jun), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Richmond Fed Index (Jun), BCB Minutes (Jun), NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Elderson & Vujcic, BoE's Taylor & Dhingra, Supply from the US, Earnings from FedEx. Note, Iranian President Pezeshkian is in Pakistan.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-11
EU Market Open: Europe primed for a lower open with Kospi -5%; Antipodeans lag in quiet newsflow
Mixed US handover continued into APAC before performance deteriorated, KOSPI -5% as the regions chip/tech momentum unwinds.European futures point to a lower open, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.9%.Crude relatively contained after Monday's pressure. US President Trump said they are negotiating with Iran and will see how it goes.DXY firmer to the modest detriment of peers, Antipodeans lagged given the broader risk tone.Fixed benchmarks extended marginally on Monday's advance, though action was choppy and rangebound.Looking ahead, highlights include Global Flash PMIs (Jun), US ADP Employment Change Weekly, Richmond Fed Index (Jun), BCB Minutes (Jun), NBH Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lane, Elderson & Vujcic, BoE's Taylor & Dhingra, Supply from Netherlands, Germany & US, Earnings from FedEx. Note, Iranian President Pezeshkian is in Pakistan.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-12
US Market Open: US indices quiet as energy trickles lower; GBP unreactive as UK PM steps down
Over the weekend, Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz amidst continued Israeli strikes on southern Lebanon. This led to Brent Aug’26 to gap higher by c. USD 2/bbl.Thereafter, attention turned to negotiations, which yielded progress and improved the geopolitical mood. Brent Aug’26 then moved into the red, currently -1.8%.China added 10 US firms to its export control list, including USA Rare Earths, while the Finance Ministry announced it would take relevant measures against 46 US companies in government procurement activities.European bourses trade tentatively alongside similar action across US equity futures.DXY is a touch firmer this morning; USD/JPY continues to rise, and eyes 162.00 to the upside.Global fixed benchmarks are mixed; Gilts digest UK PM Starmer’s decision to resign.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (May), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jun), CNB Minutes (Jun), and speakers including Fed's Waller & ECB's Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-13
EU Market Open: Crude reverses opening bid on US-Iran comments; USD firms, GBP eyes potential PM resignation
Crude opened firmer after reports suggested Iran had closed the Strait of Hormuz. However, this then reversed on a joint mediator statement, Brent currently in the red.Thereafter, Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi flagged major progress, mediators say technical talks will continue this week.APAC stocks were mixed give the above. European futures point to a softer open, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.4%.USD choppy but marginally firmer vs major peers. USTs and Bunds in the green but relatively contained.Mixed reporting on what UK PM Starmer will do in the next few days. Elsewhere, Burnham's team are said to be divided over who to appoint as Chancellor.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Inflation (May), EU Consumer Confidence Flash (Jun), CNB Minutes (Jun) Speakers including Fed's Waller & ECB's Lagarde.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-14
EU Market Open: DXY continues to firm & US stocks rally, Europe set for weaker open
US VP Vance is no longer travelling to Switzerland. Reports suggest this is due to the situation around Lebanon. Crude in the red, but off lows.Labour’s Burnham won the UK Makerfield by-election, meaning he is on course to become PM though the process for that largely depends on current PM Starmer.Two-way APAC trade in thin holiday conditions. European futures points to a softer open, Euro Stoxx 50 -0.4%.USTR has commenced a Section 301 probe into German pharmaceuticals.DXY gradually extended on recent momentum to the modest detriment of peers across the board.Looking ahead, highlights include German PPI (May), UK Retail Sales (May), PSNB (May), Canadian Retail Sales (Apr), Speakers including ECB's Lane, Cipollone & Elderson.Note, US markets are closed for Juneteenth. Newsquawk desk is operating as usual.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-15
US Market Open: DXY marks post-FOMC highs; SNB and Norges Bank as expected, BoE ahead
The Swiss government confirms that the plan still stands for the US, Iran, Pakistan and Qatar to meet on Friday in Switzerland to commence talks. Furthermore, Al Hadath added that the talks will include the legal aspects related to lifting Iranian sanctions, the issue of frozen funds and the Iranian nuclear file. A Lebanese source also stated that negotiations will discuss Israel's withdrawal along with a timetable for the experimental zone.SNB and Norges Bank leave their respective rates unchanged, as expected. The SNB highlighted increased readiness for FX intervention, while the Norges Bank stated a higher likelihood of near-term rate hikes. US equity futures pare post-Fed losses, with NQ outperforming as US President Trump announced AAPL-INTC collaboration.DXY hold onto post-FOMC bid, GBP to digest BoE and by-election, CHF softer following increased SNB intervention.Fixed income benchmarks mixed; energy benchmarks softer following MoU signing (Brent -1.8%).Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian PPI (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jun/13), New Zealand Trade Balance (May), BoE Policy Announcement, CNB Policy Announcement, UK Makerfield by-election, Speakers including ECB's Elderson, Cipollone & Lane, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-16
EU Market Open: Hawkish Fed spurs USD, energy softens amid US-Iran virtual MoU signing
Fed held rates but removed forward guidance completely while the SEPs showed 9 members anticipate a 2026 hike, sparking a hawkish reaction.US stocks finished lower, USD bid and the US yield curve bear flattened. Markets returned to fully pricing in a 25bps hike by end-2026.However, a portion of this unwound in APAC trade as oil prices moved lower following the US and Iran signing the 14-point agreement digitally; move capped as talks in Switzerland on Friday are not yet confirmed.Nonetheless, crude benchmarks are lower by over 2% and towards the session trough as we await clarity on Friday.APAC stocks traded mixed as the initially digested the Fed, before lifting on the MOU signing.US President Trump said he thinks Russian President Putin and Ukrainian President Zelensky want to do something on the war.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Employment Report (Apr), Average Earnings (May), Canadian PPI (May), US Initial Jobless Claims (Jun/13), New Zealand Trade Balance (May), SNB Policy Announcement, Norges Bank Policy Announcement, BoE Policy Announcement, CNB Policy Announcement, UK Makerfield by-election, Speakers including Norges Bank's Bache, SNB's Schlegel, ECB's Elderson, Cipollone & Lane, Supply from Spain, France & US.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-17
US Market Open: US equity futures gain, GBP weaker after cooler than exp. CPI, USD benefits into FOMC
An informed source told Tasnim that Bloomberg's alleged text of the US-Iran MoU is not accurate, but that the finalised text will be published after the signing on Friday. However, it was initially stated that it would not be published. US equity futures gain steadily; Germany's DAX 40 underperforms, weighed by BMW's guidance cut.DXY flat, G10s mixed; SEK softer despite Riksbank forecasts of a greater chance of a rate hike.Fixed income muted, while gilts outperform following cooler-than-expected CPI; Fed announcement ahead. Energy benchmarks contained in narrow ranges, as the focus remains on the US-Iran MoU signing. Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), New Zealand GDP (Q1), Fed Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, Speakers including ECB's Lagarde & Fed's Warsh.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-18
EU Market Open: Energy benchmarks towards lows, Europe set for muted open with markets tentative into Fed announcement
The US will allow Iran to immediately begin selling oil and fuel under the deal to end the war, offering Tehran an early financial incentive to wind down the conflict, WSJ reports, citing sources.Iran and Oman are already talking about how they will manage the Strait of Hormuz, as laid out in one of the reported points. They want to charge a "fee" for the management "services”, NYP reports, citing sources.IDF is prepared to stay in southern Lebanon for a significant period, Kann News reports. Reports of artillery shelling have continued in southern Lebanon.The US delayed the blacklisting of China's DeepSeek and over 100 Chinese firms deemed national security risks, to avoid escalating tensions with Beijing, Reuters reports, citing sources.APAC stocks were mixed, whilst US equity futures are indicative of a slightly weaker open.DXY trades tentatively as markets await today’s Fed policy decision, and the debut of Chair Warsh; CHF incrementally leads, whilst the Kiwi lags.Looking ahead, highlights include UK Inflation Report (May), ECB Wage Tracker (Jun), EU Inflation Final (May), US Retail Sales (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), New Zealand GDP (Q1), Riksbank Policy Announcement, Fed Policy Announcement, BCB Policy Announcement, IEA OMR. Speakers include ECB's Cipollone & Lagarde, Riksbank's Thedeen & Fed's Warsh. Supply from Australia & Germany.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-19
US Market Open: Oil, USD hit on Qatar LNG reporting, JPY and AUD unreactive to as-expected BoJ/RBA
The BoJ hiked rates to 1.00%, as expected, while the RBA left rates unchanged at 4.35% following three consecutive 25bp rate hikes. Qatar is to restore half of its LNG output a month after the Strait of Hormuz opens, with output to reach 80% of full output within two months.US equity futures are mixed, while SPCX (+10.2% pre-market) looks set to surpass AMZN's market cap.DXY softer amid pressure in energy prices; JPY and AUD flat following rate announcements.Fixed income benchmarks are broadly higher, while JGBs fell as the BoJ paused purchase tapering from FY27.Looking ahead, highlights include US ADP Weekly, Import/Export Prices (May), Housing Starts (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Speakers including ECB's Lane, Supply from the US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-20
EU Market Open: Europe set for quiet open, JPY and AUD unreactive to as-expected policy meetings; Uchida ahead
US President Trump said the Hormuz deal is fully signed and that the Strait of Hormuz has already partially reopened, with a complete reopening expected on Friday.The US claim that Lebanon is not included in the memorandum of understanding is false, reports Fars, citing sources.Israeli artillery shelling was reported in southern Lebanon, while it was also reported that Hezbollah fired rockets at Israeli soldiers in the region.APAC stocks were mixed, cooling from the relief rally seen on Monday; European equity futures are indicative of a slightly lower open.DXY is a touch firmer and trades around 99.70; JPY incrementally gains post-BoJ, which delivered a 25bps hike, as expected. The Aussie was little moved by the RBA's hawkish hold.Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Inflation Final (May), EU/German ZEW (Jun), US ADP Weekly, Import/Export Prices (May), Housing Starts (May), Atlanta Fed GDP (Q2), Speakers including RBA's Bullock, BoJ's Uchida & ECB's Lane, Supply from UK, Germany & US.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-21
US Market Open: Risk assets rally as energy benchmarks soften on US-Iran framework peace agreement
The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug’26 -4.5%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon. Israel's Katz said that they would not withdraw from Lebanon. US equity futures bid amid the constructive risk tone; NQ +1.9% DXY pressured as markets pare hawkish Fed pricing, ahead of Fed Chair Warsh's first meeting.Fixed income benchmarks firmer but off best levels, as yield curves bull steepen.Looking ahead, highlights include US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May).Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-22
EU Market Open: Risk assets rally as Brent slips to $83 on US-Iran framework peace agreement
The US and Iran have reached a framework peace agreement; the US will lift its naval blockade, whilst the Iranians will reopen the Strait of Hormuz. The Pakistani PM suggested it would be signed in person on Friday, 19th June; Brent Aug’26 -4.3%.The deal includes the termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon; Israel has yet to comment on the latest deal.Iran’s Deputy Foreign Minister said talks are contingent on the release of assets and the lifting of sanctions; though a US official pushed back on the unconditional fund release, stating that any release is tied to a pay-for-performance deal.APAC stocks rallied following the US-Iran deal announcement; European equity futures are indicative of a strong open.DXY pressured back towards the 99.40 level; Antipodeans outperform given the risk tone.Looking ahead, highlights include German Wholesale Prices (May), EU Industrial Production (Apr), US Industrial/Manufacturing Production (May), and comments from ECB's Lagarde.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-23
US Market Open: Crude benchmarks hit on Mehr MoU reporting, equities bid into SPCX debut
Iran's Mehr News reports that the US-Iran MoU includes the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, lifting oil sanctions, and releasing frozen Iranian funds. The draft is still being reviewed. Brent -4.1%.The US and Iran deal signing could occur around the June G7 meeting in Geneva (June 15th - 17th).Global equities gain on the constructive risk tone, SPCX set to debut today.DXY rangebound, EUR holds above 1.1580 despite somewhat conflicting ECB reports. Fixed income benchmarks benefit from the softer energy prices.Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun) & SpaceX Debut.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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-24
EU Market Open: Europe set for firm open with Brent below $90/bbl, SpaceX ahead
US President Trump said we made a great settlement of war with Iran, signing will probably happen in Europe and soon; Brent -2.0% at USD 88.50/bbl.Israel is not a party to the MOU, though PM Netanyahu expressed his appreciation to the US' commitment, CBS reported. Iran is reportedly yet to come to a final conclusion on the deal.APAC stocks rallied in a continuation of the strength from Wall St. on the settlement report and despite the Israeli & Iran reporting.European futures point to a firmer open, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.7%. US futures are also bid, ES & NQ +0.2%, looking to the SPCX IPO.FX moved to the above, currently features a firmer USD to the detriment of NZD and JPY in particular. Fixed income holds onto gains.Looking ahead, highlights include German/French/Spanish HICP Final (May), UK GDP (Apr), Industrial Production (Apr), Canadian Wholesale Sales (Apr), US UoM Prelim. (Jun), SpaceX Debut & COO Interview.Click for the Newsquawk Week Ahead.Read the full report covering Equities, Forex, Fixed Income, Commodites and more on Newsquawk
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