Rob Breakenridge Show

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at the debate around Alberta’s future with now less than two months to go before a very consequential October 19th referendum.We’re joined by Monte Solberg, one of the founders of the group Vote to Stay - Monte, of course, was a cabinet minister under Prime Minister Stephen Harper and a long time Conservatives / Canadian Alliance / Reform M.P. for Southern Alberta.We’ll find out how and why the group Vote to Stay - which includes other prominent conservatives such as Jason Kenney and Travis Toews - came together in the first place and why the vote on separation is too consequential to leave to chance.Solberg acknowledges that Alberta separatism is being fuelled by frustration and anger, but warns that breaking up the country could come with enormous economic consequences and political uncertainty. He also points to policy breakthroughs between Ottawa and Alberta as evidence that federalism can still work.We’ll also look at the Trump factor and how American interest and meddling in the referendum could affect the outcome and the aftermath of the vote.Plus, what about the risk of complacency on Referendum Day - with numerous polls showing the remain-in-Canada option far ahead of support for separation, coupled with the possibility of long lines and delays on October 19th, could that affect voter turnout? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll take a closer look at how we went from an apparent Canada-US trade deal last week to now what’s being described as a “trade war.”It’s an ideal opportunity for a conversation with veteran Ottawa political journalist Paul Wells - who, by the way, will be in Calgary on September 28th for the Paul Wells Road Show, featuring - among other guests - Alberta Premier Danielle Smith.We’ll get some insight on what happened last week, why Prime Minister Mark Carney decided there was no point in making any further concessions, and what Canada’s strategy will be now that these new U.S. tariffs have come into effect. Wells also questions, though, whether Canadians have received a sufficiently detailed explanation from their own government about why the negotiations broke downWe’ll examine some of the other political calculations at play here, including the upcoming Quebec election, Ontario’s auto sector, and the Doug Ford factor. There’s also the response from the Conservatives, and some of the apparent divisions that exist within the opposition.Wells also has some interesting thoughts on Danielle Smith’s approach to the trade conflict and whether she’s been unfairly criticized for a perceived lack of commitment to a so-called “Team Canada” response. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll dive into the controversy that unfolded in Edmonton this week around an Edmonton Police Service anti-hate campaign. That campaign included a video posted on social media, urging citizens to report instances of hate - even those that are non-criminal in nature.We’ll speak with Josh Dehaas, litigation director for the Canadian Constitution Foundation. He has some concerns about the blurring of the line between offensive speech and criminal conduct, and the broader implications for free expression in this country. Plus, is this really the best use of police resources right now?We’ll also look at the debate around gas prices and the impact of government gasoline taxes? A decision looms for the federal government in when and whether to reimpose the federal gasoline excise tax, which they paused for the summer driving season. And the Alberta government has drawn criticism over the decision to leave the provincial gasoline excise tax in place in favour of a $100 rebate.We’ll hear from Kris Sims, Alberta of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation. The CTF this week released their latest annual Gas Tax Honesty Report - and also a new survey which shows pretty clearly what Canadians would like to see on this front. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this week’s episode of The Rob Breakenridge Show: what air travellers need to know about the potential for huge disruptions, two big takeaways from the latest Danielle Smith-Mark Carney get together, plus - reflections on an emotionally draining two weeks in Calgary and the tragic end to the search for a missing boy.Up first, a conversation with Dr. Gabor Lukacs, founder and president of Air Passenger Rights. With a strike or lockout looming for flight attendants at WestJet, thousands passengers could potentially be affected by cancelled flights. With all the uncertainty and potential disruption, we’ll find out more about what airline travellers should be doing right now, and what their rights are if indeed their flight is cancelled by the airline. We’ll also get his thoughts on how the rights of airline passengers could stand to be improved.Also, fresh of the heels of the recent pipeline announcement and the first ministers gathering in Prince Edward Island, Prime Minister Mark Carney and Alberta Premier Danielle Smith were side-by-side for yet another announcement this week in Red Deer. We’ll hear what the prime minister had to say about potentially using oil exports as leverage in response to new U.S. tariffs - something Smith has warned against. Also, we’ll hear what both leaders had to say about the possibility of equalization reform.Plus, we conclude the show with the tragic news out of Calgary that 11-year-old Parker Wells was found deceased after a two-week community-wide search in Calgary. We’ll look at how this story connected with so many Calgarians, Albertans, and Canadians and also share a touching audio message from Parker’s parents. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Here we go again. Canada finds itself plunged back into trade drama with the United States, as President Donald Trump has announced his intention to place large new tariffs on a number of Canadian goods.The prime minister hasn’t yet tipped his hand as to Canada’s response, but says his government “will do whatever it takes” and that “everything is on the table.”In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we recap the week’s developments and we’re joined by David Clement, Policy Director at the Consumer Choice Center. We’ll get his breakdown of this latest escalation: how bad these new tariffs are, why tariffs are so economically damaging, and why Canada should think twice about retaliating with tariffs of its own.Clement also offers his critique of what he sees as trade hypocrisy on both sides, including some of Canada’s own protectionist tendencies - especially supply management with both the U.S. and other trading partners have identified as an irritant.We’ll look at where this is all likely headed, and why Canada need to focus on tearing down internal trade barriers, pursuing new global trade deals, and maintaining a disciplined, unified front. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a look back on a very busy week in Alberta. We start with a re-cap of the string of major announcements from the premier, including more pipeline projects and a major data centre investment in the province. What does this all mean for the economic and political climate in Alberta?Also, we check back in with Alberta country music artist Corb Lund to get the latest on where things stand with the Water Not Coal movement. Elections Alberta has announced that their analysis suggests that the group’s petition - which aims to ban coal development along the eastern slopes of the Rockies - has fallen just short of the threshold to trigger a referendum. This comes after the premier had already indicated that it would be too late to put the question on the ballot. Lund, though, has some serious questions and concerns about this entire process - we’ll find out more.Plus, a closer look at the questions that will be on the ballot in the fall - how Albertans are feeling about these issues and what the questions themselves reveal. New polling from the Association for Canadian Studies (ACS) shows that Albertans are expressing their Canadian pride at levels as high or higher than other provinces, which is an interesting backdrop to a question related to separation. A separate ACS poll shows that Albertans - and other Canadians - are supportive of the government’s other questions on immigration and constitutional reform. However, given the wording of the questions and the desired outcomes, it’s less clear where public opinion is really at on these matters. We’ll speak with Jack Jedwab, President and CEO of the Association for Canadian Studies . Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show: a closer look at Thursday’s big pipeline announcement and whether a new west coast pipeline has truly taken a major step toward becoming reality.Following announcements and agreements with the premiers of both B.C. and Alberta, Prime Minister Mark Carney looks to have laid the groundwork for a west coast pipeline to be approved and fast-tracked under the Major Projects Office.B.C. will get billions in support for new energy projects and infrastructure and Ottawa has agreed to keep the tanker ban in place for B.C.’s northern coast. In return, B.C. will not challenge the new pipeline projectThe Alberta pipeline proposal will instead take a southern route to the coast, similar to the route of the Trans Mountain expansion. That’s likely the quickest path to building a new pipeline, and the route that would face the least amount of opposition.There’s much more to be sorted out, however, including how this pipeline will be paid for, and how the other pieces will fit in. Premier Danielle Smith says more details are forthcoming about an agreement with the Oilsands Alliance to both increase production to fill this pipe and to move forward with the Pathways carbon capture and storage project.We’ll dive into all of it, as we’re joined this week by Heather Exner-Pirot, Senior Fellow and Director of Natural Resources, Energy, and Environment at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute and special advisor at the Business Council of Canada. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a conversation with Alberta country musician and Water Not Coal petition organizer Corb Lund.The goal of the petition campaign was to force a referendum on banning coal mining projects in the eastern slopes of the Rockies. After months of hard work, the petitions have been submitted to Elections Alberta. Based on their count, Lund says they cleared more than 200,000 signatures - well above the legislated petition threshold. Yet, after previous reassurances that the question would appear alongside the ten others on the October ballot, Premier Danielle Smith is now saying that’s too late to include the Water Not Coal question.Lund shares his thoughts on the journey to this point, his frustration over the lack of transparency around the process and the disappointment stemming from previous assurances he received directly from the premier.Plus, where does this all go from here? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, veteran political columnist Lorne Gunter joins Rob to break down another fascinating political week in Alberta.We start with the announcement this week from Premier Danielle Smith that the province is forsaking a mandate gas tax cut and instead opting to send $100 rebates to over three million Albertans. While affordability remains a top concern in the province, the announcement has not gone over well.We’ll also take a look at the latest on the separation debate and whether the premier’s referendum strategy - and the case she’s making against separation - is landing with Albertans. A couple of recent polls show that support for separation appears to be softening.But we also had a new report out this week detailing the significant contribution Alberta makes to Confederation. Gunter says this remains a key frustration for many Albertans and it’s important for federalists to understand where that frustration comes from. The case against separation cannot simply be an endorsement of the status quo. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at Ottawa’s new Bill C-34, also known as the Safe Social Media Act. The bill including a new ban on social media for children under 16 (with some exceptions), and also creates the new Digital Safety Commission to over see the newly created ‘duty to act responsibly” “duty to protect children” that the bill imposes on social media companies.To better understand what this might all mean in practice, we’re joined by one of Canada’s leading experts on digital law and policy: Dr. Michael Geist, law professor at the University of Ottawa and Canada Research Chair in Internet and E-Commerce Law. Prof. Geist outlines his concerns with the bill, especially when it comes to the privacy implications of the age verification requirement that the social media ban will require. Overall, though, Prof. Geist says there are many unanswered questions with this bill, especially given that many of the details will be sorted out in regulations only after the bill is passed.We’ll also look at why so much seems to be happening all at once on this front, with Bill C-34, Bill C-22 (lawful access bill), the new A.I. strategy, and the new CRTC rules and culture requirements on foreign streaming companies. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, the latest on the state of the Canadian economy and the debate sparked this week over whether Canada has fallen into recession.We’ll hear from Charles St-Arnaud, Chief Economist with Servus Credit Union, who notes that while the last two quarters show a small contraction, the overall trend has been stagnant, dragged down by reduced population growth, lagging productivity, and stalled household purchasing power. We’ll find out whether there’s reason for optimism as to whether things can turn in the right direction.We’ll also have a closer look at the potential impacts of two key pieces of federal legislation. Bill C-22 (The Lawful Access Act) and Bill C-9 (The Combating Hate Act) are both on the verge of becoming law, but both could have major implications for privacy and free speech in Canada. We’ll hear from Josh Dehaas, Interim Litigation Director with the Canadian Constitution Foundation, about what the government is trying to accomplish through these bills, and what the concerns are.Plus, the latest on the debate in Alberta over separation and the province’s future in Confederation. Two new polls provide an interesting snapshot of where public opinion is at, and the premier ruffled some separatist feathers this week by laying out the significant costs that Alberta would bear if it chose to leave Canada. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, the debate around Alberta’s future is heating up amid the official announcement of the October 19th referendum.We’ll be joined by Ken Boessenkool, who’s one of the founders of a new group called Lead Not Leave, which also includes former Alberta finance ministers Jim Dinning and Travis Toews. Their goal is to make the case for keeping the province in Confederation, while at the same time advancing ideas to strengthen both Alberta and Canada. They argue that separation is not a solution.Plus, a new study from the Montreal Economic Institute examines the evidence for government-run grocery stores - an idea that seems to be catching on in both Canada and the United States. The study concludes, though, that such an approach won’t address the problem of high food prices, and will create other problems along the way. We’ll hear from study author and MEI senior fellow Charles Lammam. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll focus on the major development that occurred this week in Alberta: the announcemengt from Premier Danielle Smith of an October referendum on Alberta’s future.The question itself is controversial though: it's not one where the outcome means Alberta separates from Canada, but it’s not a meaningless question, either. It’s muddled enough that neither sides seems to happy.We’ll hear from Thomas Lukaszuk, founder of the group Forever Canadian. The first part of the premier’s question does mirror the Forever Canadian petition question, although Lukaszuk maintains their efforts were to head off a separatist referendum. We’ll get his thoughts on how we got to this point, the remarkable scenes this week at the committee tasked with reviewing his petition, and the campaign pivot for Forever Canadian now that this referendum campaign is underway.We’ll also find out how this is being received on the independence side of this debate and what now for the separation movement, as we’re joined by Derek Fildebrandt, president, publisher, and CEO of the Western Standard. We’ll get his reaction to Smith’s announcement and framing of the question and how this ensuing campaign is shaping up. Plus, we’ll look at the influence of the separatist movement within the UCP and how much of a threat now exists to Smith’s leadership. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at two major stories from this week: the new pipeline agreement between Alberta and Ottawa as the court decision that, for now, has quashed the separatist campaign to force a referendum.We’re joined in this episode by Andrew Leach, who’s an energy and environmental economist at the University of Alberta, and holds join appointments in both the Faculties of Arts and Law.We delve into the agreement reaches between Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney on carbon pricing and emissions reduction that sets the stage for a pipeline proposal to be fast tracked through the Major Projects Office. Progress on this front could go a long way in calming the political mood in Alberta.The duty to consult with First Nations, though, looms large over this project as well as the debate in Alberta around separation. We’ll also focus on the court decision that blocked the separatist petition on the basis that it potentially interferes with treaty rights. Alberta intends on appealing that decision, but what impact could that court fight have on the effort to advance the pipeline project? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we hear from Martha Hall Findlay, director of the School of Public Policy at the University of CalgaryAmid shifting global circumstances and economic pressures here at home, Hall Findlay is calling for a strategic rethink of Canada’s energy priorities - specifically as it applies to the Alberta-Ottawa memorandum of understanding (MOU).One of the pillars of that agreement is the multi-billion-dollar Pathways carbon capture project - a project that Hall Findlay has long championed. But now, in her words, it’s time for a “better pathway,” which means postponing the carbon capture project and prioritizing major projects such as a pipeline to the west coast.While carbon capture is an expensive endeavour with negligible impacts on global climate, Hall Findlay argues that energy infrastructure and resource development can have a hugely beneficial impact when it comes to both the Canadian economy and the global supply. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at the movement and debate that is dominating Alberta politics at the moment: Alberta separatism.Our guest this week is Tyler Dawson, he’s a journalist at the Globe & Mail and author of the new book “The Republic of Alberta: An Idea That Won’t Go Away.” The book dives into the historical roots of the Alberta’s separatist movement and seeks to understand why so many Albertans feel so alienated and frustrated.As the province barrels toward what is almost certainty a vote on separation, it’s crucial to understand the deep-rooted grievances that have motivated this independence movement and why the idea holds such appeal for - at least according to polls - close to one-third of Albertans. And even assuming Alberta votes to remain in Canada, Dawson argues that it’s unlikely we’ll see this movement and this debate simply fade away.Plus, we’ll have an update on the story that’s broken over the last couple of days: an investigation into what Elections Alberta believes was the unauthorized use by a separatist group of the province’s official list of electors. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at some key debates raging in Alberta as we speak with Peter Guthrie, former UCP MLA and cabinet minister who is now leader of the upstart Alberta Progressive Tory Party.We’ll delve into the debate around Alberta’s electoral boundaries and whether the government’s rejection of the report from the Electoral Boundaries Commission is part of an effort to draw a more favourable electoral map.We’ll also discuss the latest developments around October’s Referendum Day: How the government is using public resources to campaign for a ‘yes’ vote on their nine chosen questions - and the ongoing shenanigans and uncertainty around a possible vote on separation.Plus, we’ll find out more about Guthrie’s efforts to bring oversight to government decisions around spending and the awarding of contracts - and how procedural changes have stymied those efforts Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’re joined by Heather Exner-Pirot, Senior Fellow and Director of Energy, Natural Resources and Environment at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute.Now that Mark Carney and the Liberals now have their majority government, we’ll look at the important decisions they now must make at what has become a pivotal moment for Canada in being able to move forward on major projects and strengthening our economic position.We’ll talk about the wake-up call contained in a new report from RBC, which looks at how Canada missed out on a trillion dollars worth of investment over the last decade - and how we win that back in the decade ahead and become a destination for major investment.We’ll also look at the status of the MOU between Alberta and Ottawa and why there’s growing concern around the attached conditions, including higher carbon pricing and an expensive carbon capture system. Has the difficulty in building a pipeline to the west coast made the idea of building a new pipeline to the U.S. more attractive? Is it now just about the path of least resistance, as opposed to the most significant impact? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll break down the latest floor crossing in Canadian politics: the shocking defection of Marilyn Gladu from the Conservatives to the Liberals. How does an ardent social conservative and harsh critic of the Liberal government - not to mention, a critic of previous floor-crossers - suddenly find herself standing shoulder-to-shoulder with Prime Minister Mark Carney?We’ll hear from political writer and commentator Spencer Fernando and get his analysis of what this means for the Liberals’ quest for a majority government ahead of three key by-elections on Monday. Plus, what is the potential fallout now for embattled Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre?Plus, we’re joined in this episode by writer, journalist, and academic John Fraser to discuss his new book, “The Governors General: An Intimate History of Canada’s Highest Office.” We’ll get Fraser’s thoughts on why the role remains so crucial to Canada’s system of government and why it’s so often misunderstood and underappreciated by Canadians. We’ll also delve into the many fascinating personalities who have held this office - and who Fraser sees as having elevated the position (such as Massey, Vanier, and even Clarkson) to those who have tarnished the office (Julie Payette’s “catastrophic” tenure stands out). Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of Rob Breakenridge Show, we’re joined by Alberta NDP Leader Naheed Nenshi. We’ll get his reaction to the victory of Avi Lewis in the Federal NDP Leadership race, and what the hard-left turn of the federal New Democrats means for the Alberta version of the party. Is it time to sever ties (I argue ‘yes’ in my latest column)? Plus, a closer look at how the NDP is trying to hold the UCP’s feet to the fire on several major issues here at home.Plus, a major new report from the Business Council of Alberta urging government action to speed up approval times for major projects and boost Canada’s ability to attract investment and grow the economy in a meaningful way. We’ll be joined by BCA president Adam Legge to discuss “From Barriers to Breakthroughs” Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at the link between oil & pipelines and our trading relationship with the United States. Recent headlines would suggest that a new pipeline to the U.S. may be back on the table and that this could play a key role in CUSMA re-negotiations.We’re joined in this episode by Adam Waterous, CEO of Waterous Energy Fund and Executive Chairman at Strathcona Resources. He’s urging government, industry, and Canadians to pay close attention to what’s happening here and to understand the tremendous leverage Canada has right now with regard to American energy needs and energy security. Reviving Keystone XL - or a similar project - could be a win-win for Canada and the U.S. and could help us secure a beneficial trade deal with our most important trading partner. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at two major challenges affecting Canada right now: the political challenges around national unity and the potential return of high inflation, driven by surging oil prices,.We’ll hear from Mark Milke, founder and president of the Aristotle Foundation for Public Policy - they’ve released new polling and a new analysis of how Canadians perceive unfair and unbalanced representation in this country and what steps need to be taken to reduce tensions around national unity. Mark makes the case that it’s western alienation that deserves the most attention right now.Plus, the Bank of Canada has decided to hold the line on interest rates amid an expectation that the sharp increase in oil prices could once again unleash higher inflation rates. But is there much that monetary policy can do in the face of that sort of supply side shock? We’ll hear from Steve Ambler, he’s David Dodge Chair in Monetary Policy at the CD Howe Institute.Plus, some thoughts on Pierre Poilievre’s appearance on the Joe Rogan podcast. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a deep dive on the conflict that is dominating global headlines and rattling global markets - how does this all end for Iran’s regime and the Iranian people?We’ll speak with Kaveh Shahrooz - he’s a lawyer and human rights activist and also a senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute.We’ll hear his case for why this military intervention was moral and justifiable and why he’s been frustrated with Canada’s shifting position. We’ll also look at where things stand now with an isolated and degraded regime, but a regime that remains in place for now.Plus, we’ll take a closer look at why the Iranian people have been rising up in protest against the regime and also why Iran’s rulers have been so hell-bent on acquiring a nuclear arsenal. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at the of the recent surge in oil prices driven by the conflict in Iran and what it all means for Canada and Alberta in particular.The US-Israeli attack has dealt quite a blow to the Iranian regime, much uncertainty remains in terms of what happens next and how long this conflict could drag on for. One thing is for sure: it’s all certainly having an impact on global markets, particularly when it comes to the price of oil.We’ll hear from Rory Johnston, oil market researcher and founder of Commodity Context. We’ll get his insight on the impact this conflict is having on global oil prices and how the price of oil could surge even higher in the days and weeks ahead. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll look at the bleak state of Alberta’s finances in the aftermath of a new budget awash in red ink.The new budget forecasts a deficit of $9.37-billion followed by subsequent deficits for the foreseeable future - all of which violates the government’s own fiscal framework. Spending has reached a record level of almost $84-billion and the budget has become even more reliant on resource revenues. Approximately $24-billion in resource revenue would be needed by next year just to balance the budget.Debt is set to surpass $100-billion, leaving a mounting annual cost of servicing that debt - now over $3-billion.So what’s become of the government’s commitment to fiscal conservatism and responsible fiscal management? What’s it going to take to bridge this huge gap between what the government believes it needs to spend versus what’s its prepared to raise in revenue?We’ll speak with Kris Sims, Alberta Director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation and get her assessment of this budget and where things are headed fiscally in Alberta. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’re joined by Edmonton-based Postmedia columnist Lorne Gunter to take a closer look at some major political developments this week.We start with some reaction and analysis of the U.S. Supreme Court decision striking down many of Donald Trump’s tariffs. How excited or relieved should Canadians be and what next for the Canada-U.S. relationship and the prospect of saving the CUSMA trade deal.We’ll also delve into the televised address from Alberta Premier Danielle Smith, which warned about a difficult upcoming budget, but also laid out plans for a number of referendum questions - specifically around immigration policy and constitutional reform - to be put to Albertans on October 19th? Is this smart strategy? A distraction or scapegoat? And could this take the wind out of the sails of separatists?Plus, as Canada seeks closer trade ties with China, a new report from the Montreal Institute for Global Security warns Canada not to be “naïve” about the threat posed by China. This report examines the phenomenon of transnational repression and the threat it represents to security and democracy in Canada. We’ll be joined by Phil Gurski, one of the report’s co-authors. He spent over 30 years in Canada’s intelligence community and is now a fellow at MIGS. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, the latest on the Canada-U.S. relationship amid new threats from Donald Trump and a hopeful sign in the U.S. Congress as the House of Representatives voted to end tariffs on Canada.Of course, this doesn’t end all of this trade drama and it may not even end these specific tariffs. There is still a pending U.S. Supreme Court decision on the legality and constitutionality of many of Trump’s tariffs and there is also still the CUSMA/USMCA renegotiations. Trump’s sudden focus on the new Gordie Howe International Bridge shows the degree to which all of this is still very volatile and unpredictable.We’re joined in this episode by Bryan Riley, director of the Free Trade Initiative at the Washington, DC-based National Taxpayers Union. We’ll get his thoughts on the significance of this week’s developments, and also take a broader look at the negative impact of tariffs and trade barriers, why free trade is worth preserving, and whether it’s possible to rebuild a pro-trade consensus. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a conversation with widely followed political commentator and analyst Spencer Fernando. We’ll take a closer look at how U.S. President Donald Trump continues to turn Canadian politics on its head and how Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre needs to speak to this challenge and confront this threat. Also, we’ll discuss former Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s re-emergence on the national political scene and the important words he offered for how Canada needs to respond to the external threat of Trump and internal threats to national unity. Plus, Prime Minister Mark Carney abandons yet another Trudeau-era policy as the Liberal government tries to navigate the new trade landscape.YouTube:Apple Podcasts:Spotify: Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll take a closer look at the state of the Conservative Party of Canada and the leadership of Pierre Poilievre.Conservatives are gathering in Calgary this weekend for their annual convention, which will feature an important speech from Poilievre before a leadership review.We’ll speak with Ben Woodfinden, who’s a senior advisor with Meredith, Boessenkool, & Phillips and a former communications director for Pierre Poilievre. We’ll get his perspective on how secure Poilievre’s position in, how the leader has shaped the party and Canadian conservatism, and what to expect in 2026.Plus, the latest from the premiers’ gathering this week in Ottawa amid questions about Alberta separation, foreign interference, and the possibility of building a new pipeline to the west coast. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we look back on a dramatic and consequential week for Canada. Following the announcement of a Canada-China trade deal in Beijing, Prime Minister Mark Carney was off to Davos and the World Economic Forum, where he delivered a speech of considerable significance - one that did not go unnoticed by U.S. President Donald Trump.We’re joined by Globe & Mail columnist Andrew Coyne for a conversation about this new Carney doctrine, and what it means for our relationship with the U.S. - as well as our relationship with our NATO partners and European allies. Is this really a turning point? Has there really been a “rupture” in the rules-based international order? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a conversation with Kaveh Shahrooz about the protests in Iran and whether this constitutes a new revolution that could finally spell an end to the Khomeinist Islamic Republic.Kaveh is a lawyer and human rights activist, as well as a senior fellow at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute, and has been closely following events in Iran. After more than two weeks of protests, the situation appears at a tipping point. The Iranian regime has cracked down hard on protesters, but is this movement now too big to stop?We’ll also have the latest on Prime Minister Mark Carney’s high-stakes visit to Beijing. Will Canada make a trade breakthrough with China? And, if so, at what cost? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, as we delve into the biggest story of the new year: the American intervention in Venezuela and the US president’s desire to dramatically ramp up Venezuelan oil production and exports.Given that Venezuela’s heavy crude is very similar to the product Canada exports, could this represent a threat to Canada’s market share in the US? We’ll get some insight from commodity analyst Rory Johnston.We’ll also hear from Servus Credit Union chief economist Charles St-Arnaud, who argues in a new report that this should be a wake-up call for Canada and add further urgency to efforts to build the necessary infrastructure for Canada to diversify its trading partners and reduce its reliance on the US. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show:* A closer look at the challenges facing Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre as 2025 draws to a close. Two MPs have defected to the Liberals and rumours continue to swirl about further floor-crossings. Poilievre, of course, is set to face a leadership review next month in Calgary. We’ll hear from conservative political strategist Cole Hogan.* We’ll discuss the aftermath of the horrific terror attack on Jews is Australia and the threat posed by antisemitism around the world and here at home. What more needs to be done? We’ll speak with Nico Slobinsky from the Centre for Israel and Jewish Affairs.* Plus, a closer look at the problems ailing Canada’s immigration system. A new paper from the C.D. Howe Institute lays out how Canada undermined its skills-based immigration system. We’ll hear from co-author Christopher Worswick. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show:* An eventful and contentious fall session of the Alberta Legislature comes to a conclusion with no shortage of lingering controversies. We’ll have the latest on the debate over Bill 14 and the latest changes to referendum petition rules. Plus, the list of recall campaigns expands - including a recall attempt in the premier’s own riding.* The energy and pipeline agreement between Alberta and Ottawa was the focus of the debate in Ottawa this week, as the Conservatives introduced a motion aimed at exposing divisions within the Liberal caucus over the agreement. But did the motion - or the debate - reveal or accomplish anything?* Plus, we’ll discuss a new study from the Public Policy Forum that makes the case for Canadian energy exports in an environmental context. While many frame the debate as economy versus the environment, with the potential to displace coal and dirtier barrels globally, Canadian LNG and oil exports can deliver benefits on both fronts. We’ll speak with study co-author Mark Cameron Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of The Rob Breakenridge Show, a look at the ongoing debate over direct democracy and elections rules in Alberta - and the changes now being made through the government’s new Bill 14.Introduced on Thursday, the bill - among other things - gives the Alberta government more control over referendum petitions and clears a path now for the separatist side to start gathering signatures. The bill also bans new political parties from using certain word and phrases linked to existing party - a move that will prevent the Progressive Conservative Party from rising again.Interestingly, the bill doesn’t touch the rules around voter recall. At last count there were 14 approved recall campaigns, all targeting UCP MLAs.We discuss all of this, and the implications for Alberta politics, in our conversation with political commentator Deirdre Mitchell-MacLean. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we delve into an important and timely new book. Globe & Mail writer-at-large John Ibbitson and Ipsos Public Affairs Global CEO Darrell Bricker join us to discuss their new book “Breaking Point: The New Big Shifts Putting Canada at Risk”We’ll explore some of the significant shifts in Canada over the last decade, and the growing divides we’ve seen within the country. Ibbitson and Bricker warn that Canada is at a critical juncture, facing challenges - including regional tensions and generational disparity - that could threaten national unity and identityTariffs and annexation threats from Donald Trump have added a new dimension to these issues, but the problems run much deeper than what we’ve been confronted with in 2025. So what will it take to turn things around? Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

It was a day of great significance Thursday in Calgary as Alberta Premier Danielle Smith and Prime Minister Mark Carney signed off on a new memorandum of understanding (MOU).In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we’ll take a closer look at this energy agreement and what it all means. The MOU identifies a proposed new pipeline to the west coast as being a project that’s in the national interest. That new pipeline, though, is linked to the Pathways carbon capture project and a higher industrial carbon price to back that up.Alberta does win concessions on two major fronts: the oil and gas emissions cap and the Clean Electricity Regulations will no longer be in force in the province. The west coast tanker ban could also be adjusted as needed to accommodate a new pipeline.We’ll hear comments from Carney, Smith, as well as BC Premier David Eby. We’ll also have a conversation with Adam Legge, president of the Business Council of Alberta - they’re quite encouraged by this agreement. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at the debate around Alberta’s coal policy and why this could be one of the ballot issues Albertans vote on next near.Alberta county music artist Corb Lund has deep roots in this province and a deep connection to the ranching industry. He’s found himself at the forefront at the debate around coal development along the Eastern Slopes of the Rocky Mountains and has been actively raising concern about the threat such development could pose to the water for communities and industries downstream.Last week, Lund officially filed a petition with Elections Alberta with the aim of using the province’s citizen initiative law to force a referendum on this issue. Specifically the petition calls for a ban on coal mining along the Eastern Slopes.We’ll find out more about why he’s chosen this route and get more background on the changes and concerns around coal policy in Alberta. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at an eventful week in Alberta - starting with the latest on pipeline talks between Alberta and Ottawa and the latest on the expanding recall campaign now targeting several UCP MLAs. Is the Alberta government now looking to neuter their own direct democracy laws?We’ll also dive into one of the biggest stories of the week: confirmation that the Alberta government is looking to usher in a major change to health care in this province. Under a proposed “Dual Care Model",” doctors would be allowed to practice in both the private and public system. The province insists that no one will be forced to pay to see a family doctor or to receive care that is currently covered, but it does open up the door to faster access for those willing and able to pay.We’ll hear from Dr. Braden Mann, who is a Professor, Senior Associate Dean, and Associate Vice President of Health Research at the Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary. He has some serious concerns about the implications of this change, which would be a first in Canada.We’ll also hear from Emmanuelle Faubert who’s an economist at the Montreal Economic Institute - they argue that various European countries have had success with similar models of universal care and that Canada’s system should be open-minded to such reforms. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we take a closer look at the latest batch of Major Projects announced by the prime minister. On the energy front, there’s support for the Ksi Lisims LNG project on the west coast, but there was nothing announced about a new pipeline. We’ll discuss all of this with Heather Exner-Pirot, who’s a senior fellow and Director of Energy, Natural Resources, and Environment at the Macdonald-Laurier Institute.Plus, the latest on the debate in Alberta around voter recall and citizen initiative and petitions proliferate and Albertans face the prospect of multiple referendums and recall votes. The UCP doesn’t seem happy about this, but they’re in no position to complain = they’re the ones who implemented the rules in the first place. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show - a closer look at Budget 2025, both in terms of whether it will pass the House of Commons (failure to do so meaning another election, of course) and whether it’s the right budget for the economic challenges facing Canada at the moment. We’ll get some economic analysis from Trevor Tombe, professor of economics at the University of Calgary and director of fiscal and economic policy at the U of C’s School of Public Policy.Plus, we’ll discuss the aftermath of a controversial Supreme Court decision last week and how the federal government might respond. In a 5 - 4 decision, the high court struck down Canada’s mandatory minimum sentence for the crime of possession of child p*rnography. There is considerable pressure on Ottawa to invoke the notwithstanding clause and set aside this ruling, although the government has ruled out such a step. We’ll hear from University of Alberta law professor Steven Penney who says there’s an alternative in between using the clause and letting this ruling stand. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show - a very busy week this week in Alberta:We’ll hear from Thomas Lukaszuk, former MLA and cabinet minister, and founder of the Forever Canadian campaign. Their petition campaign - posing the question: “‘Do you agree that Alberta should remain within Canada?” - appears to have far exceeded the minimum necessary for success. We’ll discuss the campaign and what comes next, including the big decision the premier will have to make.Also this week, the Alberta government introduced Bill 2, the Back to School Act, which invokes the notwithstanding clause to force teachers back to work and imposes a contract upon them - basically the same terms they overwhelmingly rejected in late September. We’ll get reaction from Alberta Teachers Association president Jason Schilling and find out whether he believes the strike was still worth it and what the ATA’s next moves might be in trying to convince the province to address these issues.Speaking of the notwithstanding clause, there’s an important case looming at the Supreme Court of Canada that could affect how governments use this power and whether there should be further limits or constraints. We’ll discuss that case with law professor and constitutional law expert Dwight Newman, and also get his thoughts on a potentially significant aboriginal titles case in B.C. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at what to expect as the Alberta Legislature kicks off what is sure to be a dramatic and consequential fall sitting.Thousands of teachers rallied at the Legislature on Thursday as the premier made it clear that back-to-work legislation will be tabled on Monday to end this strike and get kids back into the classroom. Further discussion and debate is expected in the coming weeks around health care, Alberta’s finances and sovereignty-related issues. It’s also NDP leader Naheed Nenshi’s first opportunity to stand in the Legislature as the Official Leader of the Opposition.We unpack it all in a conversation with political veterans and political insiders Erika Barootes and Cheryl Oates - they’re also the co-hosts of The Discourse podcast. They’ve both got plenty to say about all of these debates. YouTube:Spotify:Apple Podcasts:Don’t forget, you can follow our work and subscribe here at our Substack page (robbreakenridge.ca), which is where the podcast is hosted. You can also listen and subscribe on Spotify, Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts and other podcast platforms. Check out our YouTube channel, as well. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, a closer look at Alberta’s pipeline ambitions and the obstacles that still need to be overcome. We are one month away from Grey Cup, which is to serve as the platform for the prime minister to announce the next phase of projects under the Major Projects Office. Is it realistic for Alberta’s pipeline proposal to be in the mix? And what about the possible revival of the Keystone XL pipeline? We’ll look at the economics and legalities surrounding this debate as we chat with Andrew Leach, energy and environmental economist and professor at the University of Alberta.Speaking of Keystone XL, we’ll look at the state of the trading relationship between Canada and the United States. New polling done for the Montreal Economic Institute finds that a solid majority of Canadians still see jobs and growth linked to trade with the U.S. and see reaching an agreement as a top priority for the Carney government. So how should Canada approach these negotiations? We’ll speak with MEI’s Renaud Brossard.Plus, the latest on Alberta’s teacher strike, as little progress seems to be happening at the bargaining table and possible back-to-work legislation looming as the Alberta Legislature is set to resume later this month.YouTube:Spotify:Apple Podcasts:Don’t forget, you can follow our work and subscribe here at our Substack page (robbreakenridge.ca), which is where the podcast is hosted. You can also listen and subscribe on Spotify, Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts and other podcast platforms. Check out our YouTube channel, as well. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, Rob is joined by former Conservative leader Erin O’Toole, now president at ADIT North America and distinguished fellow at the Hudson Institute.We’ll get his thoughts on Prime Minister Carney’s latest visit to Washington and the prospect of Canada reaching a new trade agreement with Donald Trump. We’ll discuss the importance of maintaining the Canada-U.S. relationship, and the delicate balance the prime minister faces in being seen as standing up for Canada while also trying to keep things positive with the U.S. president.We’ll also look at how issues like energy security and defence spending are affecting these trade talks and the broader relationship between the two countries. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, as we bring you the latest on the Alberta teachers’ strikeAs of Monday morning, Alberta’s 51,000 public school teachers are on strike, after last week they voted overwhelmingly to reject the offer that was on the table from the province.Premier Danielle Smith has called on teachers to return to the bargaining table and suggested that the two sides aren’t too far apart. As of now, though, there are no talks happening.We spoke with Alberta Teachers Association president Jason Schilling about where things stand, what teachers are looking for, and where things could go from here Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

In this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show, we re-cap the dramatic week that was on the energy front. We had Alberta’s premier touting a new plan to get the ball rolling on a major new pipeline to the west coast. Just days earlier, though, word of massive layoffs at Imperial Oil, including the loss of almost 900 jobs in Calgary. We delve into all of that in a conversation with energy journalist and Energi Media CEO Markham Hislop.We’ll also look at the controversy that emerged in the final in-person town hall meeting of the Alberta Next panel, where the panel’s moderator offered a harsh response to a 17-year-old who was trying to ask a question about the teacher’s strike. Why the hostility, and what does this tell us about the political objectives of the Alberta Next process?Plus, we’ll speak with the Barry Avrich and Mark Selby, director & producer of the documentary “The Road Between Us: The Ultimate Rescue,” which has its nation-wide release Friday. The film tells the story of a desperate and dramatic rescue amid the terror attacks on Israel on October 7, 2023. The film caused quite a stir at the Toronto International Film Festival where it was briefly pulled by festival organizers before being reinstated and ultimately winning the People’s Choice Award. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to Episode 35 of the Rob Breakenridge ShowWe start with the breaking news from Monday evening, as the Alberta Teachers Association has voted overwhelmingly rejected the province’s offer. That sets the stage for a teachers’ strike to begin next week. We’ll hear what the ATA president had to say in response to the vote and how the Alberta government is reacting.Also, we’ll delve into the debate around Alberta’s push for greater powers - or more “sovereignty” - within Canada. That’s been a focus of the Alberta Next panel, which held its final in-person town hall Monday night in Calgary. We’ll be joined by panelist Michael Binnion - he’s also written a new paper on Alberta could flex its legal and constitutional muscles to assert greater power.Plus, a new book on the leaders who shaped this country and why this history matters. Author and historian J.D.M. Stewart will be with us to discuss his new book, “The Prime Ministers: Canada’s Leaders and the Nation They Shaped.” Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to this episode of the Rob Breakenridge Show - it’s been a busy and eventful week.We begin with the case of the ostrich farm in southeastern B.C. and the nearly 400 birds that the CFIA is determined to cull. The case has attracted national - and even international - attention, and now the Supreme Court has issued a stay of the cull order. We’ll speak with Camille Labchuk, lawyer and executive director at Animal Justice.The federal government is set to finally table a budget on November 4th, but a new report from the Parliamentary Budget Officer is warning of a larger-than-expected deficit and growing debt (and debt-to-GDP ratio) in the coming years. We’ll get some reaction and analysis from Franco Terrazzano, federal director of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation.Plus, a re-cap of other big news out of the nation’s capital this week: Ottawa’s proposed reforms to Canada Post - reforms which have prompted CUPW to declare a postal workers’ strike. Also, despite the public safety minister inadvertently exposing the flawed gun buyback program, Ottawa is pressing ahead. We’ll have details. Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe

Welcome to Episode 33 of the Rob Breakenridge Show - here’s what we have for you in this epsiode:The federal government is in damage control after the public safety minister was caught making some very revealing comments about the gun buyback program, which is part of the government’s ban on so-called “assault-style” firearms. Does the federal government really believe this expensive program will do anything for public safety? We’ll hear from Tracey Wilson, who’s with the Canadian Coalition for Firearm Rights. Plus, with Canada facing an economic slowdown and all sorts of trade uncertainty with the United States, a new study finds that we’re entering this period of uncertainty in a position of weakness. From 2020 - 2024, Canada’s GDP-per-capita declined, despite the overall economy growing. We’ll speak with Lawrence Schembri, former Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada and currently a Senior Fellow and Chair of Canadian Competitiveness at the Fraser Institute. Don’t forget, you can follow our work and subscribe here at our Substack page (robbreakenridge.ca), which is where the podcast is hosted. You can also listen and subscribe on Spotify, Amazon Music, Apple Podcasts and other podcast platforms. Check out our YouTube channel, as well.Spotify:Apple Podcasts:YouTube: Get full access to Rob Breakenridge at robbreakenridge.substack.com/subscribe