Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

NFL Week 1 best bets, player props and referee picks, plus two college football sides for Saturday. Warren Sharp is 36-13 (73%) lifetime on podcast best bets, and this is the full Week 1 card: his best bet of the week, three props from Rich Hribar, Ryan McCrystal's college football picks and Joe Gibbs on the Week 1 referees.Week 1 sale: code SHOW85 takes 85% off any weekly betting package, every Week 1 recommendation plus early Week 2 action for $15. Code SHOW25 takes 25% off a monthly or season-long package. sharp.footballPlayers and teams discussed: Jayden Daniels, Lamar Jackson, Joe Burrow, Rhamondre Stevenson, Arch Manning and Bryce Underwood. Seahawks at Patriots, Ohio State at Texas, Oklahoma at Michigan, Bengals vs Buccaneers, Bears vs Panthers, Saints at Lions, Packers at Vikings, Cowboys at Giants and Broncos at Chiefs.WHAT YOU WILL LEARN• Which teams moved to under center the most this preseason, and why it matters for Daniels, Lamar and Burrow• Why Week 1 is the week to be careful with your bankroll, and why Week 2 is overreaction week• How to use alt ladders on player props• Ryan McCrystal's picks for Ohio State at Texas and Oklahoma at Michigan• Rich Hribar's three Week 1 props and the numbers behind each one• The referee trends behind Joe Gibbs' three picks• Warren's Week 1 best bet and the numbers behind itCHAPTERS00:00 Warren's best bets record and today's show01:06 Seahawks over Patriots: the opener02:33 Quarterbacks going under center more in 202609:08 New coaches, new roles, new prices13:21 How we bet props (and the Stevenson ladder)17:30 College football picks with Ryan McCrystal18:16 Ohio State at Texas pick21:44 Oklahoma at Michigan pick25:31 85% off the Week 1 betting package26:58 Rich Hribar prop 1: Bengals vs Bucs29:35 Prop 2: Bears vs Panthers32:23 Prop 3: Saints at Lions35:38 The ref report with Joe Gibbs36:29 Packers at Vikings38:34 Cowboys at Giants, Sunday Night Football40:55 Broncos at Chiefs, Monday Night Football43:46 Warren's best bet of the week51:34 Wrap-upWatch the video version on YouTube: https://youtu.be/KEB0lOgXzl8PROMO CODESSHOW85: 85% off any weekly betting package at sharp.footballSHOW25: 25% off a monthly or season-long packageOddsJam code WARREN: free trial and 40% off your first month, oddsjam.comGUESTSRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis, @LordReebsRyan McCrystal, Sharp Football Analysis, college footballJoe Gibbs, Sharp Football Analysis, referee analysisHosted by Warren Sharp, @SharpFootballMORE RESOURCESThe WorksheetThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packagesFollow UsYouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Three matchups decide the biggest games of NFL Week 1, and this is the film and the numbers on all three: Texans offense against the Bills defense, the Bengals passing game against the Buccaneers front, and Ravens at Colts.Houston's offense finished 30th in red zone touchdown rate last season and ran the fourth highest rate of three receiver sets down there. Buffalo has a new defensive coordinator and gave up 7.6 yards per carry against two tight end sets. Cincinnati is putting Joe Burrow under center after two years of shotgun at the second highest rate in the NFL, against the defense that blitzes more than anyone. And the Colts offense that ranked number one in the league through 10 weeks meets a Baltimore defense with a new coordinator who plays the lowest rate of man coverage in football.Plus the Seahawks and Patriots opener, the two injuries that came out of it, and one sneaky important matchup from each of us that nobody is talking about.85% OFF THE WEEKLY BETTING PACKAGEWe opened the season 3-1, hit both of our top props on Wednesday night, and a $100 bettor won $378 on the first game of the year. Get every Week 1 play plus early Week 2 action for $15. Use code SHOW85 at checkout.https://sharp.footballTHE WORKSHEETA full preview of every single game, every week, written by Rich Hribar. Included with the fantasy packages.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy/the-worksheet/THE 2026 FOOTBALL PREVIEW600 plus pages. Every team chapter, every positional unit ranked, win total analysis and the futures market.https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ALL PACKAGEShttps://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/CHAPTERS00:00 Welcome to the Matchup Show00:35 Seahawks 13, Patriots 10: what actually happened07:28 Three videos a week this season08:08 Matchup 1: Texans offense vs Bills defense14:21 The other side: Josh Allen against the Texans pass rush15:54 C.J. Stroud at home and on the road17:09 Matchup 2: Bengals passing game vs Bucs defensive front21:19 Joe Burrow's Week 1 problem24:39 Can Cincinnati run it against this front26:35 85% off the Week 1 betting package27:38 Matchup 3: Ravens and Colts33:30 Lamar Jackson and the new Ravens offense38:04 Sneaky important matchup38:29 Rich's pick: Steelers 12 personnel41:09 Warren's pick: Jordan Love vs Brian Flores43:50 Tell us if you want this every weekNew show, every Thursday, all season long.Watch on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RaOe53L5LNYX: https://x.com/SharpFootballX: https://x.com/LordReebs Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

2026 NFL win totals, drafted. Three analysts pick 30 of the 32 teams in snake order by who will win the most games this season, with the schedule, roster and coaching reasons behind every pick and the two teams nobody wanted.Get 25 percent off every package with code TAKE25: https://sharp.footballTen rounds, thirty picks, two teams left on the board. Every pick comes with a case for the team, a case against it, and the win total number the market put on it. The back half covers the two teams nobody drafted, the picks that could look dumb by December, the Week 1 games where the drafters go head to head, and the strength of schedule tool that will update every week of the season.What You'll Learn• Which teams three analysts trust most for wins in 2026, in the order they were taken• Why the defending Super Bowl champions and the runners-up both lasted past the second round• The field goal luck and one-score record that explain one team's 2025• Why a team coming off a Super Bowl loss went in the fourth round• The late-season schedule that flattered a young quarterback's finish last year• Which teams sit in a brutal division, and which ones drew the easy runs• The four Week 1 games where two drafters own opposite sidelines• The two teams nobody drafted, and whyChapters00:00 Welcome, and what a win total draft is00:46 The Merril Hoge and Skip Bayless clip03:22 Why the analysis has to be researched04:32 Meet the drafters, and the two-time champ06:59 How the draft works08:30 Round 109:39 The code for 25 percent off17:13 Round 221:50 Round 325:12 Round 431:27 Round 539:46 Round 641:19 The Splash Sports pick five contest46:15 Round 750:42 Round 857:49 Round 91:06:35 Round 101:10:44 The two teams nobody drafted1:14:23 Which picks could look dumb1:15:42 Week 1 head to head games1:18:08 Which teams were under-drafted, and the projected totals1:20:33 The strength of schedule tool1:21:32 Wrap, and the packagesWatch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XjCqN1RcX0wSplash Sports Pick 5 ContestCode SHARP, $100 entry, enter by September 13: https://splashsports.com/sharpToday's DraftersWarren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootballRich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/LordReebsRaymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlinMore ResourcesAll packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/Futures packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/The 2026 Football Preview book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/Follow UsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysisX: https://x.com/SharpFootballWebsite: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Twelve NFL player props and futures for the 2026 season from four Sharp Football analysts, with the schedule, target and blocking-scheme numbers behind them. Get the full props and futures packages at sharpfootballanalysis.com/props. Players and teams discussed: Josh Allen, D.J. Moore, Dalton Kincaid, Carnell Tate, Cam Ward, Elic Ayomanor, Rome Odunze, Jonathan Taylor, Jordan Love, Micah Parsons, Josh Jacobs, David Montgomery, Woody Marks, Christian Watson, Jayden Reed, Matthew Golden, Jaylen Waddle, Javonte Williams, Chase Brown, Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving. WHAT YOU WILL LEARN • Why Buffalo's schedule of opposing offenses swings hard in the other direction this season • The quarterback who has hit a 5 percent touchdown rate in each of the last six seasons, and why nobody else over that stretch has • What happened to D.J. Moore's target quality in Chicago, and what changes now • Why a rookie wide receiver's reception floor depends on his quarterback's accuracy downfield • The 50 yard per game gap between one running back's wins and losses over the last two seasons • Why one of the run heaviest offenses in the league may be forced to throw more • Where one running back ranked among 44 backs on man blocking runs last season • How a Green Bay receiver's usage changed over the last three or four weeks of last season • What Denver's first half early down air yards this preseason say about the offense they are about to run • Two division futures, and the prices Warren was seeing when this was recorded CHAPTERS 00:00 Welcome, and what the show is 00:28 Who is on today, and the 25 percent off code 02:09 Rich Hribar joins, and the case for more Buffalo passing 03:51 The first angle, Josh Allen and the end zone 05:00 The schedule swing that could change the Bills defense 06:49 The first receiver, D.J. Moore and his target quality 09:29 Dalton Kincaid at tight end, health and routes 13:29 Ray Summerlin joins, a draft story and the rankings tool 18:05 Ray's first bet, Carnell Tate and Cam Ward 23:45 Ray's second bet, Jonathan Taylor and the Colts 28:19 Ray's third bet, Jordan Love and a run heavy offense 31:52 What Green Bay's defense does to the game script 36:16 Curtis Hirsch joins, and a Cowboys curveball 39:28 Curtis's first bet, David Montgomery to Houston 43:44 Curtis's second bet, Christian Watson in Green Bay 46:34 Curtis's third bet, Jaylen Waddle to Denver 52:16 Warren's turn, and why some of his numbers already moved 53:17 Chase Brown and the Bengals ground game 55:22 The first division future 58:26 The second division future 1:03:53 Twelve futures, one show Watch the video version on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qaZ6bZJN4hY GUESTS Rich Hribar, Sharp Football Analysis — @LordReebs Raymond Summerlin, Sharp Football Analysis — @RMSummerlin Curtis Hirsch, Sharp Football Analysis — @curtisharsch Hosted by Warren Sharp — @SharpFootball MORE RESOURCESSeason long player propsFutures packagesThe 2026 Football Preview bookAll packages Follow Us YouTube • X • sharpfootballanalysis.com Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Fantasy football draft targets for 2026 - ten players Rich Hribar and JJ Zachariason are drafting this season, with the route rates, target share, red zone usage and ADP behind every pick. Get the fantasy football bundle for $99 with code BUNDLE, the draft kit plus the full regular season, normally $190: https://sharp.football Rich Hribar is joined by JJ Zachariason of Late-Round Fantasy Football for the sixth year of their targets and avoids trade off. JJ brings Chase Brown, Malik Willis, Jaylen Waddle, Dalton Kincaid and Stefon Diggs. Rich brings DeVonta Smith, Justin Herbert, Christian Watson, D.J. Moore and Jordan Mason, plus a detour on whether Josh Allen is worth the pick this year. What You'll Learn: • Why a running back with almost nothing changing around him is the most stable early pick on their boards • The wide receiver whose splits without his old teammate have been absurd every time we get them • A quarterback going outside the top 20 who only needs his legs to finish as a QB1 • Why one of the league's best arms is being priced like a backup on some platforms • The receiver who just walked into a fifth-in-pass-attempts offense and a role the last guy could not hold • The receiver whose two biggest target competitors are both off the roster • The tight end who led his position in fantasy points per route and still finished TE10 • The one thing veterans who beat their ADP kept having in common, and the counter-case against it • The veteran whose route share, not his ability, is the only thing holding him back • How to find a late-round running back who can actually take over a backfield Chapters: 0:00 Intro 1:01 1. Chase Brown, RB Bengals 6:57 2. DeVonta Smith, WR Eagles 10:49 The fantasy football bundle, code BUNDLE 12:57 3. Malik Willis, QB Dolphins 21:13 4. Justin Herbert, QB Chargers 26:54 5. Jaylen Waddle, WR Broncos 31:58 6. Christian Watson, WR Packers 36:43 7. Dalton Kincaid, TE Bills 42:42 8. D.J. Moore, WR Bills 50:55 Is Josh Allen worth the pick this year 54:03 9. Stefon Diggs, WR Commanders 1:01:07 10. Jordan Mason, RB Vikings 1:07:22 Wrap up Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p23yJHEL3AI Promo code BUNDLE gets the fantasy football bundle for $99 at Sharp Football Analysis. Today's Guest: JJ Zachariason, Late-Round Fantasy Football. Last week on his channel they gave you the ten players they are avoiding. More Resources: Fantasy packages, the draft kit and the worksheet: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Late-Round Fantasy Football: https://lateround.com Rich Hribar on X: https://x.com/LordReebs JJ Zachariason on X: https://x.com/LateRoundQB Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

College football win totals and futures for the 2026 season — six win total bets across the Big 12, the ACC and the SEC, with every number, every price and the schedule spot that decides each one. Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football Warren Sharp is joined by Sharp Football college betting analyst Ryan McCrystal for six 2026 futures before Week Zero: Cincinnati under 5.5 wins, Virginia over 7.5, Georgia Tech under 6.5, Cal over 6.5, Ole Miss to miss the College Football Playoff, and the best bet of the show, LSU over 8.5 wins. What You'll Learn: • The quarterback change that decides Cincinnati's season, and why it is worth more than a win • How to read a Virginia schedule that did not get harder, and the NIL money behind the rest of the case • What happens to a Georgia Tech offense when the coordinator, the starter and the backup all leave in one offseason • Why Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele raises the floor at Cal, not just the ceiling • What a first-year head coach and a brutal five-game stretch mean for Ole Miss and the College Football Playoff • What Lane Kiffin built at LSU in the transfer portal, and how the schedule sets up • The difference between an 8.5-win total and a 9.5-win total, and why one game is worth so much Chapters: 0:00 Welcome 0:35 Six win totals with Ryan McCrystal 2:27 Cincinnati Bearcats 6:03 Virginia Cavaliers 10:36 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 14:59 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20 15:59 Cal Golden Bears 20:36 The odds, book by book 21:29 Ole Miss Rebels 25:31 LSU Tigers, the best bet of the show 27:09 Inside the LSU schedule 29:49 Why one win changes everything 30:13 The Friday betting show is back Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMitDmnuLXA Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis. More Resources: Betting packages, fantasy analysis, the draft kit and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football Ryan McCrystal on X: https://x.com/Ryan_McCrystal Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL preseason Week 2 is over and five of the six quarterback situations on this tape look bad — plus beat-reporter intel from the 32BeatWriters network before final roster cuts. Get everything at Sharp Football Analysis and take 20% off sitewide with promo code SHOW20: https://sharp.football Warren Sharp walks the quarterback tape from preseason Week 2 — Deshaun Watson named the Browns starter, Cam Ward's rough two weeks in Tennessee, Bryce Young still on a leash, Bo Nix letting it rip in Denver, Fernando Mendoza under pressure in Las Vegas, and Aaron Rodgers giving Mike McCarthy nothing downfield. Then Matt Olson of 32BeatWriters and Raymond Summerlin join for beat-reporter intel before final cuts: the Ashton Jeanty ankle and what it means for Mike Washington, the rookie receivers still going undrafted, 21 new offensive coordinators, what Pete Carmichael changes in Buffalo, and the trade and cut candidates worth tracking. What You'll Learn: • Why Cleveland picking Deshaun Watson is not the same thing as Watson winning a quarterback battle • Where Cam Ward ranks against the only four quarterbacks with real preseason volume • The three offenses that have changed the most through two preseason games • What the Ashton Jeanty ankle means for Mike Washington and the Raiders backfield • Which under-the-radar rookie receivers the beat reporters are actually hearing about • What Pete Carmichael changes about James Cook and the Buffalo passing game • The running back injuries and cut candidates that move a depth chart before final cuts Chapters: 0:00 Today's show 1:55 The 3 offenses that changed the most 5:06 Deshaun Watson named the Browns starter 8:56 De'Zhaun Stribling's usage problem 12:46 Cam Ward: two rough weeks 16:10 Managing Bryce Young 18:40 Bo Nix letting it rip 20:20 Fernando Mendoza thrown to the fire 24:30 Aaron Rodgers x Mike McCarthy 28:49 20% off sitewide, code SHOW20 29:41 Matt of 32BeatWriters + Ray Summerlin join 31:31 Stribling and Ja'Kobi Lane 36:28 Under-the-radar rookie WRs 39:37 Ashton Jeanty's ankle + the Raiders run game 43:40 RB injuries to watch 46:39 21 new offensive coordinators 51:42 Pete Carmichael's Bills offense 56:36 Trending up, trending down 59:03 Trade + cut watch 1:01:42 Wrap Watch this episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fVZ3-Z1w2dA Promo code SHOW20 for 20% off everything at Sharp Football Analysis. Today's Guests: Matt Olson of 32BeatWriters — beat-reporter intel from around the league: https://x.com/MattOlsonFF Raymond Summerlin of Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/RMSummerlin 32BeatWriters on X: https://x.com/32BeatWriters 32BeatWriters on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@32beatwriters More Resources: All 2026 Sharp Football packages — Draft Kit, In-Season, Betting, Futures and the 2026 Football Preview book: https://sharp.football Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

A 20-round full PPR best ball draft from the No. 1 overall pick — every pick argued out loud, plus what taking Jahmyr Gibbs at 1.01 costs you at running back two rounds later. Get the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit + In-Season bundle and take $20 off with promo code BUNDLE20: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Rich Hribar and Raymond Summerlin draft from pick 1 in a 12-team, 20-round full-PPR best ball tournament: Jahmyr Gibbs, Nico Collins, DeVonta Smith, David Montgomery, Christian Watson, Sam LaPorta, Jayden Reed, Jared Goff, Jacory "Bill" Croskey-Merritt, Jordan Love, Keaton Mitchell, Juwan Johnson, Ray Davis, Caleb Douglas, Dylan Sampson, Emmett Johnson, Charlie Kolar, Calvin Ridley, Germie Bernard and Bryce Lance. Plus the Jayden Higgins and Jordyn Tyson injuries, what the receiver injury wave does to ADP, and an honest post-mortem on what drafting from the 1 spot costs you. What You'll Learn: • What the top pick actually buys you, and the running back hole it opens two rounds later • How a week of receiver injuries moves ADP in real time, and why chasing hurt receivers keeps failing • Reading preseason usage without overreacting to it, with last year's receipts • Building a quarterback stack that arrives at a fair price instead of forcing one • Why the 2/3 and 4/5 turns are always stronger at receiver than at running back • The 20-round endgame: which late darts are handcuffs worth owning and which are outright zeros • The self-critique at the end: the build the hosts would run back differently The format, in short: 12-team draft, 20 rounds, full PPR best ball, no in-season management. New draft every Friday through Week 1. Chapters: 0:00 Cold open 0:15 Welcome in: a new draft every Friday through Week 1 1:51 The Draft Kit: 75+ articles and tools 2:38 The wide receiver injury wave 4:49 Running back injuries and what they do to ADP 5:25 The draft begins from pick 1 5:56 Pick 1.01: Jahmyr Gibbs over Bijan Robinson 6:21 Drake London and the quarterback splits 6:53 Do not overreact to the preseason 7:50 The signals worth watching: Dalton Kincaid 9:17 Back at the 2/3 turn 10:11 Pick 2.12: Nico Collins 10:37 Pick 3.01: DeVonta Smith 10:51 The Rashee Rice and George Pickens problem 11:34 The Tyson injury reshuffles the receiver board 12:37 The Kamara injury and Travis Etienne 13:45 Why drafting hurt receivers rarely works 15:15 Pick 4.12: David Montgomery 15:27 Pick 5.01: Christian Watson 17:59 Two running backs through five rounds 19:05 Collins and Montgomery: doubling up on the same touchdown pie 19:57 Jake Ferguson vs Dalton Schultz 21:04 Pick 6.12: Sam LaPorta 21:45 Pick 7.01: Jayden Reed, starting the stack 22:28 The Stafford pick and one team's all-Rams build 23:35 Why we went away from Hurts and Josh Jacobs 24:51 RJ Harvey and betting profile over priors 26:42 Pick 8.12: Jared Goff 26:58 Pick 9.01: Jacory "Bill" Croskey-Merritt 28:06 Roster check through nine rounds 28:41 Auto-draft players and injury optimism 29:57 The McCaffrey precedent nobody remembers 31:53 Pick 10.12: Jordan Love 32:25 Pick 11.01: Keaton Mitchell 34:26 Xavier Worthy at a much lower cost 35:32 Rashid Shaheed and best ball's margin for error 36:11 Tyrone Tracy and the Najee Harris signing 36:50 Pick 12.12: Juwan Johnson 37:24 Pick 13.01: Ray Davis 37:44 James Cook, 400 touches, and the double standard 39:23 How many quarterbacks does this team need 42:24 Pick 14.12: Caleb Douglas 42:43 Pick 15.01: Dylan Sampson 43:40 Malachi Fields and what is behind Malik Nabers 46:20 Late tight ends and the Charlie Kolar case 47:20 Pick 16.12: Emmett Johnson 47:41 Pick 17.01: Charlie Kolar 47:58 Jack Bech and the Raiders passing game 49:36 Three wide receivers to close 50:15 Rashod Bateman and Ja'Kobi Lane 52:38 Pick 18.12: Calvin Ridley 53:17 Pick 19.01: Germie Bernard 56:16 Full roster read-back 57:20 Pick 20.12: Bryce Lance 57:49 What this team actually needs to hit 59:36 The real cost of drafting from the 1 or 2 spot 1:01:38 Three more drafts left before Week 1 Watch the draft board on screen in the YouTube version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5SdaAKuqAj4 Promo code BUNDLE20 for $20 off the fantasy bundle. More Resources: The 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit hub — 75+ articles and tools, rankings, tiers and the How to Draft series: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ All 2026 Sharp Football packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Rich Hribar: @LordReebs | Raymond Summerlin: @RMSummerlin | Warren Sharp: @SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The NFL is quietly going back under center, and it is not one or two teams, it is almost everybody. Warren Sharp charts every 2026 preseason week 1 offense against 2025 on first half early downs: shotgun rate, target depth, personnel groupings, pre-snap motion and where quarterbacks are throwing. 21 teams have a new offensive coordinator, and week 1 showed you what each of them wants to run. Get the 2026 NFL Preview book. 619 pages, every roster ranked, detailed strength of schedule, rest edges and lines for every game all season. Use code BOOK20 to drop it to $19.99. https://www.sharp.football Featuring Tua Tagovailoa, Joe Burrow, Aaron Rodgers, Cam Ward, Malik Willis, Sam Darnold, Drew Lock, Deshaun Watson, Tanner McKee, Andy Dalton, Teddy Bridgewater, Jayden Daniels, Kevin Stefanski, Mike McDaniel, Davis Webb, Matt Nagy and Todd Monken. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN • Why 21 new offensive coordinators are quietly moving the whole league back under center • Which offenses changed the most from 2025, with the exact numbers behind every one • How Cincinnati changed with the same quarterback, head coach and coordinator, including Joe Burrow's shotgun rate falling from 88% to 57% • Which offenses got more aggressive downfield, Miami, Denver and the Chargers, and which pulled everything short • What Tua Tagovailoa's first action in Atlanta actually looked like • Why Las Vegas went the opposite way on pre-snap motion while the rest of the league cut it • Which preseason numbers are real signal and which to throw out once the starters play THE NUMBERS • Atlanta cut its shotgun rate from 78% to 46%, third highest in the league down to what would rank 27th • Philadelphia went from 75% to 35% • Washington, the most shotgun-heavy offense in football last season at 85%, dropped to 50% • Miami more than doubled its air yards per attempt, 6.0 to 12.1, and led the NFL in week 1 at 13.4 • Denver nearly doubled its own, 7.1 to 13.8 • The Chargers went from 35% to 77% on two running back sets • Cincinnati's air yards per attempt fell from 6.9 to 4.0, a 42% drop • Las Vegas raised pre-snap motion from 49% to 63% while everyone else cut it CHAPTERS 0:00 Intro 0:12 What we measured 0:45 21 new offensive coordinators 2:09 Why only first half early downs 2:47 The 7 offenses that changed the most 3:22 The league-wide trend: motion and shotgun are down 5:13 Atlanta Falcons - Tua's debut 6:58 Philadelphia Eagles - the backup QB battle 9:48 Miami Dolphins - the opposite swing 11:19 Detroit Lions - Bridgewater retires 12:13 Denver Broncos - the offense Warren likes most 13:59 Los Angeles Chargers - Mike McDaniel's two-back look 16:40 Seattle Seahawks - Sam Darnold over the middle 18:11 Pittsburgh Steelers - life after Rodgers 20:39 Baltimore Ravens - three straight AFC North teams 21:26 Cincinnati Bengals - what changed with no changes 23:24 Arizona Cardinals - new head coach, new offense 25:16 Cleveland Browns - Todd Monken's problem 26:26 New York Giants - Matt Nagy's two-back look 28:20 Kansas City Chiefs - Eric Bieniemy returns 29:46 Washington Commanders - the biggest shotgun drop 30:28 Las Vegas Raiders - going the other way on motion 31:58 Tennessee Titans - Cam Ward WATCH THIS EPISODEhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JclvAR0FbDk MORE RESOURCES 2026 NFL Preview book, code BOOK20: https://www.sharp.football Fantasy packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Follow Us Warren Sharp on X: @SharpFootball Sharp Football Analysis: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com Subscribe on YouTube for numbers, matchups, fantasy and betting markets all season long. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Best ball fantasy football draft for 2026, this time in full PPR — 20 rounds from the No. 3 pick, playing for a $3,000,000 first prize. Get the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit + In-Season bundle and take $20 off with promo code BUNDLE20 (or KIT5 for $5 off the Draft Kit alone): https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Rich Hribar and Raymond Summerlin fire up their first full-PPR best ball draft of the year and take every pick live: Christian McCaffrey at 1.3, Malik Nabers, DeVonta Smith, Josh Jacobs, Mike Evans, Jadarian Price, Jalen Hurts, Harold Fannin Jr., Michael Pittman Jr., Brock Purdy, Rachaad White, Rashid Shaheed, Jonah Coleman, Dontayvion Wicks, Ryan Flournoy, Gunnar Helm, AJ Barner, DeMond Claiborne, Eli Stowers and Seth McGowan. What You'll Learn: • How strategy changes moving from half PPR to full PPR — and which positions get the value bump • The case for Christian McCaffrey at pick 3, and why best ball makes it a free square • Why the elite RB tier is gone by the time pick 3 comes back around • How to build stacks without forcing them: the Hurts–Smith and Evans–Purdy pairs both arrived at fair prices • Reading the QB room: Josh Allen goes early, then a massive gap — when to strike • The 20-round endgame: the dart-throw RBs, WRs and tight ends worth your last five picks Chapters: 0:00 Welcome: first full PPR draft of the year 1:02 Chuba Hubbard injury news 2:01 The Draft Kit and the fantasy bundle 3:00 Half PPR vs full PPR: what actually changes 5:00 The pick 3 question 6:26 Pick 1.3: Christian McCaffrey 10:04 Pick 2.10: Malik Nabers 11:21 Pick 3.3: DeVonta Smith 12:59 Jordyn Tyson over Chris Olave 15:26 Pick 4.10: Josh Jacobs 16:41 Pick 5.3: Mike Evans (planting the Purdy stack) 18:10 Josh Allen early, then the QB gap 21:34 Pick 6.10: Jadarian Price 22:20 Pick 7.3: Jalen Hurts, stacked with Smith 23:33 The Jonathan Brooks head-scratcher 24:16 Darren Waller to Carolina: fantasy fallout 27:08 Harold Fannin on the radar (Pick 8.10 at 28:04) 29:06 Pick 9.3: Michael Pittman Jr. 30:13 Mahomes is falling: how stacks drive QB ADP 31:53 Xavier Worthy doubts and the Matthew Golden theory 33:15 Pick 10.10: Brock Purdy (the stack completes) 33:43 Pick 11.3: Rachaad White 35:50 The Mark Andrews Rorschach test 38:17 Pick 12.10: Rashid Shaheed 39:18 Pick 13.3: Jonah Coleman 40:14 Ray Davis, the best handcuff in football 41:44 Not scared of Travis Hunter 43:12 Pick 14.10: Dontayvion Wicks 44:11 Pick 15.3: Ryan Flournoy 48:21 Pick 16.10: Gunnar Helm 49:27 Pick 17.3: AJ Barner 53:39 Pick 18.10: DeMond Claiborne 55:34 Pick 19.3: Eli Stowers 58:43 Pick 20.10: Seth McGowan 59:36 Full team recap from pick 3 1:03:09 What's next: a live draft every Friday Watch the draft board on screen in the YouTube version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5mNuUnxcLY Promo code KIT5 for $5 off the Draft Kit, BUNDLE20 for $20 off the fantasy bundle. More Resources: Rich Hribar's positional draft plans (in the Draft Kit): https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ All 2026 Sharp Football packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Rich Hribar: @LordReebs | Raymond Summerlin: @RMSummerlin | Warren Sharp: @SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Warren Sharp runs through everything that matters heading into preseason week 1: what the Commanders lose with Laremy Tunsil gone, Patrick Mahomes vs Josh Allen for best quarterback of the decade, the 2026 schedule traps hiding behind last year's late quarterback surges in New Orleans and Jacksonville, the new Highmark Stadium, and what a single sack actually costs a drive. Rich Hribar joins to explain moving Christian McCaffrey to No. 3 overall, and where Mahomes and Allen land for fantasy this season. Get the 2026 Sharp Football Preview: https://sharp.football CHAPTERS 0:00 What's on today's show 1:25 Three shows a week, and a favour 3:35 The Commanders lose Laremy Tunsil 7:13 Washington's kicking problem 10:05 Mahomes vs Allen, best QB of the decade 14:36 The 2026 Sharp Football Preview 16:27 Rich Hribar: Christian McCaffrey to No. 3 26:57 Rich Hribar: Mahomes vs Allen for fantasy 34:24 Was it real, or was it the schedule 36:12 New Orleans and the schedule behind the surge 38:37 Jacksonville, the same story 44:51 The new Highmark Stadium 47:51 Sack avoidance and Caleb Williams 52:46 Kyler Murray, and what Minnesota asks of a QB 55:26 Denver's new offense and Bo Nix 59:08 Outro   Warren Sharp - https://x.com/SharpFootball Rich Hribar - https://x.com/LordReebs Sharp Football Analysis - https://sharp.football Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Raymond Summerlin and Rich Hribar draft a best ball team live from the number two pick, covering 2026 fantasy football ADP, best ball strategy, roster construction and the Stefan Diggs signing. Get $20 off the fantasy football bundle with promo code BUNDLE20: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Stefan Diggs is signing with the Washington Commanders, and the guys open by working through what it means for Terry McLaurin, Jayden Daniels, Chig Okonkwo and the late-round tight end market, plus why Deebo Samuel's move back into a familiar system is more interesting than the efficiency numbers suggest. Then it is a live draft from the 2 spot. Bijan Robinson comes off the board first, the back half of round one turns into an RB-RB pile-up, and the team ends up with seven running backs, two Cardinals by accident, and a tight end room the guys openly call their weakest position. What You'll Learn: • What Stefan Diggs to Washington does to Terry McLaurin, Jayden Daniels and the late-round tight end crowd • Why the back half of round one has become RB-RB no matter which site you draft on • Rashee Rice, touchdown regression, and the red zone numbers behind the call • David Montgomery and the prototypical dead zone running back profile • The Colston Loveland bet, and what the team would have looked like if Brock Bowers fell one more spot • The full roster recap, and Malik Nabers' fantasy playoff schedule Chapters: 0:00 Cold open 0:18 Weekly live drafts through August 1:27 The Fantasy Draft Kit 2:24 Breaking: Stefan Diggs signs with Washington 2:59 What it means for McLaurin, Daniels and Okonkwo 5:41 Deebo Samuel back in a familiar system 7:21 The draft begins, on the clock at pick 2 10:02 Why the back half of round 1 turned into RB-RB 12:10 Rashee Rice and touchdown regression 14:20 David Montgomery and the dead zone profile 18:01 Marvin Harrison Jr. and the receiver run 21:53 Xavier Worthy, Jordan Addison and the WR3 tier 26:13 Deebo over Dobbs, and hunting a second QB 28:18 C.J. Stroud and the second tight end problem 31:28 Round 15: pounding running backs 36:17 Cyrus Allen, Jerry Jeudy and the fun picks 41:08 The full roster recap 44:29 Nabers' fantasy playoff schedule 45:30 Wrap-up and BUNDLE20 New live draft every Friday through August and into the first week of September. Watch the picks happen on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootball?sub_confirmation=1 More Resources: Fantasy Football Draft Kit and the full fantasy bundle: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Follow Us Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Warren Sharp ranks every NFL starting quarterback into tiers for 2026, covering all 32 teams, NFL QB rankings, quarterback tiers, betting futures and fantasy football draft value. Get the 2026 Football Preview Book, 619 full color pages on all 32 teams. Use code SHARPQB to save $10 on the PDF: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ Training camps are open, so Warren Sharp puts every starting quarterback in the NFL on one board and sorts them into five tiers, from "we can win the Super Bowl because of you" down to "we need to replace you." This is not a career ranking. It is a 2026 ranking: the quarterback, the coaching staff, and the talent around him, judged for this season only. Warren goes team by team from Arizona to Washington with the numbers behind every call. Some of the placements that will start arguments: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen land in different tiers, Justin Herbert sits in tier three, Bryce Young is placed below Jacoby Brissett, Sam Darnold does not crack tier two, and Bo Nix does. What You'll Learn: • Why "win playoff games because of you" and "win playoff games in spite of you" are two different tiers • Why Jacoby Brissett is better than the league thinks, above average across the board among 45 qualifying quarterbacks • The Justin Herbert verdict: elite talent, tier three placement, and what has to change • Drake Maye vs Jayden Daniels, and how roster building rather than talent separated the same draft class • The full tier board at the end, including where Kirk Cousins and Shedeur Sanders shake out Chapters: 0:00 The five QB tiers, explained 0:26 The 2026 Football Preview Book 1:19 How the tiers work 2:33 Jacoby Brissett 3:16 Tua Tagovailoa & Michael Penix Jr. 4:15 Lamar Jackson 6:28 Josh Allen 7:32 Bryce Young 10:09 Caleb Williams 11:36 Joe Burrow 12:35 Shedeur Sanders / Deshaun Watson 13:47 Dak Prescott 14:58 Bo Nix 16:29 Jared Goff 17:39 Jordan Love 18:27 C.J. Stroud 19:57 Daniel Jones 20:47 Trevor Lawrence 21:45 Patrick Mahomes 22:56 NFL Futures package 23:32 Justin Herbert 25:28 Fernando Mendoza 25:53 Matthew Stafford 27:16 Malik Willis 28:13 Aaron Rodgers 28:48 Kyler Murray 29:27 Drake Maye 31:48 Tyler Shough 32:34 Jaxson Dart 33:02 Geno Smith 33:19 Jalen Hurts 34:23 Brock Purdy 35:06 Sam Darnold 36:03 Baker Mayfield 36:28 Cam Ward 36:48 Jayden Daniels 38:20 The final tier board and wrap-up For more NFL rankings, betting analysis and data-driven football coverage, subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootball?sub_confirmation=1 NFL Futures package, 18+ recommendations. Use code FUTURES50 for 50% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/ More Resources: Fantasy Football Draft Kit: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ 2026 NFL Preview Book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

The Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans & New York Giants each must make one key change in 2026 to improve their Super Bowl odds.  Full offseason breakdown with betting & fantasy angles. Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the single most important fix for all four teams — straight from the 2026 Football Preview.  Bet smarter with Novig — $5 gets you $50 in Novig coins with code SHARP50: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  Get the 2026 Football Preview (619 pages, all 32 teams) — code SHARP10 for 10% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  WHAT YOU'LL LEARN  • Why the Chiefs fell from No. 1 to 28th in first-quarter scoring — and how Kenneth Walker's explosiveness (32 runs of 20+ yards vs. 17 by ALL Chiefs RBs since 2022) fixes their slow starts as Patrick Mahomes returns from injury  • The play-calling tell that made Denver's offense predictable (79% pass from shotgun, 29% under center) and what new play caller Davis Webb changes after an 11-2 record in one-score games  • How Houston's rebuilt offensive line and David Montgomery unlock Nick Caley's man-blocking scheme — and why C.J. Stroud's red zone numbers, not his overall play, held the Texans back  • Jaxson Dart's historic rookie rushing (3rd-best EPA since 2000) vs. 35th-ranked passing — and why Giants expectations under the new staff need caution  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

2026 NFL Preview Book is live with 619 pages of football betting edges, fantasy football rankings, NFL win totals, team previews, schedule analysis and futures market insight.  Get the 2026 Football Preview: https://sharp.football  The 2026 NFL season starts now. The new Sharp Football Preview is here with 619 pages built to get you smarter before the market catches up. This episode breaks down what is inside the book, why this NFL season looks more wide open than usual, and how coaching changes, schedule edges, win totals, fantasy football trends and futures markets create opportunity before Week 1.  What You’ll Learn:  • What is inside the 2026 Football Preview  • Why this year’s book is the biggest one yet  • How Sharp Football attacks all 32 NFL team previews  • Why the 2026 NFL season has more uncertainty than usual  • How coaching changes can create betting and fantasy edges  • Why schedule analysis, rest edges and team context matter • How to enter the printed book giveaway • Why this book helps with futures, fantasy football, best ball and in-season betting  This episode is brought to you by Novig. Spend $5, get $50 in Novig Coins with code SHARP50: https://novig.onelink.me/JHQQ/65opklku  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

NFL rest edges could shape the 2026 season as Warren Sharp identifies major schedule advantages for teams like the Bears and Bills while the Chargers face one of the toughest rest disadvantages in years.  Get the 2026 Sharp Football Preview: https://www.sharp.football Use code SCHEDULE for 15% off. The 2026 NFL schedule is not only about who teams play. It is about when they play them. This full breakdown explains how rest advantages, short-week road games, mini-byes, bye-week timing, and schedule sequencing can impact betting markets, win totals, futures, playoff races, and team expectations.  Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the biggest 2026 NFL schedule winners and losers, including the Bears’ major rest edge, the Chargers’ brutal disadvantage, and why the Bills’ schedule is more complicated than it looks.  What You’ll Learn  • Why 110 games feature a rest advantage in 2026  • Why 69 games include at least a 3-day rest edge  • Which teams gained the biggest schedule edge • Why the Bears may have the NFL’s best rest setup  • Why the Chargers face a historic disadvantage  • How the Bills benefit in key AFC matchups despite some tough spots  • Why short-week road games matter against the spread  • How rest edges can impact NFL futures, betting markets, and win totals Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

2026 dynasty rookie mock draft strategy starts with Jeremiyah Love as the clear 1.01, but the real debate begins at 1.02 with Fernando Mendoza, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and more.  Get the Sharp Fantasy Footall bundle and use code ROOKIE for $10 off: https://sharp.football Jeremiyah Love is the obvious top pick in 2026 dynasty rookie drafts, but what happens after 1.01?  Raymond Summerlin and Rich Hribar run through a full first-round dynasty rookie mock draft after the 2026 NFL Draft, breaking down Superflex strategy, rookie WR tiers, trade value, landing spots, and which picks could become traps.  The biggest decision point comes immediately after Love. Should dynasty managers force Fernando Mendoza in Superflex? Should Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson be the top wide receiver? Where do KC Concepcion, Makai Lemon, Jadarian Price, Kenyon Sadiq, Denzel Boston, Omar Cooper, Eli Stowers, Antonio Williams, Chris Bell, Zachariah Branch, Jacoby Lane, Kaytron Allen, Jonah Coleman, and Nicholas Singleton belong in rookie drafts?  What You’ll Learn  • Why Jeremiah Love is the clear 1.01 in dynasty rookie drafts  • How to value Fernando Mendoza in Superflex formats • Whether Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson should be WR1  • Where KC Concepcion and Makai Lemon fit in rookie rankings  • Why Jadarian Price could be a risky Round 1 rookie pick  • How to approach weak rookie draft tiers after the top names  • Which tight ends matter most in TE premium formats  • Which late-round RBs and WRs are worth targeting  Follow the Podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for dynasty rookie rankings, fantasy football strategy, NFL Draft analysis, betting insights, and weekly football breakdowns.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.