PODCAST · sports
The BashCast
by Tom Brownlee
Home of the BashCast brought to you by www.bookiebashing.net
Episodes
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The BashCast 234- £1/4 million golf win, the Overton Window and Out of Context Braxton
Agenda: 00:00 - Intro 02:20 - Why I hate all-inclusive holidays 12:08 - £200,000+ Golf Tracker win - breakdown of an each-way double 23:20 - The Betting Overton Window 26:47 - What Tom is betting on right now, and why 43:31 - The Season Engine Simulator - why we have not pushed it live 1:01:02 -...
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BashCast 233 – Gambling Gets Harder Li'l Timmy. But The Edge Remains
Agenda: 00:02:33 --Classic Ibiza at Ragley Hall, Bus Singalongs & the BashCast Mug Question 00:14:36 -- World Cup Player Stats: Variance, Losing Runs & Winning Runs 00:42:52 -- Gambling Commission Risk Checks, the Market of Black, Prediction Markets & the Future of Betting 00:52:49 -- Why We…
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The BashCast 232 - World Cup Value, Cold Water Chaos and Banned from TwitterX
Agenda: 00:00 – Intro 02:33 – The cold water swimming story 17:20 – Suspended from X – the real reason and moving forward 36:12 – World Cup simulator: How we found value and the challenges of adding form 59:54 – 2026 review – Horse racing, golf and overall site performance 1:10:51 – UX updates on...
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The BashCast:: Late and Live - Santa Special
Agenda: We answer questions from the last episode A year in review for 2025. How did we do on golf, on horse racing, DDHH and coupons. What are my top tips and resolutions for 2025? PDC Darts update – we are one week in to the world championships, a look at what I’ve been betting on and some…
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BashCast Late And Live Aid
The BashCast:: Late and Live Budget Special Agenda: Previous weeks questions Budget 2026 – Thoughts from a winning punter perspective PDC Darts World Championships 2026 Why we do Youtube Videos - Golf doubles, trebles, dog walks and editing difficulties. Polymarket – Predictions markets have hit...
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The BashCast:: Late and Live and Let Live
Is this Podcast perfect? No, its beautifully imperfect. I'm trying to host, audio engineer, present and produce all live on camera. It's a learning experience, bear with me through the mistakes! Agenda: Scotland make it to the World Cup Finals The EV of EVs – Tom get scammed by a car salesman...
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The BashCast Episode 227:: Late and Live and Late
Agenda: Last weeks questions Anthony Kaminskas is trending above PRINCE ANDREW. Let’s look at the story from a different perspective NFL – as we hit the middle of the season of NFL we take a look at edges and speak to BBC and Guardian journalist Ryan Baldi about whats going on with Field Goals...
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The BashCast Episode 226:: Late and Live Again Once More
Agenda: 1. The fortnight recap: Haaland, another decent Lucky 15 and the Porguese Villamoura Algarve Open featuring … Me 2. Shops: At what point do profitable shop bettors reject a bet due to cuts? 3. Last Episodes Questions on arbitration, AI and statistical approaches 4. Blogger and Mooshtips –...
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The BashCast Episode 225:: Late and Live Again
Agenda: We go through the questions from the first BashCast late and live. Feel free to ask them this time around, but I cannot promise I’m reading the youtube comments. An update from Professor Anthony Kaminskas AKBets golf double update from the BMW PGA Championship and the Procore Championsp...
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The BashCast Episode 224 - Late and Live
Agenda: This is the audio from the YouTube video - The BashCast:: Late and Live. Who’s got the bag? Fred is doubling and tripling some match odds this weekend – we dive into the mathematics and the EV. Football coupons – profits from the weekend from football coupons, the first edge we had at BB...
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The BashCast 223 - Sharks, SUPs and Abandoned Vehicles
Agenda: [00:02:09] - Tom goes through his summer breaks, the trials, the tribulations, the drownings and the lost vehicles [00:34:23] -Horse racing goes through a losing spell during August so we deep dive into how bad it was in relative terms [00:49:29] - Tom hits a £20k Lucky 15 just before the...
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BashCast 222 – Why don’t I walk a mile in my own shoes?
Agenda: [00:01:57] - Tom walks a couple of miles in the freezing cold before realising he’s forgotten his shoes [00:16:20] - Europa edges on FCSB vs Man United, goals across the games and a review of PSV vs Liverpool [00:35:03] - Tom discusses a long losing run to start 2025 [00:41:36] - A review...
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BashCast 221 - Dog walking, litter picking and American gambling
Agenda: [00:02:05] - Tom takes his dog for a walk and gets in a confrontation with a lady [00:20:15] - Changing times at bookiebashing [00:27:06] - A champions league mistake with Young Boys v Atalanta that lands and a review of the First Goalscorer calculation [00:43:07] - A first goal scorer…
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BashCast 220 - Discretionary Service Scam
[00:02:00] - Tom goes to see Moby and calls for an end to the scam that is discretionary services charges at restaurants [00:22:50] - Explaining the concept of normalisation in data organisation and how it can be applied to betting for an edge [00:39:34] - A deep dive into the inter-relationships...
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The BashCast 219 - Zombies, Surfing and Mushroom Pizza
Agenda: [00:02:00] - Look out, because Tom is back from the summer break and has switched on the projector to recount tales of surfing, zombies and mushroom pizza [00:20:56] - We look further back to the SmartBash 2024 and review the positives, the negatives and a request for a couple to get in...
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The BashCast 218 - Environmental Services cannot find us
Agenda: [00:02:02] - Tom finds out Environmental Services are after him [00:08:05] - 2024 Smart Betting Club Awards - The BashCast is back [00:22:52] - More bad behaviour on Social Media - Fanwave Digital, Badmanbetting, Racing Blogger and Pro Sports Advice [00:56:08] - Is the Gambling Commission...
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The BashCast 217 - At least we know we're alive
Agenda: [00:01:54] - We discuss the long-short paradox of time and how it applies to betting [00:10:50] - Tom figures out he can still bet on Eurovision after he knows the result, but should he? [00:20:13] - An exchange edge on the 8 place market in golf that everyone can play in [00:33:18] - The...
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The BashCast 216 -The Wrong Svensson
Agenda: [00:02:30] Tom goes to Disneyland, finds it has the lowest ROI of anything in the world [00:15:48] My Gambling history – where I started ,how I met some syndicates, why Duncan started bookiebashing in my kitchen and whether we can speak from any position of authority [00:46:14] SmartBash...
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215 - A SmartBash 2024 Announcement
Agenda: [00:01:55] - Toms answers a question from a Pinnacle Odds Compiler over M25 roadworks [00:15:36] - Jesse May and Ronan join us for a sneaky peak chat about Smart Bash 2024 (in association with Matchbook) this summer – and this time, everyone is invited to the party [00:30:32] - A profit...
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The BashCast 214 - Cheltenham 2024, winners, losers, loser tipsters, addicts and the GCF
Agenda: [00:01:40] - Tom quits drinking only to be disappointed in the entire human race [00:10:10] - Cheltenham festival is round the corner - we look at tipsters, who you can trust and who you cannot trust [00:35:27] - A shift in liquiidty at the exchanges as Matchbook, Betdaq and Smarkets…
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The BashCast 213 - Scamwave Digital and superusers
Agenda: [00:01:40] - Tom recounts the time when he caused the meltdown of the cloakroom ticketing system at the Zanzibar nightclub in 1996. [00:15:10] - We revisit @AndryRobsonTips after the last BashCast and have more information about the origins of these tweets. [00:41:00] - We break down some...
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The BashCast 212 - The Morals and Maths of Twitter Tipsters
Agenda: [00:01:55] - Toms Xmas Dinner ends up on the kitchen floor [00:09:03] - An in depth review of the mathematics and morals of @AndyRobsonTips [00:51:27] - Pricing Luke Littler in the PDC World Championships [01:12:47] - Exchange edges and a partnership with Betdaq [01:35:28] - A looks at my...
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The BashCast 211 - Jon Roberts off of Predictology
Agenda: We are joined by Jon Roberts from Predictology. In this episode we discuss I'm a Celebrity Get Me Out of Here, skillsets for beating the markets, the logistics of reliable odds collection, modelling football, historical trending, pre-match vs inplay edges and the all important 2023…
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The BashCast 210 - Will Somebody Stop The Damn Match
Agenda: [00:01:47] - Toms recounts a ten pin bowling evening that ends with putting someone in hospital [00:12:43] - Horse racing ups and downs through the year and optimising horses by odds band [00:28:49] - Newcastle play Dortmund in the Champions League and we look at edges in the Players xG...
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The BashCast 209 - A Race Riot and the Thorpedo
Agenda: [00:01:59] - Tom donates some money from a Mudryk win and recounts a story when he nearly caused a racial riot [00:13:08] - A Ryder Cup summary, a few decent edges and angles and a missed opportunity [00:34:57] - Betfred have a new Hotshots coupon in shops, how to calculate the value in a...
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The BashCast 208 - A Charlatan Challenging What Others Think is Possible.
Agenda: [00:01:46] - Tom gets into trouble with an exotic bird over the summer holidays [00:21:00] - The Rugby World Cup – modelling points with a negative binomial probability, Fijian value + the xPlayerTries model [00:39:19] - Thrill Seeker. Disrupter. Charlatan - a copycat challenges what…
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The BashCast 207 - The £1500 Jaeger Bomb and a new best friend
Agenda: [00:01:58] - Tom recaps the Smart-Bash event, the positives, the negatives, the-EV blackjack and the Jaeger Bombs that cost £1500 [00:33:04] - The Womens World Cup is underway – what edges are we looking at and given the goals in 2019 will it be overs and overs and overs and overs?...
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The BashCast Episode 206 - p-Values and Beer
Agenda: [00:02:20] - Tom heads to a poker tournament looking for back to back victories [00:23:20] - Golf betting on the exchange - Pete from SBC joins us to discuss his strategies and fantasy golf betting [00:53:00] - Twitter - an Icy tweet is negative, Tom comments on it [01:00:30] - New tools...
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The BashCast Episode 205 - Coconut Crispy Shots on Target
Agenda: [00:02:11] - Tom fails to find panko breadcrumbs during a camping trip [00:16:15] - Golf betting – a pointless exercise into working out which players have the lowest and the highest ROI [00:32:11] - Horse racing – multiple wins to talk about - five figures and a six figures [00:52:17] -...
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The BashCast Episode 204 - Whats the ROI of your mother?
Agenda: [00:02:00] - Tom goes to Portugal, sees naked people and gets diagnosed with ADHD [00:06:52] - The unfortunate tale of a messy wedding, a headbutt and a stolen coat [00:14:39] - Bet histories – football p/l, Ireland vs France and where the player xG normalisation edges really exist...
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The BashCast 203 - The Universal Theory of the Unreturned Shopping Trolley
Agenda: [00:02:06] - Parent Child parking at Morrisons and the theory of the unreturned shopping Trolley [00:12:40] - Tom takes a short trip to Aleppo in Syria [00:25:35] - Cheltenham festival - a day to day breakdown and review of the performance of the BB Racing Tracker [00:54:05] - We only…
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The BashCast Episode 202 - The Flippity Floppity
Agenda: [01:50] Toms breaks his knee AND his hand before the annual golf shield, then loses headphones [12:10] Horse racing – comparing the ROI of horses between the exchange and BBAlgo in 2023 [26:30] Soft Online Bookmakers - 7 suggestions for slowing down restrictions [42:00] The Player xG…
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The BashCast Episode 201 - The Devil is in Charge of 2023
Agenda: [00:02:17} Toms Xmas Dinner – what he got right, what he got wrong and how everybody let him down [00:09:41]PDC World Championships – who’s in charge? Me or the devil. Correct score markets, 180s, session bets and two different betting datasets, a losing one and a winning one [00:32:22]...
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The BashCast 200 - World Cup of Actually That Wasn’t a Pen
Agenda: [00:02:00] Tom reviews his shop and exchange p/l after betting on all 64 World Cup Matches [00:23:05] Golf Results 2022 - A year in review - is it time to ditch the DP World Tour? [00:41:00] PDC Darts World Championships [00:50:54] Shots on Target - A bet history in the negative...
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The BashCast 199 -The World Cup of Awarded Penalties
Agenda: [00:02:06] Tom gets kicked by a 17 year old, goes to the pub then breaks a rib [00:11:20] The golf model hits an extreme bout of positive variance but should we give up on the DP World Tour? [00:29:27] England v Iran aftertiming summary - Jude Bellingham, Taremi 2+, Kane Shot on Target...
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The BashCast 198 - Bad Guys and The World Cup 2022
Agenda: [00:01:56} How does a four year old kill bad guys? [00:05:06] A profit loss update from Toms betting for October/November [00:36:17] The World Cup 2022 Preview - edges and angles [01:02:45] Don't be one of these three idiots [01:18:13} Bookiebashing bet tracker updates - Group trackers...
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The BashCast 197 - The Devil You Know is Better Than the One You Don’t
Agenda: [02:10] - Tom has had enough and switched off the news [14:44] - Horse racing - estimating ROI with the +EV Lucky 15 lottery tickets [28:15] - The golf hits a high variance period, but the "almost" wins are stacking up [41:30] - Review of the coupons Aug-Sep and reports of a 24,000/1…
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The BashCast Episode 196 - Solve for Y is o3.5 odds against?
Agenda: 2:20 - Tom goes surfing and meets campsite Hitler 27:30 - Should over 3.5 goals be odds on with xG of 3.54? 40:00 - Big Horse Racing win and why recorded ROI is higher than expected ROI 56:00 - Twitch clamp down on gambling 1:20:30 - Draftkings get stung on an early payout promotion in…
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The BashCast Episode 195 - 101s for show 140s for dough
--Reuploaded due to technical issues-- Warning: Tom hasn't placed a bet since the previous episode. Listen at your own risk. Agenda: Tom recalls a Welsh Odyssey from a hot summer on the road Is Poisson is suitable model for estimating Shots on Target? A real world history using Mo Salah Site...
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The BashCast Episode 194 - Handicap Spot
Agenda: Tom suffers a warm up injury ahead of Mindless Wanderers v Wychbold Old Boys Charity match Bookiebashing support system gets a revamp New model – Handicaps tool England Women v Switzerland Women – is the lack of confidence in modelling a good thing or a bad thing? Tom wins a $7.50 1,068...
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The BashCast Episode 193 - Blissful ignorance
Agenda: Tom goes camping and doesn't know he hit a winner in the golf for days Tom meets a group of 6-a-side lads discussing their terrible recreational mug bets on the PGA, doesn't know what to say Bookiebashing Charity 7-a-side to be held on the 24th June:...
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The BashCast Episode 192 - Charity is a coat you wear twice a year
Agenda: Tom goes to turkey and gets annoyed by British tourists and then scammed The SBC Betting Awards:T Pete Ling joins us for a chat Golf betting: why you can't trust anybody Double Delight Hattrick Heaven: how to calculate the EV Why you're a prick: Part 4 #bettingat100.1andabove
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The BashCast Episode 191 - CraftKings and Augusta
Agenda: Tom experiences a -EV trip to HobbyCraft after flirting with a 75 year old A BookieBashing subscriber hits the largest win of his betting career FTSIncome hold a networking event in Manchester and we were invited to join them The art of Edge Identification – 5 different types of Edge in...
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The BashCast Episode 190 - In God we Trost
Agenda Neil Channing writes about a once in a generation chance to get things right We don’t lose golf playoffs! But what percentile are we running hot on them? A breakdown of how to quantify the risk of a player not starting Jason Trost joins us on the BashCast to discuss a heap of Smarkets...
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The BashCast Episode 189 - Lucky 15s, Headbutts and FGS
Agenda Tom gets headbutted by a three year old Tom gets threatened by a guy in a polo shirt Tom gets threatened outside a club in a skiing resort Nathan from OddsHawk joins us to discuss the Oddshawk API feed for horse racing - available to all Are multiples better than singles? What is the best...
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The BashCast Episode 188 - Chilli Margaritas and Problem Gambling
Agenda Problem gambling and restrictions Tom orders 3 chilli margaritas in Bali Malaysian businessman sues Aspinalls for £3.9 million Stephen Chidwick is better at poker than you are #BettingAt100.1AndAbove
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The BashCast episode 187 - Several Standard Deviants
Agenda: 1. Tom is fed up with the all the new gambling prohibition groups that have cropped up 2. A trip to Simply Red involves a -EV experience with a tout 3. The Player xG model evolves, goes backwards, but makes money regardless 4. Bet365 enter the boosts market, value around for those…
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The BashCast Episode 186 - A Brief History of Bashing
Agenda After 2.5 years Tom is wearing glasses again, and has a disaster on Day 1 Coronavirus hits the team A history of BookieBashing and a timelines of tools and trackers How we create an edge in Shots on Target bets both at bookmaker and on exchange Bankroll Management - an analysis of Unit…
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The BashCast Episode 185 - The African Cup of Unders 2022
In this weeks Agenda: Stupid bike guy tries to ruin Toms Christmas Losing runs through the festive period Virtual Doubles and insane variance The FA Cup 3rd Round re-capped Unlucky Lucky 15 (horses) and an £18,000 change of mind Lucky Lucky 15 (football) The African Cup of Unders 2022 Andrew...
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The BashCast Episode 184 - Christmas Special: Trench Warfare
A Festive BashCast Christmas Chatter with Matthew Trenhaile: Modelling expected goals Modelling BTTS in big fav/dog games Market compilation and why you can't be a hero Artificial Intelligence in profiling customers Markov Chains in Tennis Modelling Winning without beating the closing line…
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Home of the BashCast brought to you by www.bookiebashing.net
HOSTED BY
Tom Brownlee
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Frequently Asked Questions
How many episodes does The BashCast have?
The BashCast currently has 100 episodes available on PodParley. New episodes are automatically indexed when they're published to the podcast feed.
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Home of the BashCast brought to you by www.bookiebashing.net
How often does The BashCast release new episodes?
The BashCast has 100 episodes. Check the episode list to see recent publication dates and frequency.
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Who hosts The BashCast?
The BashCast is created and hosted by Tom Brownlee.
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