The Care for My Wealth Show

SpaceX - how much liquidity will get pulled from everywhere elseGold - not looking goodSentiment - healthy

1.) Culprit - no culprit, no top2.) Oil - Dumb money is betting hard against oil3.) CPI - decelerations

Oil - Not like 2008, 2022Top - Not seeing typical ingredients to a major market topBubble - Not in equities, but in soverign debt issuance

Gold - topped for a while?Oil - Creating a disinflation print for JuneCTAs - buyers or sellers?

US DOLLARGOLDS&P 500 AND FIBONACCI

1.) US DOLLAR - What is correlated and what is not...and why does it matter?2.) INTEREST RATES - Consensus will now get TOO DOVISH headed into next month's CPI print.  UST tapping TRADE support at 4.33%3.) OIL - TREND support at 63/barrel WTIONE MORE - Volatility.  IVOL premiums showing up.  Not crash conditions.

1.) ROTATION - Gold losing it's leadership?2.) SMALL CAPS - Russell 2000 (IWM) signaling broadening of market participation3.) VIX - CPI below consensus...sell the news?

1.) OIL - RE-flation2.) NOISE - What trade deals?3.) VOLATILITY - CPI tomorrow = Vol bump?

1.) DATA - Momentum is taking hold!2.) RATES - Downgrade shmowngrade?3.) FLOWS - Systematics have a lot of room to buy

1) UD DOLLAR - Headed higher?2) SENTIMENT - Big boost3) M2 - Printer is back.

1) INFLATION - Over 2% again!2) IMPLIED VOLATILITY - Premiums return3) GOLD - Lower highs

1) US DOLLAR2) INTERST RATES3) VOLATILITY

1) US Dollar2) Rates3) VIX

1) LIQUIDITY2) SEMICONDUCTORS3) VIX - Rare occurance

1) RATES2) FX - CURRENCY3) VIX

What does the move in the Taiwan New Dollar (TWD/USD) against the US Dollar mean for that country and other international stock markets?

1) SENTIMENT2) BITCOIN3) VIX

1.) RATES - Headfake??!!2.) GOLD3.) VOLATILITY

1.) UST10YR - Rates down!2.) UST2YR - Fed Rate Cuts Incoming?!3.) GOLD - Correction...right on time

1.) RATES2.) COMMODITIES3.) VOLATILITY

APR 29th Important Things:1.) RATES2.) OIL3.) VOLATILITY

APRIL 28: Things on my mind that are important to consider if you're an investor in global capial markets,1.) RATES2.) MAGAZINE COVERS3.) VOLATILTY

Amidst all the election and war negativity, there are some very big issues likely to propell this market higher.

Levels of importance for the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Rates, US Dollar, Oil, Copper.  Is economic activity slowing or not?!

Important levels for NVDA, S&P 500, rates and the US Dollar along with correlations for stocks/bonds/USD.

Jobs revision...does it matter?  S&P 500 levels of importance.  What does it mean to be a "systematic" investor?

Levels for the S&P 500 cash and futures to pay attention to 

What's causing the stock market to sell off?  Is there more?  Get the video version of this podcast here: https://rumble.com/v59kwip-are-we-back-to-deflationary-risk-off-part-1.html

S&P 500 trade and trend levels.  META, AAPL, AMZN, Bonds and Bitcoin

What's Oil (and other Commods) saying?  What's MSFT saying?  What's VIX saying?

Today's action and major market TRADE and TREND levels 

Today's daily actionable data

What is Real World Tokenization and how does it work?

risk management is all about investing your money in a way that won't blow you up! Chucking your money in a fund or a single stock and hopeing for the best is a thing of the past. Instead, be algorythmically systematic!  Let the market tell you want to do, not the other way around.

On May 30, the title of the podcast that day was that markets were ready to move higher in the face of inflation. The S&P 500 was at 5235 then and, more importantly, was ready to bounce off its TRADE level.  It did just that and is now almost 4% higher.  The rate of change (RoC) of these price, volume and volatility levels that I give you are valuable. Tune in to see what's next! 

A weak labor market likely brings rate cuts a tad faster.  Who does that help?  In the short run - investors. But, remember, rate cuts can often be the start of a weakening investment cycle too as investors start to wonder if things are weaker than being reported.  Otherwise, why would the Fed need to cut?

Currently, markets are testing valuable TRADE momentum support.  Even though inflation is headed higher, this is not the time or place to give up on stocks or commodities.

Curent models suggest markets are ready for a sell off.  Deep?  Probably not as markets are still bullish TREND.  Don;t forget the yield curve is negative and has been now for over 15 months.  That's important since markets tend to respond to that with a 15 month lag.

Inflation IS a problem for the consumer. Inflation IS NOT a problem (for now) for stocks.  The market could stumble – BUT NOT due to inflation.

Clips of Danielle Di Martino Booth explaining that the Fed did indeed pivot. The Fed will not REfocus on employment - since it IS weakening - versus solely focusing on inflation.  Quantitative Easing is headed back into the system.  Inflationary.Additional clip of Jared Bernstein - Biden Econ Advisor - seemingly not understandind money and markets.  

Jay Powell pivoted after the Fed presser and rate decision.

Is the falling Yen really that big of a problem?  What macro signals are showing similarities to the OCT 2023 stock index lows?

Major indexes recaptured their trend durations Tue...but those are once again at risk with the META blow-up.  META needs to re-take $474 for it to not be in the bear house.  4 of the "Mag 7" are now bearish trend.  Big tech rolling over?  STILL...lots of similarities to the OCT 2023 lows happening throughout markets and macro.

Major markets are at the line in the sand - bullish...or bearish!  Lots of similarities to OCT 2023 - Move Index (Bond volatility), USD, Rates...could this be the spot market rally for a bit?

Are stock markets breaking trend?  Is the next move lower or higher?  Who is the whale buying gold?!  Is Bitcoin ready to fly into its halving event?

Did the Middle East siutation this weekend change markets? 

Is this the end of the bull road because inflation cannot get tamed?

Is the US Dollar poised to just keep climbing? How might that affect the global debt situation?

What is the Bitcoin halving...and does it matter?  Commodities...what should I buy?