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One bad assumption can start a bigger war, and nowhere is that clearer than the Strait of Hormuz. Kyle sits down with Larry Johnson to sort through the morning’s flood of claims and counterclaims: reported Iranian missile and drone attacks, damage to Gulf oil facilities, U.S. strikes at sea, and the growing risk that escalation […]

A journalist can be jailed, raided, and investigated for more than a year without ever being charged and that’s not a glitch, it’s the point. I sit down with investigative journalist Richard Medhurst to talk about his legal situation spanning the UK and Austria, where authorities have attempted to frame journalism as terrorism. We dig […]

“Iran’s nuclear program was obliterated” is a bold claim to make under oath, especially when the same testimony implies Iran’s ambitions remain. We sit down with Jim Webb to pull apart the contradictions, the messaging, and the strategy vacuum that shows up when leaders sell total victory while hinting we may need the next round […]

Trump’s second term was supposed to be the reset: less chaos, fewer neocons, and a renewed focus on problems at home. Instead, we’re watching an Iran conflict spiral while the administration sells the public a fantasy of easy wins and controlled escalation. I’m joined again by Dave Smith from Part of the Problem to revisit […]

The scariest part of the U.S.-Iran standoff isn’t the loud headlines. It’s the quiet math of distance, missiles, and leverage at the Strait of Hormuz. We sit down with Larry Johnson to unpack Iran’s reported “new” framework and why it may be the same core message: lift the U.S. blockade on Iranian ports, and Iran […]

Daniel Miller joined me to discuss the Texas Nationalist Movement, its history and progress. TNM.me Texian.app

 Download Audio. Scott brings Daniel Davis back on the show. As the world’s been focused on what’s happening between the US and Iran, important developments have taken place in Russia’s war with Ukraine. Scott and Davis break these down and then finish with a quick reflection on the ongoing economic standoff between the US […]

The Strait of Hormuz is the kind of choke point people talk about in theory, right up until it closes and the whole global economy starts to feel it. We’re joined by Ambassador Chas Freeman, a veteran American diplomat, to make sense of the US-Iran ceasefire drama and the bigger reality underneath it: Iran is […]

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Trita Parsi about the ceasefire and negotiations between the Trump administration and the Iranians. Parsi believes, while this was a strategic defeat for the US, the ceasefire has given Trump the opportunity to walk away with no deal and that that’s likely what he’ll end up doing. Scott and Parsi […]

(*This is a reissue of a Dangerous History Episode first published in Aug. 2015) In this episode, CJ discusses two different paradigms of what war is supposed to be and how it is supposed to be fought.  One is the Western (or European) Way, which originated in Greece and from there filtered through the Romans […]

A blockade of the Strait of Hormuz sounds like a clean, decisive move until you run it through the real world: geography, international law, ship insurance, and the uncomfortable question of what happens when the other side shoots back. We sit down with Lt Col Karen Kwiatkowski to parse Trump’s threat to interdict ships tied to Iranian oil and why “the greatest navy in the world” is not the same thing as a navy that can safely enforce a blockade in a narrow, heavily contested chokepoint. We dig into the operational side of maritime power, from US shipbuilding constraints to costly programs that never matched a realistic strategy. Karen explains why uncertainty is the real market killer: mines do not even have to be confirmed to spike insurance rates, freeze tanker traffic, and disrupt the global supply chain. We also ask what it means to stop third country vessels in international waters, and why targeting tankers linked to China, India, Pakistan, Japan, or South Korea could blow up relationships the US has spent decades trying to build across Asia. Then we widen the lens to diplomacy and messaging. We question why nuclear negotiations would be handled without deep technical expertise, how Israel’s priorities shape US posture toward Iran, and why an EMP scare claim on cable news collapses under basic scrutiny of incentives, treaty history, and inspection records. We close with a blunt conversation about propaganda, legitimacy, and the strange politics of personality cult symbols, including Trump’s AI “Jesus” image and what it signals about power at home and credibility abroad. If this conversation helps you think clearer, subscribe, share the episode, and leave a review so more people can find it.

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Matt Wolfson about an article he recently wrote about the United Arab Emirates. Wolfson argues that the US and Israel have helped build up the UAE into a regional power with an increasingly interventionist foreign policy of its own. Discussed on the show: “The United Arab Emirates: America and Israel’s Frankenstein Monster” (The Libertarian Institute) “In Strategic Shift, U.S. Draws Closer to Yemeni Rebels” (Wall Street Journal) “US maintains intelligence relationship with Houthis” (Al-Monitor) “U.S. intelligence report says key gulf ally meddled in American politics” (Washington Post) Matt Wolfson is an investigative journalist whose work has appeared in The American Conservative, The Epoch Times, Restoration of America News, and many others. Follow him on Twitter (X) @Oppo__Research and find his full body of work at his website. Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

The fastest way to understand the Iran war scare isn’t cable news hype, it’s leverage. We sit down with Larry Johnson to map what Tehran is demanding, why Washington looks desperate for an exit plan, and how a single chokepoint, the Strait of Hormuz, can squeeze the global economy. If ships need to pay a steep user fee to move in and out of the Persian Gulf, the story instantly becomes bigger than battlefield headlines: it’s oil prices, shipping risk, inflation pressure, and a potential global recession. We also pressure-test Trump’s public posture that Iran “has no cards” against the hard constraints on escalation. We talk through why naval and ground options look limited, why crossing the nuclear line would be globally destabilizing, and how sanctions and frozen assets have become the real bargaining table. Larry lays out a plausible face-saving deal where sanctions are lifted, assets are released, and Iran returns to JCPOA-style enrichment limits and intrusive inspections, while still refusing to surrender its core rights. Then we widen the lens to the alliance and war system around it: NATO strain, Israel’s growing political backlash, and what the Middle East focus means for Ukraine as Russia advances and Western air defense and missile inventories run thin. If you’re searching for clear geopolitical analysis on Iran negotiations, the Strait of Hormuz, US foreign policy, NATO cohesion, and the future of Ukraine, this conversation connects the dots. Subscribe, share this with a friend who follows world affairs, and leave a review. What do you think is the most misunderstood piece of leverage right now?

“The first principle is that you must not fool yourself and you are the easiest person to fool.” Richard P. Feynman *** “Reports that say that something hasn’t happened are always interesting to me, because as we know, there are known knowns; there are things we know we know. We also know there are known unknowns; that is to say we know there are some things we do not know. But there are also unknown unknowns—the ones we don’t know we don’t know. And if one looks throughout the history of our country and other free countries, it is the latter category that tends to be the difficult ones.” The Donald Rumsfeld matrix I examine the strategic deficit disorder that absolutely dominates the US and western military establishments I speak to the tools and critical thinking modalities that could spark and encourage competent martial imagination. Moral courage is necessary to tell the flag officer dullards and their Senior Executive Service (SES) necromancers that the emperor has no clothes. If not, the unblemished record of defeat and stalemate will continue. I describe some of the reasons I do it and the techniques I employ to get the single most accurate picture of what happened then to determine what’s going on now. Recommended Listening: On Strategic Empathy Recommended Reading: Christian Madsbjerg Sensemaking: The Power of the Humanities in the Age of the Algorithm Johnson and Abbe Developing Strategic Empathy and Perspective Taking in Military Zachary Shore A Sense of the Enemy: The High Stakes History of Reading Your Rival’s Mind Dave Snowden Cynefin – Weaving Sense-Making into the Fabric of Our World Mortimer Adler How To Read a Book Robert Strassler The Landmark Xenophon’s Hellenika (Landmark Series) Mike Snook How Can Man Die Better: The Secrets of Isandlwana Revealed Mike Snook Like Wolves on the Fold: The Defence of Rorke’s Drift David Stahel Operation Barbarossa and Germany’s Defeat in the East David Hackett Fischer Historians’ Fallacies : Toward a Logic of Historical Thought Keith Windschuttle The Killing of History John Burrow A History of Histories: Epics, Chronicles, and Inquiries from Herodotus and Thucydides to the Twentieth Century Harry Elmer Barnes A History of Historical Writing US Army Center of Military History My Substack Email at [email protected]

John and I continue to read and comment on Rules for Radicals

 Download Audio. Scott brought Robert Pape of the University of Chicago back to discuss the attempted ceasefire that went into effect on Wednesday night. Pape explains why this is not actually a meaningful step away from the escalation to a full-on war that he’s long been warning about. He also talks about how this is war is cementing Iran’s status as a world power and why he expects the Iranians to abandon their previous stance, begin earnestly pursuing nuclear weapons and attain them quickly. Discussed on the show: “The Pause That Isn’t: Why the Iran Ceasefire Changes Everything” (The Escalation Trap) “The War Is Turning Iran Into a Major World Power” (The New York Times) Robert A. Pape is Professor of Political Science and Director of the University of Chicago Project on Security and Threats and the author of Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War. Follow him on Twitter @ProfessorPape Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

“We’re winning” is easy to post. It’s much harder to define when the missiles keep flying, the Strait of Hormuz becomes a choke point, and the only clear destination seems to be a negotiation table. We sit down with Chief Fritz, a former Command Chief Master Sergeant, to pressure test the confidence, separate opinion from fact, and ask the uncomfortable question: if the U.S. is dominating Iran, why does the strategy feel so improvised? We talk through the military reality behind an air campaign, including readiness, munitions, interceptors, and what an attrition war looks like when Iran can still strike bases and allies across the region. Chief Fritz draws direct parallels to the Iraq War playbook, arguing that shifting rationales and inexperienced leadership can push the country into a conflict without a clear end state. We also explore escalation risks, including whether nuclear weapons are a real fear, and why Iran’s ballistic missile program functions as a central deterrent. Then we go where most coverage avoids: who benefits, who pays, and who bleeds. We discuss claims that the war is being waged primarily on behalf of Israel, the role of lobbying and Pentagon influence, and what it means for enlisted men and women who may be ordered into harm’s way. If you care about U.S. foreign policy, the Iran war, Israel-Gaza spillover risks, oil prices, and the lessons of Iraq, this is a necessary listen. Subscribe, share with a friend, and leave a review with your biggest takeaway.

Iran isn’t just trading blows with the US and Israel. According to our guest, the fight is turning fixed American advantages like bases, radars, and regional headquarters into fragile targets, forcing withdrawals and relocations across the Middle East. We walk through what it means when places like Al-Udeid, Bahrain’s Fifth Fleet footprint, and multiple high-end radar sites take hits and why “no massive casualties” does not automatically mean “no massive damage.” From there, we connect the battlefield to the economy. Oil and LNG infrastructure disruption is framed as the kind of shock that can ripple into global inflation, shipping risk, and political pressure at home, especially with the Strait of Hormuz looming over everything. We also unpack Trump’s public threats and sudden delays, asking whether the messaging is about real negotiations or simply buying time for major reinforcements like a Marine Expeditionary Unit to get into position. Then we get brutally practical about military feasibility. Could the US actually seize Karg Island or “open” the Strait of Hormuz with limited forces? We pressure-test WWII analogies, talk terrain and coastal defenses, and look at why mines, drones, fast-attack craft, and underwater threats make “quick fixes” unlikely. Finally, we dig into troop morale, the aircraft carrier fire controversy, and the harder constraint that rarely makes headlines: interceptor depletion, missile production limits, and rare earth mineral supply chain problems. If you care about the Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz, US military readiness, oil prices, and what escalation looks like when logistics are strained, this conversation is for you. Subscribe, share this with a friend who follows geopolitics, and leave a review with your take: do you think this ends with de-escalation or a wider regional war?

Things are getting weirder. Vital Dissent website Join my email list and become a premium member: http://www.vitaldissent.club Vital Dissent Merch 10% off with code VD10 Show notes:  Terence McKenna ‘s Final Interview http://www.vitaldissent.com/email

John and I continue to read and comment on Rules for Radicals

$200 billion is not a rounding error, it’s a signal that Washington is settling in for a long Iran war while pretending it can buy its way out of the consequences. We walk through the Pentagon’s latest funding push, why leaders keep hinting the price tag will rise, and what “replenishing stockpiles” really means when Patriot interceptors, THAAD systems, and advanced radar take years to replace. If you care about defense spending, Pentagon accountability, and the defense industrial base, this conversation connects the dollars to the hard limits nobody wants to admit. We also challenge the messaging used to sell escalation, including the way faith, family, and fallen service members get pulled into public arguments for continuing the fight. From there, we widen the frame to the region: reporting from Lebanon, the dangers journalists face in active war zones, and how quickly a conflict sold as contained starts to spread across multiple fronts. Then we follow the money and the politics. Polling suggests many Americans think the war benefits Israel more than the United States, and we dig into what that could mean for the GOP, for Democrats who won’t clearly break from pro-war consensus, and for officials inside government who try to dissent. Finally, we get into the oil-price panic moves: “break the glass” plans, sanction reversals, and why talk of letting Iranian oil flow to keep prices down exposes how fragile the strategy has become, especially after strikes tied to South Pars and the hit to Qatar LNG capacity. If this helped you see the bigger picture, subscribe for more, share the episode with someone who argues about foreign policy, and leave a review with the one question you still can’t shake.

The part that doesn’t get said out loud often enough is this: you can be “aligned” in a war and still be on a collision course. We dig into why U.S. goals in Iran and Israel’s goals in Iran don’t just differ, they actively clash and how that clash shows up in assassinations that erase diplomatic options and strikes that look designed to cripple Iran’s long-term ability to function as a state. We also zoom out to the stories getting buried while everyone watches missiles and maps. Using recent UN reporting and on-the-ground dynamics, we talk about accelerated West Bank settlement expansion, displacement, settler violence, and what happens to Gaza when aid is cut and the world’s attention drifts. The bigger takeaway is uncomfortable: regional escalation can create cover for permanent facts on the ground in Palestine, even as leaders insist their focus is elsewhere. Then we bring it home to the U.S. economy and politics: the Strait of Hormuz, crude oil volatility, Strategic Petroleum Reserve releases, and the growing risk that oil trade shifts away from the dollar toward the yuan. We also walk through polling that shows Americans turning against the war and why even pro-Trump respondents say they want a fast exit. Finally, we react to Tulsi Gabbard’s Senate Intelligence Committee testimony, the threat framing that lumps Iran with nuclear powers, and the pointed exchange over whether Iran posed an “imminent” nuclear threat. If you want clearer thinking on U.S. foreign policy, the Israel Iran war, the Strait of Hormuz, and the real incentives pushing escalation, subscribe, share this with a friend, and leave a review so more people can find the show.

New Chasing Ghosts Podcast episode is live Monday 30 April 2026.   Ep 080 “The Cargo Cult of Martial Belief, Wishcasting and Bloodshed”   Episode 100!   Well, when I combine the 20 episodes of WarNotes with the CG podcasts but a chance to pop the bubbly anyway.   Today we discuss the critical lack of critical thinking that has led the US into the unenviable position of being an extraordinarily 20th century fighting force nor fit for purpose for 21st century peer combat.   It will get worse.   I’ll offer some more recommendations and a path forward.   Buppert’s Law of Military Topography: “Mountainous terrain held by riflemen who know what they are about cannot be militarily defeated.”   I have been scarce on the X but you can find daily brain-zephyrs from me at my Substack Notes section where I am not distracted by the time vampire here.   You can find the episodes on your favorite podcast vendor.   Notes: http://cgpodcast.substack.com/notes   Email me at [email protected]

 Download Audio. Jason Jones of the Vulnerable People Project returns to the show to give Scott an update on how his organization is working to rescue and rehabilitate the people impacted directly by the escalating violence the Israeli government and Israeli settlers are unleashing across the Middle East. Discussed on the show: “Iran was nowhere close to a nuclear bomb, experts say” (Scientific American) Jason Jones is a film producer, author, activist, popular podcast host, and dedicated human rights worker. And he is the founder and president of The Vulnerable People Project. Subscribe to his Substack. Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Dan Vergano of Scientific American about an article he wrote exposing how scientifically absurd the claim that Iran was close to even having the ability to fully weaponize the enriched Uranium they possessed was when Washington and Tel Aviv launched this war. Discussed on the show: “Iran was nowhere close to a nuclear bomb, experts say” (Scientific American) Dan Vergano is senior editor, Washington, D.C., at Scientific American. He has previously written for Grid News, BuzzFeed News, National Geographic and USA Today. He is chair of the New Horizons committee for the Council for the Advancement of Science Writing and a journalism award judge for both the American Association for the Advancement of Science and the U.S. National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Patrick Pillow about Anatomy of a Regime Change, the series he’s writing on the so-called Color Revolutions. While Iraq and Afghanistan get the most attention, the majority of Washington-backed regime change attempts since the end of the Cold War have taken the form of these CIA-organized political revolutions. Scott and Pillow walk through the specifics of several examples and discuss the importance of this often overlooked aspect of American foreign policy. Discussed on the show: Libertarian Overwatch The New Cold War: Revolutions, Rigged Elections, and Pipeline Politics in the Former Soviet Union by Mark A. MacKinnon Patrick Pillow runs Libertarian Overwatch on Substack. Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

John and I continue reading and commentary of Rules for Radicals.

Joe Kent, Director of the National Counterterrorism Center, has resigned in protest over the Iran war, becoming the first senior official to break ranks. In his resignation, Kent stated bluntly that Iran posed no “imminent threat” to the United States — directly contradicting the administration’s justification for military action. A resignation letter from inside Trump’s national security world drops a bombshell claim: Iran posed no imminent threat, and the rush into war was fueled by pressure from Israel and a powerful pro-war lobby in the United States. We take the letter seriously, line by line, because it puts the core question on the table that Washington tries to dodge, who is steering US foreign policy when the stakes are life, death, and a wider Middle East war. We also talk about the blowback. Tulsi Gabbard posts support for the war, even though opposing “forever wars” has been central to her political identity, and we unpack what that says about loyalty, ambition, and the limits of dissent inside an administration. Then we address Trump’s response, including his claims about the Iran nuclear deal and why so many experts argue the 2015 agreement imposed real constraints through inspections and verification. If you care about Iran nuclear weapons, sanctions relief, and the actual mechanics of nuclear diplomacy, this part matters. Finally, we break down the media messaging war, including Ben Shapiro’s reaction, and why dismissing everything as “conspiracy” is not a substitute for evidence. We zoom out to the bigger picture: congressional war powers, misinformation campaigns, and the dangerous lesson wars can teach targeted states, that only a nuclear deterrent prevents regime change. Subscribe, share, and leave a review, then tell us what you think: who is really driving this war, and what would ending it require?

 Download Audio. Scott brings Larry Johnson back on the show three weeks after his last appearance, where Johnson predicted the war with Iran hours before it kicked off. Scott and Johnson examine what’s happened, dig into who’s really calling the shots here, address some of the nonsensical talking points used to make the Iranians out as a unique evil and anticipate what the global consequences of this war will be. Discussed on the show: “​​The Failure of US and Israeli Air Defense” (Sonar21) Larry C. Johnson is a former CIA officer and intelligence analyst, and a former planner and advisor at the US State Department’s Office of Counter Terrorism. Follow his analysis at Sonar21. Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Joe Kent, the former director of the US National Counterterrorism Center, about what drove him to resign. Kent explains how he saw the Israelis mislead Trump about an Iranian nuclear threat and the supposed fragility of the regime. He also backs up some of the widely attacked claims in his resignation letter about Israeli involvement in getting the US into previous wars in the region, reflects on what the real goals of the Israeli government are with this war, sheds light on Scott’s concerns about significant blowback terrorism in the US and more. Discussed on the show: Kent’s letter of resignation Joe Kent is a retired Army Special Forces soldier who served as the director of the National Counterterrorism Center in Trump’s second term until he resigned in 2026 over the war with Iran. Follow him on Twitter @joekent16jan19 Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

The Strait of Hormuz is the kind of geopolitical pressure point that can turn a regional fight into a worldwide economic shock, and the official story coming out of Washington doesn’t always match what markets and missiles are signaling. We sit down with Larry Johnson to cut through the talking points and ask what’s actually happening as Iran keeps leverage in the Persian Gulf, shipping risk climbs, and allies get pulled into a conflict they didn’t choose. We also dig into the battle over the narrative at home. From Tucker Carlson’s claim that the CIA is pursuing a criminal referral over contacts with Iranians, to Trump’s own comments about charging journalists, we talk plainly about free speech, press freedom, and how fear-based messaging can be used to sell escalation. Larry explains what the CIA is supposed to do, what belongs with the FBI, and why intelligence warnings don’t help if leaders refuse to hear them. Then we zoom out to consequences: oil prices, LNG flows, supply chain disruption, and the fertilizer crunch that can become a food problem months from now. We walk through the escalation ladder too, including talk of Karg Island, the practical barriers to a ground invasion, and the unsettling question of nuclear risk if decision-makers corner themselves.

Air defense looks clean on a diagram. In real war, it is messy, conditional, and expensive in ways most people never see until the alarms are late and the interceptors are flying in bunches. We sit down with Daryl Cooper to translate the jargon and show what “layered missile defense” actually means when Iranian ballistic missiles, drones, and cruise missile threats pressure the system day after day. We walk through the U.S. missile defense stack in plain English: Aegis on ships, THAAD and Patriot batteries on land, the radar and satellite cueing that stitches everything into one shared track picture, and the uncomfortable truth that each layer covers the weaknesses of the others. We also get into why radar performance depends on physics and conditions, including clutter, sunrise effects, and smoke, and how losing early warning sensors can collapse warning time from minutes to seconds. That shift forces engagements into late mid-course or terminal phase, where hit probabilities drop and the price of staying safe becomes volleys of interceptors per incoming missile. Then we zoom out to the strategy and politics shaping the Iran Israel conflict and the wider Middle East war. We talk saturation tactics, multiple re-entry vehicles, engagement queue limits, and the core economic imbalance where defense often costs far more than offense. Finally, we tackle U.S. foreign policy fallout through the Tomahawk missile controversy and what happens when leaders deny what the weapons, timelines, and target decks can confirm. Subscribe for more deep dives, share this with a friend who wants a clearer view of missile defense and Middle East security, and leave a review with your biggest question after listening.

They’re dragging a disproved Iraq War storyline out of storage to sell a new war with Iran, and it matters because it’s the kind of myth that can get people killed. We sit down with Captain Matt Ho to dissect the EFP hoax: what explosively formed penetrators were, how they were used in Iraq, and how the claim of Iranian direction or supply turned into a convenient political talking point. We also name the bigger pattern: when leaders need a clean villain, they rewrite messy history into a simple slogan. From there, we get into the competence problem driving today’s Iran war narrative. Trump points to advice from Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, and we explore what happens when personal loyalty replaces subject-matter expertise, especially around Iran’s nuclear program. Mixed messages about goals like regime change, “unconditional surrender,” or vague “imminent threats” aren’t just sloppy, they’re dangerous, because they blur the line between deterrence and escalation. We also zoom out to the strategic fallout: US military readiness, munitions constraints, and the real-world risk of energy shock tied to the Strait of Hormuz. Add in Lindsey Graham pressuring allies and the growing influence of religious nationalism, including Christian nationalism inside parts of the US military, and you get a conflict that can expand fast while staying politically incoherent. If you care about foreign policy, the Iraq War legacy, Iran war analysis, and the future of the US empire, this conversation is for you. Subscribe, share this with someone who still remembers the Iraq War messaging, and leave a review telling us what claim you want fact-checked next.

I’ll discuss Iran and the grunt math of salvo competition. Buppert’s Law of Military Topography: “Mountainous terrain held by riflemen who know what they are about cannot be militarily defeated.” For other insight on Iran, I recommend CG episodes 061 , 067 and 078. References: The Boogeyman of 21st-Century Warfare: Drones Why the US is facing strategic defeat Points of Resistance and Departure: An interview with James C. Scott Lester Grau and Charles J. Bartles Mountain Warfare and Other Lofty Problems: Foreign mountain combat veterans discuss movement and maneuver, training and resupply (Helion Studies in Military History) Lester Grau The Bear Went Over The Mountain: Soviet Combat Tactics In Afghanistan [Illustrated Edition] Lester Grau The Other Side of the Mountain: Mujahideen Tactics in the Soviet-Afghan War Mark Thompson The White War: Life and Death on the Italian Front 1915-1919 James C. Scott The Art of Not Being Governed: An Anarchist History of Upland Southeast Asia Sun Tzu The Art of War Carl von Clausewitz On War Miyamoto Musashi A Book of Five Rings: The Classic Guide to Strategy H. John Poole The Last Hundred Yards: The NCO’s Contribution to Warfare Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Qiao Liang & Wang Xiangsui Unrestricted Warfare: China’s Master Plan to Destroy America My Substack: https://t.co/7a8jn2Mmnx Email at [email protected].

I invited Buck Johnson of Counterflow on to have a nice relaxing conversation about things revealed and how it plays into our daily lives and worldview.

A headline-friendly story says Iran tried to assassinate Donald Trump. We pull the threads and find a different picture: an FBI-driven sting targeting Asif Merchant, two undercover “hitmen,” no money to fund the job, and no credible evidence that Tehran ordered anything. When prosecutors invoke state secrets and the agents who proposed the idea also control the evidence, it raises a hard question—are we building a case for war on a foundation of sand? From there we widen the lens. Antony Blinken has acknowledged years of Israeli pressure on Washington to strike Iran, and the gap between Obama’s resistance and Trump’s compliance says a lot about how policy gets made. We explore how the Israel lobby, friendly media, and political figures turned a flimsy plot into a narrative arc: Iran is coming for us, so hit first and ask later. Add Marco Rubio’s blunt admission about coordinating with Israel and you see the operational fusion—shared weapons, shared intelligence, shared target sets—that makes de-escalation harder and miscalculation easier. We also unpack the chaotic state of negotiations. Reports that senior envoys entered talks without nuclear experts help explain the constant moving of goalposts: from enrichment levels to ballistic missiles to regional behavior. When your asks keep changing, diplomacy becomes theater and escalation becomes default. Meanwhile, at home, costs mount—rising fuel prices, an affordability crunch, and the chilling reappearance of draft talk framed as “options on the table.” Younger Americans, skeptical of another proxy war, are asking who benefits and who pays. If you care about evidence-based policymaking, media literacy, and avoiding a wider regional conflict, this conversation lays out the signals behind the noise. We separate proof from posture, show where the narrative broke from the record, and highlight the off-ramps still available—if leaders have the courage to take them. If this resonated, tap follow, share it with a friend, and leave a quick review so more people can find the show. Your feedback shapes what we dig into next.

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Israeli geopolitical analyst Shaiel Ben-Ephraim about how Israelis are navigating and thinking about this new war with Iran. He and Scott dig into the differences between the US and Israeli government’s objectives in this war, the distinction between the various factions in Israel, how Netanyahu’s goals differ from the IDF’s and more. Discussed on the show: Follow Ben-Ephraim on X The Grand Reckoning Shaiel Ben-Ephraim is an Israeli geopolitical analyst, activist, and podcast host. Subscribe to his show The Grand Reckoning and follow him on Twitter @academic_la Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

A president calls for Iran’s “unconditional surrender,” then floats picking the next government and rebuilding a nation of 90 million. We unpack how a mission that began as punitive strikes ballooned into de facto nation building, why timelines quietly stretched from days to months, and how the math of missiles versus interceptors exposes the limits of U.S. power. Along the way, we confront the human cost of a school reduced to graves, the political theater of “this isn’t a war,” and the uncomfortable reality that AI-assisted targeting can accelerate mistakes faster than leaders can correct them. We dig into the strategic heart of the conflict: Iran’s calculation that a short war only invites another round, its vow to avoid talks it sees as traps, and the emerging use of advanced munitions that test Israeli air defenses. In the Gulf, partners run low on interceptors while Washington shuffles scarce systems from Asia and Europe, weakening deterrence where it’s needed next. We look at how Hezbollah’s front intensifies, why public sentiment in Bahrain cheers hits on U.S. sites, and how a CIA play to leverage Kurdish factions could backfire into Iraqi instability and a broader proxy storm. The politics at home are just as volatile. Congress shrugs off War Powers limits, giving leaders campaign cover without real accountability, even as flag-draped coffins return. We map the incentives that keep the war going, the industrial constraints that make “infinite ammo” a fantasy, and the scenarios that could flip U.S. basing rights and alliances across the region. Most of all, we focus on the only real off-ramp: narrow the aims, stop the escalation treadmill, and pair verifiable security guarantees with a plan that matches resources to reality. If you value candid analysis that cuts through talking points, tap follow, share this episode with a friend who cares about U.S. foreign policy, and leave a review with your take on the most realistic off-ramp. Your feedback shapes where we go next.

Ben Dixon of the Union of Orthodox Journalists joined me to discuss the UOC and OCU schism, the Kyiv-Pechersk Lavra, and Orthodoxy in America.

Two million people flood central Tehran and an American reporter says he felt safe—so what else about Iran, the protests, and the path to war have we been getting wrong? We open with a vivid, on-the-ground account of Iran’s national day, where politics look more like a citywide festival than a fever dream of chaos, and where conversations about U.S. policy run surprisingly deep. That lived reality sets the stage for a tougher conversation about how narratives harden: claims of mass killings, allegations of organized provocateurs, and the media scaffolding that turns moral outrage into quiet consent for a wider war. From there we dig into the power dynamics driving escalation. When leaders boast “we attacked first,” and lawmakers argue that an ally’s actions leave Washington “no choice,” the question becomes unavoidable: who actually holds the veto over U.S. war decisions? We examine joint command structures, donor-entangled negotiators, and a Congress that delayed War Powers votes until after strikes began—signals of a constitutional breakdown where authorization lags behind action. Add in a troubling pattern where negotiations serve as cover for surprise attacks and assassinations, and the credibility of diplomacy itself starts to fray. Finally, we confront how the character of warfare is shifting. Precision stocks deplete; gravity bombs abound. Civilian-dense targets reenter the strike list. War games that once predicted disaster for a U.S.–Iran fight never assumed normalized mass-civilian harm or casual talk of tactical nuclear use. With missiles and drones already exacting real costs across the region, the margin for miscalculation narrows. We ask what escalation looks like if battlefield losses mount, and why Hebrew-language hints of a shocking “surprise” should alarm every policymaker and voter. If you care about media truth, constitutional limits, and the difference between deterrence and drift, this conversation offers a clear-eyed map of where we are—and where we might be headed. Subscribe, share with a friend who follows foreign policy, and leave a review telling us what part of the narrative you’re rethinking.

A war launched with shifting reasons and sliding timelines is a warning sign, not a strategy. We sit down with former Lt. Col. Karen Kwiatkowski to examine how the U.S.–Iran confrontation veered from consent to chaos in days: bungled evacuations, brittle base defenses, and a communications vacuum that can’t cover for poor planning. Karen draws a sharp line from the Iraq playbook—months of theater and “evidence”—to today’s improvisation, arguing that when leaders skip the work of persuasion, they often skip the work of preparation too. We unpack the divergence between U.S. national interests and the aims of regional allies who gain from fragmentation rather than stability. From alleged false flags to decapitation strikes that harden, not break, an adversary’s will—especially during sacred seasons—Karen explains why social cohesion, religion, and memory matter in war as much as missiles and jets. We probe the culture inside the Pentagon, where candor fades as rank rises, and how that dynamic leaves troops exposed in trailers instead of layered defenses while press briefings promise “every precaution.” The conversation gets unflinching about costs: industrial limits that can’t sustain a long fight, political timelines that breed wishful thinking, and a post-failure push for massive “rebuild” budgets that reward the very errors that caused the losses. Yet there’s a path forward. We chart a reset built on real national security—clear objectives, lawful authority, matched means, and diplomacy that lowers the premium on force. If America wants fewer funerals and fewer blank checks, it needs consent, competence, and clarity at the core of policy. If this resonated, follow the show, share it with a friend who cares about foreign policy, and leave a review with your biggest takeaway so we can keep these conversations sharp and useful.

 Download Audio. Scott interviews author and scholar Robert Pape about the insights he’s gained from his decades of extensive research into the strategic effectiveness of air power in war. Pape argues that, while modern precision bombs are remarkable at carrying out their tactical functions, they alone are not enough to win wars. And further, the obsession with tactical bombing campaigns can distract decision-makers from the political dynamics that primarily determine how wars end. Discussed on the show: Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War by Robert A. Pape The Escalation Trap Robert A. Pape is Professor of Political Science and Director of the University of Chicago Project on Security and Threats and the author of Bombing to Win: Air Power and Coercion in War. Follow him on Twitter @ProfessorPape Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Matthew Hoh about an article he just wrote debunking the old lie, that is being pushed once again, that the Iranian government helped kill hundreds of American soldiers by supplying critical parts for armor-piercing roadside IEDs. He and Scott also discuss how insane Trump’s decision to attack Iran is. Discussed on the show: “They Are Still Lying About Iraq” (Antiwar.com) The Occupation: War and Resistance in Iraq by Patrick Cockburn “Iraq War II, Part 10: Soda Straws and EFPs” (Substack) Matthew Hoh is associate director at the Eisenhower Media Network and formerly worked for the U.S. State Department. Hoh received the Ridenhour Prize Recipient for Truth Telling in 2010. Subscribe to his Substack and follow him on Twitter @MatthewPHoh Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

War rarely begins with a single decision; it grows from motives, misreads, and momentum. We sit down with Colonel Lawrence Wilkerson to map how a promised era of “no new wars” gave way to a high-stakes confrontation with Iran that could redraw the strategic landscape. He unpacks an unsettling mix of incentives—profit for well-connected investors, donor appeasement, and domestic distraction—that, layered atop alliance politics with Israel, pushed Washington onto an escalation ladder with few exit ramps. We walk through the hard realities of deterrence, from Netanyahu’s saber-rattling and nuclear ambiguity to the very real prospect of great-power entanglement. If a nuclear-armed state strikes a non-nuclear Iran, global norms shatter and condemnation surges, while Russia and China, already tightening ties to Tehran, weigh their leverage. Wilkerson explains why even “limited” nuclear use becomes a civilization-scale risk once the United States, Russia, and China—each with thousands of advanced warheads—are forced into a confrontational posture. That alone should demand humility and restraint. Beyond headlines about missiles and speeches, the logistics are grim. Iran’s layered strategy of cheap drones and rockets is designed to drain expensive Patriot and naval interceptors, opening windows for heavier strikes. Maritime chokepoints—Hormuz and Bab el-Mandeb—become economic pressure valves, where selective disruption could upend oil flows, food shipments, and global trade. Quiet diesel-electric submarines operating in the acoustically favorable North Arabian Sea complicate any escort mission and raise the chance of a sudden, costly loss. And talk of U.S. ground forces? A recipe for a grinding, urban-and-mountain war that repeats the most painful lessons of Iraq and Afghanistan. We close on the long tail: how mass casualties, perceived impunity, and widening fronts unify otherwise divided communities, supercharge extremist recruitment, and tempt desperate states toward nuclear proliferation. Power isn’t just force; it’s legitimacy, alliances, and foresight. If we want stability, we have to rebuild credibility with clear aims, disciplined strategy, and diplomacy that matches the stakes. If this conversation moved you, subscribe, share with a friend, and leave a review with your biggest question about de-escalation—we’ll tackle it in a future show.

 Download Audio. Daniel Davis joined the show for a quick rundown on the war Trump just launched on Iran. He and Scott talk about what’s happened so far and where things may go from here. Discussed on the show: Daniel Davis / Deep Dive Daniel Davis did multiple tours in Iraq and Afghanistan during his time in the army. He is a Senior Fellow at Defense Priorities and is the author of the reports “Dereliction of Duty II: Senior Military Leaders’ Loss of Integrity Wounds Afghan War Effort” and “Go Big or Go Deep: An Analysis of Strategy Options on Afghanistan.” Find him on Twitter @DanielLDavis1and subscribe to his YouTube Channel.  Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

 Download Audio. Scott interviews Andy Schoonover, the CEO of CrowdHealth, about the business he started to offer an alternative to our terrible government-warped healthcare market. Discussed on the show: CrowdHealth “Bitter Pill: Why Medical Bills Are Killing Us” (Time Magazine) Andy Schoonover is the Founder and CEO of CrowdHealth.  Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/47jMtg7 (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/3tgMCdw Fool’s Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/3HRufs0 Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott’s full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Roberts and Roberts Brokerage Incorporated https://rrbi.co Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods’ Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com You can also support Scott’s work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow

John and I continue reading and commentary on the old revolutionary text, Rule for Radicals.

I am back from moving and health setbacks. With Western conflict in Iran escalating and in train, I discuss the vagaries and verities of the nuclear gambit in Iran in the Middle East and what this will mean to the future of warfare for the reminder of this century. I assess how the RMAs rapidly displacing centuries-old conflict norms are going to look for the remainder of the century. Buppert’s Law of Military Topography: “Mountainous terrain held by riflemen who know what they are about cannot be militarily defeated.” For other insight on Iran, I recommend CG episodes 061 and 067. References: Points of Resistance and Departure: An interview with James C. Scott Lester Grau and Charles J. Bartles Mountain Warfare and Other Lofty Problems: Foreign mountain combat veterans discuss movement and maneuver, training and resupply (Helion Studies in Military History) Lester Grau The Bear Went Over The Mountain: Soviet Combat Tactics In Afghanistan [Illustrated Edition] Lester Grau The Other Side of the Mountain: Mujahideen Tactics in the Soviet-Afghan War Mark Thompson The White War: Life and Death on the Italian Front 1915-1919 James C. Scott The Art of Not Being Governed: An Anarchist History of Upland Southeast Asia Sun Tzu The Art of War Carl von Clausewitz On War Miyamoto Musashi A Book of Five Rings: The Classic Guide to Strategy H. John Poole The Last Hundred Yards: The NCO’s Contribution to Warfare Christian Brose The Kill Chain: Defending America in the Future of High-Tech Warfare Qiao Liang & Wang Xiangsui Unrestricted Warfare: China’s Master Plan to Destroy America My Substack: https://t.co/7a8jn2Mmnx Email at [email protected].

Sirens don’t always sound before a war—sometimes the warning is a bland memo telling diplomats to pack. We open with the U.S. pullback of non‑emergency staff from Israel and track how similar moves in Lebanon and likely elsewhere signal more than routine caution. From there, we map the fault lines in the Iran talks: Oman’s shuttle diplomacy, Tehran’s offer to dilute 60 percent uranium in exchange for real sanctions relief, and Washington’s push for a forever framework with stockpile transfer. When “progress” headlines collide with uncompromising demands, the math points one direction—toward force. We challenge the claim that Iran “won’t say no nukes” by pulling the public statements and the religious decree that prohibit nuclear weapons, then set that against the hard lesson of deterrence from Iraq, Libya, and nuclear‑armed North Korea. Add in a persistent myth about EFPs in Iraq being “made in Iran,” and you get a narrative built to justify strikes rather than to solve a problem. We explain how these talking points, repeated often, become premises for action, and why a strike would likely trigger missile salvos that overwhelm defenses, hit U.S. positions, and drag Israel into a wider fight. Power without process is a theme throughout. We press the missing question to the presidency: where is the congressional authorization for a new Middle East war? A real vote could slow or stop escalation, yet media and political opponents remain quiet. The show widens to Cuba, where intensified sanctions aim to force internal change, and to the AI front, where the U.S. moved to cancel contracts with Anthropic after the company resisted military targeting and mass surveillance uses. That confrontation reveals how quickly advanced tech can be bent to state aims when guardrails are treated as disobedience.

A quiet leak says the loud part: some senior voices in Washington think the politics “work better” if Israel strikes Iran first. Not because it changes the threat. Because it changes the story Americans hear. We pull that thread and walk through the actual mechanics of how a regional spark becomes a U.S. war—and how the talking points are already scripted to sell it as defense, not regime change. We dig into the Wall Street Journal’s reporting on U.S. negotiating demands in Geneva: dismantle core facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan; ship out enriched uranium; accept permanent restrictions; get minimal sanctions relief. If the aim is nonproliferation, that package reads like a poison pill. We explain enrichment levels, IAEA safeguards, and why the JCPOA’s sunsets never legalized weapons. We also explore practical off-ramps—like diluting higher-enriched stock back to fuel-grade or transferring it to a third country—and why domestic politics and sanctions architecture block viable outcomes. Then we zoom out to missiles, proxies, and red lines that Washington has outsourced to regional partners. That choice all but guarantees future friction and a pretext for strikes. On Capitol Hill, even narrow, monitored enrichment is attacked as “JCPOA lite,” while the constitutional question goes missing. If war is truly on the table, a clean declaration vote would force members to own the decision; a War Powers Resolution that can be vetoed only muddies accountability. We close by assessing costs that seldom make the headline—U.S. casualties, humanitarian fallout, a deepening refugee crisis, and an empowered military-industrial complex—while ordinary Americans shoulder the bill. If this conversation adds clarity, subscribe, share it with a friend, and leave a review with your take on whether Congress should be required to vote before any strike on Iran. Your voice shapes what happens next.