The Living Market Podcast

This week, a different format. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, runs through five market insights in one episode: why earnings expectations are the highest they've been in years; what June's soft inflation statistic does and doesn't tell us; why roughly four in ten S&P 500 stocks were down 20% or more from their highs, even as the index hit records; why the calendar gets tougher from here; and why record profit margins raise the bar for everything that follows. One thread ties it all together: expectations are high everywhere you look, and the next two months will tell us whether reality can clear them.

Nobody's bracket survives the World Cup. And nobody's market thesis survived the first half of 2026 either, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. All seven Magnificent Seven stocks are trailing the S&P 500 at the halfway mark, while emerging markets and Canada have been the tournament's surprise winners. He explains what changed with the tariff shock of April 2025, why favourites are still good teams but not a plan on their own and why owning the whole field is the only strategy that keeps you in every round.

Aucun des pronostics de la Coupe du Monde ne s’est réalisé. Et aucune thèse de marché n’a survécu à la première moitié de 2026 non plus, fait remarquer Pierre-Benoît Gauthier, vice-président, Stratégie de placement à IG Gestion de patrimoine.  À mi-parcours, les Sept magnifiques sont à la traîne par rapport au S&P 500 tandis que les marchés émergents et le Canada ont été les gagnants-surprises du tournoi. Il explique ce qui a changé avec le choc des droits de douane d’avril 2025, pourquoi le fait de miser sur les équipes favorites demeure pertinent sans être une stratégie en soi, et pourquoi la maîtrise de tout le terrain est la seule stratégie qui permet de passer au tour suivant.

The headlines in the first half of 2026 were loud: a war in Iran, oil above $100 a barrel, inflation concerns and a weakening consumer. None of it was enough to derail markets, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. He breaks down the earnings and economic backdrop that drove returns across U.S., Canadian and international equities, explains why Canada and the U.S. are now heading in opposite directions on interest rates, and makes the case that any volatility in the second half of 2026 may turn out to be an opportunity.

While investors were focused elsewhere, the Canadian dollar quietly fell almost 5% against the U.S. dollar over the past two months. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explains the two forces driving that weakness: falling oil prices and a widening gap between Canadian and U.S. interest rates. With the Bank of Canada likely to shift its focus from inflation to a slowing economy, and the U.S. Federal Reserve expected to raise rates further, his view is that the pressure on the loonie may not be over.

Markets don't climb because everything is fine. They climb because everyone is convinced it isn't, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. He explains why the wall of worry that carried markets through the first half of 2026 has largely come down, and why that shift raises a simple question: what will carry the markets from here? He breaks down what history says about mid-term elections, why earnings remain the real floor under this market, and why the set-up for the second half of the year is more constructive than many investors might expect.

Two years ago, incoming U.S. Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh warned that central banks were getting too comfortable with higher inflation and called it very dangerous. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explains why that warning looks prescient today. With most central banks worldwide running above their inflation targets, and bond yields climbing, the boom in labour markets and asset prices is coming with a cost. The question is how central banks respond, and whether markets are ready for that answer.

Is inflation bad for stocks? Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management, went back through 76 years of market data to test that assumption, and the answer is more nuanced than most investors might expect. Stocks have been at least partial inflation hedges across most of the range we've actually lived through. The real risk isn't the inflation level itself; it's the policy response and whether that response tips the economy into a downturn.

The stock market is doing something unusual: rising steadily while consumers feel worse than they have at any point in recorded history, and most of the usual warning signs are flashing. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management, breaks down the artificial intelligence concentration story driving U.S. markets and why 10 companies now account for roughly 40% of the entire index. He explains why this rally deserves respect but not blind faith, and why a truly diversified portfolio today means owning more than one version of the same trade.

The bond market has been sending a message, and equity investors are starting to have to listen. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, breaks down what rising long-term government bond yields mean for a stock market that has climbed sharply in value this year. With inflation still elevated, the U.S. Federal Reserve is in a difficult position. Additionally, AI-driven growth remains powerful, but higher rates are forcing investors to reassess risk, future cash flows and the true cost of capital.

Most investors haven't been paying attention to Korea. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management, makes the case that they should be. He explains how sweeping corporate governance reforms have unlocked remarkable stock market gains and why Korean export data has become one of the most reliable early signals for where U.S. manufacturing is headed. For investors focused on artificial intelligence, global manufacturing and shareholder reform, Korea sits at the intersection of all three.

You have a will. But when did you last review it, and does the person you've named as executor truly understand what they're taking on? In this special edition of The Living Market, host Aurèle Courcelles, IG’s Vice-President, Tax and Estate Planning, is joined by Dan Britton, IG’s AVP, Tax and Estate Planning and Devon Miller, VP, Partnerships and Distribution at ClearEstate. Together, they explore why a will that made sense years ago may no longer reflect your current reality, what the executor role truly demands, and how estate disputes — even in close families — often begin not with money, but with surprises.

When almost everything else feels uncomfortable, earnings have been the one thing working. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management, unpacks one of the strongest earnings seasons in years: broad-based growth, strong cash flow and all 11 sectors participating for the first time in four years. But Ashish also shares a word of caution: this is a powerful market but not necessarily a safe one. When a market is priced for perfection, good results aren't always enough. The question now isn't whether earnings are good, it's whether they can stay good enough to justify what investors are paying.

The Canadian economy is slowing, but that's not the whole story. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explains why a cautious view on the domestic economy doesn't have to mean a cautious view on Canadian equities. He explores how the Toronto Stock Exchange is more connected to global commodity prices and international business activity than to what's happening at home, and why that distinction matters more than ever right now.

This year, IG Wealth Management celebrates 100 years of helping Canadians invest through everything markets can deliver. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, takes us through a century of market history; from the 1929 crash to the dot-com boom, the 2008 crisis and pandemic shock. He reveals a surprising pattern: while the triggers change, the rhythm stays remarkably consistent. Excess leads to stress, followed by policy response and recovery. Philip explains why the core building blocks of investing haven't fundamentally changed and shares the real lesson from a century of markets: success isn't about predicting the future perfectly, it's about preparing for it consistently.

Markets aren't irrational just because they don't do what you expect, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. He explores how positioning drives market movements more than headlines. He reveals why systematic traders added billions in buying pressure and how geopolitical shocks typically follow a predictable pattern. In the end, waiting for the story to feel good means missing the move, because price isn't a result of the story — price is the story.

Headlines make corrections feel like collapses, but what does the data actually show? Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, separates market mood from underlying reality. He explores how falling stock prices in the face of rising profit expectations create a better setup, shares surprising strength from major airlines reporting their best booking weeks ever and explains why the economy looks sturdier than investor sentiment suggests heading into earnings season.

Are we close to a market bottom, or is more pain ahead? Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, assesses recession risk through multiple indicators, including yield curves, manufacturing data, financial conditions and labour markets. He discusses why markets are making a familiar mistake by extrapolating geopolitical shocks into macro collapse, and the critical difference between momentum loss and level collapse. He also explains why it would be a policy error to increase interest rates in weakening economies because of oil supply shocks. Philip shares his view on the catalysts that could build the foundation for a meaningful low, as bad news stops working the way it once did.

When should investors react to headlines and when should they hold steady? Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management, addresses the challenge of separating emotional reactions from sound evaluation during volatile periods. He discusses the Trump administration's consistent pattern of escalation followed by de-escalation, why oil price increases don't automatically signal recession, and what historical data reveals about the difference between ordinary corrections and genuine market crashes. Philip shares why current economic indicators — strong jobless claims, improving manufacturing and resilient trade data — suggest fundamentals remain solid despite unsettling headlines from Washington, Jerusalem and Tehran.

Tax season is here. Are you ready? Host Aurèle Courcelles, Vice-President, Tax and Estate Planning at IG Wealth Management, sits down with Jonathan Braun, Senior Manager of Tax and Estate Planning at IG Wealth Management, to break down everything Canadians need to know for their 2025 tax filing. They discuss the new federal tax rate reduction and its surprising impact on non-refundable credits, updated alternative minimum tax rules, strategic timing for RRSP deductions, how to maximize medical expenses and charitable donations, and essential prep work to make tax season less stressful. Whether you're self-employed, working from home or managing investments, this special edition of the Living Market delivers practical strategies to help you file with confidence.

The Bank of Canada held rates steady this week, but the tone of its statement revealed something important about the inflation challenge ahead. Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, examines why raising rates during a period of oil-driven supply shock could do more harm than good. He explains how higher oil prices act as a tax on consumers, why the Canadian economy is already showing signs of fatigue and what this means for the probability of rate cuts before year-end. Plus, he shares insights on how a potential policy divergence between Canada and the U.S. could pressure the loonie toward the lower end of its projected range.

After oil spiked above $119 and markets panicked, the waters have calmed a little. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy, discusses whether the current energy crisis will be a temporary operational shock or a lasting supply break. He explains that the system is clogging rather than cutting off completely, how supply-driven shock differs from demand overheating, and what signals investors should monitor to distinguish whether this is just short-term volatility or if the impact could be longer lasting.

How will the latest geopolitical tensions among Iran, the United States and Israel affect global markets? Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, provides a thorough analysis. He explains why the Strait of Hormuz is essential for oil supply, how Canadian equities could benefit from elevated oil prices and why maintaining disciplined investing is important during periods of volatility.

What does the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision on tariffs mean to investors? Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management, says despite the attention-grabbing headlines, the core components of trade policy remain unchanged. Philip says the bigger story is about growing uncertainty and shifting market leadership. He explores how global markets, inflation and portfolio positioning may be affected, and shares some things to keep an eye on as trade policy enters a new phase.

AI is having two seemingly contradictory effects on the markets, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy, IG Wealth Management. AI’s spending and projects are real, and the investment amounts are stratospheric. At the same time, AI is disrupting today’s reality, and the market is already pricing in that disruption before it’s even had a chance to affect companies’ balance sheets. Ashish explains what this means for the markets and investors.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management examines the shifting roles of gold and bitcoin in the modern financial environment. He offers a thorough look at why gold continues to serve as a premier safe-haven asset during global turmoil, while bitcoin struggles with its identity. He also examines the gold-to-silver ratio and the evolving nature of risk appetite.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management, examines a significant juncture for global markets: the Bank of Canada’s wait-and-see stance, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s likely policies during a leadership transition and a noticeable correction in precious metals. He explores how evolving signals from central banks, currency changes and valuation adjustments are influencing investor sentiment.

While central banks have chosen to maintain their current stance, underlying uncertainty remains a significant factor. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy, IG Wealth Management, looks at the recent decisions by the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve and highlights why interest rates are no longer the dominant force in the markets. He says that growth, trade disputes, currency fluctuations and geopolitics are likely to prompt the markets’ next big moves.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, discusses the rise in market volatility and the headlines capturing attention in early 2026. He examines the effects of recent geopolitical and policy developments — from new trade disputes to questions about the independence of the U.S. Federal Reserve — on investor confidence.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explores the remarkable acceleration in U.S. economic growth, as shown by the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model. Philip uncovers the roles of trade, fiscal stimulus and regulatory credit easing, while examining the tension between robust GDP figures and a cooling labour market.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, returns with a timely breakdown of the latest U.S. tariff developments and their broader economic consequences. He explains how tariff hikes on Canadian and Chinese imports were far lower than expected and why the most hopeful outcomes for tariffs might not lead to straightforward gains. Philip provides scenarios of how tariffs, inflation and monetary policy are shaping the investment outlook for 2026.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, throws out the consensus playbook and presents three fearless forecasts for 2026. From a bold call on copper’s relentless rise and oil’s surprising rebound, to the prospect of Canadian equities outpacing their U.S. counterparts for a second year, this episode challenges market assumptions and explores where opportunity may be hiding. Philip shares analytical insights into macroeconomic drivers, sector fundamentals and global trends that could define the year ahead.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management, explores the fourth and final pillar of our 2026 market outlook: the wealth effect wave. He says that rising equity markets and the spending patterns of the wealthiest Americans continue to drive economic expansion. He also says consumer discretionary stocks signal economic strength and shares what disciplined investors should focus on as they navigate the markets in the year ahead.

This episode explores the third pillar of our 2026 market outlook: the transformative AI supercycle. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management, unpacks how disciplined, cash-flow-backed investments in artificial intelligence infrastructure are reshaping economic growth, enhancing productivity and driving the next phase of expansion. He says today’s AI investing cycle is fundamentally different from prior tech booms, and explores what this means for the markets and broader economy.

This week, we have part two of our series on the 2026 market outlook. Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President of Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management delves into the fiscal engine, examining how expansionary fiscal policies in both the U.S. and Canada will drive market activity. He explains the effects of accelerated depreciation and Canadian stimulus on households, corporations and overall economic growth, emphasizing how this calculated boldness is likely to be rewarded by markets.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, begins a four-part series on the 2026 market outlook by looking into the significant influence of monetary policy. He analyzes the current landscape, the signs indicating a weak recession risk and the supportive macroeconomic factors, with a deep dive into how global central banks' easing strategies will influence market performance and the Canadian dollar's stability.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management reviews third-quarter earnings results, highlighting the strong performance across the board. Philip emphasizes the importance of this earnings growth trend and discusses the balance between AI winners and other sectors. He also provides insights into valuations and the potential risks for the next quarter.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, delves into the current market conditions and offers insights on the bull market's health in this episode. He discusses the market cap distortion story, the rotation towards consumer discretionary exposures and why the primary trend remains higher.

In this special edition of the podcast, Aurèle Courcelles, Vice-President of IG’s Tax and Estate Planning team explains how the changes in the recent federal budget could affect you. He discusses the tightened rules around trusts and the elimination of certain taxes, including on real estate and some luxury vehicles, which will be good news for many taxpayers. He also talks about changes to help caregivers who look after many of Canada’s seniors, plus how double dipping has been eliminated on the Home Accessibility Tax Credit.

Two cuts, two central banks, one message: the tightening chapter is over, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. He uncovers the motivations behind the Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve decisions to cut rates. He examines the impact on inflation, growth and monetary policy, and provides insights into what we might expect next in the coming months.

Tune in as Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management addresses the top investor questions: is AI in a bubble? What's happening with the Canadian dollar? And is gold's recent surge a safe-haven rally or a market bubble? Philip shares his expert insights on these pressing topics, providing clarity and context for investors navigating today's complex market landscape.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management breaks down the key factors influencing the market this week, from gauging the optimism of small businesses to the implications of the U.S. Federal Reserve potentially reducing the size of its balance sheet. Philip explores the market’s addiction to liquidity and the challenges of navigating low yields and high valuations.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explores the surprising connection between the S&P's upward movement and the simultaneous spike in expected volatility, a situation that has never happened before. He explains how traders' focus on single-name leverage is distorting the volatility landscape and discusses the potential implications for the market as it heads into a busy October with significant economic data releases.

Right now, liquidity is plentiful, demand is strong, and even the riskiest bonds are trading just fine, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. He says if credit spreads start drifting wider, that’s your cue to pay attention. This week Ashish dives into the bond market and explores the significance of credit spreads and their implications for the economy.

In this special edition of The Living Market, Aurèle Courcelles and Sheryl Troup from IG Wealth Management’s Tax and Estate Planning team share their expertise on year-end tax planning. They discuss critical strategies, such as income splitting, capital gains planning and charitable giving, and provide key dates and final tips to help listeners stay organized and ensure they don't miss out on important tax saving opportunities.

As we move into the final quarter of the year, Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management reveals all the data points that keep supporting strength in the equities markets. While on the surface, things might look messy, almost every indicator is a positive for equities. Philip explains how monetary and fiscal policy, credit, company balance sheets and low global bond yields are all favourable, explaining why equities continue to win over bonds.

As expected, both the Bank of Canada (the BoC) and the U.S. Federal Reserve cut their overnight interest rates this week, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. The BoC didn’t really have a choice, he says, with unemployment at its highest in a decade (apart from during the pandemic) and inflation within targets. But can we expect more cuts in the near future? And how could it all impact your portfolio?

Recent labour market data in Canada and the U.S. reveals signs of weakness, with significant job losses and rising unemployment, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management. He examines the data, the policy implications and the forward-looking indicators that investors should watch out for.

There is a disconnect between market performance and the headlines that dominate the news, says Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist, IG Wealth Management. He highlights how, in the past year, the market has defied expectations in Europe, Israel and China, despite negative narratives. Philip emphasizes the importance of trading based on actual market conditions, rather than emotional reactions to news and politics.

Philip Petursson, Chief Investment Strategist at IG Wealth Management, explores the market's resilience and momentum in September. He highlights solid profit margins, a recovering manufacturing sector and strong consumer confidence. He explains how market highs are not a cause for panic and how momentum can drive further gains, as he offers insights into the fall outlook.