PODCAST · technology
The Metaculus Journal
by Metaculus Inc.
Audio readings from The Metaculus JournalThe Metaculus Journal publishes essays on topics in science, mathematics, technology, policy, and politics—all fortified by testable predictions.https://www.metaculus.com/project/journal/
Episodes
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Explainable AI and Trust Issues
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9613/explainable-ai-and-trust-issues/ AI researchers exploring ways to increase trust in AI recognize that one barrier to trust, often, is a lack of explanation. This recognition has led to the development of the field of Explainable Artificial Intelligence...
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The Path to Controlling Cancer
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8701/the-path-to-controlling-cancer/ Treating cancer is a battle against exponential growth of mutating cells, so even breakthrough drugs may offer only incremental increases in survival time before residual tumors rebound. But as we learn more about the...
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The Promise and Impact of the Next Generation of Weight Loss Drugs
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8702/the-promise-and-impact-of-the-next-generation-of-weight-loss-drugs/ Obesity is a burden on individuals and on society, but it has historically been hard to treat. Until recently, weight loss approaches based on diet/lifestyle and drugs struggled to produce...
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Methods for Solving Protein Structures
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9191/methods-for-solving-protein-structures/ Proteins are complex molecules that comprise the bulk of functional parts of living things. They are encoded in DNA and RNA as genes. By sequencing DNA, or sometimes even the proteins themselves, we can learn the…
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Population Crashes: The Deadliest Events In History
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8739/population-crashes-the-deadliest-events-in-history/ Throughout history, for most of the time, world population has been growing, with the rate of that growth also increasing along with the transitions between the foraging era, the farming era, and the...
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Reducing Nuclear Risk Through Improved US-China Relations
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8807/reducing-nuclear-risk-through-improved-us-china-relations/ Heightened geopolitical tensions can increase the risk of war, and when tensions between nuclear powers deteriorate the risk of nuclear war can increase. One such relationship facing heightened...
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Malaria and the Historic RTS,S Vaccine
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/10685/malaria-and-the-historic-rtss-vaccine/ The following essay was contributed by public health researcher Jon Servello. This essay makes extensive use of abbreviations. The list can be found here. Malaria caused 627,000 deaths in 2020, largely among children...
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Solar Power: Current Challenges, Encouraging Progress
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8938/solar-power-current-challenges-encouraging-progress/ The world is hugely reliant on fossil fuels. Despite impressive progress in the development of renewable energy, still about 85% of the world's energy comes from oil, gas, and coal. The progress in…
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Polygenic Selection of Embryos
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9247/polygenic-selection-of-embryos/ In vitro fertilization (IVF) is a fertilization procedure in which ova are removed from a woman and combined with sperm in a laboratory culture, with the resulting embryo then implanted in the woman's or a surrogate mother's...
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Biosecurity Vulnerabilities of American Food Supply
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/10188/biosecurity-vulnerabilities-of-american-food-supply/ In the early summer of 1968, farmers in Louisiana noticed small, elongated brown lesions running down green leaves of corn. These plants quickly died or experienced extensive rot that rendered the...
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War of Attrition: Updated Endgame Forecasts for the Ukraine-Russia Conflict
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/11200/war-of-attrition-updated-endgame-forecasts-for-the-ukraine-russia-conflict/ Robert de Neufville is a superforecaster and former Director of Communications of the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute. He writes and forecasts at Telling the Future. Russia...
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Will the Great Resignation Spread?
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9527/will-the-great-resignation-spread/ In 2021 there were many stories about workers quitting jobs. Pundits dubbed this phenomenon the Great Resignation. Statistically, the best measure of quits in the United States comes from the government's Job Openings and...
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Life on the Icy Moons and Ocean Worlds of the Outer Solar System
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/8339/life-on-the-icy-moons-and-ocean-worlds-of-the-outer-solar-system/ The following essay was contributed by space systems engineer Kostas Konstantinidis The search for life elsewhere in the universe is one of the driving forces behind space exploration. Its...
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Renewables Forecasting
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9826/renewables-forecasting/ Published by RyanBeck on Feb 14, 2022. In a recent article about solar power, Tom Chivers described how growth in solar power has outpaced many forecasts, as well as the challenges involved in accurately forecasting trends in solar...
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Action Ontologies, Computer Ontologies
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9885/action-ontologies-computer-ontologies/ The following essay is by Jacob Falkovich who writes at Putanumonit.com The mystery of perception Out in the universe, there are merely atoms¹ and the void. On the table in front of you, there's a ripe tomato. Inside...
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Competing Institutional Solutions to Housing Supply Restrictions
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/9828/competing-institutional-solutions-to-housing-supply-restrictions/ n the last few years, increasing numbers of people across the political spectrum and across the developed world have begun to recognize the effects of restrictive housing rules on high…
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What's the Endgame of the War in Ukraine?
Robert de Neufville is a superforecaster and former Director of Communications of the Global Catastrophic Risk Institute. He writes a Substack on forecasting called Telling the Future.
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Monetary Policy in 2050
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/10164/monetary-policy-in-2050/ There is a broad consensus that monetary policies set by central banks like the Federal Reserve or European Central Bank are critical to avoiding depressions like the global Great Recession, and for ensuring that real economic...
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Space Debris and the Kessler Syndrome
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/10025/space-debris-and-the-kessler-syndrome/ The following essay was contributed by space systems engineer Kostas Konstantinidis
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Russia-Ukraine Conflict: Forecasting Nuclear Risk in 2022
https://www.metaculus.com/notebooks/10439/russia-ukraine-conflict-forecasting-nuclear-risk-in-2022/
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Audio readings from The Metaculus JournalThe Metaculus Journal publishes essays on topics in science, mathematics, technology, policy, and politics—all fortified by testable predictions.https://www.metaculus.com/project/journal/
HOSTED BY
Metaculus Inc.
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How many episodes does The Metaculus Journal have?
The Metaculus Journal currently has 20 episodes available on PodParley. New episodes are automatically indexed when they're published to the podcast feed.
What is The Metaculus Journal about?
Audio readings from The Metaculus JournalThe Metaculus Journal publishes essays on topics in science, mathematics, technology, policy, and politics—all fortified by testable predictions.https://www.metaculus.com/project/journal/
How often does The Metaculus Journal release new episodes?
The Metaculus Journal has 20 episodes. Check the episode list to see recent publication dates and frequency.
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The Metaculus Journal is created and hosted by Metaculus Inc..
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