PODCAST · sports
Toadstool Sports
by Toad
Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby.Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
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Tuesday BEST BETS | Fade Every One of My Plays | MLB | 9/8/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBTB +101ARI F5 -110#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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413
Monday BEST BETS | Monday Night Football? | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/7/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBLAA/BOS Over 8 -115MIN F5 +115CIN F5 +125#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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412
Sunday BEST BETS | Non NFL Football Sunday? | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/6/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBBAL F5 +115TOR/KC Over 9.5 -115#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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411
BALLED - NFL 2026-2027 Preview w/ Clint Russell
Check out Clint at Liberty Lockdownhttps://linktr.ee/libertylockdownMy linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoad#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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410
Saturday BEST BETS | Covering the Bases | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/5/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadNCAAFLiberty +6.5Arkansas St. +11.5MLBKC F5 -115NYY/SD Under 8 -118WSH/LAD Under 7.5 -102#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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409
College Football Week 1 BEST BETS | The Worst Week
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadNCAAFLiberty +6.5Arkansas St. +11.5#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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408
Friday BEST BETS | First Football Friday | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/4/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadNCAAFStanford +24.5MLBDET (G1) +120ATL -102#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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407
Thursday BEST BETS | Why Would Anyone Keep Doing This? | MLB & NCAA Football | 9/3/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBKC F5 -104#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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406
Wednesday BEST BETS | Just Baseball | MLB | 9/2/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSEA/BOS Over 8.5 -106NYY/LAA Under 7 -115LAD -1.5 -108#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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405
Tuesday BEST BETS | September Call-Ups | MLB | 9/1/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSF/PIT Under 7.5 -110MIL/CHC Over 10.5 -105PHI/ARI F5 Under 4 -110I apologize, guys, Streamyard ate it near the end, nothing I could do about it. My thoughts on the last game were St. Louis F5 or Under, but no play.#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Monday Mourning | MLB | 8/31/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSD -140#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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403
Sunday BEST BETS | Sunday Sadness | MLB & WNBA | 8/30/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBCOL F5 +0.5 +114MIN F5 -122PIT F5 -125CIN/CHC F5 Under 4.5 +100#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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402
Saturday BEST BETS | Football is Back | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason & NCAA Football | 8/29/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadNCAAFEastern Michigan -8.5MLBSEA/TOR Under 7.5 -104MIA/WSH Under 7.5 +100 (might still change to F5 if a 4 shows up)#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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401
College Football Week 0 BEST BETS | It Begins Again
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadNCAAFEastern Michigan -8.5College Football Week 0 Breakdown + Best Bet: Eastern Michigan vs Sacramento StateToad returns for Week 0 college football, briefly venting about the Red Sox and recent betting results before previewing all eight FBS games and offering one official play. He leans North Carolina +points vs TCU in the Dublin opener and also leans under 46.5 due to heavy turnover and travel. He discusses USC as a massive favorite over San Jose State, leans NC State +points at Virginia with an under/first-half-under angle, and notes market support for Jacksonville State +points vs new FBS member North Dakota State. His official pick is Eastern Michigan -8.5/-9 vs Sacramento State, citing EMU’s returning QB Noah Kim and Sac State’s major roster turnover and first FBS road game. He also leans Stanford over Hawaii, has a weak lean toward Florida State covering a big number vs New Mexico State, and offers thoughts on UNLV vs Memphis without a bet.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:28 Week Zero Kickoff02:47 Baseball Rant Break03:48 Dublin Game Preview08:39 USC Blowout Lines12:32 ACC Opener Breakdown19:10 FBS Newcomer Spotlight22:52 My Best Bet Tease23:03 Eastern Michigan Pick24:20 Line Shopping Advice25:17 Sacramento State Breakdown28:19 Stanford Hawaii Preview30:08 Hawaii Mainland Curse32:24 Florida State Huge Spread36:40 Memphis UNLV Nightcap42:02 Final Play Recap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Friday BEST BETS | Friday Football | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/28/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM +110PIT -110WNBAPOR +12.5Friday Betting Card: Mets ML, Pirates ML & WNBA Dog + MLB/NFL Preseason Breakdown (Aug 28)Toad returns for the Friday, Aug. 28 Toadstool Sports show after a loss on the Giants–Diamondbacks over, recapping recent results and breaking down a full slate of MLB, WNBA, and NFL preseason. He analyzes key baseball matchups and market splits, including Reds–Cubs over/first-five lean, Tigers run-line vs. Dodgers, Miami over Washington considerations, and multiple under/first-five angles, plus thoughts on Red Sox–Yankees and other games. The official MLB plays are Mets moneyline (backing Christian Scott over Hunter Brown) and Pirates moneyline (rest and bullpen edge vs. a taxed Cardinals pen). The WNBA play is Portland +12.5, fading Atlanta in a return-home/look-ahead spot. He closes with rapid NFL preseason notes focused on coach motivation, QB rotations, and totals.00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues01:28 Show Intro and Yesterday Recap02:38 Dodgers Red Sox Reality Check03:36 Reds Cubs Pitching Breakdown09:50 Dodgers Tigers Situational Spot15:47 Marlins Nationals Lean21:47 Official Play Mets Moneyline28:55 Royals Guardians Under Talk36:37 Padres Rays Road Trip Angles39:14 Mize Red Flags40:05 McClanahan Edge41:23 Tampa First Five42:40 Red Sox Roster Talk45:50 Sandoval vs Schlittler48:48 Yankees Lean and Total50:54 Rockies Braves Letdown52:36 Sugano vs Holmes Breakdown57:29 Seattle Toronto Pitching TBD01:00:19 Cease and Under Lean01:03:23 Rangers Brewers Spot01:05:26 Bradford Henderson Under01:10:00 Slump Vent Session01:11:32 White Sox Twins Angles01:12:51 Castillo Kremer Totals01:18:02 Pirates Spot Play01:19:06 Pirates Rest Edge01:20:54 Jones vs Matthews01:23:59 Pirates Pick Em01:25:08 Phillies Angels Breakdown01:26:09 Painter Detmers Matchup01:30:03 Orioles Athletics Spot01:31:31 Young vs Lopez First501:35:57 Dbacks Giants First501:40:35 WNBA Portland Fade01:45:14 Connecticut Indiana Spread01:48:22 Toronto Vegas Rant01:51:24 Washington LA Spot01:53:49 Fade Washington Spot01:54:23 Slump Spiral Rant01:55:55 Preseason Ravens Commanders01:58:33 Falcons Dolphins QB Talk02:02:05 Panthers Texans Totals02:05:02 Giants Jets Under Lean02:07:52 Bucs Jaguars Read02:09:59 Saints Cowboys Bounceback02:12:00 Cardinals Packers Side Total02:14:31 Seahawks Chiefs Low Total02:18:02 Bengals Eagles Preseason02:20:18 Vikings Broncos Nightcap02:22:05 Plays Recap And Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Thursday BEST BETS | Thinnest Thursday | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/27/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBARI/SF Over 8 -105MLB Picks & Breakdown (Aug 27): D-backs/Giants Over 8 + WNBA Leans & NFL Preseason AnglesToad opens the Aug 27th Toad’s Soul Sports show recapping a 2–1 day (MLB under Phillies–Seattle and Marlins win, but a WNBA loss blamed on shooting outliers). He reviews a small MLB slate with breakdowns of Rockies–Nationals (leans: Washington 1st 5 or over 9.5), Orioles–Cardinals (leans Baltimore pending St. Louis starter), Astros–Yankees (leans Yankees; suggests the game looks more like an under), Royals–Blue Jays (leans Royals 1st 5 while avoiding bullpens), Brewers–Mets (discusses Mierzowski vs Manaea; considers over 7), and Dodgers–Braves (prefers under 6.5; notes Dodgers value as dog). His only official play is Diamondbacks–Giants over 8, citing weak starters, tired Giants bullpen, and market support. He adds WNBA leans (New York vs Golden State; Phoenix +points vs Washington) and discusses NFL preseason motivation/backup QB situations.00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues01:30 Show Intro and Recap03:08 WNBA Bad Beat Rant04:50 Board Setup Rockies Nats05:06 Rockies vs Nats Breakdown10:12 Orioles vs Cardinals Preview14:15 Astros vs Yankees Cole Edge20:31 Royals vs Blue Jays Spot27:14 Brewers vs Mets Total Talk32:32 Dodgers vs Braves Pitching Duel38:18 Best Bet Dbacks Giants Over39:34 Bullpen Over Concerns40:39 Cabrera Fade Breakdown42:29 Roupe Walk Problems44:20 Over Bet Locked In46:11 Slump Rant Montage48:07 WNBA Rest Edge Talk51:32 Phoenix Zigzag Angle57:22 NFL Preseason Approach58:00 Steelers Bills Lean01:03:18 Patriots Browns Read01:06:43 Niners Raiders Distraction01:10:51 Rams Chargers Late Game01:14:25 Wrap Up And Plugs#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Wednesday BEST BETS | Calm Before the Storm | MLB & WNBA | 8/26/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPHI/SEA Under 7 -115MIA F5 +110WNBACON +14MLB Picks & Breakdown (Aug 26): Phillies–Mariners Under 7, Miami F5 + WNBA Connecticut +13.5The host recaps going 2–1 the previous day (KC F5 win, BAL–STL over win, CLE–ANA under loss) and says he dislikes most of the board, offering one main MLB bet: Phillies–Mariners under 7 based on Seattle’s pitcher-friendly park, weak offenses in the series, and strong starters Jesús Luzardo (dominant road splits) and Brian Woo (elite home splits and recent form). He discusses several other matchups with leans, then adds Miami first five as a late play, citing a bad situational spot for Boston (look-ahead to Yankees) and public Red Sox money. For WNBA, he plays Connecticut +13.5 vs Golden State, citing a very low total, Golden State’s travel/sandwich spot before New York, and backdoor-cover potential, with a lean to Seattle over Toronto but no bet.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:30 Yesterday Recap Results03:20 Today Card Overview03:47 Rays Tigers Breakdown09:00 Cubs Diamondbacks Preview14:09 Chat Rant Dodgers Braves15:03 Reds Giants Avoid Sweep20:57 Guardians Angels Rematch27:06 Best Bet Phillies Mariners Under37:26 Pirates Padres Series Notes42:41 Pirates First Five Angle44:36 Red Sox Marlins Spot47:44 Gray vs Gusto Breakdown50:40 Miami First Five Play53:44 Rockies Nationals Chaos59:33 Astros Yankees Over Talk01:05:23 Royals Jays Regression Watch01:10:34 Slump Rant Reset01:12:44 Brewers Mets Pitching01:18:57 Dodgers Braves Preview01:21:18 Braves Dodgers Over01:24:23 Rangers White Sox Breakdown01:25:24 Gore vs Burke Picks01:29:46 Orioles Cardinals Bounceback01:30:34 Bradish vs McGreevy Angles01:34:26 Twins Athletics Bullpen Fade01:35:56 Prelip vs Ginn First Five01:40:58 WNBA Connecticut Big Dog01:47:14 Seattle Line Trap Talk01:52:50 Dildo Bets Tangent01:55:41 Final Card And Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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397
College Football Futures BEST BETS | The New Landscape | NCAAF Season Preview
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadCollege Football Best Bets Preview: Value Plays by Conference + Title Odds (ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, SEC & More)Toad from Toadstool Sports previews the college football season as a “Best Bets” show, using conference odds, returning starters/production, transfers, coaching changes, and realignment (including the reformed Pac-12) to look for value. In the ACC he leans against Miami as a heavy favorite and highlights SMU and Pittsburgh as better-priced options. In the American he favors value on Army and UTSA. In the Big 12 he prefers BYU (and notes Utah and Houston) over favorite Texas Tech. In the Big Ten he likes Ohio State and Oregon, expects Indiana to regress, and flags long-shot Penn State due to Matt Campbell’s overhaul and an easy schedule. He also discusses Liberty/Delaware in CUSA, Western Michigan in the MAC, New Mexico in the new Mountain West, Boise State in the new Pac-12, and in the SEC sees Georgia and Oklahoma as key looks. He closes with national title thoughts, including Ohio State and a long-shot Oklahoma.00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues01:29 Show Intro And Approach02:07 Realignment And Conference Tiers03:39 ACC Favorites And Fade Miami05:44 ACC Value Picks SMU And Pitt08:34 ACC Long Shots And Realignment Rant11:35 American Wide Open Value15:37 Big 12 Favorites And Physical Teams16:50 Big 12 Value BYU Utah Houston22:02 Big Ten Top Tier Breakdown26:03 Big Ten Coaching Carousel Notes28:24 Big Ten Midpack Michigan Penn State34:58 Big Ten Value Picks Recap35:47 Conference USA Quick Hits38:42 MAC Chaos And Best Angles41:59 MAC Odds Rundown42:15 Liberty Rant Break42:55 Realignment Travel Chaos43:32 Mountain West Favorites44:14 UNLV Quarterback Spotlight45:01 New Mexico Value Pick47:30 Newcomers Adjustment Talk48:44 Reformed Pac-12 Overview49:15 Boise State Front Runner50:22 Pac-12 Mid Tier Teams54:18 Pac-12 Best Bet55:00 SEC Title Race55:59 SEC Contenders Deep Dive01:01:19 SEC Coaching Carousel01:05:37 SEC Value Picks01:06:30 Sun Belt Futures01:10:07 Notre Dame Schedule Edge01:12:09 National Title Futures01:15:07 Best Bets And Wrap Up#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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396
Tuesday BEST BETS | Waiting for Football | MLB & WNBA | 8/25/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBKC F5 -104BAL/STL Over 8 -118CLE/LAA Under 7.5 -120Toadstool Sports Betting Show (Aug 25): Royals F5, O’s/Cards Over, Guardians/Angels Under + MLB & WNBA LeansToad opens the Tuesday, Aug. 25th Toadstool Sports show recapping a 3-1 day and updating his record to 197-143, then breaks down the evening MLB slate with pitching, bullpen/offense ranks, market splits, and scheduling/urgency angles. He passes on Red Sox–Marlins, leans Rays over Tigers, discusses Rockies–Nationals, and targets Astros team total/over vs Yankees. His official plays are Kansas City Royals 1st 5 moneyline vs Toronto (fading Max Scherzer with Seth Lugo), Orioles–Cardinals over 8.5 (Bassitt vs Liberatore), and Guardians–Angels under 7.5 (Gavin Williams vs Walbert Ureña). He also gives additional leans on Mets/Brewers, Dodgers/Braves, Rangers/White Sox, plus late-slate games, and briefly covers WNBA with a lean toward Phoenix vs Washington, while promoting his college football preview and channel links.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:27 Show Welcome Record02:08 Recap Yesterday Picks03:48 College Football Note04:23 Red Sox Marlins Breakdown08:38 Rays Tigers Preview13:30 Rockies Nationals Angle18:26 Astros Yankees Betting Read23:50 Royals First Five Play30:51 Brewers Mets Preview36:03 Mets Brewers angles38:05 Dodgers Braves spot40:35 Glasnow return breakdown43:42 Dodgers Braves bets45:18 Rangers White Sox recap46:34 deGrom vs Kay totals51:04 Orioles Cardinals over53:32 Bassitt Liberatore fade57:47 Guardians Angels under01:00:06 Pitching matchup deep dive01:05:06 Slump rant reset01:06:38 Cubs Dbacks preview01:10:02 Cubs Diamondbacks Picks01:12:26 Twins Athletics Breakdown01:17:21 Phillies Mariners Under01:23:29 Pirates Padres Skenes01:28:45 Reds Giants Total Lean01:33:50 WNBA Slate Overview01:33:52 Sky Sun Market Read01:36:44 Wings Fire Thoughts01:38:24 Mystics Mercury Value01:40:50 Wrap Up Plays Promo#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Monday Morning Misery | MLB & WNBA | 8/24/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBBOS/MIA Under 7.5 -110PIT/SD Under 7.5 -115CIN F5 -0.5 -105WNBAGS +6.5On Tilt After a Brutal Slump: Monday Betting Card (MLB Unders, Reds F5, WNBA Dog)The host (Toad/Toadstool Sports) vents about a severe losing streak fueled by bad beats—especially a Cardinals-Phillies under ruined by six two-out runs in the 9th—and recaps recent failures in MLB and WNBA, while promising a large slate of plays “on tilt.” He breaks down multiple matchups with situational angles (travel, return-home spots, time-zone changes), pitching, bullpens, and betting splits, but ultimately locks in four featured bets: Red Sox–Marlins under 7.5 (Suarez vs. Alcantara), Pirates–Padres under 7.5 (Ashcraft vs. Ray), Reds first five -0.5 behind Chase Burns vs. Carson Wisenhunt, and Golden State +6.5 (or +5.5) vs. Minnesota in the WNBA based on a low total and scheduling/spot factors.00:00 Gambling Blues Intro01:31 Stream Setup Meltdown01:47 Bad Beats Recap03:31 Tilted Card Today03:54 Red Sox Marlins Under09:15 Rays Tigers Breakdown14:47 Rockies Nationals Spot19:36 Rangers White Sox Lean25:38 Guardians Angels Under32:08 Cubs Dbacks Over Talk37:53 Twins Athletics Fade41:01 Twins vs A's Breakdown43:23 First Five or Over44:09 Phillies vs Mariners Under46:36 Wheeler vs Gilbert Matchup49:14 Under Bet Strategy51:22 Tilt and Reset Rant53:54 Pirates vs Padres Under55:28 Ashcraft and Ray Analysis01:00:30 Reds First Five Play01:06:13 WNBA Golden State Dog01:13:08 Atlanta vs LA Lean01:17:54 Card Recap and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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394
Sunday BEST BETS | Yeah I Suck | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/23/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSTL/PHI Under 8 -106CHC/SEA Under 7.5 -108WNBACHI +3.5Toadstool Sports Betting Card: Cardinals-Phillies Under 8, Cubs-Mariners Under 7.5 + Sky vs FeverToad returns for Toadstool Sports after a rough stretch of losses, recaps recent bad beats in MLB and WNBA, and warns viewers about his WNBA struggles. He gives his official plays: Cardinals vs. Phillies under 8 (full game, with discussion of rested bullpens and starters Kyle Leahy and Cristopher Sanchez) and Cubs vs. Mariners under 7.5 (pitcher-friendly Seattle park with Shota Imanaga vs. Bryce Miller and market support for the under). He also breaks down several other MLB matchups and leans without adding them to the card, then gives a WNBA pick: Chicago Sky +3.5 vs. Indiana, emphasizing Indiana’s brutal travel/back-to-back scheduling spot. He briefly touches on other WNBA games, an NFL preseason game (Seahawks vs. Titans), and plugs upcoming college football and NFL preview content.00:00 Cold Open Poem01:28 Show Intro Glitches01:48 Recapping Bad Beats04:21 Cardinals Phillies Under11:16 Rays Orioles Sweep Spot17:57 Blue Jays Yankees Under Lean25:02 Nationals Marlins Over Talk30:08 Athletics Astros Bullpen Game34:17 Tigers Royals Bullpen Chaos40:15 Mets White Sox Quick Look41:09 Mets vs White Sox Breakdown44:06 Market Signals and Leans45:28 Angels vs Rangers Puzzle52:44 Guardians vs Rockies Coors Angle58:54 Giants vs Red Sox Wild Finish01:04:55 Slump Rant and Reset01:06:31 Best Bet Cubs Mariners Under01:12:58 Twins vs Padres Betting Read01:18:13 Dodgers Sweep Spot01:19:45 Snell vs Bullpen Game01:21:44 Dodgers Betting Angles01:23:11 Reds Diamondbacks Breakdown01:26:50 Market Read and Totals01:27:52 Little League Classic Setup01:29:46 Braves Brewers Pitching01:33:01 Atlanta Side and Under Lean01:34:21 WNBA Slate Opens01:36:16 Chicago Sky Best Bet01:41:24 Other WNBA Leans01:46:26 NFL Preseason Quick Look01:52:12 Wrap Up and Plugs01:56:21 Final Card and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Saturday BEST BETS | The Worst Board Ever | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/22/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBTB -122PIT/LAD F5 Under 4 -118WNBAPHX +5.5MLB Picks & Leans (Aug 22): Rays ML, Pirates-Dodgers F5 Under + WNBA Phoenix +5.5 | Toadstool SportsToad recaps going 1-1 the prior day, hitting the Texas–Anaheim under and losing the Cubs in extras, then breaks down the full Saturday, August 22 board. He reviews key MLB matchups including Toronto–Yankees (leans under or Toronto F5), Braves–Brewers (Milwaukee or pass), Nationals–Marlins (leans over), Cardinals–Phillies (high variance with rookie starters), Rays–Orioles (adds Rays moneyline as a play), Angels–Rangers (pass), A’s–Astros (huge Houston price; considers F5 under), Mets–White Sox (leans Mets), Giants–Red Sox (leans over), Tigers–Royals (KC F5 lean), Cubs–Mariners (leans Seattle F5), Pirates–Dodgers (play: first five under pending a better number), Guardians–Rockies (leans over; considers Rockies F5), Reds–Dbacks (leans Arizona), and Twins–Padres (leans first five under). He also gives WNBA leans and adds Phoenix +5.5 (sprinkle ML) as a play, then runs through NFL preseason situational notes and market splits. Official plays: Rays ML, Pirates–Dodgers F5 under (target 4), Phoenix +5.5.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:28 Show Recap Yesterday03:07 Blue Jays Yankees Breakdown07:23 Braves Brewers Pitching Edge11:47 Nationals Marlins Total Talk16:06 Cardinals Phillies Rookie Starters20:45 Rays Orioles Bounce Back Spot25:15 Angels Rangers Under Revisit30:09 Athletics Astros Price Too High35:21 Mets White Sox Aftermath38:31 Castillo vs Mets Lean39:55 Giants Red Sox Breakdown43:15 Sandoval Rant and Over47:14 Tigers Royals First Five52:12 Cubs Mariners Prospect Debut57:54 Pirates Dodgers First Five Under01:03:17 Guardians Rockies Coors Total01:07:52 Reds Dbacks Pricey Favorite01:11:33 Twins Padres Trade Starters01:15:13 Padres Twins Betting01:16:16 WNBA Fever Liberty01:18:30 WNBA Sun Sparks01:20:22 Mercury Upset Pick01:24:23 NFL Preseason Week Two01:24:56 Commanders Lions Breakdown01:28:32 Bills Browns QB Angles01:31:06 Falcons Colts Bounceback01:33:55 Ravens Vikings Rotation01:36:27 Saints Rams Preseason01:38:39 Giants Dolphins Joint Practice01:41:36 Bears Bengals Read01:43:35 Eagles Patriots Lean01:45:14 Chiefs Buccaneers Line01:47:39 Cowboys Cardinals Wrap01:49:38 Final Plays Recap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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392
Friday BEST BETS | Friday Focus | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/21/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBLAA/TEX Under 7.5 -118CHC -105Friday MLB Bets (Aug 21): Angels/Rangers Under 7.5 + Cubs Moneyline | Toadstool SportsToad returns for Friday, August 21st after a Braves win, recaps some NFL preseason notes, then breaks down a wide MLB slate with situational and pitching analysis, including Atlanta–Milwaukee (elite starters, very low total), Cardinals–Phillies (Luzardo vs Dobbins uncertainty), Blue Jays–Yankees (Toronto bullpen game vs Schlittler), Giants–Red Sox (Webb vs Gray), Nationals–Marlins (Washington bullpen game, leans over), Rays–Orioles (Peralta vs Rogers rematch), Mets–White Sox (rest edge and pitching form), A’s–Astros (Ginn vs Wesneski), Tigers–Royals (Melton vs Cameron), and other late games. His two official plays are Angels–Rangers under 7.5 and Cubs moneyline vs Seattle. He also briefly discusses WNBA spots and tonight’s preseason NFL games.00:00 Cold Open Verse01:28 Show Intro and Recap02:48 Braves Brewers Pitching Duel08:47 Cards Phillies Price Problem15:14 Jays Yankees Bullpen Game22:08 Giants at Red Sox Breakdown31:58 Nats Marlins Ugly Matchup37:39 Rays Orioles Rematch Read45:27 Mets White Sox Spot47:29 Manaea vs Burke Breakdown53:24 A's Astros Bounce Back55:05 Ginn vs Wesneski Angles59:32 Tigers Royals Handicapping01:03:13 Cameron vs Melton Doubts01:07:10 Official Play Under 7.501:11:08 Detmers Gore Deep Dive01:15:23 Slump Rant Reset01:16:56 Guardians Rockies Coors01:22:06 Reds Dbacks First Five01:29:02 Travel Spot Breakdown01:29:40 Bullpen Offense Edges01:29:59 Prelip Scouting Report01:31:02 Vasquez Red Flags01:32:14 Totals And Market Read01:33:30 Cubs Fade Seattle Spot01:38:38 Boyd Vs Hancock Matchup01:43:24 Dodgers Pirates Lean01:48:35 WNBA Slate No Plays01:57:03 NFL Preseason Notes02:08:41 Final Picks And Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Thursday BEST BETS | Light Thursday | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/20/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBATL -106Toadstool Sports Picks (Thu, Aug 20): One MLB Bet + Full Board Breakdown (Braves vs White Sox)Toad recaps a 2-0 day and breaks down Thursday’s slate across MLB, WNBA, and NFL preseason, noting market splits, bullpen usage, and situational angles. He discusses Cardinals–Reds (lean St. Louis/possible F5 under), Giants–Guardians (Cleveland should win but price too high; possible under), Blue Jays–Rays (leans Toronto value depending on Shane Bieber), A’s–Royals (likes A’s first five behind Gage Jump vs Randy Dobnak), Mariners–Brewers (leans first five under), and Yankees–Orioles (leans under/possible Baltimore F5). His only official play is the Atlanta Braves full game over the White Sox in a makeup spot, citing bounce-back motivation, bullpen edge, and matchup vs Anthony Kay. He also reviews Rangers–Nationals (F5 under lean), Angels–Astros (leans Houston but stays off), three WNBA games, and two NFL preseason games.00:00 Cold Open Verse01:28 Show Intro and Recap03:28 Cardinals Reds Breakdown08:38 Giants Guardians Preview15:25 Blue Jays Rays Spotlight22:20 As Royals First Five Angle28:49 Mariners Brewers Leans34:54 Best Bet Braves Pick41:05 Braves Moneyline Breakdown42:35 Yankees Orioles Total Talk44:28 Cole vs Bradish Matchup49:29 Slump Rant Interlude51:02 Nationals Rangers Analysis57:25 Angels Astros Edges01:03:28 WNBA Prime Doubleheader01:06:40 Vegas Connecticut Mismatch01:09:06 Atlanta LA Travel Spot01:12:09 NFL Preseason Leans01:16:59 Final Card and Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Wednesday BEST BETS | Sued by Jayden Daniels | MLB & WNBA | 8/19/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSEA F5 -102WSH F5 +105MLB Betting Breakdown (Aug 19): First 5 Road Dogs — Seattle & Washington Picks + Full Slate LeansToad runs through Wednesday, Aug. 19’s baseball slate after a 3–0 day, recapping Yankees, Detroit–Pittsburgh first-five under, and Arizona–Boston over. He breaks down multiple matchups with bullpen, offense, starter form, and market ticket/cash splits, including Tigers–Pirates (Jobe vs. Skeens), Padres–Mets (King vs. Stock), Braves–Twins (Smith-Shawver vs. Bradley), Cubs–White Sox (bullpen game vs. Holmes), D-backs–Red Sox (Pfaadt vs. Tolley), Marlins–Phillies (Alcantara vs. Nola), Yankees–Orioles (Warren vs. Bassitt over lean), Giants–Guardians (Wilkinson debut vs. Messick), Cardinals–Reds (Burns edge), and Jays–Rays (Rasmussen vs. Scherzer). His official plays are Seattle first five and Washington first five, with additional leans toward A’s first five if Gage Jump starts and Angels first five; he briefly touches two WNBA games and closes with show plugs and upcoming football previews.00:00 Cold Open Verse01:32 Show Intro and Recap04:54 Tigers Pirates Breakdown10:25 Padres Mets Pitching Edge15:20 Braves Twins Sweep Spot20:25 Cubs White Sox Bullpen Game25:28 Dbacks Red Sox Under Talk33:33 Marlins Phillies Starters39:02 Miami Philly Market Read40:22 Yankees Orioles Over Lean42:24 Warren vs Bassitt Breakdown46:07 Giants Guardians Pitching Debut49:34 Messick Edge First Five Under52:21 Cards Reds Burns Advantage57:30 Blue Jays Rays Price Problem01:04:10 Slump Rant Reset01:06:07 As Royals Jump Watchlist01:12:41 Seattle Bounce Back First Five01:15:27 Gilbert Road Edge01:17:39 Fading Dustin May01:20:37 Washington Bounce Back01:22:29 Cavalli Versus Rocker01:27:15 Anaheim Live Dog01:33:38 Dodgers Rockies Over01:39:25 WNBA No Bet Night01:45:42 Plays Recap Outro#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Tuesday BEST BETS | Splash the Board, Go on Tilt | MLB & WNBA | 8/18/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYY -110DET/PIT F5 Under 4.5 -122ARI/BOS Over 8 -112MLB Best Bets (Aug 18): Yankees ML, Tigers/Pirates F5 Under & D-Backs/Red Sox Over | Toadstool SportsToad recaps a rough previous slate and discusses recent Red Sox/Arizona bullpen usage and lineup notes, then delivers three MLB best bets for August 18: Yankees moneyline vs. Orioles (citing rest and situational edges, bullpen advantage, and Rodón vs. Baz matchup history), Tigers–Pirates first five under 4.5 (trusting Montero’s road form and Ashcraft’s current command while avoiding Pittsburgh’s bullpen), and Diamondbacks–Red Sox over 8 (based on shaky starter matchups with Merrill Kelly and Suárez’s poor history vs. Arizona plus Boston bullpen injuries/usage). He also runs through other games with leans (including thoughts on Miami/Philly, Guardians/Giants, Cardinals/Reds, Jays/Rays, Mets/Padres, A’s/Royals, Mariners/Brewers, and more), briefly touches WNBA matchups with a lean toward Toronto +10.5, and plugs upcoming football previews and show links.00:00 Cold Open Lyrics01:29 Show Intro and Recap03:39 Best Bets Setup04:26 Pick 1 Yankees Moneyline11:52 Pick 2 Tigers Pirates F5 Under18:45 Phillies Marlins Breakdown25:40 Giants Guardians Handicap31:34 Cards Reds Doubleheader Angle37:06 Blue Jays Rays Rest Edge37:22 Bullpen and spot edge38:31 Soriano scouting report40:15 Martinez matchup breakdown42:24 Market read and total lean43:54 Dbacks Red Sox over case46:34 Pitcher matchup red flags50:05 Padres Mets under vibes50:57 Ray vs Thornton leans55:40 A's Royals bullpen chaos59:57 Mariners Brewers under debate01:08:27 Slump rant reset01:09:59 Braves Twins preview01:14:27 Minnesota Urgency Angle01:14:59 Cubs White Sox Breakdown01:20:01 Wrigley Total And Team Total01:21:04 Nationals Rangers First Five01:27:05 Angels Astros Confusing Market01:33:01 Dodgers Rockies Coors Over Talk01:38:36 WNBA Leans And Stayaways01:40:52 Best WNBA Spot Toronto01:46:43 Vegas Atlanta Time Zone Spot01:50:18 Card Recap And Closing#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Everything Sucks | MLB & WNBA | 8/17/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBARI +131MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Aug 17) | One Official Play: Diamondbacks +131 vs Red SoxToad returns on Monday, August 17th after a rough losing stretch, recapping bad beats (including Tampa Bay and a Dodgers/Brewers under) and then breaking down a full MLB slate with market/ticket-money notes, situational angles, bullpen usage, and starting pitching matchups. He covers the Cardinals/Reds doubleheader (including a possible first five under in Game 2), Orioles/Rays with Shane McClanahan returning, Marlins/Phillies with a potential first five under lean, Tigers/Pirates leaning Detroit, Padres/Mets leaning Mets first five, A’s/Royals with over and underdog angles, Braves/Twins leaning Twins first five, White Sox/Cubs leaning over, and Dodgers/Rockies with run line/team total considerations. He also briefly discusses Dallas vs Golden State in the WNBA but makes no play. His one official bet is Arizona +131 full game vs Boston, citing a Red Sox bullpen game, injuries, and a negative return-home spot.00:00 Cold Open Poem01:29 Brutal Betting Recap02:41 Cards Reds Doubleheader05:20 Game Two Under Angle08:59 Orioles Rays Sweep Spot14:07 Marlins Phillies Return Home19:52 Tigers Pirates Breakdown25:00 Best Bet Dbacks Over Sox30:52 Padres Mets Pitching Edge35:54 A's Royals Series Setup36:08 Royals A's Breakdown37:03 Barnett vs Wacha Matchup38:54 First Five and Over Angles40:55 Slump Rant Reset42:30 Braves Twins First Five47:45 Cubs White Sox Pitching53:15 Wrigley Total Lean54:20 Dodgers Rockies Coors56:45 Snell vs Sugano Deep Dive01:02:16 WNBA Dallas Golden State01:06:27 Final Card and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Sunday BEST BETS | Selective Sunday | MLB & WNBA | 8/16/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBTB -138MIL/LAD Under 7.5 -110Sunday MLB Picks (Aug 16) | Tampa Bay ML + Brewers/Dodgers Under 7.5 | Toadstool SportsToad (Toadstool Sports) recaps going 1-1 the prior day (Tigers loss, Brewers win) and presents two MLB bets for Sunday, August 16: Tampa Bay moneyline vs. Baltimore (citing a bounce-back spot, home edge, bullpen/offense rankings, and pitcher matchup trends with Peralta improving and Rogers struggling vs. Tampa) and Brewers–Dodgers under 7.5 (or under 7 if the line moves), backing Logan Henderson vs. newly acquired Tarik Skubal plus solid bullpens and prior low-scoring games in the series. He briefly analyzes other MLB matchups and market/public betting splits, discusses WNBA games as leans only (Chicago, Atlanta, Phoenix), notes no NFL preseason games Sunday, and closes with plugs for social channels, podcasts, and upcoming football preview content.00:00 Cold Open Verse01:28 Show Intro Recap02:41 Tampa Bay Pick09:39 Braves Sweep Spot15:04 Red Sox Pirates Total23:30 Yankees Jays Preview29:44 Tigers White Sox Breakdown34:31 Marlins Reds Pitching38:05 Reds Marlins Debate39:51 Padres Guardians Breakdown41:19 Mize vs Bibee Matchup45:05 Nationals Mets Sweep Spot50:09 Phillies Twins Avoid Sweep55:36 Cardinals Cubs TV Game01:01:50 Slump Rant Reset01:03:23 Rockies Giants Unpredictable01:09:40 Rangers Athletics Preview01:13:19 Texas Lean and Total01:15:26 Royals Angels Breakdown01:17:45 KC First Five Play01:19:26 Brewers Dodgers Under01:21:11 Henderson vs Skubal01:26:56 Seattle Houston Nightcap01:34:56 WNBA Slate Quick Hits01:37:55 Fever Dream vs Dream01:40:56 Mercury vs Wings Angle01:43:32 Final Card and Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Saturday BEST BETS | Oversimplify | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/15/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBDET -134MIL -123MLB Picks for Aug 15: Tigers ML & Brewers ML | Full Slate Breakdown + WNBA/NFL Preseason LeansToad returns for Saturday, August 15th after a 1-1-1 day, recapping a first-five under win in Reds–Marlins and a frustrating Royals first-five push plus a WNBA loss. He gives two official MLB plays based on pitching matchups: Detroit Tigers moneyline (-134) behind Troy Melton against Anthony Kay, and Milwaukee Brewers moneyline (-123) behind Jacob “deGromski” Mizejewski versus Justin Wróblewski, noting both plays go against market movement. He also breaks down numerous other MLB games with situational angles, bullpen usage, and team totals, including thoughts on Yankees–Blue Jays, Nationals–Mets (lean over), Orioles–Rays (lean first-five under), and more. He passes on WNBA bets, discusses Minnesota–Vegas (lean under), and runs through NFL preseason matchups and quarterback rotations without giving official plays.00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk01:27 Show Intro and Recap02:06 Kansas City Bullpen Pain03:05 WNBA Loss Breakdown04:55 Today’s Card Setup05:25 Pick Detroit Moneyline11:43 Cubs vs Cardinals Angle16:40 Yankees vs Jays Dilemma21:52 Rockies vs Giants Upset Lean27:08 Nationals vs Mets Total Talk34:44 Orioles vs Rays Spot Analysis37:26 Bradish Walk Trouble38:11 Seymour Opener Warning39:29 First Five Under Angle41:38 Miami Cincinnati Over42:33 Gusto vs Singer Breakdown47:03 San Diego Cleveland Spot50:22 Cantillo vs Padres Starter53:48 Philly Minnesota Pitching55:07 Luzardo Road Dominance58:54 First Five Under Pick01:01:24 Seattle Houston Under Lean01:07:42 Quick Podcast Break01:10:29 Fox Games Preview01:10:52 Arizona Atlanta Bounce Back01:11:24 Braves vs Diamondbacks Breakdown01:11:54 E Rod vs Grant Holmes01:15:16 Under and Side Leans01:16:29 Red Sox Spiral Rant01:18:24 Gray vs Jones Matchup01:23:06 Brewers Pick vs Dodgers01:25:22 DeGromski Edge and Market01:30:49 Royals vs Angels First Five01:35:17 Rangers vs As Betting Angles01:41:40 WNBA Quick Pass01:43:29 Connecticut Game Pass01:43:58 WNBA Gender Rant01:45:18 Mystics vs Sparks Breakdown01:47:56 Lynx vs Aces Primetime01:50:53 No WNBA Today01:51:30 NFL Preseason Chaos01:51:39 Panthers vs Bills Angle01:54:22 Browns vs Bears QBs01:57:35 Vikings vs Giants New Coach02:00:11 Rams vs Chiefs Depth02:03:53 Jaguars vs Saints Lean02:06:13 Eagles vs Ravens Read02:09:05 Cowboys vs Seahawks02:10:46 Preseason Totals Theory02:12:18 Baseball Plays and Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Friday BEST BETS | Treading Water | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/14/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBMIA/CIN F5 Under 4 -120KC F5 -110WNBASEA -2.5Toadstool Sports Betting Picks: MLB 1st 5 Under (MIA/CIN), Royals 1st 5 ML, WNBA Storm -2.5 + Slate BreakdownToad recaps going 1-1 the prior day, highlighting a Pirates win and a frustrating WNBA loss blamed on free-throw disparity and a half-point miss. He breaks down multiple MLB matchups with a situational and pitching-based approach, passing on Cubs/Cardinals, Red Sox/Pirates, and several others while discussing travel/rest spots, bullpen usage, public vs. sharp money, and pitcher splits/matchups. His official MLB plays are Miami–Cincinnati first five under 4 (minus juice) behind Sandy Alcantara vs. Chase Burns, and Kansas City first five moneyline vs. Anaheim to back Seth Lugo over a struggling Grayson Rodriguez while avoiding the Royals bullpen. In WNBA, he leans Dallas plus points but plays Seattle minus 2.5 vs. Portland, citing Portland’s emotional near-comeback vs. Minnesota and Seattle ending a long losing streak. He also briefly discusses NFL preseason angles around coaching changes and quarterback rotations.00:00 Cold Open Pep Talk01:30 Yesterday Recap Pirates Win02:50 WNBA Bad Beat Rant05:20 Cardinals Cubs Breakdown11:37 First Five Under Pick20:48 Red Sox Pirates Preview29:03 White Sox Tigers Bullpen Game35:32 Rays Return Home Spot35:58 Fade Rays Spot37:20 Bradish Breakdown38:51 Tampa Bullpen Game41:10 Run Differential Talk42:26 Padres Guardians Under46:09 King vs Williams Matchup51:16 Nats Mets Angles55:08 Fade Robert Stock57:37 Dbacks Braves Sale01:04:16 Yankees Jays Apple TV01:05:44 Cole vs Bieber01:08:35 Yankees Jays Breakdown01:09:47 Betting Angles Totals01:11:21 Slump Rant Reset01:12:54 Mariners Astros Preview01:14:59 Kirby Lambert Totals01:19:18 Royals Angels First Five01:20:34 Lugo vs Rodriguez Fade01:27:00 Rangers Athletics Chaos01:32:24 Dodgers Brewers Spotlight01:38:38 Rockies Giants Setup01:40:25 Freeland vs Giants Breakdown01:41:06 Roupe Walk Trouble01:42:03 Rockies Giants Betting Lean01:43:20 Dallas vs Indiana Preview01:45:57 Seattle Minus Points Pick01:51:10 Preseason Betting Basics01:52:57 Broncos Falcons Lean01:59:08 Bucs Jets Confusing Line02:06:03 Dolphins Commanders Angle02:11:04 Final Card and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Thursday BEST BETS | Pregame the Preseason | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/13/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPIT F5 -0.5 +100WNBAWSH +6.5Toadstool Sports (Thu Aug 13): Pirates F5 -0.5, Mystics +6.5, MLB Slate Reactions + Preseason NFL LeansToad opens the Aug. 13 episode venting about the prior day’s bad beats, then breaks down a small MLB slate with matchup stats, bullpen/offense rankings, market percentages, and situational angles like avoiding sweeps. He passes on most games (including Guardians-Tigers, Mariners-Yankees, Reds-White Sox, Red Sox-Blue Jays, Cubs-Nationals, Phillies-Twins Field of Dreams, Rangers-Angels, and Brewers-Dodgers), but makes one baseball pick: Pirates 1st 5 innings -0.5 vs. Miami, backing Braxton Ashcraft over Tyler Phillips. He adds one WNBA play: Washington +6.5 at Las Vegas using a zigzag/look-ahead spot and shooting/turnover/rebounding notes. He closes with preseason NFL thoughts focused on quarterback depth, with strongest lean on Colts over Patriots, plus discussion of other matchups.00:00 Cold Open Poem01:28 Yesterday’s Bad Beats02:57 Today’s Betting Menu03:36 Guardians Tigers Breakdown09:29 Best Bet Pirates F515:54 Mariners Yankees Dilemma21:50 Reds White Sox Total Lean27:30 Red Sox Rant And Preview36:44 Cubs Nats Sweep Spot38:32 Gausman vs Cavalli Breakdown41:46 Cubs Price Total Lean42:40 Field of Dreams Setup44:10 Baseball Movie Tangent46:45 Phillies Twins Handicapping52:10 Rangers Angels Motivation53:32 deGrom vs Ureña Angles58:46 Dodgers Brewers Series01:01:26 Milwaukee Value Case01:05:29 Slump Rant Reset01:07:02 WNBA Atlanta Connecticut01:08:50 WNBA LA New York Preview01:10:55 Line Value Dilemma01:11:32 Zigzag With Washington01:12:01 Travel Spot And Motivation01:14:49 Outliers Turnovers Threes01:16:13 Rebounds And Line Move01:17:34 Sharp Money And Books01:19:16 Preseason Totals Primer01:21:14 Bengals Lions QB Depth01:25:16 Packers Steelers Lean01:28:07 Colts Patriots Best Bet01:33:33 Cards Raiders Extra Game01:40:41 Titans Niners Weird Line01:44:53 Final Plays And Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Wednesday BEST BETS | Return of the Undertaker | MLB & WNBA | 8/12/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPHI/STL F5 Under 4 +100SEA/NYY Under 8.5 +100MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Wed, Aug 12) | 2 Plays: Phillies/Cardinals F5 Under & Mariners/Yankees UnderThe host returns for Toadstool Sports on Wednesday, August 12th, recapping a loss on Cleveland vs. Detroit and discussing being selective by passing on the WNBA card. He previews multiple MLB matchups with bullpen, offense, and starter analysis, including Orioles/Twins leaning first-five under, Rays/A’s thoughts without an official play, and reactions to uncertain bullpen-game situations like Astros/Giants. His official card features two totals: Phillies vs. Cardinals first five under 4 (Wheeler vs. Leahy) and Mariners vs. Yankees under 8.5 (Miller vs. Warren), with notes on market splits and possible waiting for a 9. He also provides leans on several other games, vents about a losing slump, briefly covers upcoming NFL preseason/Hard Knocks, and closes with WNBA opinions but no bets.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:29 Recap Cleveland Loss02:33 Today’s Card Overview02:52 Hard Knocks Talk03:58 Baltimore Minnesota Breakdown09:27 Phillies Cardinals First Five Under14:57 Rays A’s Handicap22:09 Rockies Diamondbacks Leans27:12 Astros Giants Bullpen Game30:54 Brewers Padres May vs Ray37:10 Brewers Pick Em Lean37:40 Guardians Tigers Breakdown39:29 Pitcher Trust Issues42:17 Over Angle And Market43:23 Pirates Marlins Over Spot44:38 Mudzinski Vs Junk47:50 Cubs Nationals Pitching Change48:40 Peterson Fade And Debut53:43 Mariners Yankees Under Play55:47 Miller Warren Matchups59:43 Market Lean Seattle01:01:30 Slump Rant Reset01:03:04 Red Sox Jays Tilt01:05:53 Suarez Soriano Handicapping01:09:51 Mets Braves Preview01:13:19 Mets Braves totals lean01:14:48 Mets first five angle01:15:46 Reds White Sox matchup01:16:35 Lowder vs Castillo breakdown01:20:35 Rangers Angels over talk01:26:18 Dodgers Royals lookahead spot01:31:32 Dodgers team total idea01:33:01 WNBA card overview01:33:56 Toronto Dallas spread lean01:36:28 Chicago Golden State dog case01:39:04 Minnesota Portland spot01:40:51 Final plays and signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Tuesday BEST BETS | I Don't See Much Here | MLB & WNBA | 8/11/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBCLE +115Toadstool Sports (Aug 11): One MLB Bet — Guardians ML + Full Board & WNBA LeansToad returns with Toadstool Sports for Tuesday, August 11th after a 2–0 day, recapping wins on the Mets first five and the Milwaukee–San Diego under, then explains he dislikes the board and is making only one official play: Cleveland (Guardians/Indians) moneyline vs Detroit, citing Detroit’s cross-country travel home from a West Coast trip, a bullpen-game setup for the Tigers, and Tanner Bibee’s edge. He still runs through the rest of the MLB slate with opinions and leans, including thoughts on Pirates–Marlins under angles, Cubs over Nationals (price concerns), Mariners–Yankees under considerations, Red Sox vs Blue Jays pitching mismatch talk, Mets–Braves first-five lean, and other games like Phillies–Cardinals, Rangers–Angels, Rockies–D-backs, Brewers–Padres, Rays–A’s, Astros–Giants, and Royals–Dodgers. He closes with WNBA spot-based leans for Liberty–Fever, Mystics–Aces, and Mercury–Sparks, plus channel plugs and upcoming football content.00:00 Cold Open Riff01:29 Yesterday’s 2-0 Recap03:39 Only One Play Today05:19 Pick Cleveland Moneyline10:29 Pirates Marlins Under Lean15:52 Cubs Nationals Price Talk21:48 Mariners Yankees Under Debate29:06 Red Sox Jays Rant38:38 Mets Braves Setup39:31 Mets Braves Pitching Edge45:02 Young vs Ober Breakdown50:05 Reds White Sox Motivation57:22 Phillies Cardinals Total Talk01:02:23 Rangers Angels Bounce Back01:08:36 Slump Rant Reset01:10:09 Rockies Dbacks Over Lean01:16:44 Brewers Padres First Look01:17:45 Brewers Padres Breakdown01:21:32 Rays Athletics Handicapping01:27:21 Astros Giants Mismatch01:31:58 Royals Dodgers Total Talk01:37:57 Liberty Fever ESPN Spot01:41:35 Mystics Aces Travel Angle01:45:19 Mercury Sparks Without Plum01:49:30 Final Pick and Wrap Up#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Minimal Mondays | MLB & WNBA | 8/10/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM F5 +117MIL/SD Under 7.5 -120Toadstool Sports (Aug 10): Mets F5 ML + Brewers/Padres Under 7.5 | MLB & WNBA Betting BreakdownToad recaps a rough prior day on the show, noting a missed Reds/Washington over despite Washington scoring late, an easy Tigers/Giants under, and a failed Phoenix WNBA pick. He then breaks down Monday’s shorter slate, largely passing on Red Sox/Blue Jays due to conflicting matchup data and public pricing. His two official plays are Mets first five moneyline (citing Christian Scott’s edge over Bryce Elder, a rested Mets bullpen, and a potential Braves letdown spot) and Brewers/Padres under 7.5 in San Diego (backing strong bullpens, a pitcher-friendly park, Logan Henderson’s form, and expecting Casey Mize to bounce back). He also discusses other MLB games and two WNBA matchups, offering leans without adding more plays, and closes with plugs for socials and upcoming content.00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues01:27 Yesterday’s Recap and Bad Beats04:37 Red Sox Blue Jays Breakdown11:17 Mets First Five Pick18:14 Orioles Twins Angles24:22 Phillies Cardinals Total Talk30:26 Rangers Angels First Five Under37:24 Rockies Diamondbacks Letdown Spot43:00 Brewers Padres Under Setup43:37 Bullpens and Motivation45:49 Pitching Matchup Under49:07 Market Splits and Side50:44 Rays vs Athletics Breakdown56:01 Over and Run Line Lean57:47 Slump Rant Interlude59:20 Astros vs Giants Uncertainty01:05:04 Royals vs Dodgers Angles01:14:18 WNBA Quick Hits01:20:56 Plays and Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Sunday BEST BETS | Totally Fine | MLB & WNBA | 8/9/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBCIN/WSH Over 9 -121DET/SF Under 7.5 -114WNBAPHX +1.5Sunday Betting Picks (Aug 9): MLB Totals + WNBA Mercury vs Mystics | Toadstool SportsToad recaps going 1-1 with a no play the previous day, including a lost Braves–Yankees under, a WNBA cover, and a no play on Seattle–Tampa due to a starter change, plus commentary on a flagrant WNBA foul. He breaks down Sunday’s slate with a focus on MLB totals, giving two official baseball plays: Reds–Nationals over 9 (noting most books at 9.5) and Tigers–Giants under 7.5 (citing Troy Melton vs Logan Webb and a pitcher-friendly park). He also gives one official WNBA play: Phoenix +1.5 at Washington, calling it a misleading line and noting situational angles and betting splits. He shares leans and situational notes on several other MLB and WNBA games before closing with show promos and social links.00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues01:28 Show Intro and Recap02:12 WNBA Win and Flagrant Drama03:36 MLB No Play and Pitching Update04:40 Today’s Card Overview05:37 Play 1 Reds Nationals Over11:57 Red Sox A’s First Five Angle18:32 Braves Yankees Sweep Spot24:05 Mets Pirates Starter Edge28:39 Blue Jays Phillies Over Debate35:29 Angels Marlins Motivation Check37:58 Angels Marlins Breakdown40:14 Market Moves and First Five Angle41:49 Cubs Royals Edges and Price43:39 Dobnak Regression and Total Talk46:31 Guardians White Sox Series Read47:41 Cantillo vs Martin Betting Lean51:48 Twins Brewers Pitching Duel55:33 Under and Team Total Ideas57:23 Rockies Cardinals Mismatch58:14 Lorenzen vs McGreevy and Over Lean01:01:52 Slump Rant and Reset01:03:25 Orioles Rangers Motivation and Starters01:08:46 Sharp Money and First Five Option01:10:26 Best Bet Tigers Giants Under01:15:36 Webb matchup and under01:17:22 Dodgers Dbacks over lean01:23:45 Rays Mariners lean Seattle01:29:41 Astros Padres over angle01:34:22 Liberty Aces rest chaos01:38:50 Mercury trap line play01:43:34 Other WNBA leans01:49:53 Final picks and wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Saturday BEST BETS | Gotta Run | MLB & WNBA | 8/8/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBATL/NYY Under 7.5 -120SEA -115WNBACHI +6MLB Picks & Analysis: Braves–Yankees Under 7.5 + Mariners ML | WNBA: Sky +6Toad hosts Toadstool Sports, recaps going 3–0 the prior day (including a lucky Yankees win), and breaks down multiple MLB matchups with pitching, bullpen usage, offense rankings, market splits, and situational angles like return-home and bounce-back spots. The official MLB plays are Braves–Yankees under 7.5 behind Chris Sale vs. Gerrit Cole, and Mariners moneyline vs. Rays based on Seattle’s home/road edges and pitching matchup (Kirby vs. Jax), despite heavy money on Tampa Bay. He also discusses several other games (Angels–Marlins, A’s–Red Sox, Blue Jays–Phillies, Mets–Pirates, Reds–Nationals, Cubs–Royals, Twins–Brewers, Orioles–Rangers, Rockies–Cardinals, Tigers–Giants, Astros–Padres, Dodgers–Diamondbacks). In WNBA, he leans Minnesota over Vegas and makes Chicago Sky +6 vs. Indiana his pick, citing a sandwich spot for the Fever, then closes with plugs for social and other shows.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:35 Recap Yesterday Picks05:04 Yankees Braves Under10:42 Angels Marlins Breakdown17:15 As Red Sox Deep Dive21:44 Baseball Rules Rant23:13 Back To As Red Sox29:43 Blue Jays Phillies Preview36:22 Mets Pirates Matchup41:48 Totals Betting Philosophy42:42 Reds Nationals First Look43:25 Reds Offense and Burns44:55 Alvarez Variance Breakdown47:13 Cubs Royals Pitching49:39 Holmes Return and Value53:35 First Five Under Angle55:23 MVP Odds Tangent56:43 Brewers Twins Matchup01:02:13 Orioles Rangers Under01:08:23 Guardians White Sox Spot01:14:13 Slump Rant Reset01:15:46 Rockies Cardinals Leans01:20:54 Tigers Giants Preview01:25:05 Giants Tigers Breakdown01:27:03 Astros Padres Pitching01:30:59 Dodgers Dbacks Streaks01:36:44 Mariners Bounce Back Pick01:44:48 WNBA Controversy Rant01:49:31 Aces Lynx Preview01:53:43 Sky Fever Underdog01:59:32 Storm vs Portland Lean02:02:33 Plays Recap and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Friday BEST BETS | Bad Beats | MLB & WNBA | 8/7/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM +123NYY -130CLE -138Friday Betting Breakdown (Aug 7): Mets +123, Yankees ML, Cleveland ML | Brutal Bad Beats & MLB CardOn the Aug. 7 episode, the host recaps going 1–2 the prior day, detailing a Pirates collapse and a brutal Toronto loss after a two-out, two-run homer in the ninth, while noting a Vegas WNBA win in overtime. He gives three full-game MLB moneyline plays: Mets +123 behind Zach Thornton versus a Pittsburgh bullpen-style game (citing bullpen and situational travel edges), Yankees ML around -145/-130 behind Max Fried versus Braves debutant Tyler Mahle (rest, bullpen, and pitching edges), and Cleveland ML -138 behind Parker Messick versus the White Sox in a tough return-home spot after a draining extra-inning game (situational and pitching matchup). He also discusses several other MLB and WNBA games as leans/stay-aways, plus brief show and promo notes.00:00 Cold Open Lament01:29 Recap Bad Beats04:09 Vegas Comeback Win05:20 Today Three Plays06:04 Mets Over Pirates13:56 Toronto Philly Breakdown20:34 Reds Nationals Pass24:55 Yankees Fade Braves31:31 Chat Rant Detour32:38 Angels Marlins Preview36:00 Miami Anaheim Betting Read37:26 Chat Blowup And Favorites37:50 Marco DAngelo Influence40:35 Red Sox Epic 13 Inning Fallout45:31 A's vs Red Sox Pitching Breakdown49:42 First Five Under And Price Talk51:10 Cleveland ML Situational Edge59:33 Twins Brewers Bullpen Mismatch01:04:20 Cubs Royals Bullpen Game Angle01:08:44 Orioles Rangers Under Debate01:14:07 Break And Slump Meltdown01:15:29 Slump Meltdown01:16:06 Rockies Cardinals Breakdown01:20:08 First Five Under Angle01:21:28 Astros Padres Matchup01:27:53 Dodgers Diamondbacks Spot01:33:05 Rays Mariners Analysis01:38:39 Tigers Giants Temptation01:43:42 WNBA Quick Leans01:51:35 Final Picks And Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Thursday BEST BETS | Football is Back | MLB & WNBA & NFL HoF Game | 8/6/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPIT F5 +105TOR -112WNBALV ML -115MLB Picks (Aug 6): Pirates F5 + Blue Jays ML + WNBA Aces ML | Hall of Fame Game BreakdownThe host recaps a 1–2 day on the prior show, then previews a short Thursday slate with emphasis on pitching matchups, bullpen usage, sweep-avoidance spots, and market/ticket vs cash splits. He passes on several early games (Angels-Orioles, A’s-Reds, Mets-Guardians) after discussing starters, totals, and situational angles, and also gives leans on other matchups (including Tigers-Mariners, Nationals-Phillies, White Sox-Red Sox, Braves-Marlins, Twins-Royals, and Padres-Diamondbacks). His official plays are Pirates first five at +105 behind Braxton Ashcraft over Dustin May, Blue Jays moneyline -112 with Dylan Cease vs David Peterson in a Cubs letdown spot, and WNBA Las Vegas Aces moneyline -115 vs Indiana based on revenge and scheduling angles. He also discusses the NFL Hall of Fame Game (Cardinals-Panthers) without betting it, outlining preseason handicapping factors and a slight lean to Arizona.00:00 Cold Open Lyrics01:30 Yesterday Recap03:14 Today Card Overview04:29 Angels Orioles Breakdown10:44 As Reds Preview15:43 Live Chat Interlude16:02 Mets Guardians Analysis24:53 Pirates Brewers Pick32:39 Blue Jays Tease33:00 Bullpen Edge Breakdown33:50 Cubs Letdown Angle35:38 Cease vs Peterson Matchup38:55 Market Signals and Bets40:36 Tigers Mariners Pitching44:15 Seattle Side or Under45:11 Nats Phillies Price Trap50:39 Sox Rivalry Totals52:25 Castillo and Suarez Preview57:48 Marlins Braves Lookahead59:46 Perez vs Junk Analysis01:03:09 Break and Slump Rant01:04:14 Slump Check In01:05:04 Twins Royals Breakdown01:08:51 Royals First Five Angle01:10:12 Padres Diamondbacks Preview01:11:09 Buehler vs Drake Analysis01:14:28 Switching To WNBA01:14:34 Aces Fever Moneyline01:16:12 Revenge And Scheduling Spot01:23:08 Sparks Lynx Spread Lean01:25:10 Toronto Portland Late Game01:27:01 Hall Of Fame Game Primer01:29:39 QB Rotations And Coaching Edge01:35:50 Final Plays And Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Wednesday BEST BETS | New Starters, New Teams | MLB & WNBA | 8/5/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM/CLE Under 8.5 -110CWS F5 -118PIT/MIL Under 7.5 -120MLB Betting Picks & Analysis (Aug 5): Mets/Guardians Under, White Sox F5, Pirates/Brewers Under | Toadstool SportsToad recaps a 2-1 day (loss on White Sox vs Red Sox, wins on Pirates/Brewers under and a WNBA Toronto cover), then breaks down Wednesday, August 5 slate with market notes, bullpen usage, offensive ranks, motivation post–trade deadline, and pitcher form/matchups across multiple MLB games plus brief WNBA leans. He discusses Houston vs Toronto (Taillon debut vs Hunter Brown) but passes due to price, reviews Dodgers/Cubs and other matchups, and highlights his three official plays: Mets/Cleveland under (recommending 8 or 8.5) behind Christian Scott vs Tanner Bibee and weak offenses, White Sox first five moneyline vs Red Sox (Sean Burke vs Sonny Gray, avoiding bullpen edge), and Pirates/Brewers under 7 or 7.5 (Paul Skenes vs Kyle Harrison). He closes with plugs and mentions upcoming preseason football content.00:00 Cold Open Verse01:28 Show Intro and Recap03:30 Today Slate Overview04:07 Astros vs Blue Jays Breakdown10:49 Dodgers vs Cubs Preview16:51 Giants vs Rangers Angle23:09 Rays vs Rockies Coors Chaos29:20 Angels vs Orioles Under Look35:07 Rockies Franchise Rant35:52 Athletics vs Reds Over Debate39:34 Reds A's Market Fade40:32 Mets Guardians Under Pick42:11 Scott and Bibee Breakdown48:12 Nationals Phillies Over Lean54:11 Cardinals Yankees Confusion59:56 White Sox First Five Play01:10:50 Slump Rant Reset01:12:22 Marlins Braves Over Angle01:17:23 Brewers Pirates Under01:19:48 Skenes Bounce Back Case01:22:17 Kyle Harrison Return01:23:54 Market Signals And Final Under01:24:49 Royals Twins First Five01:30:46 Tigers Mariners Bullpen Game01:35:33 Padres Diamondbacks Mismatch01:40:48 WNBA Leans And Zigzags01:51:46 Final Card And Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Tuesday BEST BETS | Deadline Chaos | MLB & WNBA | 8/4/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBCWS F5 +105PIT/MIL Under 7.5 -110WNBATOR +13MLB Picks & Trade Deadline Reactions (Aug 4) | White Sox 1st 5, Pirates/Brewers Under + WNBA Add-OnToad returns for Tuesday, Aug. 4 after a 1–0 day (Giants win) and breaks down a full MLB slate while reacting to trade deadline moves and how buyer/seller status can affect teams short term. He discusses key matchups including Orioles-Angels uncertainty, A’s-Reds first-five angles, Mets-Guardians market reads, Nationals-Phillies total lean, Cardinals-Yankees aftermath, Braves-Marlins pricing, Twins-Royals bullpen concerns, and Dodgers-Cubs featuring Tarik Skubal’s Dodgers debut with wind considerations. Official plays: White Sox 1st five vs Red Sox (fade Boston’s return-home letdown spot and Patrick Sandoval) and Pirates-Brewers under 7.5 (Jared Jones vs Logan Henderson). He later adds a WNBA bet: Toronto +13 vs Golden State based on zigzag, shooting outlier, and travel/time-zone adjustment factors.00:00 Cold Open and Intro02:24 Trade Deadline Impact03:54 Orioles vs Angels Breakdown10:29 Athletics vs Reds Leans15:54 Mets vs Guardians Analysis22:39 Nationals vs Phillies Angle29:12 Cardinals vs Yankees Recap37:00 Best Bet White Sox F539:24 Fade Red Sox Spot41:47 Martin vs Sandoval Breakdown45:08 First Five White Sox Play47:09 Marlins Braves Trade Talk48:54 Gusto vs Holmes Lean52:22 Twins Royals Messy Matchup57:32 First Five Under Angle59:21 Pirates Brewers Under Pick01:02:35 Jones Henderson Pitching Duel01:06:55 Dodgers Cubs Skubal Debut01:11:35 Windy Wrigley Total Debate01:14:10 Slump Rant Reset01:15:17 Giants Rangers Recap01:17:35 Bullpen Game Breakdown01:19:50 Texas Price Too High01:21:53 Blue Jays Astros Under Lean01:27:18 Rays Rockies Coors Angle01:33:53 Tigers Mariners Unclear Starter01:39:16 Padres Dbacks Pitching Edge01:44:15 WNBA Zigzag Pick01:48:35 Final Plays and Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Can We Get a Win For Once? | MLB & WNBA | 8/3/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBSF F5 -114MLB Betting Picks (Mon Aug 3): Giants 1st 5 vs Rangers + Game Leans (Nats/Phils Over, Cards/Yanks Under)Toadstool Sports opens by recapping a frustrating prior day where several first-five unders lost despite full-game outcomes, plus a WNBA miss with Portland blowing a late lead. For Monday, August 3rd, the board is shorter and the host ultimately makes one official play: San Francisco Giants first five moneyline at Texas, backing Logan Webb and fading the Rangers in a road-trip return spot, while avoiding bullpen volatility. He also discusses several leans and matchups, including Washington–Philadelphia over 9.5 (bad bullpens and favorable offensive splits), St. Louis–Yankees under 8, Pittsburgh–Milwaukee over 8.5 as a near-add, Dodgers–Cubs under considerations amid pitching uncertainty, Toronto–Houston over lean with concerns about Shane Bieber and Cristian Javier, Rays–Rockies thoughts at Coors, and Padres–Diamondbacks leaning under 8.5. WNBA games are discussed without an official pick.00:00 Cold Open Meltdown01:31 Bad Beats Recap04:50 WNBA Frustration06:13 Short Board Today06:34 Nats Phillies Over13:00 Cards Yankees Under20:08 Pirates Brewers Over Lean27:32 Best Bet Giants F535:24 Dodgers Cubs Under Talk42:12 Cubs Dodgers Total Talk44:33 Phillies Reality Check45:58 Toronto Houston Pitching48:00 Bieber vs Astros Breakdown52:30 Rays Rockies Coors Angle54:42 Seymour Opener Concerns58:49 Padres Dbacks Spot Read01:02:22 Pfaadt Surge and Under Lean01:06:54 WNBA Rant and No Plays01:10:06 Vegas Atlanta Handicap01:12:34 Seattle New York Trap Line01:15:14 Phoenix Chicago Lean01:17:34 Final Pick and Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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SUNDAY BEST BETS | No High Fives | MLB & WNBA | 8/2/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPHI/BAL F5 Under 4 -118ARI/CLE F5 Under 4 +100MIL/LAA F5 Under 3.5 +100WNBAPOR +1.5Sunday Betting Card (Aug 2): MLB First 5 Unders + Portland WNBA Pick | Toadstool SportsThe host recaps a 2-1 day (Sky ML win, Mets loss, Red Sox/Dodgers under win) and builds a Sunday, Aug. 2 card focused on MLB first-five unders to avoid bullpens. Official plays: Phillies/Orioles 1st 5 under 4 (Wheeler vs. Bradish), Diamondbacks/Guardians 1st 5 under 4 (Merrill Kelly vs. Gavin Williams), and Brewers/Angels 1st 5 under 3.5 (Misiorowski vs. Ureña). He discusses market splits, bullpen usage, sweep-avoidance motivation, and trade-deadline “dream crusher” effects (notably Detroit after trading Skubal). Leans include Nationals 1st 5 vs. Braves, Cardinals/Blue Jays over, White Sox/Rays over, Pirates/Reds 1st 5 under, and Red Sox/Dodgers full-game under. In WNBA, he adds Portland vs. LA as a play, leans Minnesota vs. Indiana, and passes on other games.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:28 Yesterday Recap03:33 Card Strategy Unders04:14 Phillies Orioles F5 Under11:27 Nationals Braves Pitching18:19 Cardinals Jays Total Talk23:36 Dodgers Money Debate26:54 Dbacks Guardians F5 Under34:03 White Sox Rays Over Lean39:03 Marlins Mets Trade Rumors40:50 Alcantara vs Mets Chaos42:40 Market Read and Betting Approach45:00 Pirates Reds First Five Under48:58 Rangers Astros Sweep Spot53:45 Yankees Cubs Wind Total Trap59:30 Royals Rockies Coors Breakdown01:05:34 Slump Rant and Reset01:07:09 Brewers Angels First Five Under01:14:11 As Tigers Trade Deadline Angle01:21:03 A’s Tigers Market Read01:22:16 Twins Mariners Breakdown01:24:19 Bradley vs Kirby Leans01:29:36 Giants Padres Betting Angles01:30:52 Raup vs King Total Talk01:34:31 Red Sox Dodgers Spotlight01:37:40 Bennett Sheehan Under Case01:43:02 WNBA Slate Starts Here01:45:04 Fading Public Underdogs01:46:20 Portland Play Locked In01:50:39 Dallas Connecticut No Read01:53:41 Toronto Golden State Pass01:55:47 Card Recap and Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Saturday BEST BETS | Slow Saturday | MLB & WNBA | 8/1/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM -126BOS/LAD Under 7.5 -105WNBACHI +6.5Toadstool Sports (Aug 1): Mets ML, Red Sox–Dodgers Under, and WNBA Chicago +6.5 | Full MLB Card BreakdownOn the Saturday, Aug. 1 episode of Toadstool Sports, the host recaps a losing day driven by two-out runs and moves into a full MLB slate breakdown with betting leans based on bullpen ranks, offensive metrics, home/road splits, and market percentages. He highlights Cardinals–Blue Jays as a likely low-scoring matchup, discusses White Sox–Rays pitching uncertainty, and analyzes several other games including Twins–Mariners, Pirates–Reds, Phillies–Orioles, Rangers–Astros, Diamondbacks–Guardians, Nationals–Braves, and Yankees–Cubs (noting an unusually low total at Wrigley). His official picks are Mets moneyline behind Zach Thornton versus Miami, Red Sox–Dodgers full-game under 7.5 (Yamamoto vs. Talley), and WNBA Chicago +6.5 vs. Las Vegas in a perceived sandwich spot.00:00 Cold Open Verse00:45 Show Intro and Reset01:36 Recapping Yesterday Loss03:00 Cardinals Blue Jays Breakdown03:50 Quinn Matthews Debut Scout05:58 Gausman and Betting Lean08:46 White Sox Rays Matchup10:21 Schultz Opener Scenario12:06 Rasmussen Edge and Price14:37 Mets Pick vs Marlins17:03 Phillips vs Thornton Analysis21:18 Market Read and Total Talk22:58 Twins Mariners TV Game25:37 Prelip vs Gilbert Under Lean31:27 Pirates Reds After Skenes32:39 Ashcraft Abbott and Lines36:06 Phillies Orioles Preview36:56 Sanchez vs Baz Setup39:08 Philly vs Baz Breakdown41:09 Battle of Texas Preview42:01 deGrom vs Blanco Angles46:21 Arizona Cleveland Value48:55 Messick Edge Pricey51:34 Nats Braves Over Talk58:10 Yankees Cubs Wind Game01:06:57 Slump Rant Reset01:08:41 Royals Rockies Coors Under01:14:43 Chat Food Side Quest01:15:08 Giants Padres Next Up01:16:53 Padres Bullpen Edge01:18:25 Giants Starter Breakdown01:19:58 Buehler Matchup Numbers01:21:08 Padres Moneyline Lean01:22:30 Red Sox Dodgers Under01:24:11 Bullpens And Yamamoto01:27:18 Talley Case For Under01:31:05 Market Read And Line01:32:53 Brewers Angels Handicap01:37:14 Tigers As Pitching Angles01:43:11 WNBA Chicago Plus Points01:50:19 Wrap Up And Plugs#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Friday BEST BETS | Hard to Figure Friday | MLB & WNBA | 7/31/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPIT/CIN F5 Under 3.5 +100MLB Picks & Market Reads (Fri, July 31) | One Official Play: Pirates/Reds F5 UnderToad returns for Toadstool Sports on Friday, July 31, recapping a 1-0-1 day that included a push on Nationals F5 after surrendering two runs in the fifth and a win on the Marlins-Mets under. He says he dislikes the MLB board and ultimately gives just one official bet: Pirates/Reds first five innings under 3.5, preferring to wait for 4 due to trust in the Skeens vs. Greene starting matchup and distrust of both bullpens. He runs through situational angles, bullpen usage, offenses, starters, matchup history, line movement, and ticket/cash splits for multiple games (including Yankees-Cubs, Phillies-Orioles, Cardinals-Blue Jays, D-backs-Guardians, White Sox-Rays, Marlins-Mets, Nationals-Braves, Rangers-Astros, Royals-Rockies, Brewers-Angels, Tigers-A’s, Giants-Padres, Red Sox-Dodgers, and Twins-Mariners) and briefly discusses three WNBA games, offering leans but no official plays.00:00 Intro Song Cold Open01:28 Show Opening Recap04:09 Yankees Cubs Breakdown10:59 Best Bet Pirates Reds Under19:15 Phillies Orioles Preview24:24 Cardinals Blue Jays Spot31:56 Diamondbacks Guardians Edge37:15 White Sox Rays Mismatch43:38 Tampa vs White Sox Lean44:52 Marlins Mets Over Angle45:50 Junk vs Peralta Breakdown48:55 Market Read and Total50:19 Nationals Braves First Five52:13 Griffin vs Elder Matchups56:16 Washington F5 and Line Move58:13 Rangers Astros Spot Factors01:01:12 Eovaldi vs Brown Pitching01:05:43 Royals Rockies Coors Chaos01:08:54 Wacha vs Sugano Totals01:15:47 Slump Rant Reset01:17:19 Brewers Angels Price Debate01:18:59 Drohon vs Johnson Preview01:21:44 Run Line and Team Total Ideas01:23:21 Podcast Shoutouts Transition01:23:41 A’s Series Unders01:25:05 Tigers at A’s Breakdown01:30:35 Totals and Market Read01:32:07 Giants at Padres Chaos01:33:26 Whisenhunt vs Bullpen Game01:37:46 Red Sox at Dodgers Preview01:42:50 Twins at Mariners Spot01:49:46 WNBA Slate Leans01:57:30 Final Pick and Wrap#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Thursday BEST BETS | Thursday Throw Up | MLB & WNBA | 7/30/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBWSH F5 +114MIA/NYM Under 7 -102MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Thu July 30): Nationals F5 vs Braves + Marlins/Mets UnderToad recaps a rough prior slate (including a correct Phillies first-five that still lost late, a Brewers-Giants no play after a starter scratch, and missed totals), then breaks down Thursday’s MLB card with notes on bullpen usage, home/road splits, market percentages, and pitching matchups. He leans toward Tampa Bay behind Shane McClanahan versus a Texas bullpen game, considers first-five unders in Royals-Twins and Yankees-White Sox, and discusses Cubs-Cardinals angles and totals. His two official plays are Washington first five moneyline (+114) fading Atlanta off a doubleheader/return-home spot with Jake Irvin vs Grant Holmes, and the full-game under 7 in Marlins-Mets behind Yuri Perez vs Nolan McLain. He also briefly reviews other late games and touches on WNBA matchups without making plays.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:28 Yesterday Recap03:52 Today Slate Setup04:37 Rangers Rays Breakdown08:35 Royals Twins Under Lean12:51 Yankees White Sox Under18:35 Cubs Cardinals Handicapping24:38 Best Bet Nationals F534:40 Final Play Marlins Mets Under41:52 Mets Marlins Under42:27 Mets Side And Bullpen43:38 Pirates Reds Over Lean45:13 Bullpen Game Breakdown46:47 Lowder Vs Pirates Data49:46 Red Sox A's Handicapping51:48 Gray Vs Barnett Angles56:46 Break And Slump Rant58:44 Giants Padres Preview01:04:34 Mariners Dodgers Under Talk01:11:13 WNBA Prime Doubleheader01:18:41 Final Picks And Signoff#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Wednesday BEST BETS | Spraying It | MLB & WNBA | 7/29/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBPHI F5 -0.5 -115MIL/SF Under 7.5 -105COL F5 +114CLE/CIN Over 9 -104MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Wed, July 29): Phillies F5, Brewers–Giants Under, Rockies F5 + Over CLE–CINToad recaps an 0–2 day, blaming Shane Bieber’s six-walk first inning and a Connecticut WNBA spread loss driven by a major free-throw disparity, then skips the WNBA card today due to limited matchups. He gives four MLB plays, focusing on avoiding weak or taxed bullpens and noting several opener situations: Phillies -0.5 first five vs Miami behind Jesús Luzardo; Brewers–Giants full-game under 7.5 citing Shane Drohan vs Logan Webb and Webb’s strong history vs Milwaukee; Rockies first five moneyline (+114) vs San Diego behind rookie Gabriel Hughes against an uncertain Padres pitching plan likely involving Griffin Canning; and Guardians–Reds over 9 due to heavily used bullpens from a doubleheader plus Joey Cantillo vs Brady Singer. He also discusses leans and market notes across other games and promotes his socials, audio feeds, Patreon, and other channels.00:00 Cold Open Rant01:28 Intro and Bad Beats03:35 Today’s Card Setup04:39 Phillies vs Marlins Pick12:42 Dbacks vs Pirates Breakdown18:46 Blue Jays vs Nationals Lean24:10 Braves vs Mets Doubleheader33:37 Orioles vs Tigers Under Talk41:01 Brewers Giants Under44:44 Webb Dominates Brewers48:05 Rockies First Five Shot50:00 Hughes Versus Canning54:55 Rangers Rays Lean57:39 Opener And Seymour01:00:43 Guardians Reds Over01:03:29 Cantillo Singer Breakdown01:08:00 Twins Royals No Bet01:13:55 Slump Rant Reset01:15:26 Yankees White Sox Preview01:16:37 Yankees White Sox Breakdown01:20:32 Cubs Cardinals Series Spot01:25:32 Astros Angels Sweep Angle01:30:48 Red Sox Athletics Total Talk01:36:39 Mariners Dodgers Pitching Duel01:41:43 WNBA Lines And Leans01:47:19 Final Card And Wrap Up#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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368
Tuesday BEST BETS | Return of the Ladies | MLB & WNBA | 7/28/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBTOR/WSH F5 Under 4.5 +106WNBACON +6.5MLB Picks & WNBA Return (July 28): Blue Jays/Nationals F5 Under + Sun vs MysticsToad recaps going 1-0-1 the previous day (a Mets first-five push despite a 14–3 win and an Angels first-five win before a bullpen collapse) and previews Tuesday, July 28 with selective betting. His only MLB play is Blue Jays vs Nationals first five under 4.5, citing Shane Bieber’s improved recent form, Cade Cavalli’s strong July, unfamiliarity edges, and avoiding taxed bullpens (Toronto used six relievers, Washington’s pen is weak). He discusses several leans without adding them to the card, including Cleveland in a doubleheader, Twins first five, Brewers, and other matchup/situational notes across the slate. With the WNBA back, his lone WNBA play is Connecticut +6.5 vs Washington, pointing to a low total, post-break momentum/letdown angles, and scheduling spots.00:00 Cold Open Betting Blues01:27 Show Intro and Recap03:31 Today’s Card Overview04:24 Guardians Reds Game 109:19 Guardians Reds Game 213:22 Diamondbacks Pirates Breakdown18:00 Orioles Tigers Matchup22:38 Phillies Marlins Aftermath29:07 Rangers Rays Rest Edge35:12 Best Bet Jays Nats F5 Under39:50 Cavalli First Five Under41:55 Braves Mets Matchup43:55 Sale Versus Mets Splits45:13 Scott Form And Value47:45 Royals Twins Pitching49:54 Bradley Edge First Five52:09 Yankees White Sox Bullpens53:23 Cole Versus Kay Market57:36 Cubs Cardinals Breakdown01:02:23 Slump Rant Reset01:03:54 Astros Angels First Five01:09:54 Red Sox As Young Lefties01:12:09 Bennett Versus Jump01:16:55 Under And Sox Philosophy01:18:33 Wade Boggs Talk01:19:39 Padres Rockies Breakdown01:25:04 Brewers Giants Pick01:29:59 Mariners Dodgers Value01:36:17 WNBA Best Bet01:40:30 Other WNBA Leans01:50:31 Plays Recap Outro01:52:17 Steam Hack Rant01:54:32 Final Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Monday BEST BETS | Major League Monday | MLB | 7/27/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBNYM F5 -106LAA F5 -108MLB Picks & Breakdown (Mon, July 27) | First 5 Bets: Mets ML & Angels ML + Kirby vs Rocker, Wheeler MismatchToad returns with Toadstool Sports for Monday, July 27th, recapping a 2–1 day (Cleveland–Tampa under cashes easily, Pirates 1st 5 wins, Rangers bullpen blows the Seattle–Texas under) and discussing slate context across multiple MLB games with bullpen/offense ranks, market movement, and situational spots. He leans Seattle over Texas behind George Kirby vs Kumar Rocker but ultimately keeps it off the card. The two official plays are both first five sides: Mets 1st 5 moneyline vs Atlanta (backing rookie Zach Thornton over Martín Pérez) and Angels 1st 5 moneyline vs Houston (Walbert Ureña over Tatsuya Imai), explicitly avoiding weaker bullpen exposure. He also touches on Phillies–Marlins with Wheeler, Toronto–Washington with Scherzer’s struggles, and other matchups before closing with channel plugs.00:00 Cold Open Parlay Blues01:28 Show Intro Recent Run01:47 Yesterday Recap Bullpen Pain03:46 Monday Slate Setup04:17 Mariners Rangers Breakdown09:11 Diamondbacks Pirates Handicapping15:15 Orioles Tigers Matchup21:22 Phillies Marlins Fade Spot27:47 Blue Jays Nationals Scherzer Watch34:13 Battle of Ohio Preview41:22 Best Bet Mets First Five43:04 Mets First Five Angle44:17 Fade Martin Perez46:30 Back Zach Thornton48:12 Market Read And Total49:22 Break And Slump Rant51:16 Yankees White Sox Breakdown57:40 Cubs Cardinals Uncertainty01:04:11 Angels First Five Play01:11:40 Red Sox A's Price Trap01:18:57 Brewers Giants First Five Under01:24:25 Final Plays And Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Sunday BEST BETS | Get Down | MLB | 7/26/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBCLE/TB Under 7 -107PIT F5 -0.5 -105SEA/TEX Under 7 +100Toadstool Sports (July 26) — MLB Picks: CLE/TB Under 7, Pirates F5 -0.5, SEA/TEX Under 7Toad recaps a 3–0 day on Saturday with wins on Nationals F5, Orioles F5, and Dodgers/Mets under, then breaks down Sunday afternoon MLB betting angles with a contrarian, market-based approach. He details pitching matchups, bullpen usage, offensive rankings, motivation spots (avoid sweeps, bounce-back after blowouts), and ticket/cash splits across several games, including Cleveland–Tampa, Arizona–Washington, Atlanta–Baltimore, Cubs–Pirates, Toronto–Boston, Kansas City–Detroit, Dodgers–Mets, Padres–Marlins, A’s–Twins, Rockies–Brewers, Astros–White Sox, Reds–Cardinals, Angels–Giants, and Yankees–Phillies. His official plays are Cleveland–Tampa under 7, Pirates first five -0.5, and Seattle–Texas under 7, with additional leans discussed. He closes with plugs for social, audio, Patreon, and other channels, plus brief WNBA and TV chatter.00:00 Cold Open Intro01:28 Show Welcome Recap03:31 Contrarian Betting Mindset04:29 Guardians Rays Under07:38 Pitching Breakdown11:48 Dbacks Nats Preview18:08 Braves Orioles Lean22:40 Pirates First Five Play28:53 Red Sox Jays Analysis34:34 Next Game Tease34:44 Royals Tigers Breakdown35:29 Avila vs Valdez Angles38:07 First Five Market Read39:40 Dodgers Mets Sweep Spot41:30 Sheehan Peralta Matchup44:29 Mets Value Run Line45:57 Padres Marlins Streak47:22 Buehler vs Junk Risks51:55 A's Twins Total Confusion53:45 Springs vs Prelip Leans58:06 Rockies Brewers Mismatch58:51 Freeland vs Mierowski Pricing01:03:05 Break Then Slump Rant01:03:48 Slump Spiral Update01:04:54 Astros vs White Sox Breakdown01:10:19 Reds vs Cardinals Leans01:14:47 Mariners Rangers Under Pick01:22:09 Angels Giants First Five Angle01:26:49 Yankees Phillies Night Game01:32:43 Plays Recap and Sign Off01:33:40 WNBA Rant and Random Chatter01:34:38 Final Goodbye Message#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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Saturday BEST BETS | How Much Does Starting Pitching Matter? | MLB | 7/25/26
My linkswww.linktree.com/learntotoadwww.patreon.com/learntotoadMLBWAS F5 -0.5 -120BAL F5 -120LAD/NYM Under 8 -115MLB Picks & Betting Breakdown (Saturday, July 25) | First 5 Plays + Dodgers/Mets UnderToad returns with Toadstool Sports for Saturday, July 25, recaps a corrected “no play” due to a pitching change, and reviews a recent 2-1 day while discussing several MLB matchups with a focus on starting pitching, bullpens, market tickets/cash, and situational angles like road-trip returns. He breaks down early KC-Detroit (leans to first five under or KC +0.5 first five), considers other games including Padres-Marlins, Blue Jays-Red Sox, Yankees-Phillies, Guardians-Rays, Cubs-Pirates, Rockies-Brewers, Astros-White Sox, Reds-Cardinals, and Mariners-Rangers, and notes Juan Soto’s injury status for the Mets. His official card is Washington -0.5 in the first five, Baltimore first five moneyline, and Dodgers-Mets under 8 (noting 7.5 elsewhere), aiming to avoid bullpen volatility where appropriate.00:00 Cold Open Poem01:28 Show Intro And Record Update02:08 Recapping Yesterday Picks04:30 Today Slate And Side Rants05:14 Royals Tigers Early Game Breakdown10:33 Best Bet Nationals First Five16:12 Angels Giants Handicapping22:05 Padres Marlins Bounce Back Spot27:57 Blue Jays Red Sox Pitching Duel32:36 Fade Red Sox Spot33:52 Yankees Phillies Total Talk38:14 Guardians Rays Pitching Duel42:56 Cubs Pirates First Five Under47:49 Best Bet Orioles First Five53:18 A's Twins Bullpen Chaos57:52 Slump Rant and Reset01:01:00 Rockies Brewers Price Trap01:05:47 Red Sox Injury Rundown01:06:32 Astros White Sox Breakdown01:08:08 Hunter Brown Control Issues01:10:05 Sean Burke Form vs Matchup01:12:59 Dodgers Mets Under Pick01:15:16 Yamamoto and McLain Deep Dive01:19:47 Market Read and Side Leans01:21:08 Reds Cardinals First Five Angle01:26:23 Mariners Rangers Under Debate01:33:09 Final Plays and Sign Off#bets #sportsbetting #daily #ncaaf #nfl #nhl #nba #ncaab #mlb #ncaa #wnba
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
Hi, I am Toad. I am an autistic sports bettor with no regard for my well-being! I provide daily detailed analysis of all of the major sports and give out my best plays. It's free gold, baby.Find me on YouTube at ToadStool Sports and Instagram and Twitter at LearnToToad.
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