True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast
by Stocktwits
True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast is a collaborative weekly series from Stocktwits, powered by Polymarket. Bringing listeners a sharp, data-backed look at how prediction markets price the future, what those probabilities reveal about politics/culture/finance/sports/global events and trade in real-time on the Polymarket platform.
Episodes
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March Madness Final Four: Michigan–Arizona Coin Flip + Illinois–UConn Debate
The Final Four is set in Indianapolis — and the college season is almost over. Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets recap the all-time Duke vs UConn collapse (including the near-technical moment with Hurley), then break down the Final Four with updated odds: Michigan 35%, Arizona 34%, Illinois 17%…
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March Madness Sweet 16 Preview: Purdue, Iowa, Arizona, Houston + Friday Bangers
March Madness rolls on, and so do we. Mikey Markets is joined by Joey Rockets and Coach Ryan — fresh off an all-time debut where he called a sharp first-round upset and now sits 99.8th percentile in his bracket. Joey admits basketball isn’t his thing (and he’s basically throwing darts), but…
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March Madness 2026 Predictions: First Round Upsets & Final Four Dark Horses
March Madness is officially here! The True Odds crew is joined by college hoops aficionado Ryan to break down the 2026 NCAA Tournament. From double-digit seeds ready to bust brackets to a heated debate over BYU vs. Gonzaga, we’re covering every angle of the road to Indianapolis. 🏆 In this…
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Max Crosby Deal COLLAPSES + Palantir Rumors + March Madness Picks
Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets — and this episode is loaded. We start with World Baseball Classic chaos: Team USA manager Mark DeRosa said they’d already clinched… then the U.S. lost 8–5 to Italy and now needs help based on a wild pool-play math scenario…
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Casey’s Pizza, WBC Futures, Bears Trade Hopes & GTA 6 Price Market
Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets. We open with a quick recap: NVIDIA beat (and basically “saved the market”), CrowdStrike beat after peers signaled strength, and Mikey celebrates a win on Traitors USA — plus Joey officially got hooked. Then we check in on Bitcoin…
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SaaSpocalypse Explained + CrowdStrike Earnings + Stripe Buying PayPal?
Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets — Episode 12, “The Dirty Dozen.” We start by recapping last week’s State of the Union timing market… and wow: it ran a record 1 hour 48 minutes. We were on the over, but still didn’t land the perfect range — close, but no cigar. Then…
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LeBron Retiring Before Next Season? + The Highest Grossing Movie of 2026 Market
Episode 11 of True Odds starts with a sports reality check: the NBA All-Star “World” pick got torched (thanks to limited minutes from Jokic and Luka), and Mikey Markets + Joey Rockets are officially dialing down NBA and Olympics takes for a bit. The good news? Earnings bailed us out — AppLovin…
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Super Bowl Winners Recap + What’s Next: NBA All-Star, Olympics, WBC + Earnings
Football season is officially over… and True Odds is taking a victory lap. Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets recap an insanely profitable Super Bowl weekend: Seattle + under, Kenneth Walker MVP, AJ Barner TD (plus the legendary Vegas pool promise that actually got paid out). Then they pivot to...
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Super Bowl LX Picks + Best Props (Seahawks vs Patriots) ft. Ethan Weiss | True Odds Ep. 9
It’s Super Bowl week on True Odds — Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets are joined by Ethan Weiss for a full Super Bowl LX preview: Seahawks vs Patriots. We start by recapping last week’s results (most of the earnings card hit, with one big surprise), then revisit the Elon trillionaire market that...
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Tesla Earnings Don’t Matter… But the Beat Market Does (Rapid-Fire Earnings Card)
Welcome back to True Odds with Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets. We’re coming off another strong run (not a perfect week, but still winners), and we’re officially down to the last game of the season: Super Bowl LX — Seahawks vs Patriots. We recap what hit and what didn’t (including the Capital One…
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True Odds Goes 4-1 Again: Bills Controversy, Championship Picks, and Super Bowl Props
Welcome back to True Odds — Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets are here with the 01/20/26 episode, and the heater continues: we didn’t go 5-0… we “only” went 4-1 (and technically 5-1 if you count how we both cashed Bears/Rams with the spread). We recap the slate, including the Bills/Broncos...
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We Went 5-0 Last Week… Can We Do It Again? (Divisional Round Picks + Netflix Earnings)
True Odds rolls into the week off a perfect 5-0 football card, with Mikey and Joey recapping last week’s winners and the chaos that followed — including Mikey’s Bears comeback live bet on Polymarket that turned $50 into $500 when Chicago was down big. Joey then runs “Case File” with his top...
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Playoff Football, Future Leader of Venezuela & GTA VI Markets Resurrect
Episode 5 of True Odds dives into the biggest betting and prediction-market stories as January 2026 heats up. Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets break down NFL playoff matchups, College Football Playoff semifinal picks, and key contrarian opportunities on Polymarket — including the evolving situation...
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Week 18 Chaos, CFP Futures & Swift/Kelce Wedding Markets
True Odds is back after the holidays. Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets recap NFL Christmas results, Jokic’s historic Christmas game, and a 2-for-3 NFL slate, then break down the best Week 18 matchups: Ravens vs Steelers, Seahawks vs 49ers (No. 1 seed), and Panthers vs Bucs. Plus CFP picks (Oregon…
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Nike Beat Earnings… And Still Got SMOKED (Why the Bet Still Cashes)
Merry Christmas week from True Odds 🎄 Mikey Markets and Joey Rockets are back with a loaded episode: we relive the Seahawks vs Rams emotional rollercoaster, talk Nike’s earnings beat (and why the stock getting smoked doesn’t matter for the bet), and then we dive into a weird Christmas slate. The...
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True Odds Ep. 2: NFL Futures, Nike Earnings, & SpaceX Ticker Markets
Michael Bolling and Joey Solitro are back after a 3–0 opening week. They recap their winning picks, discuss the future of the Chiefs dynasty, and break down the NFL’s concerns surrounding prediction markets. The episode also features a look at Rams vs. Seahawks on Thursday Night Football, value...
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True Odds Ep. 1: Polymarket Strategy, NFL Upsets & The "AI" Person of the Year
Mikey Markets and Joey Rocket kick off the debut episode of True Odds, a prediction markets podcast from StockTwits. They break down how prediction markets differ from traditional sports betting, then dive into live PolyMarket action: from whether Time’s 2025 Person of the Year will even be…
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About this show
True Odds: A Prediction Markets Podcast is a collaborative weekly series from Stocktwits, powered by Polymarket. Bringing listeners a sharp, data-backed look at how prediction markets price the future, what those probabilities reveal about politics/culture/finance/sports/global events and trade in real-time on the Polymarket platform.
Hosted by
Stocktwits