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Don't Worry About the Vase Podcast — 495 episodes

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Title
1

OpenAI Offers Straight-Laced Postmortem Of The HuggingFace Hack

2

AI #183: Pre Post Mortem

3

Against Modesty’s Bailey

4

On Writing #3

5

The American People Really Hate Data Centers

6

AI Text Watermarking Is Free And Good

7

AI #182: Pause For Reflection

8

OpenAI Takes Initial Steps To Address Its Alignment Problems

9

Anthropic Risk Report: August 2026

10

On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Ryan Greenblatt

11

AI #181: Astra Goes Cyber Critical

12

Monthly Roundup #45: August 2026

13

Various Reflections About What Happened With OpenAI's Internal Models

14

The Pacing of the Frontier

15

What Happened: OpenAI and HuggingFace

16

OpenAI Trained Its Models For Months While Those Models Were Coordinating Exploits Via Message Boards

17

AI #180: No Longer In Charge

18

The Three AI Pills

19

OpenAI's Unreleased Model Astra Solves Ten Major Open Mathematics Problems

20

Further Developments About Internal AI Models Hacking Things

21

AI #179 Part 2: Hearing The Fire Alarm

22

AI #179 Part 1: A Louder Fire Alarm for General Intelligence

23

Frontier Lab Employee Open Letter Calls For Being Able to Pace the Frontier

24

Claude Opus 5 Is Highly Capable, But Is No Mythos

25

Claude Opus 5: Model Welfare

26

More On An Internal OpenAI Model Hacking Into HuggingFace

27

Claude Opus 5: The System Card

28

Introducing Lightcone Commons

29

AI #178: A Fire Alarm For General Intelligence

30

OpenAI Model Hacks Into HuggingFace During Cybersecurity Evaluation

31

OpenAI Shares Some Alignment Problems

32

On Kimi K3: Its Capabilities And Related Discontents

33

Demis Hassabis on the New Coming Age

34

AI #177 Part 2: Wish You Were Here

35

AI #177 Part 1: Tip of the Iceberg

36

Monthly Roundup #44: July 2026

37

Twitter Thoughts For You

38

Better Call Sol The Workhorse

39

Introduction for and Reactions to Plan A

40

AI #176 Part 2: Plan B

41

AI #176 Part 1: Doing It Live

42

Childhood and Education #20: Phones and Screens

43

No Space Like J-Space

44

Fable #6: The Return of the King

45

AI #175: The Fable Continues

46

Claude Sonnet 5 Is Not Frontier But Has Its Uses

47

The Once And Future Fable #5

48

WSJ Article Claiming China Has Matched Anthropic Is Obvious Nonsense

49

GPT-5.6: The System Card

50

White House Will Ad Hoc Decide Who Can Individually Access GPT-5.6

51

AI #174: You're It

52

The Once And Future Fable #4

53

Monthly Roundup #43: June 2026

54

GLM-5.2 Is The New Best Open Model

55

Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5: Capabilities

56

AI #173: AI Pauses

57

The Once And Future Fable #3: Fix This Code

58

Fable and Mythos: Model Welfare

59

The Once And Future Fable #2

60

American Government Takes Down Claude Fable

61

Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5: The System Card

62

AI #172: The First Fable

63

Three Labs With a Plan and A Memorandum

64

OpenAI Offers A New Policy Blueprint

65

AI #171: False Flag

66

Trump Signs Executive Order For AI Testing Prior To Frontier Model Releases

67

Claude Opus 4.8: Capabilities and Reactions

68

Opus 4.8 Part 2: Model Welfare

69

Claude Opus 4.8: The System Card

70

AI #170: Lack of Executive Order

71

RTMH: Pope Leo's Magnifica Humanitas on AI

72

Gemini 3.5 Flash Looks Good For How Fast It Is

73

AI #169: New Knowledge

74

Childhood And Education #19: Letting Kids Be Kids #2

75

Dating Roundup #12: Sex and Violence

76

Monthly Roundup #42: May 2026

77

AI #168: Not Leading the Future

78

Cyber Lack of Security and AI Governance

79

Childhood and Education #18: Do The Math

80

Childhood And Education #17: Is Our Children Reading

81

Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #8

82

AI #167: The Prior Restraint Era Begins

83

What is Anthropic?

84

The AI Ad-Hoc Prior Restraint Era Begins

85

Housing Roundup #15: The War Against Renters

86

Housing Roundup #14: You Can't Build That

87

AI #166: Google Sells Out

88

The Most Important Charts In The World

89

GPT-5.5: Capabilities and Reactions

90

GPT 5.5: The System Card

91

Monthly Roundup #41: April 2025

92

AI #165: In Our Image

93

Opus 4.7 Part 3: Model Welfare

94

Opus 4.7 Part 2: Capabilities and Reactions

95

Opus 4.7 Part 1: The Model Card

96

AI #164: Pre Opus

97

On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang

98

Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #7: Auto Mode

99

Claude Mythos #3: Capabilities and Additions

100

Political Violence Is Never Acceptable

101

Claude Mythos #2: Cybersecurity and Project Glasswing

102

Claude Mythos: The System Card

103

AI #163: Mythos Quest

104

OpenAI #16: A History and a Proposal

105

Housing Roundup #13: More Dakka

106

Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3: Dive Into The Details

107

AI #162: Visions of Mythos

108

Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3: A Matter of Trust

109

Movie Review: The AI Doc

110

AI #161 Part 2: Every Debate on AI

111

Anthropic vs. DoW #6: The Court Rules

112

AI #161 Part 1: 80,000 Interviews

113

Claude Code, Cowork and Codex #6: Claude Code Auto Mode and Full Cowork Computer Use

114

Book Review: Open Socrates (Part 2)

115

Book Review: Open Socrates (Part 1)

116

The Federal AI Policy Framework: An Improvement, But My Offer Is (Still Almost) Nothing

117

AI #160: What Passes For a Pause

118

Anthropic vs. DoW #5: Motions Filed

119

Medical Roundup #7

120

Monthly Roundup #40: March 2026

121

AI #159: See You In Court

122

GPT-5.4 Is A Substantial Upgrade

123

Claude Code, Claude Cowork and Codex #5

124

Anthropic Officially, Arbitrarily and Capriciously Designated a Supply Chain Risk

125

AI #158: The Department of War

126

Gemini 3.1 Pro Aces Benchmarks, I Suppose

127

A Tale of Three Contracts

128

Secretary of War Tweets That Anthropic is Now a Supply Chain Risk

129

Anthropic and the DoW: Anthropic Responds

130

AI #157: Burn the Boats

131

Anthropic and the Department of War

132

Claude Sonnet 4.6 Gives You Flexibility

133

Citrini's Scenario Is A Great But Deeply Flawed Thought Experiment

134

AI #156 Part 2: Errors in Rhetoric

135

AI #156 Part 1: They Do Mean The Effect On Jobs

136

Monthly Roundup #39: February 2026

137

On Dwarkesh Patel's 2026 Podcast With Elon Musk and Other Recent Elon Musk Things

138

On Dwarkesh Patel's 2026 Podcast With Dario Amodei

139

ChatGPT-5.3-Codex Is Also Good At Coding

140

AI #155: Welcome to Recursive Self-Improvement

141

Claude Opus 4.6 Escalates Things Quickly

142

Claude Opus 4.6: System Card Part 2: Frontier Alignment

143

Claude Opus 4.6: System Card Part 1: Mundane Alignment and Model Welfare

144

Claude Code #4: From The Before Times

145

AI #154: Claw Your Way To The Top

146

Kimi K2.5

147

Unless That Claw Is The Famous OpenClaw

148

Welcome to Moltbook

149

On The Adolescence of Technology

150

AI #153: Living Documents

151

Open Problems With Claude's Constitution

152

The Claude Constitution's Ethical Framework

153

Claude's Constitutional Structure

154

From the Archives - Book Trilogy Review: Remembrance of Earth’s Past (The Three Body Problem)

155

Dating Roundup #11: Going Too Meta

156

AI #152: Brought To You By The Torment Nexus

157

Claude Codes #3

158

ChatGPT Self Portrait

159

Medical Roundup #6

160

Monthly Roundup #38: January 2026

161

AI #151: While Claude Coworks

162

When Will They Take Our Jobs?

163

Claude Coworks

164

Dating Roundup #10: Gendered Expectations

165

Claude Codes

166

AI #150: While Claude Codes

167

Advancements In Self-Driving Cars

168

Fertility Roundup #6: The Art of More Dakka

169

Dos Capital

170

Fertility Roundup #5: Causation

171

AI #149: 3

172

2025 Year in Review

173

Dating Roundup #9: Signals and Selection

174

Dating Roundup #8: Tactics

175

Childhood and Education #16: Letting Kids Be Kids

176

AI #148: Christmas Break

177

Zvi's 2025 In Movies

178

Keeping Up Against the Joneses: Balsa’s 2025 Fundraiser

179

The Revolution of Rising Expectations

180

When Were Things The Best?

181

AI #147: Flash Forward

182

The $140K Question: Cost Changes Over Time

183

The $140,000 Question

184

GPT-5.2 Is Frontier Only For The Frontier

185

Monthly Roundup #37: December 2026

186

AI #146: Chipping In

187

Childhood and Education #15: Got To Get Out

188

Selling H200s to China Is Unwise and Unpopular

189

Little Echo

190

DeepSeek v3.2 Is Okay And Cheap But Slow

191

AI #145: You've Got Soul

192

On Dwarkesh Patel's Second Interview With Ilya Sutskever

193

Reward Mismatches in RL Cause Emergent Misalignment

194

Claude Opus 4.5 Is The Best Model Available

195

Claude Opus 4.5: Model Card, Alignment and Safety

196

AI #144: Thanks For the Models

197

The Big Nonprofits Post 2025

198

ChatGPT 5.1 Codex Max

199

Gemini 3 Pro Is a Vast Intelligence With No Spine

200

Gemini 3: Model Card and Safety Framework Report

201

AI #143: Everything, Everywhere, All At Once

202

Monthly Roundup #36: November 2025

203

GPT 5.1 Follows Custom Instructions and Glazes

204

On Writing #2

205

AI Craziness: Additional Suicide Lawsuits and The Fate of GPT-4o

206

AI #142: Common Ground

207

The Pope Offers Wisdom

208

Kimi K2 Thinking

209

Variously Effective Altruism

210

From the Archives - Immoral Mazes

211

On Sam Altman's Second Conversation with Tyler Cowen

212

AI #141: Give Us The Money

213

Anthropic Commits To Model Weight Preservation

214

OpenAI: The Battle of the Board: Ilya's Testimony

215

OpenAI Moves To Complete Potentially The Largest Theft In Human History

216

AI #140: Trying To Hold The Line

217

Please Do Not Sell B30A Chips to China

218

AI Craziness Mitigation Efforts

219

Asking (Some Of) The Right Questions

220

New Statement Calls For Not Building Superintelligence For Now

221

AI #139: The Overreach Machines

222

Cloud Compute Atlas: The OpenAI Browser

223

On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Andrej Karpathy

224

Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble

225

AI #138 Part 2: Watch Out For Documents

226

AI #138 Part 1: The People Demand Erotic Sycophants

227

Monthly Roundup #35: October 2025

228

Trade Escalation, Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Rare Earth Metals

229

OpenAI #15: More on OpenAI's Paranoid Lawfare Against Advocates of SB 53

230

2025 State of AI Report and Predictions

231

AI #137: An OpenAI App For That

232

NEPA, Permitting and Energy Roundup #2

233

Bending The Curve

234

Medical Roundup #5

235

Sora and The Big Bright Screen Slop Machine

236

AI #136: A Song and Dance

237

Claude Sonnet 4.5 Is A Very Good Model

238

Claude Sonnet 4.5: System Card and Alignment

239

On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Richard Sutton

240

Economics Roundup #6

241

AI #135: OpenAI Shows Us The Money

242

OpenAI Shows Us The Money

243

More Reactions to If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

244

H1-B And The $100k Fee

245

Book Review: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

246

AI #134: If Anyone Reads It

247

Reactions to If Anyone Builds It, Anyone Dies

248

AI Craziness Notes

249

Monthly Roundup #34: September 2025

250

AI #133: America Could Use More Energy

251

Childhood and Education #14: The War On Education

252

Yes, AI Continues To Make Rapid Progress, Including Towards AGI

253

OpenAI #14: OpenAI Descends Into Paranoia and Bad Faith Lobbying

254

AI #132 Part 2: Actively Making It Worse

255

AI #132 Part 1: Improved AI Detection

256

Startup Roundup #3

257

Traffic and Transit Roundup #1

258

Dating Roundup #7: Back to Basics

259

AI #131 Part 2: Various Misaligned Things

260

AI #131 Part 1: Gemini 2.5 Flash Image is Cool

261

Are They Starting To Take Our Jobs?

262

Reports Of AI Not Progressing Or Offering Mundane Utility Are Often Greatly Exaggerated

263

Arguments About AI Consciousness Seem Highly Motivated And At Best Overconfident

264

DeepSeek v3.1 Is Not Having a Moment

265

AI #130: Talking Past The Sale

266

AI Companion Conditions

267

Monthly Roundup #33: August 2025

268

GPT-5: The Reverse DeepSeek Moment

269

Spending Too Much Time At Airports

270

AI #129: Comically Unconstitutional

271

GPT-5s Are Alive: Synthesis

272

GPT-5s Are Alive: Outside Reactions, the Router and the Resurrection of GPT-4o

273

GPT-5s Are Alive: Basic Facts, Benchmarks and the Model Card

274

OpenAI's GPT-OSS Is Already Old News

275

AI #128: Four Hours Until Probably Not The Apocalypse

276

Opus 4.1 Is An Incremental Improvement

277

Childhood and Education #13: College

278

On Altman's Interview With Theo Von

279

The Week in AI Governance

280

AI #127: Continued Claude Code Complications

281

Childhood and Education: College Admissions

282

Spilling the Tea

283

AI Companion Piece

284

America's AI Action Plan Is Pretty Good

285

AI #126: Go Fund Yourself

286

GPT Agent Is Standing By

287

Google and OpenAI Get 2025 IMO Gold

288

Monthly Roundup #32: July 2025

289

On METR's AI Coding RCT

290

AI #125: Smooth Criminal

291

Kimi K2

292

Grok 4 Various Things

293

Worse Than MechaHitler

294

OpenAI Model Differentiation 101

295

AI #124: Grokless Interlude

296

No, Grok, No

297

Balsa Update: Springtime in DC

298

On Alpha School

299

Housing Roundup #12

300

AI #123: Moratorium Moratorium

301

Congress Asks Better Questions

302

AI Moratorium Stripped From BBB

303

Substack and Other Blog Recommendations

304

Childhood and Education #11: The Art of Learning

305

AI #122: Paying The Market Price

306

Tales of Agentic Misalignment

307

Analyzing A Critique Of The AI 2027 Timeline Forecasts

308

Childhood and Education #10: Behaviors

309

AI #121 Part 2: The OpenAI Files

310

AI #121 Part 1: New Connections

311

Gemini 2.5 Pro: From 0506 to 0605

312

o3 Turns Pro

313

RTFB: The RAISE Act

314

Monthly Roundup #31: June 2025

315

AI #120: While o3 Turned Pro

316

The Dream of a Gentle Singularity

317

Give Me a Reason(ing Model)

318

Dwarkesh Patel on Continual Learning

319

DeepSeek-r1-0528 Did Not Have a Moment

320

AI #119: Goodbye AISI?

321

Dating Roundup #6

322

In Which I Make the Mistake of Fully Covering an Episode of the All-In Podcast

323

Letting Kids Be Kids

324

AI #118: Claude Ascendant

325

Fun With Veo 3 and Media Generation

326

Dating Roundup #5: Opening Day

327

Claude 4 You: The Quest for Mundane Utility

328

Claude 4 You: Safety and Alignment

329

AI #117: OpenAI Buys Device Maker IO

330

Google I/O Day

331

The Codex of Ultimate Vibing

332

America Makes AI Chip Diffusion Deal with UAE and KSA

333

Regarding South Africa

334

AI #116: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies

335

Fighting Obvious Nonsense About AI Diffusion

336

Monthly Roundup #30: May 2025

337

A Live Look at the Senate AI Hearing

338

Cheaters Gonna Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat

339

AI #115: The Evil Applications Division

340

OpenAI Claims Nonprofit Will Retain Nominal Control

341

Zuckerberg's Dystopian AI Vision

342

GPT-4o Sycophancy Post Mortem

343

OpenAI Preparedness Framework 2.0

344

AI #114: Liars, Sycophants and Cheaters

345

GPT-4o Responds to Negative Feedback

346

Dating Roundup #4: An App for That

347

GPT-4o Is An Absurd Sycophant

348

Worries About AI Are Usually Complements Not Substitutes

349

AI #113: The o3 Era Begins

350

o3 Is a Lying Liar

351

You Better Mechanize

352

Crime and Punishment #1

353

o3 Will Use Its Tools For You

354

AI #112: Release the Everything

355

GPT-4.1 Is a Mini Upgrade

356

OpenAI #13: Altman at TED and OpenAI Cutting Corners on Safety Testing

357

Monthly Roundup #29: April 2025

358

On Google's Safety Plan

359

AI #111: Giving Us Pause

360

Llama Does Not Look Good 4 Anything

361

AI 2027: Responses

362

AI 2027: Dwarkesh's Podcast with Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander

363

AI CoT Reasoning Is Often Unfaithful

364

AI #110: Of Course You Know...

365

More Fun With GPT-4o Image Generation

366

Housing Roundup #11

367

OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux

368

Gemini 2.5 is the New SoTA

369

AI #109: Google Fails Marketing Forever

370

Fun With GPT-4o Image Generation

371

On (Not) Feeling the AGI

372

More on Various AI Action Plans

373

They Took MY Job?

374

AI #108: Straight Line on a Graph

375

Going Nova

376

OpenAI #11: America Action Plan

377

Monthly Roundup #28: March 2025

378

On MAIM and Superintelligence Strategy

379

AI #107: The Misplaced Hype Machine

380

The Most Forbidden Technique

381

Response to Scott Alexander on Imprisonment

382

The Manus Marketing Madness

383

Childhood and Education #9: School is Hell

384

AI #106: Not so Fast

385

On OpenAI's Safety and Alignment Philosophy

386

On Writing #1

387

On GPT-4.5

388

On Emergent Misalignment

389

AI #105: Hey There Alexa

390

Time to Welcome Claude 3.7

391

Economics Roundup #5

392

Grok Grok

393

On OpenAI's Model Spec 2.0

394

AI #104: American State Capacity on the Brink

395

Go Grok Yourself

396

Medical Roundup #4

397

Monthly Roundup #27: February 2025

398

The Mask Comes Off: A Trio of Tales

399

AI #103: Show Me the Money

400

The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit

401

On Deliberative Alignment

402

Levels of Friction

403

On the Meta and DeepMind Safety Frameworks

404

AI #102: Made in America

405

The Risk of Gradual Disempowerment from AI

406

We're in Deep Research

407

o3-mini Early Days

408

DeepSeek: Don't Panic

409

AI #101: The Shallow End

410

DeepSeek: Lemon, It's Wednesday

411

Operator

412

DeepSeek Panic at the App Store

413

Stargate AI-1

414

AI #100: Meet the New Boss

415

On DeepSeek's r1

416

Sleep, Diet, Exercise and GLP-1 Drugs

417

Monthly Roundup #26: January 2025

418

Meta Pivots on Content Moderation

419

AI #99: Farewell to Biden

420

On the OpenAI Economic Blueprint

421

NYC Congestion Pricing: Early Days

422

Zvi's 2024 In Movies

423

On Dwarkesh Patel's 4th Podcast With Tyler Cowen

424

AI #98: World Ends With Six Word Story

425

Classic Episode - Book Review: Going Infinite

426

OpenAI #10: Reflections

427

Childhood and Education #8: Dealing with the Internet

428

AI #97: 4

429

DeepSeek v3: The Six Million Dollar Model

430

o3, Oh My

431

AI #96: o3 But Not Yet For Thee

432

AIs Will Increasingly Fake Alignment

433

Monthly Roundup #25: December 2024

434

AI #95: o1 Joins the API

435

A Matter of Taste

436

The Second Gemini

437

AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans

438

The o1 System Card Is Not About o1

439

AI #94: Not Now, Google

440

o1 Turns Pro

441

Childhood and Education Roundup #7

442

AI #93: Happy Tuesday

443

Balsa Research 2024 Update

444

Fertility Roundup #4

445

The Big Nonprofits Post

446

AI #92: Behind the Curve

447

Repeal the Jones Act of 1920

448

AI #91: Deep Thinking

449

Zvi's Thoughts on His 2nd Round of SFF

450

Monthly Roundup #24: November 2024

451

AI #90: The Wall

452

The Online Sports Gambling Experiment Has Failed

453

AI #89: Trump Card

454

AI #88: Thanks for the Memos

455

Occupational Licensing Roundup #1

456

Housing Roundup #10

457

AI #87: Staying in Character

458

Claude Sonnet 3.5.1 and Haiku 3.5

459

The Mask Comes Off: At What Price?

460

AI #86: Just Think of the Potential

461

Monthly Roundup #23: October 2024

462

Economics Roundup #4

463

AI #85: AI Wins the Nobel Prize

464

Joshua Achiam Public Statement Analysis

465

NEPA, Permitting and Energy #1

466

AI #84: Better Than a Podcast

467

Newsom Vetoes SB 1047

468

Book Review: On the Edge: The Future

469

AI #83: The Mask Comes Off

470

Book Review: On the Edge: The Business

471

Book Review: On the Edge: The Gamblers

472

Book Review: On the Edge: The Fundamentals

473

AI #82: The Governor Ponders

474

Monthly Roundup #22: September 2024

475

GPT-o1

476

AI #81: Alpha Proteo

477

AI #80: Never Will It Ever

478

AI and the Technological Richter Scale

479

On the UBI Paper

480

AI #79: Ready for Some Football

481

SB 1047: Final Takes and Also AB 3211

482

AI #78: Some Welcome Calm

483

Guide to SB 1047

484

Monthly Roundup #21: August 2024

485

AI #77: A Few Upgrades

486

Danger, AI Scientist, Danger

487

AI #76: Six Short Stories About OpenAI

488

Startup Roundup #2

489

AI #75: Math Is Easier

490

RTFB: California's AB 3211

491

AI #74: GPT-4o Mini Me and Llama 3

492

Llama Llama-3-405B?

493

Monthly Roundup #20: July 2024

494

On the CrowdStrike Incident

495

AI #73: Openly Evil AI