All Episodes
Don't Worry About the Vase Podcast — 452 episodes
Fable #6: The Return of the King
AI #175: The Fable Continues
Claude Sonnet 5 Is Not Frontier But Has Its Uses
The Once And Future Fable #5
WSJ Article Claiming China Has Matched Anthropic Is Obvious Nonsense
GPT-5.6: The System Card
White House Will Ad Hoc Decide Who Can Individually Access GPT-5.6
AI #174: You're It
The Once And Future Fable #4
Monthly Roundup #43: June 2026
GLM-5.2 Is The New Best Open Model
Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5: Capabilities
AI #173: AI Pauses
The Once And Future Fable #3: Fix This Code
Fable and Mythos: Model Welfare
The Once And Future Fable #2
American Government Takes Down Claude Fable
Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5: The System Card
AI #172: The First Fable
Three Labs With a Plan and A Memorandum
OpenAI Offers A New Policy Blueprint
AI #171: False Flag
Trump Signs Executive Order For AI Testing Prior To Frontier Model Releases
Claude Opus 4.8: Capabilities and Reactions
Opus 4.8 Part 2: Model Welfare
Claude Opus 4.8: The System Card
AI #170: Lack of Executive Order
RTMH: Pope Leo's Magnifica Humanitas on AI
Gemini 3.5 Flash Looks Good For How Fast It Is
AI #169: New Knowledge
Childhood And Education #19: Letting Kids Be Kids #2
Dating Roundup #12: Sex and Violence
Monthly Roundup #42: May 2026
AI #168: Not Leading the Future
Cyber Lack of Security and AI Governance
Childhood and Education #18: Do The Math
Childhood And Education #17: Is Our Children Reading
Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #8
AI #167: The Prior Restraint Era Begins
What is Anthropic?
The AI Ad-Hoc Prior Restraint Era Begins
Housing Roundup #15: The War Against Renters
Housing Roundup #14: You Can't Build That
AI #166: Google Sells Out
The Most Important Charts In The World
GPT-5.5: Capabilities and Reactions
GPT 5.5: The System Card
Monthly Roundup #41: April 2025
AI #165: In Our Image
Opus 4.7 Part 3: Model Welfare
Opus 4.7 Part 2: Capabilities and Reactions
Opus 4.7 Part 1: The Model Card
AI #164: Pre Opus
On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang
Claude Code, Codex and Agentic Coding #7: Auto Mode
Claude Mythos #3: Capabilities and Additions
Political Violence Is Never Acceptable
Claude Mythos #2: Cybersecurity and Project Glasswing
Claude Mythos: The System Card
AI #163: Mythos Quest
OpenAI #16: A History and a Proposal
Housing Roundup #13: More Dakka
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3: Dive Into The Details
AI #162: Visions of Mythos
Anthropic Responsible Scaling Policy v3: A Matter of Trust
Movie Review: The AI Doc
AI #161 Part 2: Every Debate on AI
Anthropic vs. DoW #6: The Court Rules
AI #161 Part 1: 80,000 Interviews
Claude Code, Cowork and Codex #6: Claude Code Auto Mode and Full Cowork Computer Use
Book Review: Open Socrates (Part 2)
Book Review: Open Socrates (Part 1)
The Federal AI Policy Framework: An Improvement, But My Offer Is (Still Almost) Nothing
AI #160: What Passes For a Pause
Anthropic vs. DoW #5: Motions Filed
Medical Roundup #7
Monthly Roundup #40: March 2026
AI #159: See You In Court
GPT-5.4 Is A Substantial Upgrade
Claude Code, Claude Cowork and Codex #5
Anthropic Officially, Arbitrarily and Capriciously Designated a Supply Chain Risk
AI #158: The Department of War
Gemini 3.1 Pro Aces Benchmarks, I Suppose
A Tale of Three Contracts
Secretary of War Tweets That Anthropic is Now a Supply Chain Risk
Anthropic and the DoW: Anthropic Responds
AI #157: Burn the Boats
Anthropic and the Department of War
Claude Sonnet 4.6 Gives You Flexibility
Citrini's Scenario Is A Great But Deeply Flawed Thought Experiment
AI #156 Part 2: Errors in Rhetoric
AI #156 Part 1: They Do Mean The Effect On Jobs
Monthly Roundup #39: February 2026
On Dwarkesh Patel's 2026 Podcast With Elon Musk and Other Recent Elon Musk Things
On Dwarkesh Patel's 2026 Podcast With Dario Amodei
ChatGPT-5.3-Codex Is Also Good At Coding
AI #155: Welcome to Recursive Self-Improvement
Claude Opus 4.6 Escalates Things Quickly
Claude Opus 4.6: System Card Part 2: Frontier Alignment
Claude Opus 4.6: System Card Part 1: Mundane Alignment and Model Welfare
Claude Code #4: From The Before Times
AI #154: Claw Your Way To The Top
Kimi K2.5
Unless That Claw Is The Famous OpenClaw
Welcome to Moltbook
On The Adolescence of Technology
AI #153: Living Documents
Open Problems With Claude's Constitution
The Claude Constitution's Ethical Framework
Claude's Constitutional Structure
From the Archives - Book Trilogy Review: Remembrance of Earth’s Past (The Three Body Problem)
Dating Roundup #11: Going Too Meta
AI #152: Brought To You By The Torment Nexus
Claude Codes #3
ChatGPT Self Portrait
Medical Roundup #6
Monthly Roundup #38: January 2026
AI #151: While Claude Coworks
When Will They Take Our Jobs?
Claude Coworks
Dating Roundup #10: Gendered Expectations
Claude Codes
AI #150: While Claude Codes
Advancements In Self-Driving Cars
Fertility Roundup #6: The Art of More Dakka
Dos Capital
Fertility Roundup #5: Causation
AI #149: 3
2025 Year in Review
Dating Roundup #9: Signals and Selection
Dating Roundup #8: Tactics
Childhood and Education #16: Letting Kids Be Kids
AI #148: Christmas Break
Zvi's 2025 In Movies
Keeping Up Against the Joneses: Balsa’s 2025 Fundraiser
The Revolution of Rising Expectations
When Were Things The Best?
AI #147: Flash Forward
The $140K Question: Cost Changes Over Time
The $140,000 Question
GPT-5.2 Is Frontier Only For The Frontier
Monthly Roundup #37: December 2026
AI #146: Chipping In
Childhood and Education #15: Got To Get Out
Selling H200s to China Is Unwise and Unpopular
Little Echo
DeepSeek v3.2 Is Okay And Cheap But Slow
AI #145: You've Got Soul
On Dwarkesh Patel's Second Interview With Ilya Sutskever
Reward Mismatches in RL Cause Emergent Misalignment
Claude Opus 4.5 Is The Best Model Available
Claude Opus 4.5: Model Card, Alignment and Safety
AI #144: Thanks For the Models
The Big Nonprofits Post 2025
ChatGPT 5.1 Codex Max
Gemini 3 Pro Is a Vast Intelligence With No Spine
Gemini 3: Model Card and Safety Framework Report
AI #143: Everything, Everywhere, All At Once
Monthly Roundup #36: November 2025
GPT 5.1 Follows Custom Instructions and Glazes
On Writing #2
AI Craziness: Additional Suicide Lawsuits and The Fate of GPT-4o
AI #142: Common Ground
The Pope Offers Wisdom
Kimi K2 Thinking
Variously Effective Altruism
From the Archives - Immoral Mazes
On Sam Altman's Second Conversation with Tyler Cowen
AI #141: Give Us The Money
Anthropic Commits To Model Weight Preservation
OpenAI: The Battle of the Board: Ilya's Testimony
OpenAI Moves To Complete Potentially The Largest Theft In Human History
AI #140: Trying To Hold The Line
Please Do Not Sell B30A Chips to China
AI Craziness Mitigation Efforts
Asking (Some Of) The Right Questions
New Statement Calls For Not Building Superintelligence For Now
AI #139: The Overreach Machines
Cloud Compute Atlas: The OpenAI Browser
On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Andrej Karpathy
Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble
AI #138 Part 2: Watch Out For Documents
AI #138 Part 1: The People Demand Erotic Sycophants
Monthly Roundup #35: October 2025
Trade Escalation, Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Rare Earth Metals
OpenAI #15: More on OpenAI's Paranoid Lawfare Against Advocates of SB 53
2025 State of AI Report and Predictions
AI #137: An OpenAI App For That
NEPA, Permitting and Energy Roundup #2
Bending The Curve
Medical Roundup #5
Sora and The Big Bright Screen Slop Machine
AI #136: A Song and Dance
Claude Sonnet 4.5 Is A Very Good Model
Claude Sonnet 4.5: System Card and Alignment
On Dwarkesh Patel's Podcast With Richard Sutton
Economics Roundup #6
AI #135: OpenAI Shows Us The Money
OpenAI Shows Us The Money
More Reactions to If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
H1-B And The $100k Fee
Book Review: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
AI #134: If Anyone Reads It
Reactions to If Anyone Builds It, Anyone Dies
AI Craziness Notes
Monthly Roundup #34: September 2025
AI #133: America Could Use More Energy
Childhood and Education #14: The War On Education
Yes, AI Continues To Make Rapid Progress, Including Towards AGI
OpenAI #14: OpenAI Descends Into Paranoia and Bad Faith Lobbying
AI #132 Part 2: Actively Making It Worse
AI #132 Part 1: Improved AI Detection
Startup Roundup #3
Traffic and Transit Roundup #1
Dating Roundup #7: Back to Basics
AI #131 Part 2: Various Misaligned Things
AI #131 Part 1: Gemini 2.5 Flash Image is Cool
Are They Starting To Take Our Jobs?
Reports Of AI Not Progressing Or Offering Mundane Utility Are Often Greatly Exaggerated
Arguments About AI Consciousness Seem Highly Motivated And At Best Overconfident
DeepSeek v3.1 Is Not Having a Moment
AI #130: Talking Past The Sale
AI Companion Conditions
Monthly Roundup #33: August 2025
GPT-5: The Reverse DeepSeek Moment
Spending Too Much Time At Airports
AI #129: Comically Unconstitutional
GPT-5s Are Alive: Synthesis
GPT-5s Are Alive: Outside Reactions, the Router and the Resurrection of GPT-4o
GPT-5s Are Alive: Basic Facts, Benchmarks and the Model Card
OpenAI's GPT-OSS Is Already Old News
AI #128: Four Hours Until Probably Not The Apocalypse
Opus 4.1 Is An Incremental Improvement
Childhood and Education #13: College
On Altman's Interview With Theo Von
The Week in AI Governance
AI #127: Continued Claude Code Complications
Childhood and Education: College Admissions
Spilling the Tea
AI Companion Piece
America's AI Action Plan Is Pretty Good
AI #126: Go Fund Yourself
GPT Agent Is Standing By
Google and OpenAI Get 2025 IMO Gold
Monthly Roundup #32: July 2025
On METR's AI Coding RCT
AI #125: Smooth Criminal
Kimi K2
Grok 4 Various Things
Worse Than MechaHitler
OpenAI Model Differentiation 101
AI #124: Grokless Interlude
No, Grok, No
Balsa Update: Springtime in DC
On Alpha School
Housing Roundup #12
AI #123: Moratorium Moratorium
Congress Asks Better Questions
AI Moratorium Stripped From BBB
Substack and Other Blog Recommendations
Childhood and Education #11: The Art of Learning
AI #122: Paying The Market Price
Tales of Agentic Misalignment
Analyzing A Critique Of The AI 2027 Timeline Forecasts
Childhood and Education #10: Behaviors
AI #121 Part 2: The OpenAI Files
AI #121 Part 1: New Connections
Gemini 2.5 Pro: From 0506 to 0605
o3 Turns Pro
RTFB: The RAISE Act
Monthly Roundup #31: June 2025
AI #120: While o3 Turned Pro
The Dream of a Gentle Singularity
Give Me a Reason(ing Model)
Dwarkesh Patel on Continual Learning
DeepSeek-r1-0528 Did Not Have a Moment
AI #119: Goodbye AISI?
Dating Roundup #6
In Which I Make the Mistake of Fully Covering an Episode of the All-In Podcast
Letting Kids Be Kids
AI #118: Claude Ascendant
Fun With Veo 3 and Media Generation
Dating Roundup #5: Opening Day
Claude 4 You: The Quest for Mundane Utility
Claude 4 You: Safety and Alignment
AI #117: OpenAI Buys Device Maker IO
Google I/O Day
The Codex of Ultimate Vibing
America Makes AI Chip Diffusion Deal with UAE and KSA
Regarding South Africa
AI #116: If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
Fighting Obvious Nonsense About AI Diffusion
Monthly Roundup #30: May 2025
A Live Look at the Senate AI Hearing
Cheaters Gonna Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat Cheat
AI #115: The Evil Applications Division
OpenAI Claims Nonprofit Will Retain Nominal Control
Zuckerberg's Dystopian AI Vision
GPT-4o Sycophancy Post Mortem
OpenAI Preparedness Framework 2.0
AI #114: Liars, Sycophants and Cheaters
GPT-4o Responds to Negative Feedback
Dating Roundup #4: An App for That
GPT-4o Is An Absurd Sycophant
Worries About AI Are Usually Complements Not Substitutes
AI #113: The o3 Era Begins
o3 Is a Lying Liar
You Better Mechanize
Crime and Punishment #1
o3 Will Use Its Tools For You
AI #112: Release the Everything
GPT-4.1 Is a Mini Upgrade
OpenAI #13: Altman at TED and OpenAI Cutting Corners on Safety Testing
Monthly Roundup #29: April 2025
On Google's Safety Plan
AI #111: Giving Us Pause
Llama Does Not Look Good 4 Anything
AI 2027: Responses
AI 2027: Dwarkesh's Podcast with Daniel Kokotajlo and Scott Alexander
AI CoT Reasoning Is Often Unfaithful
AI #110: Of Course You Know...
More Fun With GPT-4o Image Generation
Housing Roundup #11
OpenAI #12: Battle of the Board Redux
Gemini 2.5 is the New SoTA
AI #109: Google Fails Marketing Forever
Fun With GPT-4o Image Generation
On (Not) Feeling the AGI
More on Various AI Action Plans
They Took MY Job?
AI #108: Straight Line on a Graph
Going Nova
OpenAI #11: America Action Plan
Monthly Roundup #28: March 2025
On MAIM and Superintelligence Strategy
AI #107: The Misplaced Hype Machine
The Most Forbidden Technique
Response to Scott Alexander on Imprisonment
The Manus Marketing Madness
Childhood and Education #9: School is Hell
AI #106: Not so Fast
On OpenAI's Safety and Alignment Philosophy
On Writing #1
On GPT-4.5
On Emergent Misalignment
AI #105: Hey There Alexa
Time to Welcome Claude 3.7
Economics Roundup #5
Grok Grok
On OpenAI's Model Spec 2.0
AI #104: American State Capacity on the Brink
Go Grok Yourself
Medical Roundup #4
Monthly Roundup #27: February 2025
The Mask Comes Off: A Trio of Tales
AI #103: Show Me the Money
The Paris AI Anti-Safety Summit
On Deliberative Alignment
Levels of Friction
On the Meta and DeepMind Safety Frameworks
AI #102: Made in America
The Risk of Gradual Disempowerment from AI
We're in Deep Research
o3-mini Early Days
DeepSeek: Don't Panic
AI #101: The Shallow End
DeepSeek: Lemon, It's Wednesday
Operator
DeepSeek Panic at the App Store
Stargate AI-1
AI #100: Meet the New Boss
On DeepSeek's r1
Sleep, Diet, Exercise and GLP-1 Drugs
Monthly Roundup #26: January 2025
Meta Pivots on Content Moderation
AI #99: Farewell to Biden
On the OpenAI Economic Blueprint
NYC Congestion Pricing: Early Days
Zvi's 2024 In Movies
On Dwarkesh Patel's 4th Podcast With Tyler Cowen
AI #98: World Ends With Six Word Story
Classic Episode - Book Review: Going Infinite
OpenAI #10: Reflections
Childhood and Education #8: Dealing with the Internet
AI #97: 4
DeepSeek v3: The Six Million Dollar Model
o3, Oh My
AI #96: o3 But Not Yet For Thee
AIs Will Increasingly Fake Alignment
Monthly Roundup #25: December 2024
AI #95: o1 Joins the API
A Matter of Taste
The Second Gemini
AIs Will Increasingly Attempt Shenanigans
The o1 System Card Is Not About o1
AI #94: Not Now, Google
o1 Turns Pro
Childhood and Education Roundup #7
AI #93: Happy Tuesday
Balsa Research 2024 Update
Fertility Roundup #4
The Big Nonprofits Post
AI #92: Behind the Curve
Repeal the Jones Act of 1920
AI #91: Deep Thinking
Zvi's Thoughts on His 2nd Round of SFF
Monthly Roundup #24: November 2024
AI #90: The Wall
The Online Sports Gambling Experiment Has Failed
AI #89: Trump Card
AI #88: Thanks for the Memos
Occupational Licensing Roundup #1
Housing Roundup #10
AI #87: Staying in Character
Claude Sonnet 3.5.1 and Haiku 3.5
The Mask Comes Off: At What Price?
AI #86: Just Think of the Potential
Monthly Roundup #23: October 2024
Economics Roundup #4
AI #85: AI Wins the Nobel Prize
Joshua Achiam Public Statement Analysis
NEPA, Permitting and Energy #1
AI #84: Better Than a Podcast
Newsom Vetoes SB 1047
Book Review: On the Edge: The Future
AI #83: The Mask Comes Off
Book Review: On the Edge: The Business
Book Review: On the Edge: The Gamblers
Book Review: On the Edge: The Fundamentals
AI #82: The Governor Ponders
Monthly Roundup #22: September 2024
GPT-o1
AI #81: Alpha Proteo
AI #80: Never Will It Ever
AI and the Technological Richter Scale
On the UBI Paper
AI #79: Ready for Some Football
SB 1047: Final Takes and Also AB 3211
AI #78: Some Welcome Calm
Guide to SB 1047
Monthly Roundup #21: August 2024
AI #77: A Few Upgrades
Danger, AI Scientist, Danger
AI #76: Six Short Stories About OpenAI
Startup Roundup #2
AI #75: Math Is Easier
RTFB: California's AB 3211
AI #74: GPT-4o Mini Me and Llama 3
Llama Llama-3-405B?
Monthly Roundup #20: July 2024
On the CrowdStrike Incident
AI #73: Openly Evil AI