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Interest Rates in an Early Spring

EPISODE · Feb 22, 2021 · 7 MIN

Interest Rates in an Early Spring

from Notes on the Week Ahead · host Dr. David Kelly

Long-term interest rates have risen sharply in 2021 so far, with the yield on the 10-year Treasury bond climbing from 0.93% on January 4th to 1.34% by last Friday.  This move is a logical reaction to better news on the pandemic, encouraging data on how the economy has weathered an early-winter surge in covid cases, and rising prospects for significant fiscal stimulus.  However, given this positive news flow, the bond market may have under-reacted so far, suggesting that investors need to be positioned for further increases in rates as economic springtime turns to summer.

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Interest Rates in an Early Spring

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