“And so that would be kind of like a vague prior. And then…” — Dwarkesh Podcast at 1:19:16
“And so that would be kind of like a vague prior. And then when we take into account, like, well, how quickly are we running through those orders of magnitude? If I have a uniform prior, I assign half of my weight to the first half of remaining orders of magnitude. And we're going to run through those over the next 10…”
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