Money on the Mic

Welcome back to Money on the Mic. In episode five, Darren and Brodie sit down on the day of an RBA meeting to discuss the immediate impact of interest rate hikes and the shifting tide of market sentiment in the Australian property sector.THE BREAKDOWNThis week, the team explores the "feathers in the wind" nature of economic forecasting, noting how quickly the national narrative flipped from predicting 2026 rate cuts to bracing for multiple hikes. Darren and Brodie debate what happens if we have finally hit the peak of the rate cycle and why waiting for the "perfect time" to buy often leads to missing the boat. They dive into why smart investors often act during periods of "good chaos" and high fear, capitalizing on reduced competition at open homes before the media narrative inevitably flips and triggers a fresh wave of FOMO.In this episode, we chat about:The RBA Meeting: Analyzing the 90% probability of a rate hike and what it means for the immediate future.The Sentiment Flip: How market expectations moved from three rate cuts to three rate rises in just a matter of months.Discussing the most hawkish big-bank projection of a 4.85% cash rate by August.Buyer Hesitation: Why sitting on the sidelines during budget season and rate cycles can be a strategic error.A look back at how bank predictions during COVID were off by as much as 65%.Migration Records: The fundamental impact of 3,000 migrants arriving per day and the resulting pressure on supply.The Winner's Circle: Why those who get their finance ready and act during uncertainty are positioned to flourish.CHAPTERS00:00 Intro: The RBA Context 01:40 Sentiment vs. Reality04:00 One Bank’s Hawkish Projection06:42 The End of Financial Year09:21 The "Once Bitten, Twice Shy" Buyer11:40 The Disagreement: FOMO14:40 Winners and Losers18:00 A History of Wrong Predictions21:00 Advice for Active Buyers23:35 The Long-Term View26:00  OutroCONNECT WITH FUNDDSubscribe and follow the podcast for weekly deep dives into the Australian lending landscape.Got a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-finance-aus/?viewAsMember=true This podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.All information is correct at the time of filming.

Welcome back episode four of Money on the Mic. Darren and Brodie dive into the upcoming federal budget and the potential tax reforms that could reshape the landscape for Australian property investors. From negative gearing limits to Capital Gains Tax overhaul, Brodie and Daz break down what these changes might actually mean for the market.They explore how these tax changes could inadvertently spark a spike in rents as landlords look to offset costs, and why the "contrarian" approach - buying when everyone else is tentative - might be the smartest move for long-term investors.THE BREAKDOWNBudget Speculation: Analyzing the rumors surrounding Labour’s upcoming property tax shakeup.The CGT Discount: What happens if the 50% discount is reduced to 25% or 30% across all capital assets.Negative Gearing Limits: The flow-down effect of limiting tax incentives to only two investment properties.Rent Spikes: Why experts warn that tax overhauls could lead to a significant increase in weekly rental costs.The Under-Supply Issue: Why tax reform won't fix the shortage of physical "roofs over heads".Stamp Duty vs. Speculation: Brodie’s take on why abolishing stamp duty is a more effective solution for housing mobility.Migration and AI: How record net migration and the rise of AI agents are complicating the planning and construction sectors.Airbnb and Short-Term Rentals: Listener comment: whether short-stay accommodation is the primary cause of the long-term rental shortage.SOURCESAbolishing capital gains tax: Landlords could face huge tax hit under Labor budget shake-upProperty tax overhaul could spark 30 percent rent spike, real estate boss warnsCONNECT WITH FUNDDSubscribe and follow the podcast for weekly deep dives into the Australian lending landscape.Got a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-finance-aus/?viewAsMember=trueThis podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.All information is correct at the time of filming.

Welcome back to Money on the Mic. In episode three, Darren and Brodie tackle the controversial question on everyone's mind: Are we in a housing bubble? As global tensions shift and technology rapidly advances, the team explores whether the Australian property market is due for a burst or a steady plateau.THE BREAKDOWNThis week, the guys debate the stability of the Australian housing market from two different angles. Brodie argues why the current lack of supply, record-low vacancy rates, and high rental yields mean we aren't in a bubble, but rather a market simply meeting demand. On the flip side, Darren looks at the "unhinging" factors that could cause a correction, including the rising impact of AI on the workforce, potential policy changes to negative gearing, and the cooling sentiment in major hubs like Sydney and Melbourne. Whether you believe a crash is coming or growth is permanent, this episode provides the data-driven context you need to understand the 2026 landscape.In this episode, we chat about:The Bubble Debate: Why the detachment from market fundamentals is the key indicator of a bubble.Supply vs. Demand: How record-low listings and migration are propping up property values.AI and Employment: Why the rapid adaptation of AI agents could be the "undersold" risk to the property market.Negative Gearing: The potential fallout if policy changes are tabled in the next election.State vs. State: Why WA and QLD are expected to remain strong while Sydney and Melbourne face downward pressure.CHAPTERS01:33 Brodie’s case: Why Australia is not in a housing bubble02:20 What a real housing bubble usually looks like06:14 Why housing supply is still not catching up07:45 Darren’s case: What could actually pull the market down08:20 Risk 1: Rising unemployment and underemployment09:42 How AI could start changing jobs and borrowing power10:41 Risk 2: Policy changes like negative gearing14:03 Risk 3: Higher construction costs and weaker borrowing capacity16:56 Net migration and how population growth keeps pressure on housing18:13 Why theory and reality often don’t match in property markets19:39 Would negative gearing changes really burst the bubble?24:36 Why Sydney and Melbourne stay expensive26:18 12-month property market predictionsCONNECT WITH FUNDDGot a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-finance-aus/?viewAsMember=trueThis podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.All information is correct at the time of filming.

In episode two of Money on the Mic, Darren and Brodie dive deep into the world of fixed rates, split lending, and the hidden costs of breaking a mortgage contract. With the Australian economy facing significant uncertainty and shifting inflation data, understanding how to structure your loan is more important than ever.THE BREAKDOWNThe psychological and financial battle of fixing your mortgage in a high-rate environment is real. We move past the surface-level news to explain why "certainty" often comes with a premium and why the biggest mistake borrowers make isn't the rate they choose, but failing to account for their future plans. Whether you are looking to hedge your bets with a split loan or wondering why the bank won't let you use an offset account on a fixed sub-account, this episode covers the essential mechanics of modern lending.In this episode, we chat about:The Fuel Update: A quick look at how the recent fuel excise halving is impacting the broader economy since our last discussion.Fixed vs. Variable: Why fixed rates are currently higher than variable rates and the psychological shift for borrowers in 2026.The Split Strategy: How to spread your risk by dividing your loan between fixed certainty and variable flexibility.Best Interest Duty: The legal difference between walking into a bank branch versus working with a broker who is mandated to put your needs first.Global Comparisons: Why does America have 30-year fixed rates while Australia remains limited to five-year terms?CHAPTERS00:00 – Welcome back to episode two02:20 – The fuel excise halving: What it actually means for the 2026 market.03:55 – Comparing COVID-era rates to today’s lending landscape.08:55 – Risk profiles: When the peace of mind of a fixed rate is worth the extra cost.14:41 – The math of rate cuts: Why waiting for the RBA might be a losing game.18:00 – Split lending 101: How to find the middle ground for your portfolio.22:50 – Offset accounts and fixed rate limitations.31:12 – Break costs explained: The $40k mistake you need to avoid.34:50 – Fiduciary duty: Why your bank employee isn't necessarily your advocate.37:55 – The US vs. Australia: The ludicrous reality of 30-year fixed loans.41:00 – Rate Lock Fees: How to guarantee your rate before settlement.CONNECT WITH FUNDDSubscribe and follow the podcast for weekly deep dives into the Australian lending landscape.Got a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-f...This podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.

This first episode of Money on the Mic tackles a massive shift in the property market that the mainstream media isn't talking about. While everyone is talking about interest rates, Darren and Brodie look "under the hood" at the real engine of the Australian economy: fuel and logistics.If you’ve been wondering why your building quotes are skyrocketing or why your pre-approval suddenly buys you less house, this episode connects the dots between the conflict in Iran and your front door.The BreakdownIn this debut episode, we discuss the "undersold" impact of the Iran War. We move past the fear-mongering to look at the cold, hard facts of how fuel costs flow through to property prices, construction, and your borrowing capacity.Trucks Drive Australia: Why fuel is a "hidden tax" on every single asset in the country.The Construction Crunch: A deep dive into why PVC, timber, and trades are seeing 15–30% price hikes.The Borrowing Gap: Real-world examples of how a rate rise can strip down borrowing power just like that.State of the Nation: Why Victoria is feeling the pinch while QLD and WA remain the "optimistic" frontiers.First Home Buyer Survival: Is the Australian Dream dead, or just changing? We discuss Rentvesting, Co-buying, and the "Building Up" shift.Episode Chapters00:40 – Intro: The first episode of Money on the Mic.01:45 – The Iran Conflict: Why this impact is "Undersold."03:53 – Logistics 101: Why fuel is the most important variable in the Aussie economy.06:00 – Market Sentiment: The divide between Melbourne, Sydney, and the West.08:30 – The RBA’s Hammer: How inflation forces the hand of interest rates.10:30 – The $100k Borrowing Hit: A cautionary tale for pre-approved buyers.15:00 – Regional vs. High-Density: Where is the "answer" for first-time buyers?23:15 – The 30% Construction Spike: Why PVC and plumbing just got expensive.33:50 – Strategy Shift: Rentvesting and buying with friends.40:00 – Final Thoughts: Why you need to talk to a broker before you give up.Connect with FunddSubscribe and follow the podcast for weekly deep dives into the Australian lending landscape.Got a question? Drop it in the comments below or reach out to the team via our website https://fundd.com.au/contact/.Follow us on Socials:Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/fundd.com.auInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/fundd.com.au/Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/control-finance-aus/?viewAsMember=trueThis podcast provides general information only and has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend that you consider whether it is appropriate for your circumstances and your full financial situation will need to be reviewed prior to acceptance of any offer or product. It does not constitute legal, tax or financial advice and you should always seek professional advice in relation to your individual circumstances.