“1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April” by belikewater, Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 27, 2025 · 7 MIN

“1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April” by belikewater, Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur

from Sentinel Minutes

Sentinel forecasters jointly estimate that there is a 36% chance (range, 25%-60%) that the US will launch airstrikes against nuclear weapons program facilities in Iran by the end of April, starting most likely between April 10 and April 25 and ending likely before May 1. The US military is bringing approximately six B-2 stealth bombers to a joint US-UK military base on Diego Garcia, an island in the Indian Ocean that is well-positioned for staging attacks on either Yemen or Iran. The B-2 bomber is one of the only US military aircraft capable of carrying the GBU-57A/B MOP, the largest of the US "bunker buster" bombs that can penetrate fortified underground facilities; it can also drop a wide range of other bombs, including smaller bunker busters. In addition, three C-17 cargo aircraft have flown to Diego Garcia to support the B-2s, and one to support KC-135 Stratotankers that refuel [...] --- First published: March 27th, 2025 Source: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/1-in-3-chance-of-us-to-strike-iran --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

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“1 in 3 chance that US will strike Iran by end of April” by belikewater, Nuño Sempere, Vidur Kapur

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Sentinel forecasters jointly estimate that there is a 36% chance (range, 25%-60%) that the US will launch airstrikes against nuclear weapons program facilities in Iran by the end of April, starting most likely between April 10 and April 25 and...

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