EPISODE · Jun 22, 2026 · 6 MIN
260622-短期美联储鹰派立场最大利空
from 蘸糖金闻-黄金追踪分析 · host Monica.D.S
核心宏观指标 指标 当前值 对黄金影响 美元指数 DXY100.76-100.85⚠️ 创年内新高, 52周高101.13 VIX恐慌指数16.78大幅回落, 避险需求降温 10年期美债收益率~4.49%⚠️ 高位, 增加持有成本 联邦基金利率3.50-3.75%6月FOMC维持不变, 但释放鹰派信号 加息概率 (10月)42.1% 概率至3.75-4.00%88.2%概率年底前至少加息1次 USD/CNY~6.9人民币贬值支撑国内金价 美国5月CPI仍高于4%通胀高企, 支持加息预期 Au99.99 (上金所)938.48 (6月17日收盘)周一预计补跌至915-925 关键驱动因素 美联储鹰派超预期 (最大利空) 美伊谈判出现变数 美元强势创年内新高 央行购金加速 (唯一多头支撑)
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