EPISODE · Jun 30, 2026 · 5 MIN
260630-四重利空共振,反弹空间有限
from 蘸糖金闻-黄金追踪分析 · host Monica.D.S
宏观指标 指标 当前值 6月29日参考值 变化方向 VIX 恐慌指数18.5218.41↑ 小幅回升但仍处低位 DXY 美元指数101.63101.37↑ 持续走强 10Y美债收益率4.42%4.38%↑ 上升 10Y TIPS 实际利率2.18%2.16%↑ 上升 联邦基金利率3.50%-3.75%3.50%-3.75%不变 USD/CNY6.806.80稳定 9月加息概率~60%~60%维持高位 Au99.99（6月26日收盘）883.70+8.75（+1.00%） XAU/USD 现货实时$4,024-1.6%（日），盘中低点$4,000.43 美联储鹰派转向（最大利空） 地缘政治溢价消退 美元持续走强 黄金ETF持续流出 央行购金加速（最大利多）
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260630-四重利空共振,反弹空间有限
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