EPISODE · Jul 9, 2026 · 4 MIN
260709-尴尬避险,战争来了黄金跌了
from 蘸糖金闻-黄金追踪分析 · host Monica.D.S
关键宏观指标 指标当前值方向对黄金影响 美元指数 DXY101.10-101.20走强🔴 利空 10 年期美债收益率4.50-4.585%两周新高🔴 利空 30 年期美债收益率5.081%突破 5%🔴 利空 WTI 原油$74.50-75.30+5-7%🔴 通胀→加息预期 9 月加息概率（CME）63-69%上升🔴 利空 VIX 恐慌指数~31高位🟡 中性 美伊冲突：从"避险利好"转为"通胀利空" 美联储 6 月纪要：鹰派信号明确 央行购金：结构性托底 机构目标下调
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260709-尴尬避险,战争来了黄金跌了
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