EPISODE · Jul 28, 2026 · 6 MIN
260728-多空博弈,即将突破
from 蘸糖金闻-黄金追踪分析 · host Monica.D.S
关键指标汇总 指标 当前值 状态 影响 国际金价 (XAU/USD)4,083距历史高点回调27%，美伊停火后跳空高开🟢 短期反弹 国内金价 (Au99.99)~891 元/克跟随国际反弹🟢 短期反弹 VIX 恐慌指数~18.58中性偏低🟡 避险情绪稳定 美元指数 (DXY)~101.1走软 (-0.3%)🟢 利好金价 10年期美债收益率4.63%高位回落 (-4bp)🟢 短期利好 10年期 TIPS 实际利率~2.38%高位⚠️ 仍压制金价 Brent 原油92.27美元/桶暴跌4.7%🟢 通胀预期降温 美联储加息概率 (7月)~33%维持利率为主🟡 中性 美联储加息概率 (9月)~76%偏鹰⚠️ 中期压制 COMEX 净多单+124,8316个月100%分位🟢 投机情绪回暖 地缘政治：美伊停火——短期最大变量 宏观面：高利率仍是主要压制 技术面：底部震荡筑底阶段
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260728-多空博弈,即将突破
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