5-4-26 Summer Sell-Off Risk Rising

Markets have pushed higher, but underlying risks are beginning to build as we head into the summer months. From stretched valuations and overbought technical conditions to seasonal weakness and shifting liquidity, investors may be facing a more challenging environment than recent gains suggest. Lance Roberts breaks down the key signals pointing to a potential summer sell-off, including market breadth, momentum, and the impact of earnings season winding down. We also discuss how buybacks, economic data, and Federal Reserve policy could influence the next move in stocks, and whether any pullback would represent a healthy reset or something more significant. Key topics include: 0:00 - INTRO 0:56 - Launching Month of May - Manufacturing Numbers review 4:42 - Ongoing Update on Strait of Hormuz 6:02 - Trim Risk Now 10:43 - Chat Rebuttal: Why the market doesn't care about ongoing "war..." 13:45 - Why Summer Correction Risk is Rising 15:45 - Market Breadth Continues to Deteriorate 17:33 - New York Advance/Decline Line Breadth Metric 18:32 - Market Volatility 20:21 - Summer Seasonality is a Real Thing 23:57 - Market Performance in Mid-term Election Years 25:46 - Updated Outlook for Oil Prices 28:54 - How to Navigate Markets Now 32:12 - The Robot Economy & The Minimum Wage 37:48 - The Conundrum of the K-Shaped Economy & Wealth Divide 40:43 - You CAN Be Replaced - Jobs at Risk 42:04 - What You Can Do About It 44:35 - Invest today in the companies of tomorrow Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/h2Bku-whRmY ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Markets Near Peak - Pullback Risk Rising," here: https://youtu.be/OBGLWIvsGZI ------- Watch our previous show, "Gray Divorce: Social Security Secrets," https://youtube.com/live/rXi5IdkLNRM ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Resources Mentioned in Today's Show: "Hormuz: Why Markets Are Shrugging Off The Oil Shock" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/hormuz-why-markets-are-shrugging-off-the-oil-shock/ "The Dollar’s Funeral Keeps Getting Rescheduled" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-dollars-funeral-keeps-getting-rescheduled/ ------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarket #MarketPullback #InvestingStrategy #RiskManagement #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketOutlook #Investing #MarketVolatility