AI Can't Pick Winners... Here's What It CAN Do | Presented by ProphetX episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 8, 2026 · 20 MIN

AI Can't Pick Winners... Here's What It CAN Do | Presented by ProphetX

from Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts · host The Hammer Betting Network

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder, and a data scientist that does the labor while you bring the judgment. Rob walks through a real example from the World Cup, where he built an expected goals model with AI, ran a Poisson distribution across dozens of markets, and found a spot where his numbers diverged from the market by 4% — including exactly how that bet turned out and why the result doesn't matter as much as the process. If you've ever asked ChatGPT or Claude for picks, this video will change how you think about AI in betting for good. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 🔴 Why Betting Without Watching The Market Is A Mistake : https://youtu.be/ZhNnPtayBoM 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - The Dumbest Way to Use AI in Betting 0:48 - The Two Camps 1:59 - Quick Context 2:55 - What AI is Actually Good For 4:24 - Example 1: Coding & Datasets 7:12 - Example 2: Automation & Time 9:22 - Sponsored by ProphetX 10:47 - The World Cup Bet 14:15 - Is This Model Even Good Enough? 16:54 - What NOT to Do 18:05 - How Are You Using AI? 18:28 - The Bottom Line Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #SportsBetting #AIBetting #ChatGPT #Claude #PredictionMarkets #ProphetX #BettingStrategy #BettingTips #WorldCupBetting #RobPizzola #CirclesOff #TheHammer #SportsBettingAI #BettingModel #Gambling Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder, and a data scientist that does the labor while you bring the judgment. Rob walks through a real example from the World Cup, where he built an expected goals model with AI, ran a Poisson distribution across dozens of markets, and found a spot where his numbers diverged from the market by 4% — including exactly how that bet turned out and why the result doesn't matter as much as the process. If you've ever asked ChatGPT or Claude for picks, this video will change how you think about AI in betting for good. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 🔴 Why Betting Without Watching The Market Is A Mistake : https://youtu.be/ZhNnPtayBoM 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - The Dumbest Way to Use AI in Betting 0:48 - The Two Camps 1:59 - Quick Context 2:55 - What AI is Actually Good For 4:24 - Example 1: Coding & Datasets 7:12 - Example 2: Automation & Time 9:22 - Sponsored by ProphetX 10:47 - The World Cup Bet 14:15 - Is This Model Even Good Enough? 16:54 - What NOT to Do 18:05 - How Are You Using AI? 18:28 - The Bottom Line Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #SportsBetting #AIBetting #ChatGPT #Claude #PredictionMarkets #ProphetX #BettingStrategy #BettingTips #WorldCupBetting #RobPizzola #CirclesOff #TheHammer #SportsBettingAI #BettingModel #Gambling Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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AI Can't Pick Winners... Here's What It CAN Do | Presented by ProphetX

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Frequently Asked Questions

How long is this episode of Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts?

This episode is 20 minutes long.

When was this Circles Off - Sports Betting Podcasts episode published?

This episode was published on July 8, 2026.

What is this episode about?

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder,...

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