EPISODE · Apr 12, 2026 · 8 MIN
AI is so 2025 if prediction markets get their way
from On the Fringe · host Dave and Gavin
This week, Polymarket and Kalshi are going to court in California to sort out whether or not the federal government or individual states have jurisdiction over them….and Donald Trump Jr. (a prominent investor/advisor to both and an actual board member of Kalshi) finds out whether or not he’s hit the jackpot.This ruling will affect national security concerns, sports, celebrities, elections, and other events, big and small, worldwide. How do governments try to figure out how to regulate betting on whether the sun comes up tomorrow? We don’t know—and if you have any ideas, shoot us an email!Here is our episode about how prediction markets have already impacted the US and Israeli conflict with Iran
What this episode covers
This week, Polymarket and Kalshi are going to court in California to sort out whether or not the federal government or individual states have jurisdiction over them….and Donald Trump Jr. (a prominent investor/advisor to both and an actual board member of Kalshi) finds out whether or not he’s hit the jackpot.This ruling will affect national security concerns, sports, celebrities, elections, and other events, big and small, worldwide. How do governments try to figure out how to regulate betting on whether the sun comes up tomorrow? We don’t know—and if you have any ideas, shoot us an email!Here is our episode about how prediction markets have already impacted the US and Israeli conflict with Iran
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AI is so 2025 if prediction markets get their way
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