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Sep 1, 2026 26 min

Back to school

from Macro Minutes

As summer ends, financial markets face a crucial semester ahead. The next Fed meeting looms large and the path to hikes runs squarely through inflation, with or without, Warsh’s blessing. Until there is sustained progress on price pressures, market expectations will be sticky for pricing hikes. US-Canada trade tensions have escalated but the Canadian economy has managed past tariffs well and has fiscal space and flexibility to ride it out. Sustained above trend growth is required for the BoC to hike. The ECB will surely hike in September, but will they do more after that? The UK budget promises revelations on fiscal policy that could reshape the outlook for yields. Tune in to hear RBC's macro experts discusses these topics and related market themes. Blake Gwinn (Desk Strategy), Head of US Rates Strategy Jason Daw (Desk Strategy), Head of North America Rates Strategy Peter Schaffrik (Desk Strategy), Head of UK/European Rates & Economics * Research Analyst opinions are their published views, independent of those expressed by Desk Analysts

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Back to school

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