Bitcoin Drops as Yields Crash: What the Fed Will Do Next episode artwork

EPISODE · Aug 2, 2025 · 16 MIN

Bitcoin Drops as Yields Crash: What the Fed Will Do Next

from The Bitcoin Layer · host Nik Bhatia

In this episode, Nik breaks down the sharp drop in U.S. Treasury yields following weaker employment data and explains why the bond market is now pricing in imminent Fed rate cuts. He walks through the two-year yield signal, the Fed’s neutral rate dilemma, and why inflation normalization is shifting the policy conversation. Nik also unpacks the latest moves in the dollar, recession signals from ISM data, and how these macro shifts are impacting Bitcoin’s consolidation around $108,000. The update includes a deep dive on the TBL Liquidity Index and the volatility components now driving risk asset repricing.📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch⛓️ ₿lock Height 908187⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: [email protected] Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcCreative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrballResearcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschattLead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.

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In this episode, Nik breaks down the sharp drop in U.S. Treasury yields following weaker employment data and explains why the bond market is now pricing in imminent Fed rate cuts. He walks through the two-year yield signal, the Fed’s neutral rate dilemma, and why inflation normalization is shifting the policy conversation. Nik also unpacks the latest moves in the dollar, recession signals from ISM data, and how these macro shifts are impacting Bitcoin’s consolidation around $108,000. The update includes a deep dive on the TBL Liquidity Index and the volatility components now driving risk asset repricing.

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Bitcoin Drops as Yields Crash: What the Fed Will Do Next

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