EPISODE · Dec 19, 2025 · 57 MIN
BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE NEVER EXISTED | Next Bubble 2027 w/ Stephen Perrenod
from The Bitcoin Layer · host Nik Bhatia, Stephen Perrenod
In this episode, Nik sits down with astrophysicist and mathematician Dr. Stephen Perrenod to break down Bitcoin’s power law, bubble behavior, and why the familiar four year cycle framework no longer holds. They explore how Bitcoin trades relative to long term trend, why volatility is structurally declining, and how new tiers of capital shape bubble timing through log periodic behavior. Stephen explains why 2025 was not supposed to produce a bubble, why 2021 was a harmonic rather than a peak, and why the next major Bitcoin bubble may arrive closer to 2027 as deeper capital pools emerge.Other Episodes: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ugQEEM06ZfEhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RUxuuibXQG4📚 Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H📊 The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube.📚 Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe🎧 Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform.📱 Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer📩 Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial🧢 Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch⛓️ ₿lock Height 928587⚡ Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: [email protected] Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtcResearcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschattLead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice.
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In this episode, Nik sits down with astrophysicist and mathematician Dr. Stephen Perrenod to break down Bitcoin’s power law, bubble behavior, and why the familiar four year cycle framework no longer holds. They explore how Bitcoin trades relative to long term trend, why volatility is structurally declining, and how new tiers of capital shape bubble timing through log periodic behavior. Stephen explains why 2025 was not supposed to produce a bubble, why 2021 was a harmonic rather than a peak, and why the next major Bitcoin bubble may arrive closer to 2027 as deeper capital pools emerge.
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BITCOIN’S 4-YEAR CYCLE NEVER EXISTED | Next Bubble 2027 w/ Stephen Perrenod
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