British GP 2026: Leclerc Wins as Penalties Steal the Show

After nailing our predictions in Austria, our model had a much rougher time at Silverstone — and so did the bookmakers. But there's a receipt worth reading: once you strip out the three DNFs and Antonelli's broken-car heartbreak, our post-qualifying model actually called the finishing order more accurately than the market did. The chaos hurt everyone; the underlying read held up. We get into the ongoing challenges this new regulation era poses — to our model and to the F1 teams themselves — and look ahead to what Spa might have in store. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit overtakemode.substack.com