China AI, Leverage & War See Markets Head Lower episode artwork

EPISODE · Jul 19, 2026 · 10 MIN

China AI, Leverage & War See Markets Head Lower

from MPC Markets Morning Call · host MPC Markets

Buy the Dip: https://mpcinvest.co/BuytheDipChina's Moonshot AI drops its Kimi K3 — a 2.8 trillion parameter model already beating top US large language models — and markets aren't taking it well. The SOX semiconductor index hit bear market territory (down 21-22% from its high), triple-leveraged semiconductor ETFs have lost more than half their value since June, and FINRA margin debt has surged from $1T to $1.4T in six months. That leverage could snowball.Meanwhile, US-Iran tensions are escalating sharply — two US soldiers killed over the weekend, oil shipping traffic near zero, US reserves at 40-year lows, and Brent crude up ~3% on the open. Not a great cocktail for risk assets.In this episode Mark Gardner covers:– Why the Kimi K3 model matters and what it signals about China closing the AI gap– Leveraged ETF and margin debt warning signs– US-Iran escalation, oil reserves, and the crude price outlook– Gold, silver, lithium, and uranium positioning– Earnings week preview: Alphabet, Tesla, Intel, RTX, Freeport-McMoRan, Eli Lilly– Australian employment data and flash PMIs– The MPC "Buy the Dip" S&P 500 strategy for volatile markets🎧 Subscribe to Bulls vs Bears: mpcmarkets.com.au/podcast📈 Buy the Dip strategy: mpcinvest.co/bythedip#markets #AI #semiconductors #oil #investing #morningcall #mpcmarkets

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China AI, Leverage & War See Markets Head Lower

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