Ep. 397: Risk Management in BJJ, feat. Jake Luigi

This week, we're joined again by Jake Luigi! Jake is a jiu-jitsu analyst who made his name studying professional match footage, and he runs OutlierDB, an analytics database for grappling. In this episode, Jake lays out a three-part framework for managing risk: name the worst-case scenario, watch for the key indicators that it's coming, and only attack hard once those indicators are in your favor. Topics include: risk-reward analysis, points of control, grip fighting, terminal positions, and Goodhart's Law.Subscribe to Less Impressed More Involved on YouTube:https://www.youtube.com/@LIMIBJJCheck out OutlierDB:https://outlierdb.comMental models discussed in this episode:Return on Investmenthttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/return-on-investmentBuilding Your Triggershttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/building-your-triggersDouble Troublehttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/double-troubleCognitive Loadhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/cognitive-loadConstraints-Led Approachhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/constraints-led-approachAvailability Heuristichttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/availability-heuristicPoints of Controlhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/points-of-controlTerminal Positionshttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/terminal-positionsInvariantshttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/invariantsGrips Dictate Positionhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/grips-dictate-positionKuzushihttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/kuzushiRotational Controlhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/rotational-controlGoodhart's Lawhttps://bjjmentalmodels.com/goodharts-law⬆️ LEVEL UP with BJJ Mental Models Premium!The world's LARGEST library of jiu-jitsu audio lessons, our complete podcast network, online coaching, and much more! Your first week is free:https://bjjmentalmodels.comNeed more BJJ Mental Models?Get the legendary BJJMM newsletter:https://bjjmentalmodels.com/newsletterLearn more mental models in our online database:https://bjjmentalmodels.com/databaseFollow us on social:https://instagram.com/bjjmentalmodelshttps://threads.com/@bjjmentalmodelshttps://bjjmentalmodels.bsky.socialhttps://youtube.com/@bjjmentalmodelsMusic by Enterprize:https://enterprize.bandcamp.com