EPISODE · Jul 10, 2026 · 39 MIN
Ep 71 - Is China quietly beginning to deleverage?
from The Trivium China Podcast · host Trivium China
China’s economy has lost momentum after a surprisingly strong start to the year.But while many analysts are asking why Beijing isn’t doing more to stimulate growth, this week’s Trivium China Podcast explores a different question: why are policymakers deliberately choosing not to?Pod host Andrew Polk is joined by Trivium’s Head of Markets Research Dinny McMahon to examine why Beijing may be quietly embarking on its first genuine economy-wide deleveraging effort in years, and what that could mean for China’s growth model.The two discuss:Why recent weakness in investment, consumption, and the property sector won’t trigger a major stimulus packageWhether Beijing’s annual fiscal "stimulus" has become more theater than meaningful economic supportHow slowing credit growth could signal a deliberate shift in macroeconomic strategyWhy strong exports and rising inflation may have created a rare opportunity to reduce leverageWhy policymakers appear to be prioritizing future borrowing capacity over stronger short-term growthAndrew and Dinny also explore what slower credit growth means for businesses and investors and how Beijing's evolving priorities could complicate trade negotiations with Europe and other major trade partners.
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China’s economy has lost momentum after a surprisingly strong start to the year. But while many analysts are asking why Beijing isn’t doing more to stimulate growth, this week’s Trivium China Podcast explores a different question: why are policymakers deliberately choosing not to?Pod host Andrew Polk is joined by Trivium’s Head of Markets Research Dinny McMahon to examine why Beijing may be quietly embarking on its first genuine economy-wide deleveraging effort in years, and what that could m...
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Ep 71 - Is China quietly beginning to deleverage?
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