EP1: The 4 Forces That Move Every Market Cycle

I've spent years studying market cycles.The honest truth is that most investors lose money not because they don't know enough but because they focus on ONE force while 3 others are moving silently in the background.Here are the 4 forces that move EVERY market cycle:1. LIQUIDITY - Central bank policy controls the cost of money. And the cost of money controls everything. Delayed repo cuts. JP Morgan confirmed 70% of Central banks went from cutting to holding. 2. EARNINGS - Liquidity inflates the balloon. Earnings decide if it grows or pops. Currently in April 2026 we have mixed signals. Watch the revision cycle, not the reported number.3. GEOPOLITICS - The longest cycle and the most dangerous when ignored. Currently in April 2026 we have got Middle East crisis, oil above $100. India is simultaneously a victim (imported inflation) and a beneficiary (supply chain pivot).4. SENTIMENT - The most irrational force. And the most predictable at extremes. CUrrently Fear is dominant in market. FIIs selling in every session. DIIs buying. History says this is a setup, not a collapse.The rule I use:Sentiment gives you the ENTRY.Liquidity gives you the DIRECTION.Geopolitics sets the SIZE LIMIT.Earnings CONFIRMS the thesis.The full framework - 100 years of history, the interaction matrix, and the complete April 2026 positioning playbook - is live on Substack.If you found this helpful, please repost it so it can reach more curious minds like yours.What force do you think is most in control right now?https://open.substack.com/pub/spicapitalresearch/p/the-4-forces-that-move-every-market