Episode 53 - July WASDE: Heavy Stocks Keep Pressure on 2025 Price Outlook

In this episode, Scott Stiles and Hunter Biram unpack USDA’s July WASDE, which largely met expectations as favorable weather and robust yields continue to underpin ample supplies. Soybean acreage cuts trimmed production slightly, but stronger crush demand held stocks steady and nudged forecast prices lower; long-grain rice saw acreage-driven production cuts offset by demand revisions that lifted ending stocks; corn stocks eased on old-crop export gains and residual adjustments; and cotton output rose on expanded acreage despite a modest yield dip. Overall, heavy stocks across the board keep downward pressure on price outlooks as we look ahead to the August 12 report.