Fat Tuesday | When scarcity meets weight: Can U.S. beef demand outrun its own record prices? episode artwork

EPISODE · Oct 1, 2025 · 20 MIN

Fat Tuesday | When scarcity meets weight: Can U.S. beef demand outrun its own record prices?

from AG Bull · host Tommy Grisafi

Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.comAgBull Audio and Video LinksApple MusicSpotifyYouTubeTikTok Futures and options trading involves risk and is not suited for everyone. Record-tight feeder supplies meet record-heavy carcass weights and a falling cutout, creating a tense setup where front-end inventories swell just as seasonal patterns should ease. We unpack the Mexico border closure, regional cash spreads, demand risk at record retail prices, and the surprise shift in futures positioning.• impact of Mexican border closure on feeder supplies• divergence between Southern Plains and Northern on-feed inventories• placements down, marketings down, front-end supplies up• record carcass weights and feeder leverage erosion• blended cutout’s sharp August rally and September slide• Nebraska premium flipping to a discount versus Kansas• consumer demand at record retail beef prices• hogs open interest topping cattle and what it implies• cheaper feed from larger corn, wheat, and sorghum supplies• macro overhang from a possible government shutdownSubscribe for $25/month or $250/year to access premium videos that the general public can’t get Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits. 

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Oct 1, 2025

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Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits. Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involves risk and is not suited for everyone. Record-tight feeder supplies meet record-heavy carcass weights and a falling cutout, creating a tense setup where front-end inventories swell just as seasona...

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Fat Tuesday | When scarcity meets weight: Can U.S. beef demand outrun its own record prices?

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