Fighting the Last War: Markets, Mortgages and the Bank of England’s Hawkish Misfire episode artwork

EPISODE · Mar 25, 2026 · 38 MIN

Fighting the Last War: Markets, Mortgages and the Bank of England’s Hawkish Misfire

from Intelligence Talks

In this episode, Tom and Michael Brown unpack how the Bank of England’s unexpectedly hawkish messaging last week helped ignite a sharp repricing across markets already rattled by the Middle East conflict, pushing swap rates up by nearly a full percentage point, and exposing the UK’s fragile fiscal backdrop. They explore why the Bank may be fighting the wrong inflation battle and what this means for borrowers weighing two‑ versus five‑year fixes, and why both housing market activity and policy decisions are now hostage to fast‑shifting geopolitical and energy‑price risks.⁠⁠Subscribe⁠⁠⁠ to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Fighting the Last War: Markets, Mortgages and the Bank of England’s Hawkish Misfire

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