PODCAST · news
Intelligence Talks
by Knight Frank
From Knight Frank Research, Intelligence Talks brings you the latest insights on property market trends and forecasts, along with expert analysis from industry leaders.New episodes fortnightly.Sign up for regular updates from Knight Frank research. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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154
Burnham’s First Fortnight: Reading Between the Lines for the Property Market
What does Andy Burnham's first fortnight as Prime Minister mean for the housing market? Tom Bill is joined by financial analyst Michael Brown. They discuss the latest developments in the Middle East and the implications for oil prices, inflation and mortgage rates, before examining the Bank of England's next move. The conversation also explores Burnham's early policy announcements, the fiscal challenges facing Chancellor John Healey, growing Budget speculation and what recent property tax discussions reveal about the risks of policy uncertainty for the UK housing market.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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153
Manchesterism, defence, and the future of UK growth
With Andy Burnham now Prime Minister, "Manchesterism" has moved from regional talking point to potential national strategy. So what is "Manchesterism", and what does it mean for UK real estate? Will Matthews, Knight Frank's Head of Commercial Insight, is joined by Insight partners Jennifer Townsend and Darren Mansfield to unpack the discussion. The conversation explores why devolution does not have to be a zero-sum game between regions, returning momentum in regional office markets, and the role rising defence spending will play in the UK's growth story. Tune in for a practical take on the future shape of UK growth under a new PM.For more insights like this, subscribe to Will's newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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152
Coutts Head of Lending: Volatility Is the New Normal
In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill is joined by Alex Webster, Head of Lending at Coutts, for a discussion about wealth, lending and property at a time when political uncertainty and market volatility have become part of everyday life. With speculation mounting over tax policy, interest rates and the economic outlook, Alex explains why many wealthy buyers are continuing to transact and why, in her view, volatility has become the "new normal". The conversation explores how ultra-high-net-worth individuals think about property, debt and wealth creation, and why some of the assumptions people make about the prime market are often wrong. Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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151
Why real estate capital is moving into energy infrastructure
Real estate capital is increasingly targeting energy infrastructure, but why now, and what does it mean for traditional investors? In this episode, Will Matthews is joined by Nik Potter, Associate in Knight Frank's Capital Markets Insight team, and Flora Harley, Head of Energy and Sustainability Insight, to explore the rationale, the volumes and the returns shaping investment into energy infrastructure. They unpack the three megatrends pulling capital into the sector, and discuss why the fundamentals will feel familiar to traditional real estate investors. The conversation also looks at the UK's infrastructure investment backlog, the policy backdrop, and how pension reform could unlock significant new capital. Listen for a grounded view on where energy infrastructure fits within the real assets universe.For more insights like this, subscribe to Will's newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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150
Burnham Takes Charge: Property Tax and Fiscal Reality
What would a Burnham premiership mean in practice? In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom is joined by former Treasury special adviser James Nation to explore which policies will remain longer-term ambitions, and what is realistically deliverable in the near term.Will a coronation create legitimacy concerns? Is an emergency Budget needed? And with fiscal wriggle room tight, who becomes Chancellor and how difficult is the job they inherit?For the property market, there is a lot on the line. There is renewed speculation around CGT alignment with income tax, a familiar debate over the merits of a land value tax, and early signals on greater devolution of fiscal powers.But each comes with big questions around how much revenue they raise, how quickly they can be delivered, and whether they survive contact with Treasury scrutiny.Either way, Burnham will now be judged on what he does rather than what he says. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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149
The Rise of the Domestic Buyer: Prime Central London Comes Full Circle
After decades being shaped by global investors and rapid price growth, today’s market is more price-sensitive and domestically-driven. In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill speaks with Anthony Payne, CEO and co-founder of LonRes, to examine what’s happening at the top end of London’s residential market. They discuss what LonRes data reveals about prices and transaction volumes across different markets and price points in the capital, the extent to which super-prime deals are still taking place and the rising number of fall-throughs. The conversation also explores whether the market is nearing a turning point or settling into a prolonged period of more muted growth and the one thing Anthony believes is needed to boost demand – and it’s not a stamp duty cut.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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148
The hidden language of charts
The same dataset can look dramatically different depending on how it is visualised. Most charts are produced with good intent, but not all of them tell the full story, and some are designed not to. Knowing how to spot the difference could change how you read every market report you pick up. In this episode of Commercially Minded, Will Matthews, Knight Frank's Head of Commercial Insight, is joined by Seb Jones, Senior Analyst in Knight Frank's Modelling and Intelligence team, to examine how data visualisation shapes the conclusions that property professionals reach. They explore everything from innocent design failures that accidentally misdirect, to techniques that can steer readers towards conclusions the data does not support. If you want to know how to spot the signs that a chart is misleading you, and what questions to ask before you form a view, this is the episode to listen to.For more insights like this, subscribe to Will's newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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147
Burnham, bonds and the mortgage squeeze
Tom is joined by Helen Thomas, CEO of Blonde Money, to unpack the political shockwaves around Andy Burnham’s attempt to become an MP, the growing tension between government policy and bond markets, and what it means for mortgages and property prices. With inflation risks building from energy disruption and markets wary of looser fiscal policy, they explore why mortgage rates may stay higher for longer and what a potential leadership change - or even an early election - could mean for the housing market. Against such a fast-moving backdrop, they explore the merits of fixing a mortgage for two or five years.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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146
City Hall Has Lost Its Grip on Housing: London Mayoral Candidate Peter Murray
On this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill is joined by Peter Murray OBE, co‑founder of New London Architecture, founder of the London Festival of Architecture and a former design adviser to two London Mayors. As he prepares his own run for London Mayor in 2028 as an independent, Murray explains the tipping point behind his decision to enter politics, driven by what he sees as a lack of understanding in City Hall about the mayor’s responsibility to deliver homes, infrastructure and better streets. He sets out his “get stuff done” philosophy, arguing that housing delivery in London has been choked by uncertainty, slow planning and strained relations with the development sector. Drawing on decades of experience across architecture, journalism and real estate, Murray outlines proposals to accelerate housing delivery, revive SME builders, restore certainty for investors, and bring design back to the top table through a City Architect. The conversation also covers density, tall buildings, affordability, transport reform, road pricing and what a more pragmatic, delivery‑focused mayor could mean for London’s future.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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145
Where next for Multifamily?
For a new edition of Intelligence Talks, Katie O’Neill speaks to LGIM's Head of BTR, Adam Burney, and Head of Residential Development Research, Oliver Knight. She asks; how are investors navigating the current investment landscape? What’s really happening with rental growth, and what does it mean for future development? And importantly, where next? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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144
Reading the signals of science and innovation demand in real estate
The innovation sector is widely seen as one of the UK's biggest economic opportunities, and the signals are hard to ignore: OpenAI is establishing a permanent presence in London, US AI companies are expanding their European footprint in the capital, and innovation clusters are emerging across UK cities well beyond the Golden Triangle. But is the real estate industry reading those signals correctly? In this episode, Will Matthews is joined by Jennifer Townsend, a partner in Knight Frank's Occupier Insight team, to explore what the real estate industry often gets wrong about measuring innovation demand, and what better metrics look like in practice. From funding as a leading indicator of space requirements, to AI clusters building momentum in cities like Edinburgh, Leeds and Manchester, the discussion examines how to understand where demand is heading, not just where it has been. For more insights like this, subscribe to Will's newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets. Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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143
Renters’ Rights Act: The End of the Hobbyist Landlord?
In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom is joined by Louisa Sedgwick, managing director of mortgages at buy-to-let specialist lender Paragon Bank to explore the Renters’ Rights Act and what it really means for landlords and tenants. They discuss her involvement lobbying two separate governments on issues like the end of Section 21, the shift to periodic tenancies, tighter controls around asking rents, and why well‑intentioned reforms may squeeze supply, push rents higher, and disadvantage more vulnerable renters. The conversation also explores the recent mortgage market shock caused by the Middle East conflict and the looming challenge of meeting new energy efficiency standards.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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142
Middle East Ceasefire to Boost Buyer Sentiment more than Mortgage Market
If it holds, the Middle East ceasefire will boost activity in the housing market as spring gets underway, but it hasn’t removed the pressure keeping mortgage rates high. In this episode of Housing Unpacked, Tom Bill is joined by Helen Thomas, CEO of Blonde Money, to explain why borrowing costs are unlikely to snap back to mid-February levels. They explore how the conflict will create a lasting supply‑side inflation shock, why bond investors still see the UK as a risk, what that means for mortgage rates, and the competing pressures on the Bank of England. The discussion also examines whether an internal challenge or the bond market is more likely to bring Keir Starmer’s premiership to a premature end.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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141
Keep calm and carry on: London's lessons for surviving real estate cycles
What does London’s past reveal about its future? Shabab Qadar, Head of London Offices Insight, joins Will to unpack London’s evolution through deregulation, financial crises, political change and the pandemic. They explore how 2020 accelerated the shift towards higher‑quality space, why the “return to office” debate is now outdated, and how AI, supply constraints and long‑term capital are shaping the next cycle.If you want a clear, focused view on London’s future, and the implications for occupiers, investors and planners, this episode has it.Hosted by Will Matthews, Knight Frank’s Head of Commercial Insight. For more insights like this subscribe to Will Matthews' newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets. Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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140
Fighting the Last War: Markets, Mortgages and the Bank of England’s Hawkish Misfire
In this episode, Tom and Michael Brown unpack how the Bank of England’s unexpectedly hawkish messaging last week helped ignite a sharp repricing across markets already rattled by the Middle East conflict, pushing swap rates up by nearly a full percentage point, and exposing the UK’s fragile fiscal backdrop. They explore why the Bank may be fighting the wrong inflation battle and what this means for borrowers weighing two‑ versus five‑year fixes, and why both housing market activity and policy decisions are now hostage to fast‑shifting geopolitical and energy‑price risks.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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139
How Global Energy Shocks Will Shape UK Politics, Inflation and the Housing Market
Tom Bill talks to James Nation on Tuesday 10 March about how the fast‑moving conflict in the Middle East is reshaping UK politics, the inflation landscape, and the housing market. James draws parallels with the 2022 energy shock when he worked in the Treasury and explains how geopolitical instability complicates decisions for the Chancellor and the Bank of England. They discuss the risks to fiscal headroom, the unpredictability of mortgage rates, and the different political and economic scenarios that may play out depending on how long the disruption lasts. The conversation also explores the pressures facing the government ahead of this year’s autumn Budget, the implications for housing policy, and what the coming months may mean for Keir Starmer following Labour’s defeat in the recent Gorton and Denton by-election. Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data.This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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138
How the Middle East Conflict Will Impact the UK Housing Market
Tom Bill and Pepperstone analyst Michael Brown unpack how the Middle East conflict is rippling through global markets, lifting energy prices, reshaping interest rate expectations and influencing sentiment in the UK economy and housing market. They explore what this means for mortgage rates, the validity of the Spring Statement, and the Bank of England’s next move.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data.This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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137
From ethics to earnings: is ESG for real estate just risk and reward?
To unpack how ESG is evolving into a conversation about risk, resilience and returns, Flora Harley, Head of Knight Frank’s Energy & Sustainability Research joins us on this week's episode.We explore why ESG is increasingly being reframed as operational performance, how occupiers and investors are prioritising energy efficiency, cost certainty and liquidity, and where sustainability initiatives genuinely protect long‑term value. From electrification and energy‑use intensity to lending, insurance and the emerging “brown discount”, this episode cuts through the jargon to focus on what really matters.If you want a clear, practical take on ESG, without the buzzwords, this one’s for you.Hosted by Will Matthews, Knight Frank’s Head of Commercial Insight. For more insights like this subscribe to Will Matthews' newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets.This is an episode from Commercially Minded, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to unpicking the latest commercial property data.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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136
From Mayors to Mega Basements: The Truth About Developing London
In this episode, Tom Bill talks with Mike Hussey, CEO of Almacantar, about the real‑world challenges of delivering major schemes in London - from tricky 1960s refurbishments to complex new‑builds on constrained sites. Mike reflects on working with different London mayors, how political interventions can slow projects, and why there is so much misunderstanding around viability. They explore London’s enduring resilience as a global city, with Mike explaining why super‑prime residential demand remains steady but slower to convert, and how long‑term stability matters as much as tax tweaks for investors. Finally, he shares when Almacantar may feel ready to buy its next site.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data. This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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135
Global Drama, Local Consequences: What The Events of 2026 Mean for Your Mortgage
A fast‑moving start to 2026 sets the tone for this episode as Tom Bill and Pepperstone’s Michael Brown break down a month of relentless global drama and its impact on borrowing costs - from Trump’s tariff brinkmanship and geopolitical flare‑ups to fiscal fears over Japan. We dig into why UK swap rates have risen, how much faith to put in recent UK economic data, why haven demand is rising, and how political jitters in Westminster are still rattling gilt markets. All of it feeds directly into mortgage pricing, the timing of Bank of England rate cuts, and what buyers and sellers should expect in the months ahead.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data.This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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134
What can other real estate sectors learn from retail's resurgence?
Retail is back on top, ending 2025 as the top performing real estate asset class. How can the sector's resurgence bring insights - and valuable lessons - to apply to other commercial real estate sectors? We dive into Stephen Springham's insight series 'Retail Renaissance' to find out.Host Will Matthews, Knight Frank’s Head of Commercial Insight, is joined by Stephen Springham, Head of UK Markets Insight, who brings over 30 years of industry experience.In this episode you'll discover why 'relevance' trumps 'prime', and the importance of addressing underinvestment and complacency. Plus: how to navigate the complexities of repurposing retail spaces, and why strong occupier relationships are vital for a sustainable market. For more insights like this subscribe to Will Matthews' newsletter for his weekly take on commercial real estate markets. And you can read Stephen Springham’s Retail Renaissance papers, exploring what other real estate sectors can learn from Retail’s fall and unlikely rise again.This is an episode from Commercially Minded, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to unpicking the latest commercial property data.Produced by Rethink Audio Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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133
The Wealth Report: Los Angeles’ luxury housing market
In this episode, we take a deep dive into Los Angeles’ luxury housing market—one of the world’s largest super‑prime residential hubs, currently ranking third globally for $10‑million‑plus sales. Despite a range of challenges in recent years, the market continues to show remarkable resilience and remains a key destination for global private wealth.Liam is joined by Nick Segal to unpack the dynamics of a market that has recorded 250 sales above $10 million in the past 12 months, totalling $4.6 billion. Nick explains how the city is navigating significant headwinds—from the ULA tax reform, which imposes an excise tax of up to 5.5% on high‑value transactions, to complex insurance challenges and the emotional toll following last year’s devastating fires. While these factors have prompted some wealth migration to states such as Texas and Florida, the conversation explores why a degree of “stickiness” remains, and why some buyers are already returning to California.The discussion explores the structural shifts in buyer behaviour, noting a move away from “aspirational” pricing towards a necessary realism among sellers. Nick highlights how tech wealth and other alternative sectors are backfilling changes in the traditional entertainment industry. In addition, a new trend in wellness‑driven development is reshaping the luxury landscape, with an increasing emphasis on lifestyle quality.Looking ahead to 2026, Liam and Nick discuss the potential for a “righting of the ship,” driven by anticipated interest rate reductions and growing political momentum to recalibrate tax initiatives. They identify key sub‑markets to watch, including the Palisades—which is poised for a major recalibration—and Beverly Hills, which remains a stronghold for developers due to its exemption from the ULA tax.For more insight into global wealth, luxury markets and the assets that sit alongside property subscribe to Liam’s twice-weekly research briefing here: https://preferences.knightfrank.com/subscribe-to-research?utm_campaign=2703391_Data%20Protection%20-%20Not%20asked%20consent%20%28Headshot%29&utm_medium=Email%20Marketing&utm_source=Dotmailer&dm_t=0,0,0,0,0Host: Liam Bailey, Global Head of Research at Knight Frank & Editor of The Wealth Report, [email protected]: Nick Segal, Managing Broker at the leading Los Angeles brokerage, Carolwood, which has recently launched a new strategic alliance with Knight Frank. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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132
Rob Perrins on planning reform, the future of London and hitting the 1.5 million homes target
Rob Perrins, Executive Chairman of Berkeley Group, joins Tom Bill to explore the realities behind the government’s housing ambitions, the impact of the Autumn Budget, and what it will really take to deliver 1.5 million homes. With over 30 years at Berkeley, Rob offers a unique perspective on the UK’s planning system and the challenges of delivering homes at scale, particularly in London. He discusses why housing delivery has stalled, how the regulatory burden and taxation are undermining viability, and why restoring confidence and the “feelgood factor” is critical for the market. Rob also reflects on his career at Berkeley, the legacy of founder Tony Pidgley, and how the company’s culture of regeneration, placemaking and long-term investment continues to shape its approach today.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data.This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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131
What’s driving the uptick in the global fine wine market?
In our latest Intelligence Talks episode, Liam Bailey, Global Head of Research at Knight Frank, is joined by Tom Burchfield, Head of Market Intelligence at Liv-ex, the world’s leading fine wine exchange. They unpack a challenging three-year period for the Liv-ex 100, why Tuscany has shown resilience, and what the recent rebound could mean for the end of the downturn. Liam and Tom explore how changing investor behaviour, shifting global demand, and evolving preferences for top vintages are reshaping the market. From Europe to Asia and the US, they reveal the forces stabilising prices and the trends shaping luxury alternative assets for the year ahead.For more insight into global wealth, luxury markets and the assets that sit alongside property subscribe to Liam’s twice-weekly research briefing here:https://preferences.knightfrank.com/subscribe-to-research?utm_campaign=2703391_Data%20Protection%20-%20Not%20asked%20consent%20%28Headshot%29&utm_medium=Email%20Marketing&utm_source=Dotmailer&dm_t=0,0,0,0,0 Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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130
Navigating Student Housing in 2025
2025 has been the year of not taking anything for granted in student housing. There’s noise in the headlines, nuance in the data, and if you know where to look opportunity in the fundamentals. Katie O’Neill speaks to Knight Frank's Head of Student Housing Capital Markets, Merelina Sykes, and Head of Student Housing Valuations, Neil Armstrong. She asks; how are investors navigating the current investment landscape? What’s really happening with rental growth, and how is it shaping occupancy? And importantly, what does the student think? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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129
Budget Special: James Nation on Property Taxes and Labour’s Looming Leadership Crunch
Former Treasury and No.10 insider James Nation joins Tom Bill to unpack a Budget that has soothed markets but failed to boost Labour’s poll numbers. James talks about how easy it will be to introduce a mansion tax, the politics around an investor visa, and why the next big guessing game might not be related to taxes rises but the identity of the new Chancellor.Subscribe to Tom Bill's UK Residential Outlook, for all the latest properties, exclusive market analysis, news and data.This is an episode from Housing Unpacked, Knight Frank’s podcast dedicated to the UK housing market.Produced by Rethink Audio Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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128
Budget Special with Michael Brown: The OBR Row, Mixed Market Signals and Rising Risks for the Chancellor
In this second of three post-Budget specials, Tom Bill is joined by Michael Brown from Pepperstone to unpack a chaotic week for Westminster, the markets and the wider economy. From the unprecedented OBR leak and the Treasury’s credibility problem to front-loaded spending, back-loaded tax rises and why gilt markets may be calm for now, Michael explains what really mattered in the Budget, what the Bank of England is likely to do next, and why political risk may be the biggest story of 2026.Read more from Head of UK Residential Research Tom Bill here.Subscribe to Knight Frank's research here.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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127
Budget Special: Nimesh Shah on the Doors The Budget Opened - and the Ones It Bolted
In this Budget Special, Tom Bill is joined by Nimesh Shah, CEO of tax advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, to break down why he sees this as a “once-in-a-generation” Budget, what the new mansion tax signals for future wealth taxation and how the extra 2% on rental income and frozen thresholds squeeze landlords and middle earners. They also discuss whether markets will accept a fiscal plan that spends upfront and pushes major tax increases into the later years of the Parliament - plus the emoji that Nimesh chooses to sum it all up.Read more from Head of UK Residential Research Tom Bill here.Subscribe to Knight Frank's research here.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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126
Will Mayor Mamdani sink the luxury New York housing market?
What market is poised to outpace even the mighty New York? This week the global Head of Research at Knight Frank, Liam Bailey, is joined by President & CEO of Miller Samuel, Jonathan Miller. Jonathan is a legendary New York housing market expert whose insights shape understanding of luxury real estate trends nationwide.Using fresh data from the Knight Frank Global Super-Prime Intelligence Report, Liam and Jonathan explore how billionaires and centi-millionaires are reshaping global housing markets, and what the latest quarter’s slowdown really means.Across 12 leading global hubs, 474 residential sales above $10 million took place in Q3 2025, totalling $8.5 billion. But with volumes down 21% and values down 29% on Q2, the big question is: what’s driving the shift?Jonathan describes a market in rude health: despite a slowdown in Q3 sales, Wall Street continues to fuel the luxury sector, and Q4 is shaping up to be a bumper season in the city.Meanwhile, in Miami and Palm Beach, demand remains strong but low inventory is holding back transactions. Liam draws parallels with London, where, spoiler alert, wealth taxes are not helping super-prime volumes, and with Dubai, where, as in Miami, limited stock is constraining sales.Looking ahead to 2026, New York appears set for a strong run. But one market in particular is poised to outpace even the Big Apple… tune in to find out which.For more global wealth and property insight: Subscribe to Liam’s twice-weekly Global Property Briefing here: https://preferences.knightfrank.com/subscribe-to-global-property-briefing Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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125
Prime Central London: The reality on the ground ahead of the Budget
With tax speculation dominating the headlines, is Prime Central London really stalling or are there opportunities for buyers? Tom Bill speaks to Stuart Bailey, Head of Prime Central London Sales at Knight Frank, about which taxes in the Budget would most impact the market, what buyers should expect in terms of future price growth, how many people are leaving the capital and which areas of London are back on the radar.Read more from Head of UK Residential Research Tom Bill here.Subscribe to Knight Frank's research here.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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124
The £30 Billion Question: What Rachel Reeves Faces Ahead of the November Budget
What’s happening behind the scenes as the Treasury and the Office for Budget Responsibility prepare for the 26 November Budget? Tom Bill is joined once again by Michael Brown from Pepperstone to share their insights.From the OBR’s “observation window” to the Treasury’s 11 Bloomberg terminals, Tom and Michael discuss how gilt yields, labour market data, and fiscal headroom are shaping Rachel Reeves’ options — and what all of this means for property taxes, mortgage rates, and the housing market.Read more from Head of UK Residential Research Tom Bill here.Subscribe to Knight Frank's research here.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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123
Carol Lewis: Headlines, Housing and Hype
Carol Lewis, Property Editor of The Times and The Sunday Times, explains how to navigate the flood of property headlines in the run-up to November’s Budget. Carol speaks to Tom about the Treasury’s use of “trial balloon” tax stories, why house price data often looks contradictory, and how readers can distinguish speculation from fact. She also gives a behind-the-scenes view of how the media prepares for Budget day, stressing the journalist’s role as messenger rather than market shaper. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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122
James Nation: Property Taxes, Pitch-Rolling & Budget Nerves
Former No.10 policy insider James Nation joins Tom to decode the run-in to the 26 November Budget: OBR round-one forecasts, the 10-year gilt “observation window”, and why a productivity downgrade matters for the property market. We ask how credible this summer’s property tax rumours feel, possible sweeteners, and what a “successful” Budget looks like. Plus: Treasury vs Downing St culture, Labour’s deputy leadership race and whether Starmer and Reeves are still in post next year. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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121
Nerves are spreading through bond and property markets ahead of November Budget
This week, head of UK residential research Tom Bill is joined by financial market analyst Michael Brown from Pepperstone to assess the state of property and bond markets ahead of November’s Budget. Borrowing costs have been climbing in recent weeks for a number of reasons that include a lack of credibility on financial markets that the government has a coherent plan. Property taxes have been floated as one solution but some ideas are more convincing than others. Michael offers his own five-point plan for the government to follow in order to regain the trust of markets – but it would involve some difficult decisions. Whether you are buying, selling, remortgaging or scrolling to see what your house is worth, there are key insights on offer to provide you with the bigger picture.Subscribe to Knight Franks research note here: https://preferences.knightfrank.com/subscribe-to-research?_gl=1*19v1skm*_gcl_au*NDIxNTA1ODA3LjE3NTUyNjc3ODg. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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120
The UK Wealth Exodus with Leslie Macleod-Miller
What would happen if the rich left the UK? In this episode of Intelligence Talks, host Tom Bill is joined by Leslie MacLeod-Miller, CEO of Foreign Investors for Britain to dig into what the governments changes in taxation mean for non-doms, and what the knock on affect could be for the rest of the country.Listen to find out what Leslie thinks needs to happen to keep money in the UK and what impact tax changes are already having on the UK prime market.Subscribe to Knight Franks research note here: https://preferences.knightfrank.com/subscribe-to-research?_gl=1*19v1skm*_gcl_au*NDIxNTA1ODA3LjE3NTUyNjc3ODg. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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119
Housing, Inflation, and Government Strategies
This week; sticky inflation, bond market reactions, and the government's role in the property market. We look at recent economic data showing weak growth and high inflation, and try to unpick the implications for the housing market such as increased supply and mortgage rates, and the challenges faced by policymakers. We also look at the US trade deals and Federal Reserve decisions, providing insights into how these factors could affect both the UK and global economies. Host Tom Bill is joined by seasoned financial market analyst Michael Brown from Pepperstone to give some clarity amidst economic uncertainty. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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118
Navigating Volatility: The Rise of Build to Rent
This week we discuss how global market volatility is reshaping investment strategies, specifically on the growing popularity of the built to rent sector. Special guests Nick Pleydell-Bouverie, Head of Residential Investment, and Lizzie Breckner, Head of Build to Rent Research, highlight significant milestones, such as a rise in single family and co-living investments, and discuss the impact of policy changes and construction challenges on the sector. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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117
Half-Time Health Check: Is the UK Housing Market Set for a Smoother Ride in H2 2025?
This week, head of UK residential research Tom Bill is joined by financial market strategist Michael Brown from Pepperstone to assess the state of the UK housing market at the halfway point of the year. With the Bank of England cutting rates twice in the first six months of 2025, Michael explains why more cuts could be on the way before Christmas. They also unpack what the end of Donald Trump’s 90-day tariff pause could mean for the UK, and how recent weak economic data is shaping expectations for interest rates. Plus, they explore the government’s shrinking financial headroom ahead of this autumn’s Budget — and the tough decisions facing the Chancellor. Whether you’re buying, selling or re-mortgaging, this episode offers key insights into what’s coming next. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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116
Opening the Gateway: Breaking Down Challenges in the UK Planning Landscape
This week we unpack the evolving UK planning landscape. From the implications of Gateway Two and the Building Safety Act to recent updates in the National Planning Policy Framework. Host Katie O'Neill is joined by Chris Benham, Oliver Knight, and Alan McCartney to explore what these changes mean for developers, investors, and the future of urban delivery. They also dive into the shifting role of amenity spaces—why practicality is taking priority over luxury. Plus, don’t miss the 'Bullish and Bearish' segment, where the guests share what’s driving their optimism or caution in London’s housing market. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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115
Will Britain gain from post-Trump student surge?
We explore how Britain could benefit from a rise in international students after Trump’s second presidency. We also delve into the latest UCAS application data for 2025, plus key investment and development trends. Anna is joined by Neil Armstrong and Merelina Sykes, joint heads of Knight Frank student property.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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114
What’s in store for housing markets in 2025?
Housing markets around the world have faced strong headwinds since the pandemic boom period. Household finances and purchasing power fell under pressure from surging household bills and higher borrowing costs, and the outlook for interest rates remains murky at best. So, what does the year ahead have in store for house prices in the UK and more broadly in Europe? Host Anna Ward is joined by Knight Frank's head of UK residential research, Tom Bill, head of European residential research, Kate Everett Allen and head of ESG research, Flora Harley. The panel are quizzed on how global housing markets are performing – key hotspots for 2025 and what the data is telling us. They share their views on whether house prices will rise or fall this year in key regions around the world – and their key 2025 predictions for the year ahead. Prospect of Trump Presidency intensifies Labour’s mortgage market headache https://www.knightfrank.com/research/article/2025-01-13-prospect-of-trump-presidency-intensifies-labours-mortgage-market-headache 2025 Outlook: European real estate and political shifts https://www.knightfrank.com/research/article/2024-12-19-2025-outlook-european-real-estate-and-political-shifts The ESG Outlook – what’s next for 2025? https://www.knightfrank.com/research/article/2025-01-09-the-esg-outlook-whats-next-for-2025Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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113
Will 2025 be a pivotal year for UK commercial real estate?
After a challenging year, what is the outlook for UK commercial real estate in 2025 and has the market turned a corner?Anna is joined by our UK head of commercial research, Will Matthews, London research head Shabab Qadar and associate in retail research Emma Barnstable. We hear from Emma on how attitudes towards the retail sector are the most positive they have been for years, with retail the best performing mainstream property asset class in 2024. Two-thirds of the Top 300 retailers are rated low-risk. Despite this, investment volumes last year fell short of10-year averages. Could 2025 be a more profitable year for investors? Shabab talks about how the London office market is at an inflection point, with investor sentiment stabilising, pointing to renewed activity into 2025, particularly for top-tier office spaces. The investment market is polarised, however, with demand strongest for prime office buildings in the top UK markets. In certain areas of the capital, there is a significant shortage of high-quality office space. Specifically, less than 0.5% of the available office stock in London's City and West End submarkets is classified as grade A.The panel also look at projections for overall investment volumes into UK commercial real estate this year, and discuss why new infrastructure projects present significant opportunities.Produced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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112
What’s driving demand for homes in the Alps?
In this episode, we delve into the results of our new Knight Frank Alpine Property Report. Anna is joined by our head of European residential research, Kate Everett-Allen, and partner Alex Koch de Gooryend, to examine the key drivers currently of demand for Alpine properties from declining mortgage rates, tax changes and an increase in year-round amenities. The report highlights a 3% increase in property values in Alpine markets over the past year. While this is down from the pandemic peak, growth remains above long-run trend rates. The discussion also delves into geographical trends, with Swiss resorts outperforming French ones, backed by Switzerland’s stable economy. Also, find out where our panel would invest if they had the cash. You can read the report here: https://www.knightfrank.com/research/report-library/alpine-property-report-2025-11694.aspxProduced by Rethink Audio Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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111
Inside Britain’s student housing crisis: key challenges and 2025 predictions
UK students are struggling to find housing and demand for accommodation is soaring. Supply is failing to keep up, causing rents to rise on average by around 8% this year, according to the latest Knight Frank data.So what's going on? How can universities, developers, and investors collaborate more effectively to tackle the supply crunch? What emerging trends will shape the future of student housing in 2025 and beyond? From the race for high-quality accommodations to the evolving expectations of Gen Z students—this conversation is a must-listen for anyone navigating the student property market. Anna is joined by Neil Armstrong and Merelina Sykes, joint heads of Knight Frank’s student property division, along with research associate Katie O’Neill, to unpack these critical questions.For more, see Knight Frank’s student accommodation survey 2024: https://content.knightfrank.com/research/1663/documents/en/knight-frank-ucas-student-accommodation-survey-report-2024-11543.pdf And Knight Frank’s latest quarterly update on the market: https://www.knightfrank.be/research/uk-student-housing-q3-2024-11625.aspxProduced by Ollie Peart at Rethink Audio. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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110
Britain’s Budget pain: What it means for house prices and high streets
We take a look at the key risks facing UK housing and retail markets in the aftermath of the Autumn Budget. We focus on the threats and opportunities for both sectors following the biggest rises in taxes at a budget since 1993.Will mortgage rates stay higher for longer as a result? Plus, does the Budget really just spell bad news for the high street or will we see a retail renaissance? Anna is joined by Knight Frank’s head of UK housing research Tom Bill and head of UK retail research, Stephen Springham. Stay tuned to find out whether Tom will be fixing his own mortgage for two or five years following the Budget… Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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109
How can London landlords prepare for EPC cliff edge?
You potentially won’t be able to let an office in the UK without an EPC A-B by as soon as 2030. So how can London’s office landlords prepare effectively for this energy efficiency deadline? Currently, 70% of commercial property floor space is rated EPC C or below across England & Wales. So getting ahead of potential future regulation could mean a first-mover advantage, particularly where there is a demand and supply imbalance.To unpick this complex topic, Anna is joined by Flora Harley, Knight Frank’s head of ESG research, and Harriet Hicks, ESG consultant at the property agency, who explain some of the risks and strategies commercial property landlords and investors must consider. They discuss Knight Frank’s new report on building obsolescence, which looks at more than 3,000 commercial properties that have undergone retrofitting leading to an improved EPC rating of at least B, and the measures landlords took to get there.They also delve into new research on building obsolescence, highlighting key areas such as regulatory, functional, physical, and financial risks. Practical measures like LED lighting and digital twin modelling for building improvements are discussed, along with market trends, tenant collaboration, and potential future innovations in the sector. Knight Frank’s report: Meeting the Commercial Property Retrofit Challenge - Part 1: Defining a Strategy is available here: https://www.knightfrank.com/research/report-library/meeting-the-commercial-property-retrofit-challenge-part-1-11509.aspx Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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108
Is Britain heading for a co-living boom?
Co-living is a small but growing trend in UK cities, driven by urbanisation, rising housing costs, and the need for community in an age of digital isolation. Experts from Knight Frank explore the investment landscape, government policies, demographic appeal, and future prospects of co-living compared to traditional student accommodation. The conversation covers topics such as policy evolution, investment trends, and the challenges and opportunities in the sector.Host Anna Ward discusses this and more with guests Chris Benham, Oliver Knight and Katie O’Neill. For more, please see Knight Frank’s 2024 Co-living Report here: https://content.knightfrank.com/research/2854/documents/en/co-living-report-2024-11304.pdf Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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107
Market snapshot: Our predictions for the London office market
What is the current state of the London office market and how will the next six months pan out? Knight Frank's Head of London Research Shabab Qadar joins host Anna Ward to discuss market activity and what is coming next for development activity and investment in the capital’s office sector. They discuss how a future supply crunch could impact the market, where the new emerging office districts will be, to what extent repurposing will feature in the market and how much stock will shift to other uses. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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106
Labour's housing plans unpacked
Rachel Reeves used her first speech as chancellor to reverse some Conservative housing policy following a Labour landslide. But aside from bringing back local housing targets, how else will the government get Britain building again? In this episode our expert panel dive into getting the balance right between net-zero goals and extensive housebuilding plans, the need for renewable energy and regulatory certainty, and how the UK and European residential markets compare. Also, if you had £50 million, where should you put that money right now in residential real estate? Host Anna Ward discusses this and more with guests Flora Harley, Stuart Baillie, and Kate Everett-Allen from Knight Frank. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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105
UK election special: Manifestos, markets and real estate
In this episode of 'Intelligence Talks,' host Anna Ward discusses the potential implications of Labour and Conservative election pledges on the commercial real estate market with Will Matthews, Shabab Qadar, and Stephen Springham from Knight Frank’s research team. They examine current market conditions, and key manifesto proposals on finance, investment, tax, business rates, and planning laws. What will be the impact of these policies on key UK commercial real estate sectors from offices to retail? And how will investment volumes turn out by the end of 2024 compared to last year? All that, plus hear how each expert would invest a hypothetical sum of £50 million in UK commercial real estate. This is the first of two special episodes on the UK election. We will be back next month with part two after the election and you will hear from experts in our UK residential research team. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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ABOUT THIS SHOW
From Knight Frank Research, Intelligence Talks brings you the latest insights on property market trends and forecasts, along with expert analysis from industry leaders.New episodes fortnightly.Sign up for regular updates from Knight Frank research. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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