Final Predictions on Argentina's Presidential Elections episode artwork

EPISODE · Nov 18, 2023 · 43 MIN

Final Predictions on Argentina's Presidential Elections

from Star Spangled Gamblers · host Pratik Chougule

Colombia-based trader Ian Bezek (@irbezek) returns to the show to offer some final thoughts on the close and uncertain presidential race in Argentina. 1:32: Ian's thoughts on the final debate between Javier Milei and Sergio Massa 2:10: Ian's advice on Polymarket's margin market 5:20: Interview begins 6:06: Massa's backround 7:43: Massa's political baggage 8:45: Questions about Massa's alleged drug addiction 9:56: Market volatility since the eve of the first round of elections 11:39: Why did polls miss on the first round? 12:49: Milei's shortcomings 14:34: Summary of first round results 15:38: Why so much market volatility? 18:29: How much of Patricia Bullrich's support will go to Milei? 19:57: Argentina's economy 25:41: Milei's extremist statements 27:54: How foreign investors are seeing the election 29:19: Massa overperformed the polls 32:25: Polling 34:52: Ian's predictions and advice 35:50: Pratik's argument for buying Massa 39:18: Stock prices of Milei's former employer 40:58: Implications of a Milei victory for political betting 42:27: Recent elections in South America Follow Star Spangled Gamblers on Twitter: @ssgamblers

Episode metadata supplied by the publisher feed · Published Nov 18, 2023

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