EPISODE · Apr 7, 2026 · 50 MIN
France Stabilizes Around Prime Minister Lecornu
from Star Spangled Gamblers · host Pratik Chougule
Theodore Cazals (@trueslazac) explains why French president Emmanuel Macron is unpopular, and why the French political system has entered a period of stability anyway. William Kedjanyi (@KeejayOV3), Paul Krishnamurty (@paulmotty), and Pip Moss (@PipsFunFacts) analyze how British Prime Minister Keir Starmer could hold on to power. Timestamps 0:10: Chougule introduces France segment 1:26: Chougule introduces UK segment 2:28: Intro ends 4:29: France interview begins 4:36: Cazals background 5:32: Cazals connection to prediction markets 6:50: Why Cazals lost money in prediction markets 11:44: Macron's approval ratings 12:53: French political system 13:37: Macron's political brand 17:13: Yellow Vest Movement 22:24: France Polymarkets 22:30: Macron out of office? 23:24: Impeachment 23:59: French legislative elections 25:52: Lecornu 26:14: Prime Ministers 26:58: Elisabeth Borne 30:48: Budget cuts 32:06: Pension reform 32:45: Reappointment of Lecornu 33:54: Lecornu out? 36:50: France segment ends 37:05: UK segment begins 37:18: Personnel changes? 38:53: Rachel Reeves out? 39:51: Cabinet reshuffle? 40:11: Starmer resigns? 41:37: Blair-Brown rivalry 43:28: Starmer relationship with MPs 44:11: Boris Johnson's ouster 45:43: Foreign policy 45:54: Starmer-Trump relationship 46:25: Greenland 49:05: Odds on Starmer leaving in 2026 Bet on French and British politics at Polymarket.com, the world's largest prediction market. Get notified whenever a new meetup is scheduled and learn more about the Forecasting Meetup Network here: https://bit.ly/forecastingmeetupnetwork Join our Discord to connect with others in the community between monthly meetups: https://discord.com/invite/hFn3yukSwv
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France Stabilizes Around Prime Minister Lecornu
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